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  • Rutger Bregman Basic Income for everyone

  • Ladies and Gentlemen,

  • today I'd like to share a big idea with you.

  • In fact, I believe it could be

  • one of the biggest ideas of the 21st century.

  • It's an idea that could unite politicians

  • from the left to the right

  • in fixing our broken social security system.

  • It's an idea that could give dignity to millions

  • and accomplish what we should have accomplished long ago

  • especially in our rich and wealthy countries:

  • eradicating poverty.

  • But first,

  • I have to be honest with you:

  • it's actually not my idea.

  • Now, in fact it's the idea of this man,

  • Thomas Payne,

  • who sadly wasn't able to make it today

  • (Laughter)

  • because -- well, he died 200 years ago.

  • But it was also the idea of these guys:

  • some of history's greatest thinkers.

  • Now I can hear you think:

  • What kind of idea could unite men so different

  • such as the civil rights campaigner,

  • Martin Luther King, on the one hand,

  • and the free market economist Milton Friedman,

  • on the other hand?

  • What idea could unite thinkers so different

  • such as Thomas Payne, who thought that the government

  • is the solution to most of our problems,

  • and on the other hand, Friedrik von Hayek,

  • the Austrian economist, who said that, well,

  • the Government is in fact the problem, most of the time.

  • What is this idea, that goes against the spirit of our time,

  • right through the old political divisions

  • between the left and the right?

  • What is this great idea, this Utopian idea

  • that so many of history's greatest thinkers

  • have been dreaming about for centuries,

  • yet which has failed to come true,

  • so far?

  • Well, some people call it the "citizen's dividend";

  • other people call it the "basic income."

  • Now, I like to call it

  • "free money for everyone."

  • Now, that sounds good, right?

  • I know, it also sounds

  • like a Utopian fantasy,

  • something that will never come true,

  • especially not in our lifetime.

  • But I want to remind you beforehand:

  • Utopias have a tendency of coming true.

  • Just think of how the end of slavery,

  • equal rights for men and women, and democracy,

  • they were all regarded as impossible ideals, once.

  • But in history, there is something called progress.

  • So let's start with this simple, basic question:

  • What is the basic income?

  • Well, it is a monthly grant,

  • enough to pay for your basic needs:

  • food, shelter, education.

  • That's it.

  • Now, some of you might ask:

  • Don't we have this already?

  • Isn't there something called social security,

  • don't we have the welfare state?

  • Well, yes, but the basic income is something entirely different.

  • In the first place, it's universal,

  • so everyone would get it.

  • Whether you're a billionaire or a beggar,

  • whether you're a man or a woman, employed or unemployed,

  • the basic income is a right,

  • a right as a citizen of your country.

  • Moreover, it's also unconditional,

  • so you get it no matter what.

  • No one's going to tell you what you have to do with it;

  • no one's going to tell you what you have to do for it.

  • The basic income is not a favor,

  • but it's a right, just like, for example,

  • the freedom of speech is a right as well.

  • But most importantly,

  • in the past few decades, in the past 30 or 40 years,

  • it has become more than just an idea.

  • "Free money for everyone"

  • is more than just an idea nowadays,

  • it has become a proven idea.

  • As you can see on this map,

  • there have been experiments

  • -- this map is from 2012, by the way --

  • there have been experiments all over the world

  • and especially in the South,

  • from Mexico to Brazil, from South Africa to India,

  • researchers and governments have experimented

  • with giving people free money.

  • This map shows all the "cash transfer programs"

  • as they call them, that reach at least 5,000 individuals.

  • And there have also been very large-scale experiments

  • in the 70s and 80s in Canada and in the United States.

  • They're almost forgotten nowadays,

  • but they were a big success.

  • Now, what researchers have shown, time and time and again,

  • by comparing a test group of poor people who receive free money,

  • and a similar control group, so that they could see the effects --

  • time and time again, they have shown that free money results in --

  • well, lower inequality, lower poverty, obviously;

  • but it also results in less infant mortality,

  • lower health care costs, lower crime rates,

  • better school completion records,

  • less truancy, higher economic growth,

  • better emancipation rates,

  • and all kinds of other positive social outcomes.

  • Time and time again, researchers have shown

  • that free money may be the most efficient,

  • the cheapest, and the most civilized way

  • to combat poverty.

