Actually, let's do this.

事實上，我們這樣做吧。

For the sake of posterity, what happened?

為了讓後人知道，到底發生了什麼？

Yesterday, somebody attempted to assassinate Donald Trump.

昨天，有人企圖暗殺唐納德-特朗普。

On July 13th, at a Pennsylvania rally, somebody took to a rooftop and shot at the former president, hitting his ear.

7 月 13 日，在賓夕法尼亞州的一次集會上，有人在屋頂上向前總統開槍，擊中了他的耳朵。

It would appear with a bullet.

子彈就會出現。

There are people trying to push another story.

有人在試圖推動另一種說法。

The evidence actually doesn't point that way right now.

實際上，現在的證據並不指向這個方向。

However, if that evidence comes out, then would be the time to accept it.

不過，如果證據出來了，那就是接受它的時候了。

However, actually, I even have it.

然而，實際上，我甚至擁有它。

There is a photo that actually shows the moment after.

有一張照片真實地展示了當時的情景。

So this is right before he cups his ear and can feel that something has gone wrong.

所以，這是在他捂住耳朵之前，他能感覺到出了問題。

That actually appears to be the bullet as it exited his ear.

實際上，子彈似乎就是從他耳朵裡射出來的。

This was at a campaign rally.

這是在一次競選集會上。

And let me just say, unequivocally, it is something that should be condemned.

我只想明確地說，這是應該受到譴責的。

Unequivocally, it is something that we should not be engaging in conspiratorial thinking for.

毫無疑問，這是我們不應該進行陰謀論思考的事情。

I should not be mad and angry and disappointed with people I respected and am friends with and like, as people generally apparently happy to engage in conspiratorial thinking and not apparently internalizing what it actually means to be a skeptic and how that should be different.

我不應該對那些我尊敬的、和我交朋友並喜歡的人感到生氣、憤怒和失望，因為這些人顯然普遍樂於從事陰謀論的思考，顯然沒有內化作為一個懷疑論者究竟意味著什麼，以及這應該有什麼不同。

Because while I am fine with a person going, hey, these things don't add up, could somebody like help me fill in some gaps, to go, these things don't add up, so I'm thinking it might have been staged as opposed to first trying to fill in those gaps.

因為雖然我可以接受一個人說："嘿，這些東西加起來不對，誰能幫我補上一些漏洞嗎？"但如果他說："這些東西加起來不對"，我就會覺得這可能是在故弄玄虛，而不是先想辦法補上這些漏洞。

That is no different than any conspiratorial thinking person.

這與任何有陰謀論思想的人沒什麼區別。

And I know because I was one.

我知道，因為我也曾是其中一員。

I was a Mormon.

我是摩門教徒

I was a conservative.

我是個保守派。

I went through all of that and I deprogrammed from that.

我經歷了這一切，並從中解脫出來。

And how disappointing I have been in the last however many hours it's been now since then that I am seeing these people who I thought were on the same page content to go that way.

從那時起的多少個小時裡，我看到這些我以為站在同一條戰線上的人都在走這條路，這讓我多麼失望。

But also to make light of it, to suggest that the only bad thing that happened was that the bullet missed these types of really gross, dark, terrible things.

但也有人對此輕描淡寫，認為發生的唯一壞事就是子彈沒打中這類非常噁心、黑暗、可怕的事情。

When we are right now, this was at a campaign rally for an election.

現在，這是在一次競選集會上。

There's still going to be an election.

選舉還是要舉行的。

Donald Trump will still be president if he is elected.

如果唐納德-特朗普當選，他仍將是總統。

So whatever a person might have to say that sometimes violence is justified or whatever else, it seems to me that as long as elections are still happening, this isn't that time.

是以，不管有人會說有時暴力是合理的或其他什麼，在我看來，只要選舉還在進行，現在就不是時候。

Let me get a little Rubio going over here.

讓我給盧比奧點個贊吧

This thing that happened was not a good thing if you agree that violence is rarely justified.

如果你同意暴力很少是正當的，那麼發生的這件事就不是一件好事。

Well, I'm not going to be one of the people who say never, obviously.

很顯然，我不會說 "永遠不會"。

Nobody truly believes never.

沒有人真正相信 "永不"。

And that it should not be utilized when the freedom to vote is still an option.

