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  • Those of us who are passionate about exploring outer space

  • tend to spend a lot of our time focused on the future.

  • But just like people in every other profession with every other passion,

  • we're well served by remembering the lessons of history.

  • And lately, there's been one moment in history

  • that's really been bouncing around my brain quite a bit,

  • and I'm not referring to that one from a long time ago in a galaxy far far away.

  • I'm referring to something a little bit closer to home.

  • It is September, 1962.

  • President John F. Kennedy is addressing America

  • to tell them what he'd already told Congress a few months earlier,

  • which is that he believed

  • we should dedicate ourselves as a nation to the goal

  • of sending human beings to the moon and bringing them back safely

  • before the decade of the 1960's had ended.

  • Now if you remember a line from this speech,

  • it almost certainly goes like this, and I'm not going to do the accent

  • because my JFK really sounds more like Mayor Qiumby,

  • but you have to imagine. He says,

  • "We choose to go to the moon and do these other things in this decade

  • not because they are easy but because they are hard."

  • Now I wasn't in the audience that day, I wasn't alive on that day.

  • I like to think if I had been there and he'd said,

  • "We go to the moon not because it was easy but because it was hard,"

  • I would have said, "Really,

  • you want us to spend a decade and a hundred billion dollars

  • doing something just because it's hard?

  • That's the best explanation you can give?"

  • Our most charismatic and eloquent president,

  • that's the explanation he came up with?

  • But who am I to complain

  • because 2500 days later a half a billion of us

  • were watching live as Neil and Buzz

  • took those famous small steps and that giant leap.

  • It actually worked.

  • A president had told us to go somewhere by a certain deadline,

  • and we believed him and because we believed him,

  • we did it.

  • But I'll mention also, you know, along the way,

  • we showed the real reason why President Kennedy

  • and why congress wanted us to go.

  • It was not because it was hard

  • it was because by leaving boot prints and flags,

  • we could show the bad guys that our rockets were bigger than theirs.

  • But by the time the final Apollo crew

  • left the service of the moon in December 1972,

  • a decade after JFK gave that famous speech --

  • I'll note, by the way, only on the final mission did we actually take a scientist

  • -- by the time we left, we had spent the equivalent

  • of a 135 billion with a B, billion dollars in today's money

  • on these missions.

  • 135 billion, to me that number is overwhelmingly large.

  • In fact, I'm so overwhelmed that I cannot put that number into context.

  • I don't exactly walk around with 135 billion dollars in my wallet.

  • I don't know what else you could do with that money.

  • I don't know. It's hard for me to say,

  • was it worth it unless you can compare it to something else.

  • So doing my homework in finding some other things

  • that we were spending money on at the same time,

  • or that we spend money on now,

  • when I can make that comparison,

  • that 135 billion dollar starts to look quite different.

  • If you ask me which was more valuable to the nation and to our species,

  • going to the moon or a year in Vietnam?

  • The answer to me is fairly clear.

  • I'm among the camp that thinks the Apollo program

  • is the greatest thing we, as a species, have ever done.

  • So, it's pretty easy; but nevertheless, it's important to ask this question,

  • "Was it worth it?"

  • You know, from Yuri Gagarin in April 1961 until today,

  • 542 human beings have been in outer space.

  • And I can guarantee you that everyone of those 542,

  • plus all of the hard working men and women who have helped put them up there,

  • all the people who work on the great robots like Mars Curiosity,

  • like the hubble space telescope,

  • every single one of us has been asked at some point by a friend,

  • or by a loved one why,

  • why is it worth it? Why do we go to outer space?

  • Why is it worth spending even one dollar?

  • We live in a world so full of social injustice,

  • of problems, of poverty, and disease.

  • Why is it worth spending even one dollar up there,

  • when there are still so many problems down here?

  • People ask me that question all the time,

  • and I find something a little weird about it.

  • It's not weird that they asked me the question,

  • it's a really good question.

  • We need to ask that question we need to have a good answer to that question.

  • The weird thing to me is that when people ask me that question,

  • maybe it's because of the cultural memories of JFK in that famous speech,

  • they expect me to be able to answer that question in a sound bite,

  • or actually now in a tweet.

