字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 i don't know i i think it's always hard to know why you're drawn to a particular thing i think part of it is if you have a facility with that thing and of course it's satisfying to do it and so in the way that self reinforcing uh... and i and and and certainly i always had a facility with computers i always got along well with them and uh... and it was it was they're such extraordinary towards them and you can you can't teach them to do things in the mid that connection to do them i mean it's a kind of a an incredible tool that we've built here in the twentieth century that was they uh... uh... a lot of for that really did start a fourth grade uh... and then when i look but i got to high school uh... i think when i was in eleventh grade i got an apple to plots and uh... india continued for computers and for the time i got prints and i was uh... you know taken all the computer classes and actually not just learning how to act but learning about algorithms and and you know some of the mathematics behind computer science and it's fascinating and it's really of very involving and fun subject site twenty with the idea i i have uh... of starting a company and and uh... uh... even talk to couple friends about starting a company and ultimately decided it would be smarter to weight and learn a little bit more business and the way the world works unit one of the things that it's very hard to believe when you're twenty two or twenty three-years-old is that you don't already know everything cut it turns out i mean uh... as i suspected uh... you know people were more and more as they get older that you seem to work mission to realize that you know lesson last every year that goes back in a way imagine that by the time im you know seventy l realize i did not fit uh... so that was uh... i a very good decision to not do that i went to work for start-up company uh... button unit uh... one in new york city that was building a network uh... for helping brokerage firms clear uh... trades with the kind of an obscure thing it's every interesting to go into but used my technical skills and it was very fun work and i love the people i was working with and then uh... that sort of from then on i started working stripped intersection of computers in finance uh... and stayed on wall street for a long time also only works for a company that um... to distinguish quantitative hedge fund treating i was we were we will need to sweep program the computers and the computers made stock trades uh... and that was very interesting too uh... and that was where i was working when i uh... when i came across the fact that the web was growing at twenty three hundred percent a year and that's what led to the the forming of amazon dot co so you want to start a company balked the first thing you do is used to write a business plan so i did that i wrote about it three page business wrote a first draft factor for the first draft of the car trip uh... from you know from from the east coast to the west coast and that was uh... that is very helpful in the business plan what survived its first encounters with reality unto always be different the reality will never be the plan the discipline that of writing the plant forces you to think through some of the issues and to get her mentally comfortable in the space miniature research understand you know to push on this now this will move over here and so on so that's the first step wants you are looking at the bars in a realistic way it's very important for cartridge to be realistic and so if you believe on that first day while you're right in the business plan but there's a seventy percent chance that the whole thing will fail you know e that kind of relieves the pressure of of self-doubt i mean this early i don't have any doubt about whether we're gonna feel that's the likely outcome no and and that just isn't to pretend that it's not will lead you to do strange in you know uh... unnatural things so week uh... uh... into edmund in what you do with those early investment dollars you know so if you have three hundred thousand dollars when you have a million dollars what you do with that early precious capital resources if you go about systematically trying to eliminate risk c pick whatever the you know you think the biggest problems and try to eliminate the more time that's uh... that's how small companies get a little bit bigger than a little bit bigger little bit bigger finally at a certain stage you reach a transition where u have with the company has more control over its future ghastly the first through initial start-up capital for amazon dot com came primarily from my parents and they invested a large fraction of their life savings uh... in what became amazon dot com and yup that is a uh... uh... was a very uh... bolden trusting thing for them to do because they didn't and my dad's first question what's what's the inner so this he wasn't making abet on this company or this concept he was making a bet on his son as well as my mother so uh... and and i told them that i thought there was a seventy percent chance that they would lose their whole investment which was a few hundred thousand dollars and uh... and they did anyway and uh... and and and you know and i i thought i was given myself triple the normal arts because you know it's really hard to look at the odds of a startup companies succeeding at all it's only about ten percent here i would give myself a thirty percent chance i uh... went to my boss and said to him you know i'm gonna go do this crazy thing and i'm gonna start this and this company selling books online and missus supply or even talking to about uh... in this report general context but then he said let's go on a walker will work to our walk in central park in new york city and the conclusion of that was this he said you know this actually sounds like a really good idea but it sounds like it would be a better idea for somebody who didn't already have a good job no uh... and he convinced me to think about it for forty eight hours before making a final decision and so i would away in and been was tried friend right framework in which to make that kind of big decision and you know i already talked to my wife about this and she was very supportive in said look you know uh... you can count me in one hundred percent uh... whatever you want to do it's true she had married this kind of univ really stable guy stable career path and now he wanted to go do this crazy thing but she was a hundred percent support it so it really was a decision that i had to make for myself the in the framework i found which made the decision incredibly easy was uh... what what i call the literally and heard would call regret minimisation framework so i wanted to project myself for decades eighty it's okay now i'm looking back on my life i want to have minimize the number of regrets i have at what i knew that when i was eighty i was not going to regret having tried this i was not gonna regret wanted eunice trying to protest the paid in this thing