  • Now, I'm not going to be able to summarize

  • all the experiments that happened on it,

  • so I want to tell you about just one experiment

  • that was done a few years ago in the City of London.

  • Now, this was an experiment with some homeless men.

  • To be exact, 13 homeless men

  • that lived on the streets of London.

  • They were "street veterans":

  • Some of them had been living on the cold tiles of "square mile",

  • which is the financial district of London,

  • for more than 40 years.

  • And I have to mention,

  • their presence was far from cheap --

  • think of health care costs,

  • legal cost, policing costs --

  • they were costing the British taxpayers

  • hundreds of thousands of pounds every year.

  • So, everything had been tried at that point

  • and it was time for something new.

  • In the spring of 2009, a local charity decided:

  • Well, why not try free money instead?

  • So, each of the homeless men received £3,000.

  • Cash.

  • No strings attached.

  • They were completely free to decide

  • whatever they wanted to do with the money.

  • The only question they had to answer for themselves was:

  • What do you think is good for you?

  • Counseling services were completely optional.

  • Now, of course, most of the aid workers,

  • they didn't have high expectations:

  • they thought that, well,

  • the men are probably going to spend the money

  • on alcohol or drugs or gambling or something like that.

  • But then, something amazing happened.

  • What happened in the first place was

  • that the men turned out to be extremely frugal

  • with the money they received.

  • At the end of the first year

  • only £800 had been spent on average.

  • And what did they spend it on?

  • A phone or a passport or a dictionary,

  • each had his own idea

  • of what would be best for him.

  • Moreover, a year later the impossible had happened;

  • 7 out of 13 of the men had a roof above their head.

  • Two more had applied for housing.

  • Some of the men took gardening classes;

  • another learned how to cook, for example.

  • They visited their children, again.

  • And all of the men made plans for the future.

  • It sort of seemed as if the cash had empowered them.

  • Now, I don't know if there's a politician in the room,

  • but a politician would probably ask at this point:

  • Well, this is a very interesting story,

  • but what did it cost?

  • What did the experiment cost?

  • Well, the answer is £50,000,

  • including the wages of the aid workers.

  • So, in addition to giving at least seven individuals

  • another shot at life, the project had saved money

  • by a factor of at least seven.

  • And this is a very conservative estimate.

  • Even the liberal, free market magazine,

  • The Economist, concluded at that point:

  • The most effeicient way to spend money on the homeless

  • might be just to give it to them.

  • (Laughter)

  • Experiments such as these, and they've been done all around the world,

  • show us that we need to rethink what poverty actually is.

  • Poverty is not a lack of character;

  • poverty is a lack of money!

  • Nothing more, nothing less.

  • So, it turns out that it's a great idea

  • just to give money to the poor if you want to resolve that problem.

  • Ladies and gentlemen,

  • we are living through a time and age

  • in which our societies and economies are changing faster than ever.

  • It's an age of automation;

  • the robots are coming for our jobs.

  • Now, this will bring, obviously, great prosperity,

  • but it also means that we will have to adjust.

  • If we do not adjust,

  • if we keep applying the solutions of the 20th century

  • to the challenges of the 21st century,

  • then the middle class will crumble, and inequality will soar.

  • And truly this is a dystopian future.

  • Nowadays, governments are obsessed

  • with pushing people into jobs,

  • even when there are no jobs.

  • It's like the great inventor Buckminster Fuller once said:

  • So we have inspectors of inspectors,

  • and people making instruments for inspectors to inspect inspectors.

  • The true business of people should be to go back to school

  • and think about whatever it was they were doing

  • before somebody told them

  • they had to earn a living.

  • I believe that the basic income is a better alternative

  • to our current welfare mess.

  • But I have to admit, throughout history,

  • there have always been three arguments against it,

  • three formidable objections.

  • The first goes something like this:

  • Oh, it's an interesting idea, but --

  • I've done some calculations and it's too expensive.

  • Sorry, can't pay for it. It's not going to work.

  • Now, this might have been true

  • in the times of Thomas Payne, 200 years ago,

  • when almost everyone, almost everywhere,

  • was sick, poor, hungry and ugly.

  • (Laughter)

  • But it's not true anymore.

  • As a society, we are richer than ever!

  • I'd like to see the basic income

  • as a dividend of progress.