當投票自由仍然是一種選擇時，就不應該利用它。

Our country isn't there yet.

我們的國家還沒到那一步。

But let's say you don't actually agree with that or you think our country is there.

但假設你實際上並不同意這一點，或者你認為我們的國家就在那裡。

If you care about women's rights, if you care about gay rights, if you care about trans rights, if you care about health care, if you care about fair immigration policies, if you care about so many of the things that are different between just the Republican and the Democratic Party, and I'm talking to you about that as a leftist, recognizing that I do not support either party, but one of them is clearly much less evil than the other.

如果你關心婦女權利，關心同志權利，關心變性人權利，關心醫療保健，關心公平的移民政策，關心共和黨和民主黨之間的許多不同之處，我是作為一個左派跟你說這些的，我承認我不支持任何一個黨派，但其中一個黨派顯然比另一個黨派邪惡得多。

If you support all of those things, then yesterday was a terrible day.

如果你支持所有這些事情，那麼昨天就是糟糕的一天。

Because now Donald Trump may be undefeatable.

因為現在的唐納德-特朗普可能是不可戰勝的。

At the very least, he will be very hard to defeat.

至少，他很難被打敗。

And I already know the comments that are coming.

我已經知道會有什麼評論了。

Wow.

哇

You really think this changed the vote?

你真的認為這改變了投票結果？

Somebody was like, well, I wasn't going to vote for that monster, but now I am because he got shot.

有人說，我本來不打算投那個怪物的票，但現在我投了，因為他中槍了。

Yep.

是的。

I do think that.

我確實這麼認為。

And I'm not going to explain why, but it'll probably be the last section of this.

我不打算解釋原因，但這可能是本文的最後一部分。

I need another Rubio.

我需要另一個盧比奧。

Here we go.

開始了

Let me do the.

讓我來

It's I feel silly even being silly right now, ever having some silliness, because this is a serious topic.

我甚至覺得現在做傻事都很傻，因為這是一個嚴肅的話題。

And I'm so angry with everything where I'm so angry with people I liked, I guess, still like.

我對一切都感到憤怒，我對我喜歡的人感到憤怒，我想，現在也是。

I'm not going to call anybody out individually, and not all of it is stuff that I was privy to publicly, rather that was publicly available, things that I am privy to also annoy me.

我不會單獨點名責備任何人，而且並非所有的事情都是我公開知道的，而是公開的，我知道的事情也會讓我惱火。

And so I'm just getting my thoughts out there to kind of have it out on the record to kind of say like, hey, guys, if you hate that side so much.

所以我只是把我的想法說出來，記錄在案，就像說，嘿，夥計們，如果你們那麼討厭那一面。

Why are you starting to become more like that side?

為什麼你開始變得更像那一邊？

Because, yeah, there's hypocrisy, and this is the wildest thing is when you point something out like that, they'll be like, well, the Republicans, but.

因為，是的，有虛偽，這是最瘋狂的事情是，當你指出這樣的事情，他們會說，好吧，共和黨，但是。

So what you're saying is the you now your values are now whatever the Republicans say is OK to do not to be better than them.

所以你的意思是，你現在的價值觀是共和黨說什麼就是什麼，而不是比他們更好。

I'm seeing that's a lot with like the the.

我看到很多人都喜歡這個。

Well, Donald Trump made jokes about the attempt on Pelosi's life, her husband and overall what was her.

唐納德-特朗普就佩洛西的未遂事件、她的丈夫和她的整體情況開了個玩笑。

Yeah, he's fucking garbage for that.

是啊，他真他媽是個垃圾。

And so are you.

你也一樣。

If you're doing it now to.

如果你現在這樣做是為了

Making light of it, making it seem to an audience of people that you don't abhor political violence.

輕描淡寫，讓觀眾覺得你並不憎惡政治暴力。

It sucks and it's disgusting.

這很糟糕，也很噁心。

As far as the event itself, I was actually asleep when it happened.

至於事件本身，其實事發時我正在睡覺。

I think I didn't wake up for three more hours of dealing with health stuff.

我想，在處理健康問題的三個多小時裡，我都沒有醒過來。

And I slept the day away.

我睡了一天。

I didn't wake up until like nine o'clock in the evening.

