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Welcome to the Investors Trading Academy economic calendar of the week. Each week our news analysts
review the upcoming economic events that you should be monitoring. As the new month begins
traders are getting ready to book year end profits. Traders will be aggressively looking
for action pushing volumes higher than usual before things slow down for the holiday season.
With most central bank meetings behind and the next meeting not scheduled until December
which will make economic data key to trading. A busy week lies ahead of us, both in economic
and corporate terms. PMIs from around the world, covering both
manufacturing and services, will provide plenty of fuel for those assessing whether various
parts of the global economy are going forward or backwards. While it is probably too early
to see the impact of the recent Chinese rate cut in the China PMIs this week, but any signs
of improvement here will allay concerns. The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged, but
the tweaks to the statement suggest that December is now fractionally more ‘live’ where
possible rate increases are concerned than it was a week ago. However, data needs to
pick up considerably before the market really begins to think more seriously about a move
at the final meeting of the year. The week kicks off on Sunday in China when
the National Bureau of Statistics releases the purchasing manager indexes for both manufacturing
and the services sectors. The data is effectively ancient history following stimulus measures
employed by the central bank. On Monday, the private sector variant of China’s
manufacturing purchasing manager’s index from Caixin will be issued. And on Wednesday
Caixin will issue its services purchasing managers index.
Eurozone manufacturing PMI will be release for individual countries as well as the overall
Eurozone. Also the UK numbers will be release. In the US, the week begins on Monday with
the release of the ISM manufacturing index. Economists expect that the index eased from
50.2 to 49.7. Interesting the final reading of the competing Markit purchasing managers
index for October is also issued and the preliminary reading was a lot higher than the ISM index
at 54.0. On Tuesday the Reserve Bank meets to decide
interest rate settings. And for the first time in six months, a decision to cut rates
is being seriously entertained. Wednesday will see the ADP private jobs data
from the US a leading indicator for the Nonfarm payroll report. The release of the monthly
US jobs report on Friday will be very closely watched; given it will be the second to last
report before the Federal Reserve´s next policy meeting in December. 152K jobs are
forecast to have been created, up from 142K last month, and while the unemployment rate
is expected to tick up to 5.2% from 5.1%. Average hourly earnings are forecast to rise
by 0.2% from 0% MoM. Second in importance will be Thursday´s Bank
of England monetary policy committee decision on rates, accompanied by the latest meeting
minutes and Inflation Report. Scattered throughout the week are the standard
new month data releases including Eurozone retail sales, Australian employment numbers
as well as Canadian jobs data.