  • Because our forefathers worked so hard

  • to achieve our current level of prosperity,

  • we can now afford to give everyone

  • a share of their accomplishments.

  • And remember,

  • eradicating poverty is actually an investment.

  • An economist calculated

  • that it would cost about $175b

  • to eradicate poverty in United States.

  • That's quite a lot of money, right?

  • $175b each year --

  • But it's only a quarter of the country's military budget.

  • So this is entirely possible, it's entirely doable.

  • And after ten, or maybe twenty years,

  • it wll turn out that the investment has paid for itself.

  • Because the government will save billions in lower health care costs,

  • there will be less crime,

  • and there will be lots more productive citizens

  • who will be able to fulfill their dreams.

  • So, let's move onto the second objection,

  • maybe that one's better.

  • The second objection is:

  • Ah, this is an interesting idea,

  • we might be able to pay for it,

  • but um --

  • when you give people free money,

  • they will stop working!

  • You know, it's human nature, people are lazy,

  • nothing can be done about that.

  • The interesting thing, here, is that

  • if I asked each one of you, in this room:

  • Would you stop working when I'll give you,

  • you know, about 1000 € each month?

  • About 99% of you would say:

  • Of course not. I've got dreams, I've got ambitions,

  • I'm not going to sit on the couch, no.

  • But if I asked each and everyone of you,

  • What would other people do,

  • when they receive 1000 € each month?

  • I think about 99% of you would say:

  • Yeah, other people,

  • they'll probably stop working!

  • (Laughter)

  • You know, it's human nature, they're lazy --

  • If that's what you're thinking, I've got some news for you.

  • The experiments that were conducted all over the world,

  • and also common sense, actually tell us

  • that most people want to contribute to society.

  • Most people want to make something of their lives!

  • In fact some of the experiments have shown

  • that poor people, especially poor people,

  • actually work more, when you give them a free grant.

  • Because it gives them the opportunity

  • to invest in their lives, or in their business, for example.

  • The third objection, ladies and gentlemen,

  • might be the most difficult to overcome.

  • I hear people sometimes say:

  • "Well, this is a great idea.

  • We might be able to pay for it and I won't stop working,

  • and maybe they won't too --

  • -- but er -- this is too big!

  • You know, politicians nowadays they're too busy with themselves.

  • And it's never going to happen, they're always shortsighted,

  • and this is just too big an idea.

  • I don't think it's going to happen."

  • Well, if that's what you're thinking, I want to introduce you to this man.

  • You know him, right?

  • This is Richard Nixon.

  • The conservative president,

  • the corrupt president, from the Watergate scandal?

  • Yes! It was this man who almost implemented

  • a modest basic income at the beginning of the 70s

  • in the United States.

  • It almost happened!

  • His proposal got through the House of Representatives

  • and it hit the Senate floor where doubts returned

  • because some more progressive senators said:

  • Oh, this is a great idea, but we want a larger basic income,

  • so we're going to reject this proposal, and --

  • well, we never heard of it again.

  • It's an almost forgotten episode in the history of United States.

  • But it shows us that of course it's possible.

  • Remember, once again:

  • Utopias have a tendency of coming true.

  • The end of slavery,

  • equal rights for men and women, democracy,

  • they were all regarded as impossible Utopian ideals once.

  • But in history, there is something called progress,

  • however slow and erratic it might be.

  • All we need is a little more patience, sometimes.

  • All we need is a lot more collective ambition.

  • Now, I understand that a short TED talk is probably not enough to convince you

  • that free money for everyone is going to be

  • the biggest idea of the 21st century.

  • So, I encourage you to read more about it,

  • to look at the evidence for yourself,

  • and think: Isn't it time to update my worldview?

  • As I said, our ideas often lag behind the speed

  • at which our societies and economies are changing.

  • The basic income may not be implemented in the next 3 or 4 years,

  • but it may be implemented in the next 30 or 40 years.

  • Ideas can and do change the world.

  • In fact, history is ruled by little else.

  • It's like the famous Irish poet, Oscar Wilde, once said:

  • "Stronger than a thousand armies is an idea whose time has come."

  • And I believe that in this century the time has come

  • for free money for everyone.

  • Thank you very much.

  • (Applause)

Rutger Bregman Basic Income for everyone

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