我大概晚上九點才醒過來。

But when I woke up, the conspiracies had already taken off and they had gone bananas.

但當我醒來時，陰謀已經開始了，他們已經瘋了。

It's it has gone insane already to the point that this is such a high stakes thing.

這已經到了瘋狂的地步，以至於這件事的風險如此之高。

The only option right now is for them to give as many details as possible very, very quickly.

現在唯一的選擇就是讓他們儘快提供儘可能多的細節。

And there's a ton of angles of this thing.

這東西有很多角度。

But please, if you don't know something, if it isn't confirmed, please stop saying you do.

但是，如果你不知道什麼，如果沒有得到證實，請不要再說你知道了。

I've seen idiots.

我見過白痴。

People were sharing the wrong shooter for a long time or the shooter's political party for a long time.

人們長期以來一直在分享錯誤的槍手或槍手的政黨。

The shooter's motivation, which we still don't actually know.

槍手的動機，其實我們還不知道。

Maybe by the time you watch this video, we will.

也許等你看完這段視頻，我們就會知道了。

They were sharing so many details and saying so many things that weren't true to the point that somebody as I showed you this photo.

他們分享了太多細節，說了太多不真實的話，以至於我給你們看這張照片的時候，有人還在說。

Let's go ahead and actually show you the video of the moment after this.

讓我們繼續，給大家看一下當時的視頻。

Now, the video is a different angle.

現在，視頻的角度不同了。

That photo, I think, is but this is the one that has you can see the bullet.

那張照片，我認為是，但這張照片你可以看到子彈。

The trail of the bullet right after it leaves his ear.

子彈剛離開他耳朵時留下的痕跡。

Here is the video of the actual event of the moment of him getting hit.

以下是他被擊中那一刻的真實視頻。

And then I'm going to show you in a moment also the video that follow of him leaving.

稍後，我還會向大家展示他離開時的視頻。

But that'll be important for another reason.

但這還有一個重要原因。

So you see him.

所以你看到他了。

Something happens.

事情發生了。

His hand goes up.

他的手舉了起來。

It goes right to his ear.

它直達他的耳朵。

And then he goes down.

然後他就倒下了。

The funny thing is his hand is actually in full open view when that happens.

有趣的是，當這種情況發生時，他的手實際上是在完全開放的視野中。

And yet conspiracies are still rising that it looks like even though he rests on that podium in a standard way that he grabs something off of the podium, cuts his ear and then puts it down.

然而，陰謀論仍在不斷升溫，認為即使他以標準的方式站在講臺上，他似乎還是從講臺上抓起了什麼東西，割傷了自己的耳朵，然後又把它放了下來。

That's a real conspiracy that I am seeing shared online that somebody presented.

我在網上看到有人提出了一個真實的陰謀。

This is reasonable to think might have not been what we saw because of when the reaction actually does seem so genuine.

我們有理由認為，這可能不是我們所看到的，因為當時的反應看起來確實很真實。

And apparently you think this man who is so paranoid of assassination that some of the reasons why he likes McDonald's is because they don't know you're coming and they're less likely to poison you, that this guy has protocols because he thinks someone is going to kill him would say like, hey, let's set something up where you from 200 yards out or whatever it is, I think it maybe was 100 yards.

顯然，你認為這個對暗殺如此偏執的人，他喜歡麥當勞的一些原因是，他們不知道你來了，他們不太可能毒死你，這傢伙有協議，因為他認為有人會殺了他會說，嘿，讓我們設置的東西，你從200碼或不管它是什麼，我認為它可能是100碼。

I've seen different numbers.

我看到過不同的數字。

You from any number of yards out at short range.

你可以在短距離內從任意碼外射擊。

This would be an unlikely shot to hit.

這一槍不太可能命中。

As I turn my head, skim my ear with a bullet.

當我轉過頭時，一顆子彈從我耳邊掠過。

If the goal was to kill somebody, that is an easy job to take on as far as the setup, the distance.

如果目標是殺人，那麼就設置和距離而言，這是很容易接受的任務。

But that amount of distance to skim the ear, there are people suggesting that this was done on purpose.

但是，這種 "撇耳朵 "的距離，有人認為是故意為之。

Even though in that scenario, you are more likely to slip and kill the person.

