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  • The title of your book is "Thinking, Fast and Slow," and you talk about two systems,

  • system one and two. Can you give us an example or tell us a bit about the characters in the book?

  • Well, the characters are indeed system one and system two. System one corresponds to

  • a distinction that everybody recognizes in their own thinking, that there are some thought

  • that just happen to you and there are some thought that you must generate. There is a

  • lot of mental life that is completely effortless, and then there is some of mental life that

  • feels like work. That distinction is obvious, and people recognize it.

  • When I say the word "mother," you have images probably of your mother and you certainly

  • have an emotional reaction, and that's something that happens to you. When I say, "Two plus

  • two," a number comes to your mind. You didn't bring it there. It just came. It happened

  • to you. There are many, you knowin fact, most of mental life is like that. The words

  • that I utter when I say this sentence, they just come to me. Sometimes I will stop and

  • choose which wordthat's system twobut most of the time, when I speak the words just

  • come, so that's system one.

  • System two iswell, there are really two types of operations that system two performs,

  • and one is complex computations. That is where the pupil dilates and this is mental work.

  • Mental work is involved in short-term memory tasks. If I ask you, "What was your previous

  • telephone number," you'll work, and your pupil will expand by about 30 or 40 percent of its

  • area as you retrieve those. Then there is self-control, the inhibition of impulses.

  • When you are indeed choosing your words carefully because you don't want to offend, those are

  • situations in which system two is hard at work, and you feel it, so it corresponds...

  • System one and System two really correspond to experiences that are readily available

  • and that everybody recognizes. That distinction between something happening and something

  • that you do is, I think, pretty compelling to most people.

  • The dichotomy that you've drawn between system one and two, how does that relate to the previous

  • work you've done on heuristics and biases?

  • Well, it turns out we hadAmos Tversky and I, when we started our work, we had something

  • in mind that was fairly similar to that. We were interested in intuitive statistics, so

  • in estimates that come to people's mind about probabilities and so on. Now in many of these

  • caseswe were both teachers of statistics, so we were testing our own intuitions, but

  • we knew that we could compute. So in our very first paper, we distinguished intuition from

  • computation, and our point was that intuition is in some cases surprisingly error-prone

  • and that people should rely on computation.

  • That was the beginning, but we never studied what I now call system two. Then our work

  • became controversial, and people attacked it and criticized it. There was something

  • that essentially all the criticisms and all the experimental criticisms of our work had

  • in common, in that they created a situation in which people could figure out the answer

  • by working on it. That was really the background.

  • Amos Tversky and I in the very last paper that we wrote together, we answered one of

  • our very persistent and well-known critic, Gerd Gigerenzer. We pointed out that in his

  • experiments, typically people would seewell, how would I describe it? One of our best-known

  • examples in heuristics, and it's one of the best examples in the heuristics literature,

  • is the Linda example. Linda is that not-so-young woman. She's about 30 years old now, but I'm

  • telling you that when she was a student she was an activist, the feminist, marched in

  • all the marches. I didn't say feminist, actually. Then we asked people how likely it is that

  • Linda now is a bank teller, or how likely it is that she is now a bank teller and is

  • active in the feminist movement. Now there's no question that when you ask different people

  • those two questions, they will invariably say that it's more likely that she's a feminist

  • bank teller rather than a bank teller.

  • When you ask them the two questions to compare the two options, you're allowing system two

  • to check logic. By priming logical reasoning and by creating someyou can sensitize people

  • so that they will detect that obviously she is more likely to be a bank teller than a

  • feminist bank teller, but that seems to be a different process. When people see only

  • one example, they evaluate the fit of that example. When you show them two things together,

  • they can also compare, them and you provide another cue.

  • That was really the background to the distinction between the two systems with the controversy

  • around our work. It was an attempt to resolve that controversy by pointing out if you do

  • it between subjects and if you do it the way the world isso you make judgments intuitively

  • about things, that they happenyou get those effects, and you can make them disappear by

  • allowing logic to play.

  • I've worked a lot with anchoring. That's a phenomenon. So somebody puts a number in your

  • head, and it looks plausible after a while. I mean, in fact, this is the way our mind

  • works. We hear something strange, we try to make sense of it. Trying to make sense of

  • it makes us more prone to believe it, so anchoring is a suggestion. In fact that's very powerful.

  • You can recognize when you're being anchored. So if you are in a negotiation situation and

  • the other side has an outrageous number, you know there isyou could become anchored,

  • and that is worth resisting.

The title of your book is "Thinking, Fast and Slow," and you talk about two systems,

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第4集--直覺與理性。對話丹尼爾-卡尼曼(第一部分) (Episode 4 − Intuition and Rationality: Conversation with Daniel Kahneman (Part 1))

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    張恩嘉 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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