Name: 法國經濟即將變得醜陋--但原因並非如你所想 (France’s Economy About to Get Ugly - But Not for the Reason You Think)
Uploaded: 2025-10-09T18:32:04.000Z
Duration: 16 min 14 s

現在進行式

Over the last five years, France has gone through five different prime ministers and the last one has lasted less than a month because the French economy is collapsing, which is leading to a complete collapse of the French government.

過去五年，法國換了五位總理，最後一位任期不到一個月，因為法國經濟崩潰，導致法國政府全面瓦解。

動名詞

Fixing the French economy is way more difficult than most people imagine.

解決法國經濟問題比大多數人想像的還要困難得多。

And there isn't a single politician in France who is ready to take the responsibility to restructure that economy.

法國沒有任何一位政客願意承擔重組經濟的責任。

But if France is not going to do anything anytime soon, then the crisis is going to be way bigger than most people can possibly comprehend.

但如果法國短期內什麼都不做，那麼這場危機將會比大多數人能想像的還要嚴重得多。

And that crisis could lead to the end of the European Union.

而這場危機可能會導致歐洲聯盟的終結。

If you think that I am exaggerating, let me show you.

如果你覺得我太誇大，讓我來告訴你。

France has been spending far more than its earning for the last 30 to 40 years.

過去三、四十年來，法國的支出一直遠超過其收入。

But in the recent years that got way worse.

Since 2020, France is overspending and running a huge deficit.

自2020年以來，法國一直超支並面臨龐大的赤字。

In 2025, France has earned a little over $1 Trillion euros, but

2025年，法國的收入略超過一兆歐元，但

it spent a little over 1.7 trillion euros.

That deficit is not going to be solved anytime soon.

The deficit currently is about 170 billion euros, which is a lot of money.

目前的赤字大約是1700億歐元，這是一筆鉅款。

If you compare it to the United States, that's not a lot, but

如果你跟美國比，這不算多，但是

the US GDP is over $30 trillion, while the French GDP is a little over $3 trillion.

美國的國內生產總值超過30兆美元，而法國的國內生產總值略超過3兆美元。

In fact, even though that France has a smaller economy compared to the United Kingdom, the French government is spending much more than the UK government because the entire French economy is a state driven economy.

事實上，即使法國的經濟規模比英國小，但法國政府的支出卻遠高於英國政府，因為整個法國經濟都是由國家驅動的。

You can even say that it's a socialistic country.

你甚至可以說它是一個社會主義國家。

That's why you never heard about great companies emerging out of France.

這就是為什麼你從沒聽過有什麼偉大的公司是從法國冒出來的。

All the large companies in France are state driven companies.

法國所有的大公司都是國家主導的公司。

It is impossible to build a tech company in France.

在法國根本不可能建立一家科技公司。

The AI revolution is not happening in France unless the French economy or the French government is going to interfere and will fund a certain company in order to succeed.

AI革命不會在法國發生，除非法國經濟或法國政府介入，並且資助某家公司才能成功。

In fact, if you look at the budget of the French government, you will suddenly see something seriously bad.

事實上，如果你看看法國政府的預算，你會突然發現一些嚴重的問題。

First of all, the public revenue or the revenue that the government is collecting in relation to the GDP is about 50%.

首先，公共收入，也就是政府收取的收入佔國內生產總值的比例大約是50%。

Half of the French GDP is the government collecting taxes from its citizens.

法國國內生產總值的一半都是政府向其公民徵收的稅款。

What drives the French economy is the government spending that stands at around 60%.

驅動法國經濟的是政府支出，大約佔60%。

60% of the French GDP is being driven by the government spending.

法國國內生產總值的60%是由政府支出帶動的。

So if you remove government spending, the French GDP will stop growing.

所以如果移除政府支出，法國的國內生產總值就會停止成長。

And the French GDP is not growing as much as the Chinese GDP at about 5 to 7%.

而且法國的國內生產總值並沒有像中國那樣以5%到7%的速度成長。

It's not even matching the United States.

In fact, if you compare that to the United States, only a third of the US GDP is being driven by the government spending, even though that the US government is running a $2 trillion deficit and is spending about $7 trillion.

事實上，如果你跟美國比較，美國國內生產總值只有三分之一是由政府支出帶動的，儘管美國政府正承受著2兆美元的赤字，並且支出約7兆美元。

Even in Japan, where the government intervenes a lot in the economy and the entire Japanese economy is being driven by the state, that ratio is about 41%.

即使在日本，政府在經濟中扮演了很大的幹預角色，整個日本經濟也由國家帶動，這個比例大約是41%。

Now you can literally understand how the French government or the French economy works.

現在你可以清楚瞭解法國政府或法國經濟是如何運作的。

The French economy is basically one giant corporation that is called the French government that driving the entire economy.

法國經濟基本上就是一家由法國政府稱之為法國政府的大公司，帶動著整個經濟。

It's not privately owned corporations like in the United States.

And that's why you never heard a single French company coming out from France that they're dominating the world.

這就是為什麼你從來沒聽過任何一家法國公司能在全世界稱霸。

The French government provides some of the best welfare programs, as if the entire French government serves people.

