Name: 總統選舉分析：卡馬拉-哈里斯和唐納德-特朗普如何贏得選舉團選舉 (Presidential Election Analysis: How Kamala Harris and Donald Trump win Electoral College)
Uploaded: 2024-11-04T04:10:26.000Z
Duration: 1 min 10 s

Let's take a look at the easiest path, the most efficient path for each one of these candidates to hit that magic number of 270.  So here it is, our road to 270 map, and you see in gray, those are the seven core battleground states.

讓我們來看看最簡單的路徑 最有效的路徑 讓每一位候選人都能達到270這個神奇的數字  這就是我們的 "通往270州之路 "地圖 灰色部分是七個核心戰場州

So I'm going to show you, first of all, if Kamala Harris is going to win, what would be the simplest way for her to win this election? Well, it would involve the northern route, the northern tier of the battleground, these three states: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania.

所以我要告訴你，首先，如果卡馬拉-哈里斯要獲勝，她贏得選舉的最簡單方法是什麼？那就是北線戰場 北線戰場 就是這三個州威斯康星州 密歇根州 賓夕法尼亞州

情態副詞

If Donald Trump won all of them narrowly in 2016, Joe Biden won all of them narrowly in 2020.

如果說唐納德-特朗普在 2016 年以微弱優勢贏得了所有比賽，那麼喬-拜登在 2020 年則以微弱優勢贏得了所有比賽。

If Kamala Harris can keep those states blue, let me show you what it would do.  Light them up just for the sake of showing you, and she hits 270 electoral votes on the dot.  Now, from Trump's standpoint, let's reset these.

如果卡馬拉-哈里斯能讓這些州保持藍色 讓我告訴你會有什麼結果  為了讓你看清楚，把它們點亮，她就能獲得270張選舉人票。  現在，站在特朗普的立場上，讓我們重置這些。

His easiest path to 270, or his most efficient, really, is North Carolina.  That's a state he actually won in 2020, the only battleground state he won before.

他通往270州的最簡單途徑，或者說最有效的途徑，其實是北卡羅來納州。  這是他在2020年實際贏得的一個州，也是他之前贏得的唯一一個戰場州。

He lost that by about 12,000 votes last time.

上次他以大約 12,000 票之差落敗。

 If he could get Pennsylvania, those three states would put him at exactly 270.

如果他能拿下賓夕法尼亞州，那麼這三個州將使他剛好達到 270 人。