Placeholder Image

字幕列表 影片播放

  • Translator: Michele Gianella

  • A few years ago,

  • I was having breakfast with my husband in the kitchen.

  • And up from our basement guestroom appear these two huge German dudes.

  • My husband, who had failed to mention that he had invited them to stay,

  • quickly said,

  • "Oh, meet Arman and Shay. They're leaders of the UBI movement in Switzerland."

  • I said, "Oh wow, that's so awesome!

  • What's UBI?"

  • Arman and Shay both said, "Oh, that's universal basic income."

  • "And that would be ... ?"

  • "Oh," they explained,

  • "it's when everyone gets, say, monthly income, automatically,

  • and they don't have to work for it,

  • so they can pay for things like food, and clothing, and a place to live."

  • "And so how much are we talking about here?" I asked.

  • My husband chimed in. He said, "Oh, about $1,000 a month."

  • I said, "Oh, that's pretty wild, right?

  • But if we didn't have to work for it,

  • wouldn't we all become slugs

  • or binge watch Netflix or play video games all day?

  • Where would be the motivation and the curiosity to do things?

  • Wouldn't it all be dulled?"

  • I had tons of questions.

  • And what was the purpose of UBI?

  • Why were they so enthusiastic about it?

  • So I decided to do some research.

  • I talked to a bunch of people, I even watched video debates.

  • I wanted to figure out what the deal was here.

  • And it turns out that UBI is a really complicated idea,

  • and it's seriously controversial.

  • So what I did was I went on a journey.

  • And I realized that it actually had to do

  • with how technology was making everything cheaper.

  • See, I'm a tech entrepreneur,

  • and I realized that when I launched my video tech business

  • that powers thousands of applications around the world,

  • I couldn't do that years ago.

  • I would've had to hire hundreds of people for what I could do now.

  • And technology is making things like food cheaper

  • with vertical farms that are robotically powered

  • and making clothes cheaper with automatic knitting machines.

  • And even 3D printing houses where we can live.

  • But the problem is that

  • although technology is making things cheaper,

  • the reason it can do that

  • is because it doesn't require people to do the work,

  • which means

  • that a massive number of people are soon going to be unemployed.

  • In fact, it turns out, a study recently said

  • that 47 percent of all jobs could be lost in the next 20 years -

  • almost half the population.

  • So think about truck drivers.

  • There are three and a half million truck drivers out there.

  • I think they're anticipating something like

  • 80 percent of those truck drivers

  • could lose their jobs to self-driving trucks.

  • And it's not just blue-collar jobs.

  • It's also all kinds of jobs,

  • like paralegals, or folks in the medical profession,

  • or engineers across the board.

  • Now, the folks who are speaking in favor of UBI

  • are saying that we need a way, when those folks are out of work,

  • they need a way to pay for food and clothing and a place to live.

  • And UBI could be that income that they could get to pay for them.

  • Now the folks against UBI are saying,

  • those numbers? They're actually misleading.

  • Because what will happen is,

  • eventually, over time, those jobs will be replaced by other jobs.

  • And they may be jobs that we can't even imagine today.

  • So for instance, 20 years ago,

  • we never even imagined

  • that there would be jobs

  • like UX designers or app developers.

  • So they're saying, we don't have to worry about it.

  • Well, I actually think that we do

  • because we need to figure out the way, in the transition -

  • there's going to be this transition period where we have to figure out

  • how people are going to be able to eat and pay for places to live.

  • And how are we going to pay for this?

  • Turns out that if every person got, say, $10,000 a year,

  • then it would cost about $2 trillion additionally.

  • And there are lots of different ideas as to how to pay for it.

  • For instance, folks are saying:

  • Look, we don't need our whole welfare system

  • or maybe any of it at all

  • because UBI will replace it.

  • Things like food stamps and homeless shelters will go away

  • because people will be able to pay for food and housing.

  • Other people are saying: Well, we can make cuts in the military,

  • or we can add income tax to the rich,

  • or maybe carbon tax for corporations that hurt the environment.

  • Some people are even saying

  • we could print money because it's a whole new economy.

  • Or maybe a combination of all of them.

  • I don't have an answer,

  • and I don't think anybody really understands

  • or has an answer at this point.

  • But I'm an entrepreneur, and when I start a company,

  • I don't have to figure out how it's all going to happen.

  • We don't go from 1 to 100 overnight.

  • It takes phases and experiments,

  • and we start little by little, and we figure it out as we go along.

  • So I wondered if experiments were happening with UBI.

  • And then I met Mikael and Johannes, two other German dudes,

  • and they told me about experiments that were happening all over the world.

  • There are experiments happening in Kenya, and it was wild.

  • They said that 90 percent of all UBI recipients

  • actually started businesses with it or bought livestock.

  • Mikael and Johannes actually started their own UBI experiment out of Berlin.

  • And they're crowdfunding it.

  • So what they're doing is,

  • each time they raise about 12,000 euros or so,

  • then they hold a completely random lottery,

  • anybody can participate, even you guys here,

  • and the winner gets 1,000 euros a month.

  • So it's about $1,000 a month.

  • No strings attached.