  • And they expect if they ask any person working in the space industry

  • that we will all give the same answer.

  • And if we can't express that answer in an elevator speech,

  • it means we lack conviction in our beliefs.

  • Now I'd like you to participate in a thought experiment with me.

  • Imagine right after you watch this talk,

  • you leave here and you go to the closest airport

  • and you park yourself at LAX for an hour,

  • and you ask everyone getting off a plane,

  • "Why did you choose to spend your money to come to Los Angeles?"

  • Would you ever expect them to all give the same answer?

  • Would you ever expect any of them to be able to sum up that answer

  • in a tweet or a sentence?

  • Would you expect if they came back again next month

  • that they would give the same answer?

  • Would you expect that even one of them would say, "I came here

  • because President Obama said I should be here by the end of the year?"

  • (Laughter)

  • Right, it's ridiculous for us to think that

  • because Los Angeles is a big wonderful diverse city with so many things to do,

  • and everyone on that plane should have a different reason.

  • Well, if you think Los Angeles is big,

  • you do not know the definition of big.

  • Space is pretty big.

  • Space is the closest thing that we can conceive up to the infinite.

  • I love this picture from the Hubble,

  • because every little one of those specs of confetti

  • is not a city, or a nation, or a continent, it's not a planet or a star,

  • it is a galaxy or a cluster of galaxies.

  • Our universe is enormous, it is mind-bogglingly big and diverse.

  • Our reasons for going there are correspondingly large.

  • (Applause)

  • We've become, thanks to the internet, a culture of Buzzfeed listicles,

  • and a "Top 10 Reasons Why We Go To Space."

  • I don't think you can give the top 10 reasons why we go to space,

  • because after all there are seven billions of us

  • and God knows, how many planets and stars and reasons out there.

  • You just can't summarize it all.

  • I think the only question that makes sense is,

  • "What do you think it's worth it for you to spend your time and your money?

  • Whether you're a taxpayer, and if you're a US taxpayer,

  • you contribute about one dollar a week to the Nasa budget,

  • whether you are an innovator and entrepreneur in the space community,

  • whether you're an engineer who decided to take that job at Nasa

  • instead of going into the biomedical field,

  • or any of the number of other worthy fields?

  • Why did you choose to do that?"

  • Well, I have a lot of reasons, not just one, and I'm only one person.

  • My reasons to go to space don't start with Tang and Velcro.

  • (Laughter)

  • Nasa has a million wonderful spinoffs and there are things

  • that have been discovered in the pursuit of space exploration that made my life

  • and all your lives better every day, but of course you could say,

  • "Well, if we had spent 135 billion dollars on some other scientific project

  • we would have a lot of the same spinoffs as well."

  • So that's not my reason, even though that's important.

  • If I'm being really honest, the reason I fell in love with space as a kid

  • and I'm just as in love with it today is because going to space

  • really looks like fun. It looks like fun!

  • (Applause)

  • If you've ever had the chance to experience weightlessness,

  • you will want to do it more.

  • When Ed White, pictured here,

  • became the first American to walk in space,

  • he didn't want to go back into his capsule.

  • When mission control finally talked him back in, he said,

  • "This is the saddest moment of my life."

  • I can understand that. How couldn't it be?

  • How can you look at that picture or this picture?

  • Whether it's from the 60's, or from today,

  • how can you look at that picture of Tracy Caldwell Dyson

  • just chilling out on the International Space Station,

  • and think anything other than, "God, what I wouldn't give to be there?

  • To float around like that?

  • To see that view. That view. This kind of view."

  • The view that was brought back to us from the Apollo astronauts,

  • the views that we continue to see today.

  • I see this picture and to me it's beautiful,

  • but it's more than that, it's important.

  • Other have argued, and I believe that you can draw

  • a very straight line from this picture to a fundamental change

  • in the way that we, as humans, think about ourselves,

  • and our role in the universe. After all, how can you look at a picture like that?

  • How can you see that with your own eyes

  • and not realize we live on a small world?

  • That we need to be good stewards of our environment.

  • That we need to be good neighbors to the other seven billion people

  • trapped here on this pale blue dot.