called the internet but i thought was gonna be a really big deal and identify i wouldn't regret that but i knew the one thing i have my could correct ever having try and i knew that that would harm me everyday uh... and so when i thought about it that way it was an incredibly easy decision uh... and i think that's a very good it's if you can project yourself out to a j_d_ its roots think what life think at that time it sure way from some of the daily pieces of confusion you know left uh... this wall street firm in the middle of the year when you do that you walk away from your annual bonus that's the kind of thing in the short term can confuse you but if you think about the long term uh... then you can really make good wife decisions that you won't regret later i remember in uh... force grade we had this wonderful contest which uh... was uh... the people in the class will hurt me there are some prize everett was whoever convert read the most newberry award winners in the year uh... and i read through it in in the winning you know i think i read like thirty newberry award winners that your but somebody else read more no and that and that you know that stand out there it's the old classic that i think so many people have read and write a wrinkle in time and i just remember loving uh... loving that book uh... uh... intern later i was always a big fan of science fiction even from when i was innum in elementary school reading various things and uh... world of course the hob dayton and uh... and tokens trilogy that follows on from that in this little taro uh... where my uh... grandfather lived uh... and the summer's where i spent my time this summer uh... had eight unit tiny little new andrew carnegie style library that work all the books have been donated for the local citizens and uh... i found in this is a very small libros more than the room or setting in now and it had uh... the but it had an extensive sites fiction collection is just so happened one of the residents of the street dousing person town besides fiction friend tony did their whole collection and that started love affair for me with you know people like highland and as a marvin you know all of the the well-known science-fiction authors that persist to this day if you look over uh... uh... over long periods of time to look over hundreds of years and look at the every sort of life cycle of a new technology what you find it's getting compressed and compressing compressor the rate of change is getting faster and faster every decade that goes by they're sure more important discoveries per unit time than there were in the previous decade uh... and get a lot of these discoveries tend to uh... uh... you know have to uses i mean technologies singer unit tend to be agnostic with with respect whether they could be used for good were used for evil and i think that you know over the next fifty years uh... we're gonna face a lot of free tough decisions as a society and in and how we make sure that we are harnessing those technologies for good purposes stress primarily comes from not taking action over something that you can have some control over so if i find that some particular thing is causing me to have stress that's a uh... awarding flack for me what it means is there's something that i have it completely identified perhaps of my conscious mind that is bothering me and i haven't yet taking any action i'd find as soon as i identify it and make the first phone call or send up the first email message or whatever it is that we're going to do to start would dress that situation even if it's not solved the mere fact that we're dressing dramatically reduces the stress that might come from so stress comes from in norinko things that you shouldn't be ignoring uh... i think in large part as just doesn't come people get stress uh... and wrong all the time my opinion stress doesn't come from hard work for example any commit working incredibly hard and loving it and likewise you can be out of work incredibly stressed over that and likewise if you can diffuse the you know used as an analogy for what i was just talking about if you're out of work but you're going through you know a disciplined approaches you know the series of job interviews and so on and working to remedy that situation there could be a lot less stressed than if you're just worrying about it than doing nothing i think that faith the one thing i'd find very motivated and it's encrypt and i think this is probably very common form of motivation or motive for cause motivation p isle of people county and so you know today it's so easy to be motivated because we have millions of customers counting on us than amazon dot com we've got thousands of investors counting on us and uh... we've got your work team of thousands of employees or counting on each other and so it's uh... in that's fine think people uh... chin peter carefully reread the first part of the declaration of independence because i think sometimes we as a society start to get confused i think that we have a right to happiness but if you read the declaration of independence trucks what want liberty and the pursuit of happiness nobody has a right to happiness he should have a right to pursue it and i think the court that it's liberty we all get to the side how we're going to go about making our own living and so on and so on that happens to also be a very effective way of deploying an economy so that you get that economy which mostly makes sense and things mysterious leak of that invisible hand uh... tend to work out ever but there was a time and they had the statistics that we're on the that fifty years ago there was a heat wave in the south the killed three percent of chickens andy egg prices doubled because there were three percent fewer chickens so that means that the number of chickens is roughly right uh... even though there's nobody deciding how many chickens there should be but so that uh... a very interesting uh... fact i think that but the the the free market economy which has a lot of which by the ssd involves a lot of liberty just happens to work well enters a allocating resources but imagine a different world imagine a world where uh... you know some incredibly artificially intelligent computer could actually do a better job than the invisible hand of allocating resources and were to say you know there shouldn't be this p chickens there should be despite just a few more if you less that might even lied to more aggregate well so it might be x society that if you give up liberty everybody could be a little wealthier now the question that i would poses if that turned out to be the world is that a good trade percent i don't think so percent to be a terrible trade and i sometimes uh... worry about that because i think it's a coincidence that you know that liberty tends to to such a good job of to creating an economy that functions well
B1 中級 美國腔 獨家專訪傑夫-貝佐斯--亞馬遜公司創始人兼CEO (Exclusive Interview with Jeff Bezos - Founder & CEO of Amazon.com) 178 23 Ryan Fan 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日 更多分享 分享 收藏 回報 影片單字