Donald Trump blames China.

唐納·川普再次

Again.

怪罪中國

Hi, welcome to China Uncensored.

歡迎收看中國解密

I'm your host Chris Chappell.

我是主持人 Chris Chappell

Presidential candidate Donald Trump is no stranger to controversy,

總統候選人唐納·川普向來飽受爭議

whether it's making sexual innuendos about other politicians…

不論是他影射其他政治人物的性事

or saying China is raping the United States.

或是聲稱中國正在強暴美國

"We can't continue to allow China to rape our country,

「我們不能再讓中國「強暴」我們的國家了

and that's what they're doing."

他們就是在做這樣的事情」

And who's to blame?

那這要怪誰呢？

The victim of course!

當然是受害者啊！

“China's great. No problem.

中國很強，這毫無疑義

I'm not angry with China… I'm angry at our leaders,

我氣的不是中國，我氣的是我們的領導人

because they are grossly incompetent

因為他們實在太平庸無能

and they shouldn't have ever been elected to do this job.”

而且他們不該獲選來做這些職位

Now if you're like me,

如果你跟我一樣

your reaction to this was probably the same as your reaction to,

你對這席話的反應

really, this entire election cycle…

也許就跟你對這次總統大選一樣

“Jane, stop this crazy thing! Jane!”

「珍，快停掉這瘋狂的機器！珍！」

Sorry George,

喬治，抱歉啦！

there's no stopping this crazy, out-of-control ride.

我也無法阻止這又瘋狂又失控的機器

So is Trump correct that China is "raping" the United States?

那川普說中國正在「強暴」美國到底對不對呢？

Well, some are pointing out that perhaps Trump is being

有些人指出，也許川普的用字遣詞

a tad insensitive in his use of descriptors.

是有點粗魯

But the United States does have a huge trade deficit with China.

但美國對中國的確有巨額的貿易赤字

In 2015, the US bought $480 billion worth of Chinese goods.

2015 年，美國向中國買進了 價值四千八百億美元的財貨

That's about one-fifth of all US imports.

相當於全美五分之一的進口量

But the US only sold about $115 billion of goods to China last year.

但去年美國只有賣給中國 大約一千一百五十億美元的財貨

And that marked the biggest annual trade deficit with China ever.

這是有史以來與中國最大的貿易赤字

According to a 2013 report by the American Economic Review,

根據 2013 年《美國經濟評論 》的報告

one million American factory jobs have been lost to China.

有一百萬份美國製造業職缺已移轉至中國

So what could Donald Trump actually do about this if elected?

那川普就算選上了又如何解決這樣的問題呢？

We'll, he's suggested this:

他建議這樣做：

a 45% tariff on Chinese goods.

針對中國貨品課徵 45% 的關稅

Which he cannot do.

但他無法這麼做

You can't impose tariffs on entire countries.

你不能對整個國家加重關稅

What you can do under existing laws

在現行法規下你所能做的是

is to set out specific categories of imports

對特定的進口貨品分門別類

you want to put a tariff on,

然後對其加重關稅

like the US did to Chinese tires in 2009.

就像美國 2009 年時對付中國輪胎那樣

The result?

結果呢？

Tires just got imported from Indonesia, Mexico, and Thailand.

輪胎換改從印尼、墨西哥還有泰國進來

And no, there were not suddenly more US jobs manufacturing tires.

結果美國還是沒有增加輪胎製造業的工作職缺

But it's not easy to place these tariffs

此外，要加徵這些關稅並不容易

because you'd have to prove specific violations of trade rules

因為你必須要向世界貿易組織 (WTO)

to the World Trade Organization.

證明他方有明確違背貿易協定，才可執行

They're the ones that regulate global commerce.

WTO 就是管制全球商業活動的組織

You see, when the WTO was set up in 1995,

要知道，當 WTO 在 1995 年創立之初

the rules laid out didn't really take into consideration

其規定並未考量到

dealing with China—

該如何規範

a country where the Communist Party

像中國這樣的共產國家

has pretty murky ties to just about everything,

特別是共產黨觸角深入中國所有大小事

including the handling of the economy.

