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  • Here's what we're watching. We're trading under way in London.


  • In France, we are down to two candidates: Macron v.s. Le Pen.


  • And the market likes the sound of that second-round contest, looking for a Macron victory.


  • French banking stocks surging, and that's driving CAC 40 up 4% at the open.

    法國銀行股大漲,帶動法國 CAC 40 指數開盤漲 4%

  • Risk-on is not just confined to France, however.


  • Italian shares up more than 3% at the open, with even London's FTSE 100 up over 1.5%.

    義大利股市於開盤漲 3%,英國富時 100 指數漲幅超過 1.5%

  • Euro climbed above 1.09 in Asia against the dollar—a five-month peak.

    歐元在亞洲大漲,一度衝過 1.09 美元,達到近五個月來最高值

  • Single currency remains at 1%, around 1.083.

    歐元對美元匯率差維持在 1%,匯率大約為 1.083

  • Euro has also sharply rallied against the pound and rose briefly against yen 120

    歐元相對於英鎊亦大幅上漲,歐元/日圓一度漲至 120

  • its highest level since late March.


  • There's also a big reaction in bonds,


  • with the premium for French 10-year paper shrinking to less than 50 basis points over German bunds.

    法國與德國10年期公債殖利率的利差以縮小至 50 個基點以下

  • This spread was back near 80 basis points last week.

    前一週利差才一度達到近 80 基點

  • And the question is: how soon do we see this relationship revert to the 30 basis-point area that largely sufficed before November?

    我們現在好奇的是:此利差什麼時候能回縮到去年十一月以前的 30 基點左右?

  • A snap poll shows 62% support for Mr. Macron, and only 38% for Ms. Le Pen.

    針對第二輪投票所進行的民調顯示有 62% 民眾會投給馬克宏,38%支持勒朋

  • That's the kind of spread the market really likes to see.


Here's what we're watching. We're trading under way in London.



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歐元和法國股市大漲|Market Minute(市場一分鐘) (Euro and French equities jump | Market Minute)

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    missnerdypants 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日