儘管在這種情況下，你更有可能滑倒並撞死人。

That is a, by the way, tell me you don't shoot without time, you don't shoot.

順便說一句，告訴我沒有時間你就不開槍，你就不開槍。

There isn't a marksman alive who would go for sure.

沒有一個神槍手在世時能肯定自己會去。

I could skim the ear and not do damage.

我可以撇開耳朵，不會造成傷害。

Yeah.

是啊

From that distance.

從這個距離看

Yeah.

是啊

Yeah.

是啊

As he's moving, I'll just get it right through the ear.

當他移動時，我就從他的耳朵穿過去。

That's all.

僅此而已。

Yeah.

是啊

Yeah.

是啊

For sure.

當然。

For sure.

當然。

I'll do that.

我會的

It's, it's annoying that the conspiracies are happening at all, but it's extra annoying when the conspiracies are stupid and that one is stupid.

陰謀論的出現固然令人惱火，但如果陰謀論是愚蠢的，而這個陰謀論又是愚蠢的，那就更令人惱火了。

That is a stupid one.

這是一個愚蠢的問題。

Stop being stupid.

別再犯傻了。

I feel like I could talk about that for another fucking hour, but don't, if you're going to talk about it and you're going to say, Hey, here's this problem, this problem, here's this inconsistency.

我覺得我他媽還能再說上一個小時，但如果你想說，嘿，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的，這個問題是這樣的。

Try not to be stupid.

儘量別犯傻。

Why is trying not to be stupid, not a value on one side over the other?

為什麼 "努力不犯傻 "不是一方對另一方的價值觀？

Because right now I'm seeing a whole lot on my own.

因為現在我一個人就能看到很多東西。

I, and the thing I'm mad about is it's not like they're not being stupid over there, but I expected of them.

我生氣的是，他們在那邊並不愚蠢，但我對他們有所期待。

The scorpions going to sting you.

蠍子會蜇你

Don't trust it and give it a ride across the lake or whatever the parable is, right?

不要相信它，讓它搭便車過湖，或者其他什麼寓言故事，對嗎？

Them I expect it from the, our side.

我希望我們能做到這一點。

And I'm not even just saying like the Democrats, I don't even know if I'd call the Democrats my side.

我甚至不是說像民主黨那樣，我甚至不知道我是否會稱民主黨為我這一邊。

Other atheists and skeptics.

其他無神論者和懷疑論者

Well, that's it.

就這樣吧

That's interesting.

這很有趣。

That's an interesting, you know, it is convenient.

這很有趣，你知道，這很方便。

It just hit his ear.

它只是撞到了他的耳朵。

Very, very convenient that it just hit his ear.

非常非常方便，正好擊中了他的耳朵。

Very because this is going to empower him, which that's true.

非常因為這會增強他的能力，這是真的。

That is absolutely true.

這完全正確。

And we're going to get to that.

我們馬上就說到這一點。

But why is it not a value of.

但為什麼不是"...... "的值呢？

Don't be fucking stupid.

別他媽犯傻

I'm more, no, I'm not more mad at it, but it adds to the anger that if you're going to engage in these conversations and go out, I'm not going to buy the official narrative until I know more.

我更生氣了，不，我不是更生氣了，而是更憤怒了，如果你要參與這些對話並走出去，在我瞭解更多情況之前，我不會相信官方的說法。

I'm not going to go with what makes the most sense here.

我不會選擇最合理的方式。

I'm going to pretend that in a country full of millions of people that somebody, which right now we know the shoot it's, this kind of goes to it online.

我要假裝，在一個擁有數百萬人口的國家，有人，現在我們知道拍攝它的，這種去它的在線。

You see a lot of people mentioning the shooter was registered Republican, but you don't see them mention that he's actually donated to Democrat causes.

你會看到很多人提到槍手是註冊的共和黨人，但你不會看到他們提到他實際上為民主黨事業捐過款。

And when you don't do that and other people see that, who know the other detail, it looks like you're hiding something.

如果你不這樣做，其他人看到了，知道其他細節的人看到了，就會覺得你在隱瞞什麼。

Because while I would still bring up that he was a Republican, I wouldn't omit the other thing to be deceptive just because it makes my case harder.