法國政府提供了一些最好的福利計畫，彷彿整個法國政府都在為人民服務。

Now on one side it is great, but on the other side, someone has to pay for that.

一方面來說這很棒，但另一方面，總得有人為此買單。

In France, everybody is insured and 80% of medical expenses is being paid by the government.

在法國，每個人都有保險，80%的醫療費用由政府支付。

So as long as you're resident of France, as long as you are a citizen of France, you don't have to worry about medical bills.

所以只要你是法國的居民，只要你是法國的公民，你就不必擔心醫療費用。

It is completely covered by the French government.

Unemployment benefits could last for up to two years and 75% of your previous income.

失業救濟金最長可達兩年，而且是您先前收入的75%。

So if you're making $100,000 and now you're unemployed and you're looking for for your dream job, the government of France will pay you up to 70% of your previous income, which is literally one of the highest in the world.

所以，如果您原本收入是十萬美元，現在失業了，正在尋找夢想中的工作，法國政府會支付您先前收入的70%，這真的是世界上最高的之一。

There aren't many countries that can provide you with anything even close to that.

很少有國家能提供您接近這樣的福利。

Just compare that to the United States and suddenly you realize how generous the French welfare program is.

只要跟美國比較一下，您就會突然意識到法國的福利計畫有多慷慨。

Pensions in France could be as much as 60% of your income.

法國的終身俸最高可達您收入的60%。

So if you used to make $100,000, you, you can expect $60,000 of pension in France.

所以，如果您以前賺十萬美元，您在法國可以期待領到六萬美元的終身俸。

At the end of the day, your Social Security benefits on average is around $2,000 monthly or about $24,000.

說到底，您的社會安全福利平均每月大約是兩千美元，或是一年約兩萬四千美元。

The best or the maximum amount of Social Security benefits that you can receive in the US is about $5,000.

美國領取社會安全福利的最高金額大約是五千美元。

In fact, the French welfare program is so generous that it provides monthly allow families that have children.

事實上，法國的福利計畫非常慷慨，會提供有小孩的家庭每月津貼。

The French government is like, you have children.

We are Going to pay you money in the United States is slightly different.

You are going that the government is providing you with tax deductions for having children.

你們可以獲得政府提供的育兒稅收減免。

In France, the government is directly paying you to have children.

在法國，政府是直接付錢給你們生小孩。

The more children you have, the more the government is going to pay you.

你們的小孩越多，政府給你們的錢就越多。

Can you imagine something like that in the United States?

There aren't many countries that provide anything close to that.

很少有國家能提供接近這樣的福利。

The minimum wage in France is about $14 an hour.

法國的最低工資大約是每小時14塊美金。

Even though that France is not even close economically to the United States.

雖然法國的經濟跟美國比起來差很多。

The minimum wage in France is double that is in the United States.

法國的最低工資是美國的兩倍。

Now you can see how the government is protecting the French citizens.

現在你們就知道政府是如何保護法國公民的了。

But you have to understand that this is not for free.

但你們要明白，這不是免費的。

There is nothing that is called as free lunch.

I either they're going to be very high taxes or the government will have to borrow a lot of money to ensure that is happening.

要嘛就是稅很高，不然就是政府得借很多錢來確保這一切能發生。

The French welfare program expanded back in 1970s and 1990s.

法國的福利計畫是在1970年代和1990年代擴張的。

And because of this welfare program and because the government has to spend so much to ensure that these welfare programs are working properly, it is running such a huge debt to GDP ratio that stands at around 114%.

而且因為這些福利計畫，加上政府為了確保這些福利計畫能順利運作得花很多錢，所以它的債務對國內生產總值的比率非常高，大約是114%。

It's literally one of the highest debt to GDP ratios in the world and the European Union.

這真的是全世界和歐洲聯盟裡，債務對國內生產總值比率最高的國家之一。

And that is without even considering that France has one of the highest taxes in the world.

而且這還沒算進法國擁有全世界最高的稅率之一。

The French taxation system is very different than from the United States.

法國的稅制跟美國的很不一樣。

So I'm gonna try to explain it by giving you an example.

所以我想舉個例子來試著解釋。

It's much easier to understand that let's have a $50,000 income job.

這樣會比較容易理解，假設有一份年收入五萬美元的工作。

But in France, €50,000 is literally a really great income.

但在法國，五萬歐元算是非常棒的收入了。

So if you're creating a job that pays €50,000 in income, how much taxes do you think you're going to pay?

所以如果你創造一個年收入五萬歐元的工作，你覺得你得繳多少稅？

The employee is going to pay almost €13,000 in taxes.

員工要繳將近 13,000 歐元的稅。

That is way higher than the United States.

But besides you paying taxes, the employer or the company, the business that created that job or also has to pay taxes.

但是除了你繳稅之外，僱主或公司，也就是創造這個職位的那間企業，也得繳稅。

In the United States, the payroll tax is being paid not just by you, but

your employer has to match it at 6.2% as well.

你的僱主也得支付 6.2% 的匹配稅。

But in the case of France, your employer with this kind of income has to pay a €16,000.

但在法國，僱主針對這種收入，必須支付 16,000 歐元。

So your employer is paying much more taxes for creating that job.

所以你的僱主為了創造這個職位，要繳更多的稅。