In 2023, almostthreequartersofGenZerssaidtheyplantobuy a homewithinsixyears, eventhoughthemarketistoughforbuyers.
2023 年,近四分之三的 Z 世代表示,儘管市場對買家來說很艱難,但他們計劃在六年內買房。
Itisanincrediblydifficulthousingmarketrightnow.
現在的房地產市場異常艱難。
Wehaveverylimitedhousinginventoryandwehavehadverylimitedhousinginventoryfor a longperiodoftime.
我們的住房庫存非常有限,而且長期以來一直非常有限。
It's pusheduphomepricesatthesametimethatinterestratesareat a higherpointthantheyhavebeeninthelastfewyears.
在房價上漲的同時,利率也達到了過去幾年來的最高點。
SohowisGen Z affordinghomessoonerthantheirelderscould?
那麼,Z 世代是如何比他們的長輩更早地買得起房子的呢?
Andwhatimplicationswillthathaveforthehousingmarketand U.S. economy?
這將對房地產市場和美國經濟產生什麼影響?
InJanuary 2021, the 30-yearfixedmortgageratehit a recordlow.
2021 年 1 月,30 年期固定抵押貸款利率創下歷史新低。
I signedlessthan 3% onmymortgage, whichis, youknow, anastronomicallow.
我的抵押貸款利率不到 3%,你知道,這是一個天文數字的低點。
That's historic.
這是歷史性的。
So I probablywillnevergivethatup.
所以,我可能永遠都不會放棄。
I won't buyuntileither I don't need a mortgage, I canmakeanequitytransaction.
除非我不需要抵押貸款,或者我可以進行股權交易,否則我是不會買的。
Gen Z waslookingliketheyweredoingbetterthanMillennials, betterthanGen X, becausetheywerebuyinghomesat a fasterrate.
Z 世代看起來比千禧一代、X 世代要好,因為他們買房的速度更快。
But I think a lotofthathadtodowithhowlowinterestrateswereduringthoseyearsandremoteworkopeningupmorepossibilitiesforGenZerstobuyhomesinplacesthataremoreaffordable.
但我認為,這在很大程度上與這些年的低利率有關,而且遠程工作為 Z 世代提供了更多機會,讓他們可以在更能負擔得起的地方買房。
Inadditiontotheeasyinterestrateenvironmenthousingadvantage, someGenZerswereabletoget a headstartfromtheirfamilymembers.
除了利率環境寬鬆的住房優勢,一些 Z 世代還能從家庭成員那裡獲得先機。
Morethan 36% ofGen Z andMillennialswhoplantopurchaseareexpectingtheirfamilytohelpthemwiththedownpayment.
在計劃購房的 Z 世代和千禧一代中,超過 36% 的人希望家人能幫助他們支付首付款。
I hadmyparentsco-signonthemortgagebecauseatthatage, regardlessofyourcredit, youprettymuchhavetohave a co-signerand I understandthatnoteverybodyhasthatopportunity.
If a Gen Z memberwasin a goodeconomicposition, theyhad a jobortheyhadhelpfromfamilytoafford a home, andtheywereabletobuy a home, thentheymadeoutreallywellbecausehomevalueswentupconsiderablyfrom 2021 towherewearenow.
如果 Z 世代成員經濟狀況良好,有工作或有家人幫助買得起房,並且能夠買房,那麼他們的收益會非常可觀,因為從 2021 年到現在,房屋價值上漲了很多。
AnaverageAmericanhomeinthesecondquarterof 2024 cost a littleover $501,000.
2024 年第二季度,美國住宅的平均價格略高於 50.1 萬美元。
InFebruary 2020, homebuyersneededtoearnjustover $40,000 inannualincometoqualifyfor a starterhome.
2020 年 2 月,購房者的年收入需略高於 4 萬美元,才有資格購買起步房。
Today, a first-timebuyerneedstomakearound $76,000 toafford a typicalstarterhomeinthe U.S. 2020 experiencednewlowsformortgagerates.
