we are witnessing the end of an era of globalization.

我們正在見證全球化時代的終點

That may turn out to be true.

這很可能是對的

But it's probably not the end of globalization that we're seeing.

但我們目睹的可能不是全球化的終點

It's the advent of a new era of globalization in which data flows are the new shipping containers.

而是全新全球化時代的到來，在這個時代，數據流是新的運輸容器

Between 2008 and 2013, cross-border internet flows grew seven-fold.

2008 到 2013 年間，跨境網路流成長了 7 倍

And by 2025, they predict those cross-border flows

他們並預測跨境網路流將在 2025 年時

could be worth more than the current global trade in goods, or some 20 trillion dollars.

將會超越現今全球貨品約 20 兆美元的貿易額

Much of that is obvious; it has to do with new technologies like smartphones,

大部分的現象都是很明顯的，它與手機這種新科技相關

but our cars are data emitters, too.

不過我們的汽車也可以是數據發射源

Drive a new Audi or BMW, and you'll find it's sending data back to engineers in Germany.

開一台新的 Audi 或 BMW，你就會發現它正發送回數據給德國的工程師

We live in an age where the global trade and some spare parts

我們活在全球貿易和部分空閒的部門

just means sending an email file to a bank of 3D printers in a far off land.

只需透過電子郵件傳送檔案至遠端 3D 列印銀行的時代

Of course, that assumes that governments don't get in the way.

當然，這個假定是在政府沒有干預的前提下

But we're already seeing the advent of digital protectionism.

不過我們已經能看見數位保護主義的到來

China's "Great Firewall" is as much as about protecting global high-tech industries

中國的「防火長城」正是透過其審查保護境內全球化的高科技產業

and champions like Alibaba from international competition as it is about censorship.

以及像是阿里巴巴這樣的巨頭免於全球化的競爭

Across Asia, Europe, and the Middle East, governments are using privacy rules

橫跨整個亞洲、歐洲和中東，政府們利用隱私權政策

to restrain data flows and requiring companies to keep local servers.

來限制數據流，並要求公司設立在地伺服器

Research has shown digital protectionism can restrict a nation's GDP growth by up to 1.7 percentage points.

研究也指出數位保護主義可以抑制一國最多 1.7% 的 GDP 成長

So the next major trade battle could well be over data localization.

因此下一個主要的貿易戰正非常可能是數據的地方化

Call it globalization 3.0 if you want, but a new era is definitely taking hold.

如果你想要，你可以稱之為全球化 3.0，但無論如何，新時代勢必會到來的