因為雖然我還是會提出他是共和黨人，但我不會因為這讓我的論證更加困難，就省略另一件事來進行欺騙。

And I would argue that's the motivation to leave that detail out.

我認為，這就是不提這個細節的動機。

If your point stands, include the details that might undermine it and then defend it still.

如果你的觀點站得住腳，請寫出可能會削弱它的細節，然後再為它辯護。

That's how you win an argument, not I'm going to do what the other side does.

這樣才能贏得辯論，而不是我行我素。

I'm going to only include the details that are convenient for me.

我將只介紹對我方便的細節。

That's all I'm going to do.

這就是我要做的。

The rhetoric's already getting bad and it's going to get way worse.

言論已經很糟糕了，而且會越來越糟糕。

We're about to enter one of the pro I have to think the darkest political time in American history since the Civil War.

我們即將進入我認為自南北戰爭以來美國曆史上最黑暗的政治時期之一。

And I know that sounds very dramatic.

我知道這聽起來很戲劇化。

And I guess it's meant to be, because this whole fucking thing has been very dramatic.

我想這是命中註定的 因為這整件事太戲劇化了

There's a point where I was showering where I was just thinking about the last few years and the huge escalations and you have these, these, you know, big storms, big hurricanes since I was a kid, getting worse and worse, but also a pandemic.

有一次，我在洗澡的時候想到了過去幾年的情況和巨大的升級，你有這些，這些，你知道的，大風暴，大颶風，從我還是個孩子的時候就開始了，越來越嚴重，但也有大流行病。

And then Donald Trump even running in the first place and, and you know, something hopeful like the Obama administration followed by whatever you want to call the Trump administration.

然後，唐納德-特朗普（Donald Trump）甚至一開始就參選，你知道，一些充滿希望的事情就像奧巴馬政府之後的特朗普政府，不管你怎麼稱呼它。

The adjective, whatever you want to call that.

形容詞，隨便你怎麼稱呼。

And then this, the sheer amount of drama of it all, the sheer amount of polarization and how much it reflects steps you see if you read about other civil wars in the past and, and how it's becoming more and more localized and how we are becoming less and less safe.

然後，這一切的戲劇性、兩極分化的程度，以及它在多大程度上反映了過去其他內戰的步驟，以及它是如何變得越來越地方化，以及我們是如何變得越來越不安全的。

There was a moment I had in the shower where I was just like, how is this not like, if

我在洗澡的時候有那麼一瞬間，我就想，這怎麼不像是，如果

I wasn't a better skeptic, I'd be convinced I was in a Truman show right now.

如果我不是一個更好的懷疑論者，我現在就會相信自己在上演杜魯門秀。

And that this is all just to see how I would react to living this ridiculous, dramatic life, both for things that happened in my life, health issues, all these kinds of things.

這一切都只是為了看看我對這種荒誕、戲劇化的生活會有什麼反應，包括我生活中發生的事情、健康問題等等。

And there's just the things like, it seems beyond reality.

還有一些事情，比如，它似乎超越了現實。

And then you see the people for whom you are trying to ally self yourself with become the same type of thinker and communicator that these horrible people are.

然後，你就會看到那些你試圖與之結盟的人，也會變成這些可怕的人那樣的思想家和傳播者。

But justify it.

但要說明理由。

Well, why is it okay when they do it?

那麼，為什麼他們這樣做就沒事呢？

It isn't.

不是這樣的。

So don't sink to their level.

所以，不要沉淪到他們的水準。

Don't be fucking stupid because they get to be stupid.

不要因為他們蠢就他媽的蠢。

Don't be fucking stupid.

別他媽犯傻

Don't be fucking stupid.

別他媽犯傻

I wish I could make that the title of the episode.

我真希望把它作為這一集的標題。

I do.

我是這麼想的。

Donald Trump.

唐納德-特朗普

Conspiracies I've already seen.

陰謀我已經見識過了。

I'm going to run through those and then talk about the political impact and changing votes.

我先介紹這些，然後談談政治影響和選票變化。

And I'll try and make it succinct and not go on another rant about don't be fucking stupid.

我會盡量言簡意賅，不會再喋喋不休地說什麼 "別他媽犯傻"。

Conspiracies I've seen already.

陰謀我已經見識過了。

Why do they stand him up after he was shot?