包含對經濟的操控等

It's not really communism,

並不是完全的共產主義

but the government is way more involved than in most countries.

但是中共政府卻比其他國家政府 都還要更加介入人民生活

If a president Trump decide to say "screw it"

如果川普總統最後決定說「管他的」

and did impose a broad China tariff, well,

然後真的對中國廣泛課徵關稅，那…

that would kind of mean global trade laws no longer matter.

就有點意味著全球貿易法規都不再重要了

And that goes against US policy

而這有違自二次世界大戰以來

going as far back as the end of World War II.

的美國國家政策

It was thought that increasing international trade

普遍認為全球貿易的增長

would prevent international conflict.

有助於避免全球衝突

And so the US has been lowering tariffs.

也因此美國長期降低關稅

According to the World Bank,

世界銀行也指出

the US imposes some of the lowest tariff rates in the world.

美國的關稅是世界最低的其中幾個

And US manufacturing output right now is at an all-time high.

而美國製造業的產出率也是歷史新高

So it's not that China is stealing US manufacturing jobs,

所以偷走美國製造業職缺的不是中國

it's that technology is stealing US jobs.

反而是科技的進步偷走了美國的工作

Because a lot of the jobs that used to be done by humans

因為以前人力能完成的許多工作

have become automated.

現在都被機器設備給取代了

Like bowling alley pinsetters.

像是以前的保齡球置瓶員

Or switchboard operators.

或是總機人員

Or checkout clerks.

或是櫃台人員

And having a trade deficit is not in of itself a bad thing.

而貿易赤字本身並不全然是一件壞事

The US economy runs on consumption,

畢竟美國的經濟依賴消費而生

and boy are we good at it!

而我們也相當的擅長消費！

"Can he break his own record of 68 hot dogs in 10 minutes?

「他能打破他自己 10 分鐘吃下 68 根熱狗的紀錄嗎？

With seconds on the clock,

時間只剩幾秒鐘

[Joey] Chestnut manages to do the impossible."

栗子男再度完成不可能的任務」

That also means China has a lot of US dollars floating around.

這也代表有許多美元熱錢正在中國移動

And though that's not going into buying US goods,

儘管這些熱錢不是用來買美國貨

it is being used to buy US services.

它買的卻是美國的服務

According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis,

根據美國商業部經濟分析局指出

the US has a service surplus with China.

在服務業方面，美國對中國有貿易順差

Though in 2014, it was only $28 billion,

儘管 2014 時，順差僅有二百八十億美元

so not nearly as much as the trade deficit.

比起貿易赤字仍天差地遠

But here's the thing: Trump has a point.

但川普仍說對了一件事

No, not that China is stealing our jobs directly.

不，不是關於中國直接 偷走了我們的工作

But according to one expert I interviewed,

根據一位我訪談過的專家所示

the US loses an estimated $5 trillion a year to China

由於中國軍方主導作案

—yes, trillion—

美國每年估計有近五兆美元 沒錯，五兆美元

due to intellectual property theft

的智慧財產權

spearheaded by the Chinese military.

遭中國竊取

Not to mention all this trade and theft

更甭提這些貿易與剽竊

are basically what prop up a cruel, tyrannical regime.

就是建立這個殘忍而獨裁的政權的基礎

It's just that, when you put things like this…

只是當你把這些事情用這種方式表達

"We can't continue to allow China to rape our country…"

「我們不能再容忍中國強暴我們的國家了…」

though people will listen, they might not take it seriously.

儘管人們在聽，但他們不會認真看待這件事

What do you think?

你認為呢？

Leave your comments below.

將你的意見留在下面

Once again I'm Chris Chappell, and I'm voting for…

我是主持人 Chris Chappell 這次選舉我將投給…

cthulhu!

克蘇魯！