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  • One of the economic and cultural changes that weve seen pretty dramatically in the last

  • few decades is the share of young adults who never leave home even after they go through

  • their schooling or at some point in their young lives boomerang back home. And we estimate

  • than more than 40 percent, nearly half of all millennials have either never left, never

  • launched if you will or at some point have boomeranged back home. Now if you can’t

  • find a job, if youre underemployed, if youre in a non-paying internship, all those

  • sorts of journeysmom and dad’s home ain’t a bad place to hang out, you know.

  • The refrigerator is usually stocked and you don’t have to put coins in the laundry.

  • And interestingly I think there was, in my generation there was some stigma attached

  • to that, you know. Get on with your life already for goodness sake. You know, weve done

  • some surveying of both the parents of such young adults and young adults themselves looking

  • for tension within those homes, looking for conflict, looking for stigma.

  • And frankly we don’t find that much. In part because it has become more commonplace

  • and people sort of understand, yeah, that’s the nature of the slow passage into adulthood.

  • You know, there are societies in the world and southern Europe, particularly Italy comes

  • to mind where culturally young men have been living with their mothers, you know, into

  • their thirties and fortiesbamboccioni is big baby and mammismo is mama’s boy.

  • And some of this is cultural. Some of this is clearly economic and Europe frankly has

  • the same challenges with not enough jobs for young adults that we have. So a lot of the

  • world is going through this. I think the silver lining is that there don’t seem to be a

  • lot of stresses. Again, I speak as a baby boomer who came of age in the sixties and

  • there was a whiff of generation war in the air. It was a time when there was, you know,

  • women’s rights movement, civil rights movement, anti-war protests. There was a feeling that

  • the older generation had screwed everything up and thank God here we were to make everything

  • right. There was almost a sort of a finger of accusation pointed at the older generation.

  • You see virtually none of that within the younger generation.

  • In some ways I have a sense from our surveys that young adults have sort of seamlessly

  • migrated from being the children of their parents in many cases to being the roommates

  • of their parents. And they have similar interests and they text each other and they get on with

  • their lives and there’s a certain sort of resilience there. That’s a snapshot of a

  • moment, you know, in this slower passage to adulthood. Again, I don’t think we yet know

  • fast forwarding a decade or two down the road what that will mean, what that will mean for

  • the family formations of these young adults. I suspect what it does mean is that the intergenerational

  • interdependence that we see in these families is likely to last. There’s no question that

  • families stay closer to each other further into the life-cycle than they have indicated

  • in the past.

  • And when we talk about generational personalities let’s acknowledge up front we are deep into

  • the realm of generalization and stereotype. And theyrewithin any generation there

  • is many differences between individuals as there are across generations. And the idea

  • that if youre born in one year youre a member of one generation and therefore have

  • one personality. If you were born a year later youre another generation. That flies in

  • the face of commons sense obviously. Having said that you can look at broad patterns and

  • we can see this with our attitudinal data, our voting behavior, our economic circumstances

  • and again accepting the caveat that these are big generalizations. There are a number

  • of things that do stand out in terms of the persona of this generation. One of them is

  • a wariness. There is a classic question in social science about what we call social trust

  • and the question goes very simply. Generally speaking would you say most people can be

  • trusted or you can’t be too careful when youre dealing with other people.

  • We, the Pew Research Center and other research organizations have been asking this question

  • for 40 years and weve never seen a generation that is as low on social trust as millennials

  • are. So only about 19 percent of millennials the last time we asked this question say yeah,

  • most people can be trusted. It’s a very interesting finding because millennials are

  • also a play nicely with others generation. You know, we all got that report card in kindergarten,

  • plays nicely with others. I think millennials must have all done very well on that. How

  • do you square these two seemingly opposite characteristics? Frankly I’m not sure I

  • can but let me put forward a couple of interesting theories. To start with the social trust finding,

  • one of the things that sociologist know and psychologists have observed is that population,

  • groups within a population that feel vulnerable for whatever reason tend to be low on social

  • trust because theyre not well fortified to deal with the consequences of misplaced

  • trust.

  • So if you think about the millennial generation and you think about their demographic characteristics,

  • a large share are nonwhite and a large share are at the lower end of the socioeconomic

  • scale. In both cases, you know, that places them or may place them in an attitude of vulnerability.

  • And therefore you can’t be too careful. I think it’s possible that the fact that

  • they navigate, they do so much of their social interaction online, may lead to a wariness.

  • It’s one thing to have face to face friends and those sorts of relationships where you

  • canyou have a history with people. You can read body language. You can do all the

  • things that friends tend to do. When you have relationships that are entirely mediated through

  • an online setting it’s more complicated and I think people come around to the view

  • that not everybody’s exactly who they say they are online.

  • A final possibility is the way the very nurturing parenting norms that raised millennials. Millennials

  • came of age in the nineties and oughts, an era of global terrorism, of domestic school

  • shootings, Columbine, 9/11, a lot of pretty horrible things that are particularly disturbing

  • to parents. The worry about strangers online, online predators and all the rest. Social

  • psychologists would say that they have been raised in a very protective nurturing environment.

  • There is a kind of an everybody gets a trophy quality to the way millennials have been raised.

  • Youre precious. It’s a mean and difficult world. I need to protect you. Which may then

  • be picked up by the children raised this way as you better be careful, you better be wary.

  • Again I wouldn’t push this too far but one real world consequence that is already observable

  • among the millennials is in their economic behaviors. They appear to be a risk averse

  • generation.

  • Now maybe that’s because they don’t have money, they don’t have the economic security

  • that leads to a freedom to take risks. Or maybe it’s the way theyve been raised.

  • One of the data points is, you know, Fidelity and other companies that manage 401Ks and

  • kind of have a sense of the investment habits and patterns of millions and millions of people

  • who work have noticed in the last five or six years that the young adults in these 401K

  • programs when they look at their investment choices and, you know, the advice to the young

  • adults is, you know, youre young, you have time, be aggressive, you know. A stock portfolio

  • over the long haul is supposed to do better, et cetera, et cetera. Many young adults are

  • not taking that advice and I think you can see that in their consumption habits as well

  • again, either because they don’t have the money or they don’t want to take on the

  • debt. Theyre not buying cars, theyre not buying houses and I think there is a kind

  • of wariness that cuts across a lot of the dimensions of their lives.

One of the economic and cultural changes that weve seen pretty dramatically in the last

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千禧一代201:潮人,與保羅-泰勒合作。 (Millennials 201: The Boomerangers, with Paul Taylor)

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