  • You don't have to say what you're going to do with the money.

  • You don't have to say what you've done with it.

  • And the winners, it turns out, also started a number of businesses.

  • There was one woman who started a funeral service business.

  • She goes around at funerals,

  • and she says nice things about the recently deceased,

  • and gets paid for it.

  • Pretty cool.

  • I know as a founder,

  • it takes a lot of time and months and months

  • to figure out product-market fit.

  • It took us about 18 months for Ziggeo, my company.

  • And I could see how having UBI in the background,

  • knowing you can eat and have a place to live

  • while you're figuring it all out

  • could be the difference between persevering and failing.

  • All of this talk about UBI made me think about my own life.

  • See, I wasn't always a tech entrepreneur.

  • In fact, I originally studied art history, focusing on the Renaissance -

  • you know, Michelangelo and Leonardo Da Vinci.

  • They painted the Sistine Chapel and The Last Supper.

  • And they were able to do it because they had patrons,

  • like Pope Julius the Second and the Medicis.

  • I, unfortunately, was not as lucky.

  • I did not have a patron.

  • And I didn't have any particular talents,

  • well, except maybe ping pong,

  • but I didn't think that was going to pay the bills.

  • So I had to figure out a way to make a living.

  • I decided to go to law school and become a lawyer.

  • The problem is, I was never particularly interested in the law.

  • And once I became a lawyer,

  • I spent years and years

  • toiling in a profession that I wasn't particularly interested in.

  • I wondered if I had gotten UBI, that $1,000 a month,

  • growing up or as a young adult,

  • whether I would've started businesses sooner.

  • Probably.

  • And would I have gone to law school?

  • I doubt it.

  • I wondered if my friends were in the same boat as I was,

  • so I decided to launch a survey that a number of you took.

  • And I asked,

  • if you knew as a teenager

  • that you would be given $1,000 a month, guaranteed for life,

  • would you have made different choices?

  • And I got 576 responses in just a few days. Thank you.

  • And the results were fascinating.

  • What I found was that I wasn't alone,

  • that there were so many people who would've taken risks

  • and would've followed their passions had they had that money.

  • There was a woman who said

  • that the money would've given her the confidence to be bold.

  • Another who said that she couldn't afford to take risks

  • because failure would've meant no food on the table.

  • I had hundreds of people

  • respond that they would've traveled more

  • or lived independently,

  • people who said

  • that they wouldn't have moved in with their boyfriends

  • or gotten married so young.

  • There were people who said

  • that they would've taken more maternity leave

  • or spent more time at home with their kids.

  • A guy who said

  • that he would've spent time with his sick mother;

  • and a woman who said

  • that she would've spent more time with her terminally ill husband.

  • But not everybody was so positive about that $1,000.

  • There was a guy who said

  • that he would have burned through it in college bars.

  • And another woman who said

  • that she would've pissed through it on material things.

  • And then there was one women who said that she was a teenage drug addict,

  • and that automatic income

  • would've probably been the worst thing for her.

  • I heard from musicians and artists and opera singers and theater directors,

  • all of whom had given up their passions

  • to become bankers and lawyers and engineers.

  • Now, there were certainly those who had passions for that,

  • and that was wonderful, and the UBI would've helped them as well.

  • But time and time again, I heard of people

  • who said that they lost three years of their life,

  • ten years of their life and more

  • working in crappy jobs or professions that they had absolutely no interest in.

  • And for me, that's the worst.

  • That time, that precious time -

  • actually, the most precious thing that we have - lost,

  • wasted years, not focusing on the things that they love.

  • I wonder whether if we had UBI,

  • whether we could focus on the passions.

  • Whether we could spend more time with the folks that we love.

  • Whether we might jump start

  • an entire renaissance of artists and painters and sculptors.

  • Whether in fact UBI could be our new patrons,

  • just as Michelangelo and Leonardo had Julius the Second and the Medicis.

  • So let's not get hung up

  • on whether we're going to have jobs in 20 years,

  • or how much UBI is going to cost.

  • Those are mere distractions.

  • Let's focus on the questions that really matter.

  • Questions like: Can we spend the time on things we're passionate about?

  • Do we have to take the job or go to law school to become a lawyer

  • just because we think

  • we have to pay the bills and find a way to make a living?

  • If we have an idea, can we find creative ways in which to fund it?

  • Can things like Patreon and Kickstarter be our new personal basic income?

  • And as we raise our children

  • in a world that values money more than meaning,

  • how can we teach them

  • to follow their passions and hearts and focus on what interests them most?

  • These are the questions I'm curious about.

  • These are the questions that empower me every day.

  • I hope that these questions and the answers empower you as well.

  • And I hope together, we can build a world

  • in which we have the confidence,

  • and income,

  • to go where curiosity takes us.

  • Thank you very much.

  • (Applause)

Translator: Michele Gianella

字幕與單字

單字即點即查 點擊單字可以查詢單字解釋

A2 初級 美國腔

理解全民基本收入|蘇珊-丹齊格|TEDx羅切斯特大學。 (Understanding Universal Basic Income | Susan Danziger | TEDxUniversityofRochester)

  • 29 2
    王惟惟 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
影片單字