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  • In 2014... aside from some high-profile IPOs here and there... Korea′s stock market remained

  • relatively gloomy. But many market watchers think... it will

  • be a different story this year. Song Ji-sun has this year′s stock market

  • outlook. 2014 was a lackluster year for the Korean

  • stock market. The benchmark Kospi index closed the year

  • at 19-15, a hundred points lower than it started, a year after being trapped in the 2-hundred

  • point range and below the 21-hundred point barrier.

  • This year, with the country′s economic recovery picking up pace, market analysts expect the

  • Kospi to break out of this pattern and top 22-hundred, most probably in the third or

  • fourth quarter. Among the main factors setting the tone for

  • the market will be the Fed′s decision to raise its key interest rate and the performance

  • of Samsung Electronics, which accounts for 14-percent of the overall market capitalization.

  • Many analysts believe the Fed′s rate hike will have a limited impact on the bourse...

  • but the big question about Samsung is whether it can shrug off its poor smartphone performance

  • from the third quarter of last year.

  • "We are expecting a low of 18-70 and a high of 22-60.

  • There could be some adjustments in the first half following rate changes in the U.S., but

  • the stock market will rise at a moderate rate in the second half."

  • One main theme for the market this year will be dividend payments.

  • Last year, big name IPOs took center stage, partly due to the listing of Cheil Industries,

  • the de-facto holding company of the Samsung Group, and its affiliate Samsung SDS.

  • But the number of companies seeking IPOs will drop by half to around 30 this year.

  • Among them are low-cost airlines Jeju Air and Air Busan and Hyundai Group′s advertising

  • arm Innocean. The focus this year will be on how shareholders

  • benefit from a government policy on increasing dividend payments.

  • Policymakers have voiced concerns that too many companies are stocking away too much

  • money for reserves and that Korea′s dividend payout ratio is lower than that of emerging

  • or developed markets.

  • "We will seek to increase the influence of shareholders in deciding dividend plans to

  • make them more reasonable and help institutional investors to become more involved in the process."

  • Now another point to look out for in 2015 is whether the Korean market can be included

  • in the developed market category on the MSCI index, which is an important factor when global

  • fund managers draw up their investment portfolios. Korea has been regarded as an emerging market

  • largely because of its currency′s limited convertibility and limits on foreign investors

  • ability to trade in securities. The question of whether Seoul has made progress

  • in improving investment conditions will be decided in June.

  • Song Ji-sun, Arirang News.

In 2014... aside from some high-profile IPOs here and there... Korea′s stock market remained


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2015年股市展望 2015年증시전 전시전 (Stock market outlook for 2015 2015 증시 전망)

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    Daniel 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日