  • We all know -- (Applause) -- at some intellectual level

  • that the borders we draw on maps are usually imaginary lines,

  • but seeing it with your own eyes means something very different.

  • And because of photographs like this, because we send astronauts,

  • and we send satellites and telescopes,

  • we now have multiple generations of children

  • who are weaned on images like this,

  • because now you can't turn on your smartphone or your laptop

  • without seeing a picture just like this one or like this one.

  • Because we have space, "the ultimate high ground,"

  • we are able not just to look outwards

  • but to look inwards back on our own planet

  • and to recognize threats as they're coming our way.

  • This is typhoon Haiyan just two weeks ago

  • bearing down on the Philippines. You want to ask me this question,

  • "Why is it worth spending even one dollar to explore space

  • when there's suffering and pain and loss here on earth?"

  • Look at the pictures from the Philippines.

  • Look at the photographs from superstorm Sandy,

  • or from Hurricane Katrina, or any of a number of other storms.

  • You will see suffering. You will see pain, loss, and devastation.

  • What you will not see is all the lives that were spared and the damage

  • that was averted, because we knew these things were coming.

  • Because our eyes in the sky, whether they're robotic or humans,

  • were telling us, "Hey everybody, look out, you need to do something about this."

  • And, of course, as we explore more, we have learned

  • that those threats don't just come from within, they can come from with-out.

  • You saw the Russian dash cam videos of the meteorites

  • coming down in February of this year.

  • An asteroid not much bigger than that could wipe out a city.

  • An asteroid the size of the one pictured here could wipe out a country,

  • not much bigger than that could wipe out civilization as we know it.

  • In the aerospace industry we have an old joke that says

  • that asteroids are just Mother Nature's Way of saying,

  • "So, how's that space program coming?'" (Laughter)

  • Because we dare to -- (Applause)

  • Because we and the generations just before us have dared to explore,

  • we had this unique opportunity throughout all of life as we know it

  • to maybe do something about that. To see our doom coming, to say,

  • "No, we can stop that."

  • But of the presumably infinite numbers of reasons to go to space,

  • personally I'm less motivated by the ones that are about fear,

  • and I'm much more excited about the ones that are about opportunity, about hope.

  • One of the things I love so much about space

  • is that same thing is contained in the same picture.

  • How cool is it that we are alive at a time when there's not one,

  • but multiple efforts to do things like mining asteroids?

  • We're living in a science fiction future. There are multiple efforts to put people

  • on the surface of other planets. There are multiple efforts to go out there

  • and do things that your grandparent's generation

  • would have thought were impossible. We are learning every day

  • that they are even more things that we can do.

  • Things like the Kepler space telescope are increasingly teaching us

  • that you literally cannot point your finger at any corner of the sky

  • without pointing at thousands, or millions, or billions of planets.

  • We didn't know that just a few years ago.

  • As we get smarter and we learn how to look in a better way,

  • we're learning a lot more of those planets look like ours.

  • They have the right distance from the Sun,

  • they have the right composition and mass.

  • Maybe they have the temperature range to support liquid water and perhaps life.

  • Now we're not gonna visit any of those planets in my lifetime.

  • Probably not in my children's lifetime, but some day we will.

  • It will be because we made those decisions to explore now.

  • Scientists have taught us, largely from data

  • they've gotten from space exploration, that we live in an expanding universe.

  • Our knowledge of our universe is expanding,

  • it seems at the very same rate.

  • We're becoming so much smarter today,

  • and as we do it, we're inspiring that next generation.

  • I don't mean Star Trek: The Next Generation. (Laughter)

  • We're inspiring that next generation of kids.

  • Because, you know, I travel a lot,

  • I get the opportunity to speak to people around the world.

  • And I can tell you children of every gender,

  • every age group, and every socioeconomic group,

  • they get excited about space. They still have a connection.

  • You can talk to a child and ask them:

  • What they wanna be when they grow up?

  • A lot of them will say actor or athlete,

  • but some of them will say astronaut.

  • If being an astronaut could be that gateway drug

  • that gets them to pay a little bit more attention in school,

  • to seek that extra tutoring, to spend another year in college.

