Name: TED】我們如何在2030年讓世界變得更美好｜邁克爾-格林｜TED講座 (【TED】How We Can Make the World a Better Place by 2030 | Michael Green | TED Talks)
Uploaded: 2021-01-14T05:48:29.000Z
Duration: 14 min 40 s

未來簡單式

Do you think the world is going to be a better place next year?

各位你們認為明年 全世界會不會更好?

情態助動詞 A2

Well, according to the governments of the world, yes we can.

是的,根據各國政府的說法 我們可以做得到。

In the last few days, the leaders of the world,

for the development of the world to 2030.

these goals are the product of a massive consultation exercise.

這些目標就是大量 諮詢活動後產生的結果。

The Global Goals are who we, humanity, want to be.

這些全球目標就是 我們人類將來要達成的狀況。

Now that's the plan, but can we get there?

計劃雖然是這樣, 但我們做得到嗎?

Can this vision for a better world really be achieved?

這個美好的願景我們真的能達到嗎?

Well, I'm here today because we've run the numbers,

好的,我今天來到這裡 是因為我們已經跑完數據了。

Now, the idea that the world is going to get a better place

Watch the news every day and the world seems to be going backwards, not forwards.

從每天新聞看到全世界 似乎在退步而不是進步。

it's pretty easy to be skeptical about grand announcements

But please, I invite you to suspend your disbelief for just a moment.

但請別誤會,我請各位先暫緩一下你們的懷疑。

the UN agreed another set of goals, the Millennium Development Goals.

聯合國各國當時有協議出 一些千禧年的發展目標，

And the flagship target there was to halve the proportion of people

減少50%生活在貧困中的人口比例。

The target was to take from a baseline of 1990,

when 36 percent of the world's population lived in poverty,

當時有36％的世界人口生活在貧困之中，

This year, global poverty is going to fall to 12 percent.

今年全球貧困人口將會下降至12％

and the world does still have plenty of problems.

But the pessimists and doomsayers who say that the world can't get better

但那些說世界不會更好的 悲觀主義者和災難預言家，

那麼,我們是怎麼達成這些目標的呢?

Well, a lot of it was because of economic growth.

是的,有很多的原因是經濟成長。

Some of the biggest reductions in poverty were in countries such as China and India,

which have seen rapid economic growth in recent years.

例如近幾年經濟快速 增長的中國和印度

那麼,我們可以用相同的伎倆 而再次的達成嗎?

Can economic growth get us to the Global Goals?

經濟成長會讓我們 達成全球目標嗎?

we need to benchmark where the world is today against the Global Goals

我們需要標示出 當今全世界離目標有多遠

and figure out how far we have to travel.

並算出我們還要付出 多少努力才能達到目標。

because the Global Goals aren't just ambitious,

Over 17 goals, there are then 169 targets

Also, while some of the goals are pretty specific --

I'm going to use a tool called the Social Progress Index.

我將使用一個工具 稱之為社會進步指數。

What this does is measures all the stuff the Global Goals are trying to achieve,

這樣做是為了評量 全球目標到達的狀況

but sums it up into a single number that we can use as our benchmark

把它彙整成一個數字 使我們能夠用這個數字標準

The Social Progress Index basically asks three fundamental questions

First of all, does everyone have the basic needs of survival:

首先,每個人是否有基本的生存所需：

食物、水、遮風擋雨的地方、安全問題?

Secondly, does everyone have the building blocks of a better life:

第二,每個人是否可以 追求更美好的生活基石：

education, information, health and a sustainable environment?

教育、資訊、健康、穩定的環境？

And does everyone have the opportunity to improve their lives,

及每個人是否有 改善他們生活的機會?

through rights, freedom of choice, freedom from discrimination,

完整的權利、選擇的自由 避免被歧視的自由?

and access to the world's most advanced knowledge?

及獲得全世界最先進知識的權利?

The Social Progress Index sums all this together using 52 indicators

to create an aggregate score on a scale of 0 to 100.

And what we find is that there's a wide diversity of performance

The highest performing country, Norway, scores 88.

The lowest performing country, Central African Republic, scores 31.

And we can add up all the countries together,

weighting for the different population sizes,

並依不一樣的人口 數量做加權平均

that means that the average human being is living on a level of social progress

意思就是全人類的 平均社會進步水平

about the same of Cuba or Kazakhstan today.

相當於當今的古巴 或哈薩克斯坦的水平。

That's where we are today: 61 out of 100.

這就是我們今日的水平: 滿分100分拿到了61分。

What do we have to get to to achieve the Global Goals?

我們要做那些事 才能達成這些目標呢?

Now, the Global Goals are certainly ambitious,

現在,這些世界目標 的確是具有野心,

but they're not about turning the world into Norway in just 15 years.

但也不是說要把 他們在短短15年內, 變成挪威那樣的高分。

So having looked at the numbers, my estimate is that a score of 75

所以仔細地考慮一下分數 我的估計是75分

would not only be a giant leap forward in human well-being,

這在人類幸福上 不僅是一個巨大的飛躍。

it would also count as hitting the Global Goals target.

所以我們的目標是: 從100分裡拿到75分。

Well, the Social Progress Index can help us calculate this,

好的,社會進步指數 可以幫助我們計算,

there are no economic indicators in there;

there's no GDP or economic growth in the Social Progress Index model.

在社會進步指數中 沒有包含GDP或經濟成長。

And what that lets us do is understand the relationship