Sowhatwe'reseeingis a marketthatisincreasinglyconstrainedintermsofopportunityforfirst-timehomebuyersandforhomebuyersseekingtotradeupinhousesbecauseofthemarketcompressionthatwe'reobserving, aswellasthetremendousamountofdemand.
Acrossthestate, asmuchas a quarteroffamiliesarenowcominginwith a substantialdownpayment, oftensupportedbyparents, lovedones, significantothersthatarenotnecessarilyco-borrowers.
Butthosewhoareinterestedinpurchasingalonecouldhave a hardertimequalifyingfor a mortgage.
但是,那些有意單獨購房的人可能更難獲得抵押貸款資格。
Mortgagelenderslookatannualsalariestodeterminehowmuch a potentialclientcanaffordtoborrow.
按揭貸款機構根據年薪來確定潛在客戶能夠承擔的貸款額度。
ThiscouldpotentiallyaffectGen Z becausetheyaremostlikelyreceivingentry-levelsalaries, theyowe a substantialamountofdebtcomparedtotheirparentswhentheyarethesameage, andthey'regrapplingwiththehighcostoflivingfrominflation.
這可能會影響 Z 世代,因為他們很可能拿的是初級工資,與同齡的父母相比,他們欠下了大量債務,而且他們還在努力應對通貨膨脹帶來的高生活成本。
Gen Z homebuyershavecomparativelylowerincomescomparedtootherhomebuyersbecausetheyarejuststartingoutintheircareers.
與其他購房者相比,Z 世代購房者的收入相對較低,因為他們的事業剛剛起步。
Sothey'recompetingagainstGen X andmillennialhomebuyerswho'vebeeninthemarketplacelongerandwhowereclosedoutinthelastdecadefromhomepurchases.
Roughly 38% ofGenZersandmillennialsbelievetheyhave a hardertimebuildingfinancialwealththantheirparentsdidbecausetheyfeelleftbehindbytheeconomy, while 17% believetheyhaveiteasier.
大約 38% 的 Z 世代和千禧一代認為,他們比父輩更難積累財務財富,因為他們覺得自己被經濟拋棄了,而 17% 的人則認為他們更容易積累財務財富。
Andinsomeways, Gen Z mayberight.
在某些方面,Z 世代可能是對的。
AlthoughGen Z isinfactmakingmoremoneythantheirparentsdidatthesameage, they'verackedupmoredebtthantheirparents.
雖然 Z 世代事實上比他們的父母在同一年齡段賺的錢更多,但他們欠下的債務卻比他們的父母更多。
An 18 to 24-year-oldin 2022 made $20,000 inwagesafteradjustingforinflation.
2022 年,一名 18 至 24 歲的年輕人在扣除通貨膨脹因素後的工資為 20,000 美元。
That's nearly $5,000 morethanwhat 18 to 24-year-oldsmadein 1992.
這比 1992 年 18-24 歲年輕人的收入高出近 5,000 美元。
YetGen Z carriesmorestudentloansandmortgagedebtthantheirparents.
然而,Z 世代揹負的學生貸款和抵押貸款債務比他們的父輩更多。
Theaverage 18 to 24-year-oldin 2022 held $117,000 inmortgagedebt, whilethesameagegroupin 1992 owed $39,367.
Forevery $10,000 thatyouseeanincreaseinsomeone's studentloans, thatbasicallyreducestheirabilitytopurchase a homeby 10 or 15%.
學生貸款每增加 1 萬美元,他們的購房能力就會降低 10%或 15%。
Gen Z homebuyershavecomparativelylowerincomescomparedtootherhomebuyersbecausetheyarejuststartingoutintheircareers.
與其他購房者相比,Z 世代購房者的收入相對較低,因為他們的事業剛剛起步。
Whenitcomestotheworkforce, jobsecurityis a majorobstacleforthisagegroup.
說到勞動力,工作保障是這一年齡組的主要障礙。
Andwhileyoungadultsaremorelikelytobeemployedfull-timethanyoungadultsthreedecadesago, those 18 to 24 onlysaw a 1% gainintheirshareoffull-timeworkerscomparedtothesameagegroupthatworkedfull-timein 1993.