  • And then they go on to become a geneticist,

  • or a computer scientist, or an app developer, or whatever it is,

  • I think that's still a wonderfully worthy goal, and I still think

  • it's something that's uniquely powerful about space,

  • because we have that human connection.

  • You still see people willing to wait outside in line for hours

  • to see the space shuttle drive down the street pulled by a truck.

  • People have an inherent love for space.

  • I don't know if it's written into our DNA or if it's cultural memory, or what,

  • but we still yearn to explore.

  • We yearn to meet those who are exploring and ask,

  • "How can I help you?"

  • But when this happened, when the space shuttles were retired,

  • when one came here to Los Angeles, we also learned

  • that people are horribly informed about what's happening in the space industry.

  • How many of you had someone say to you,

  • or maybe even said to yourself when the space shuttle was retiring,

  • "Well I guess that means Nasa's closing.

  • I guess that means that we, as humanity, are throwing in the towel

  • and we're never going to explore space ever again."

  • That was the prevailing story in the media.

  • That's what a lot of people thought, that's what a lot of people still think.

  • I've got really, really good news for you, if you're one of those people.

  • You're wrong. That's usually not good news,

  • this time it's good news. I say to you very honestly,

  • I think there has never been a more exciting day in the space industry

  • than today, because we are still exploring space.

  • We're just doing it in a different way.

  • We're no longer asking a president to give us a sound bite,

  • and doing that one thing for a decade.

  • We're no longer building one rocket to take people from one country

  • to one destination and that's it.

  • We now have a huge diversity of projects, a huge diversity of projects.

  • There are now so many, not just two,

  • there are so many countries, companies and Kickstarter campaigns,

  • that are exploring space,

  • and they're doing it at all different scales.

  • And when I say different scales, I mean that literally.

  • In this one picture,

  • you can see the solar panels of the International Space Station,

  • a multi-national, multi-billion-dollar project,

  • a national lab that is larger than a football field.

  • It's been continually occupied for more than a decade in space.

  • And in that same picture you see three CubeSats.

  • They're about the size of my two fists put together.

  • And they're both doing a type of space exploration.

  • This means that space exploration is no longer just the realm

  • of super computer technology,

  • it's now also the realm of smartphone technology.

  • And that's a fundamental change,

  • because when you can do space in the multibillion-dollar mega-laboratory,

  • and you can do it in the smartphone world,

  • when your price for failure is no longer a congressional investigation

  • and it's now an email to your Kickstarter backers that says,

  • "Look how cool it was we even tried."

  • That's a fundamental change in how you do this.

  • We're to the point already, not in the future,

  • we're are already to the point where you can know

  • that at the end of a really successful bake sale,

  • your high school student can send a payload into space.

  • That's a game-changer.

  • We're to the point that those of you who stood up earlier when you're asked,

  • "If you want to go to space?"

  • you can actually go.

  • 542 people have been to space, my company alone,

  • Virgin Galactic, a place I'm so proud and honored to work,

  • we have already sold tickets to space than more people

  • that have ever gone before.

  • We have 650 people who have paid up and waiting for their time

  • when they're going to step on that spaceship

  • and fulfill that childhood dream and go to space,

  • and it's going to start happening within the next year.

  • This stuff is really, really close on the horizon.

  • And because of these opportunities, because you can go,

  • or your teacher can go, or your loved one can go,

  • because your children can send their experiment,

  • because we can try all these new things,

  • we're going to learn so much more.

  • We're going to get to the point where the next time

  • one of you is asked, "Why do we go?

  • Why do we explore space? Why is it worth it?"

  • You can give what I think is absolutely the best answer.

  • You can tell them,

  • "Well, here's why I am going."

  • Thank you very much.

  • (Applause)

Those of us who are passionate about exploring outer space

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A2 初級

TEDx】我們為什麼要走--離開我們美麗的家園,探索外太空。Will Pomerantz在TEDxPCC上的演講 (【TEDx】Why We Go -- Leaving Our Beautiful Home and Exploring Outer Space: Will Pomerantz at TEDxPCC)

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    Max Lin 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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