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  • Before we move on to current events, it’s vital that we know how we got here.

  • I will now present an extremely shortened version of recent US monetary history.

  • The purpose of this section is to show you that the US government has radically shifted the rules

  • during times of emergency and that our monetary system is really a lot younger than you might think.

  • After the panic of 1907, when private banker J.P. Morgan intervened as the lender

  • of last resort, banks began agitating for a government solution.

  • What was finally decided upon in 1913 was a federally-sponsored cartel, called the Federal Reserve,

  • which sounded governmental but really was not.

  • The stock of the Federal Reserve was to be held by its member banks, not the US government nor the public,

  • which remains the case today. So what we call the Federal Reserve actually is a

  • federally-sponsored banking cartel, licensed to lend money into existence.

  • By the 1930’s, a Federal-Reserve-fueled speculative bubble had burst,

  • resulting in numerous bank failures,

  • which shrank the money supply by nearly a third in three years.

  • Despite being chartered as a lender of last resort,

  • the Federal Reserve failed to halt a catastrophic banking collapse.

  • In 1933, newly-elected President Franklin D. Roosevelt decided to

  • counter the falling money supply in a most drastic manner.

  • To accomplish this he confiscated all privately-held gold and immediately devalued the US dollar.

  • Prior to the seizure it took approximately $21 to buy an ounce of gold and afterwards it took $35.

  • Soon after, contractual obligations of the US government, such as bonds payable in gold, were nullified,

  • with the approval of the Supreme Court. This goes to show how governments,

  • in a period of emergency, can change rules and break their own laws.

  • All of this seized gold either ended up in the vaults of the Federal Reserve,

  • at the International Monetary Fund, oron the booksof the Federal Reserve.

  • A grand total of $11 billion was exchanged for all 261 million ounces of the nation’s gold.

  • In other words, complete control of the gold supply of the most powerful and prosperous nation

  • on earth was exchanged for eleven billion dollars, printed out of thin air,

  • creating some very serious storage hardships for the Federal Reserve.

  • I mean, have you ever tried lifting 70 pound gold bricks over your head?

  • In any event, to end the turmoil of depression and war,

  • and to provide a foundation for global recovery, a conference was held at Bretton Woods, N.H.

  • in 1944, with all the major allied powers attending.

  • Recognizing that the US then represented nearly half of the global economy,

  • the US dollar was made the global reserve currency.

  • All other currencies had fixed rates of exchange to the dollar,

  • which in turn was redeemable for gold at $35 per ounce.

  • The Bretton Woods II system ushered in a period of prosperity and rapid economic recovery.

  • But there was a flaw in the system.

  • Nothing in the Bretton Woods agreement prevented the US Federal Reserve from expanding

  • the supply of Federal Reserve notes.

  • As this happened, the gold backing behind each dollar steadily declined,

  • such that there was not enough gold to back all of the dollars.

  • Meanwhile, as the Vietnam War intensified, the US was running budget deficits and

  • flooding the world with paper dollars.

  • The French, under President Charles DeGaulle, became suspicious that the US

  • would be unable to honor its Bretton Woods obligations to redeem

  • their excess dollars into gold.

  • As the French exchanged their surplus dollar for gold,

  • the US Treasury's gold stocks declined alarmingly.

  • Finally, President Nixon declared force majeure on August 15th, 1971,

  • andslammed the gold window,” ending its dollar convertibility.

  • That's what governments do during wartime, and the US followed the pattern.

  • But this time, it affected the whole world, because the removal of gold convertibility

  • of the dollar destroyed the foundation of the Bretton Woods system.

  • Without a gold backing, there was no hard, physical limit

  • to how many paper dollars could be issued.

  • Since we now know that all dollars are backed by debt,

  • what do you suppose happened to US debt levels

  • once the externally applied rigor of gold was removed? Let’s find out.

  • This is a chart of US federal debt from the period of 1949 to 2004.

  • Note that it looks like any other exponential chart weve already reviewed.

  • But especially note that the graphturns the cornershortly after Nixon

  • slammed the gold windowthat is, when Nixon removed the last vestige of

  • external physical restraint from the system. And also note how rapidly

  • the debt levels have climbed recently. These past few years have seen the highest

  • and most rapid accumulation of federal debt in our entire history, thanks in large measure

  • to an experiment never before attempted in our country’s history

  • the conduct of two foreign wars AND a tax cut at the same time.

  • This rapid accumulation of debt is not a mysterious process at all;

  • rather it is an entirely predictable consequence of the slamming of the gold window.

  • How much longer can this continue? Unfortunately

  • there’s no good answer to this, besidesas long as foreigners let us.”

  • A second predictable, and related, consequence concerns the total amount of money in circulation.

  • Remember, all money is loaned into existence, so the shape of

  • the federal debt chart should tip you off to the shape of this next chart of US money

  • from the years 1959 to 2007.

  • The first thing we can note here is that it took our country over three hundred years,

  • from the very first pilgrim until 1973, to generate

  • our first trillion dollars of money stock.

  • Every road, every bridge, and every marketplace on every corner

  • of every town; every boat and every building, from the first colony

  • until 1973, required a trillion dollars of money stock.

  • Our most recent trillion dollars?

  • That was created in the last four-and-a-half-months. My questions to you are,

  • What will it be like to live here when our nation is creating a trillion dollars every four weeks?

  • How about every four days? Every four hours? Four minutes?

  • Where does it stop, if not in hyperinflation

  • and the destruction of the dollar, and, by extension, our nation?”

  • If we view these events on a timeline, we can see

  • that the Federal Reserve was formed in 1913. And only twenty years later,

  • in 1933, our country had entered a form of bankruptcy and had turned over its collective gold supply,

  • under force of law, to the Federal Reserve.

  • Eleven years after that, the US dollar was enshrined as the world’s reserve currency,

  • with an explicit backing by gold that was unilaterally removed by Nixon 27 years later.

  • In effect, the current global monetary system of unbacked currencies is now only 37 years old.

  • It was not planned, but simply emerged out of a crisis.

  • The unredeemable US dollar remains a popular reserve currency as a matter of convenience,

  • but nothing requires or guarantees that it will retain this role.

  • Only the US is able to use its eroding reserve currency status to borrow and print dollars

  • to pay for its trade deficits.

  • However, as the dollar loses its reserve currency status from this abuse, the US will be forced

  • to either export more to pay for imports,

  • or take on ever-heavier levels of debt.

  • If these actions cause the dollar to keep falling, other countries will be tempted

  • to devalue their currencies to keep pace and remain competitive.

  • The potential for an inflationary period is evident,

  • which brings us to the next section on inflation.

Before we move on to current events, it’s vital that we know how we got here.

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B1 中級

速成班第九章 美國貨幣簡史 克里斯-馬丁森著 (Crash Course: Chapter 9 - A Brief History of U.S. Money by Chris Martenson)

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    Why Why 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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