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  • - [Narrator] All 10 of the world's most populated countries

    - 世界上人口最多的十個國家

  • have leaders or a leader elect over the age of 70.

    有 70 歲以上的領導人或當選領導人。

  • Compare that to a decade ago

    與十年前相比

  • when that was true for only one country.

    當時只有一個國家是這樣。

  • - Well, more than half of the world at this point

    - 那麼,目前世界上一半以上的國家

  • lives in a country where a leader is over 70.

    生活在一個領導人超過 70 歲的國家。

  • - [Narrator] And those leaders are on average

    - [旁白] 這些領導人平均

  • more than 40 years older than their population's median age.

    比其人口的中位年齡大 40 多歲。

  • Here's why the world's politicians

    世界政客們為什麼要這樣做?

  • are increasingly older than their constituents,

    他們比選民的年齡越來越大、

  • and what it means for policies

    及其對政策的意義

  • and political engagement around the globe.

    和政治參與。

  • (worker mumbles)

    (工人喃喃自語)

  • Globally, the median age of world leaders is 62

    在全球範圍內,世界領導人的中位年齡為 62 歲

  • with most of them in their 50s and 60s.

    他們中的大多數人都已五六十歲。

  • And the gap in age between leaders and their constituents

    領導人與選民之間的年齡差距

  • is more pronounced in certain regions.

    在某些地區更為明顯。

  • Like Sub-Saharan Africa

    如撒哈拉以南非洲

  • where the population has been growing younger,

    人口越來越年輕、

  • but leaders are some of the oldest globally.

    但在全球範圍內,這些領導人的歷史最為悠久。

  • Cameroon has the world's oldest in Paul Biya.

    喀麥隆擁有世界上最年長的保羅-比亞。

  • - I do so swear.

    - 我發誓

  • - [Narrator] Who at 91 has been in power

    - [旁白] 91 歲的他一直在掌權

  • for more than 40 years, but there are some exceptions.

    但也有一些例外。

  • - [Jon] In Europe, people are older,

    - [喬恩]在歐洲,人們都上了年紀、

  • but politicians aren't.

    但政客們不是。

  • - The cases where we often tend to see,

    - 我們經常看到的情況是

  • particularly younger leaders or exceptions to this rule,

    特別是年輕的領導人或例外情況、

  • are often in countries that have very strong parties

    這些國家的政黨往往非常強大

  • and a strong party system.

    以及強大的政黨制度。

  • Countries where parties get very actively involved

    各方積極參與的國家

  • in recruiting young people into their ranks.

    招募年輕人加入他們的隊伍。

  • - [Narrator] In the US, concerns about age

    - [旁白] 在美國,對年齡的關注

  • have filled the election cycle.

    已經充斥了整個選舉週期。

  • - Don't you think we need to have mental competency tests

    - 你不認為我們需要進行心理能力測試嗎?

  • for anyone over the age of 75?

    是否適合 75 歲以上的老人?

  • - [Narrator] When they face off in the 2024 election,

    - 當他們在2024年大選中對決時

  • President Joe Biden and Donald Trump

    喬-拜登總統和唐納德-特朗普

  • will be the oldest candidates in US history again.

    將再次成為美國曆史上最年長的候選人。

  • - I know it may not look like it,

    - 我知道看起來不像、

  • but I've been around a while.

    但我已經有一段時間了。

  • - [Narrator] US presidents' ages have been trending upwards

    - 旁白] 美國總統的年齡呈上升趨勢

  • in the last century, but it's not just the president.

    在上個世紀,美國總統的任期是最長的,但這不僅僅是總統的問題。

  • In 2021, the US Congress was the oldest on record.

    2021 年,美國國會成為有史以來最老的一屆國會。

  • - It's very important for the legitimacy of democracy

    - 這對民主的合法性非常重要

  • that politicians actually are seen to reflect

    政治家實際上被認為反映了

  • and represent the people who are voting.

    並代表投票的人。

  • - [Narrator] But that representation

    - [旁白] 但那代表

  • is lopsided when it comes to age.

    在年齡方面是一邊倒的。

  • 39% of voting age Americans are under 40,

    39%的美國選民年齡在 40 歲以下、

  • but only 8.3% of US legislators

    但只有 8.3%的美國立法者

  • and the House of Representatives are.

    和眾議院。

  • Down from 22% in 1981.

    低於 1981 年的 22%。

  • And worldwide, the median age of legislators

    而在世界範圍內,立法者的中位年齡

  • has trended upwards in the past few decades.

    在過去的幾十年裡,這一數字呈上升趨勢。

  • - So, there are a number of reasons

    - 原因有以下幾點

  • why we are seeing this trend.

    為什麼我們會看到這種趨勢?

  • One, of course, is medical technology

    其中之一當然是醫療技術

  • is just getting better and it's spread more widely.

    越來越好,傳播範圍也越來越廣。

  • The broad rise of autocracy in the world is something

    專制制度在世界上的廣泛興起是

  • that is likely going to lead to more older leaders.

    這很可能會導致更多的老年領導人。

  • - [Narrator] Two leaders of those

    - [旁白] 兩位領導人

  • 10 most populated countries, Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping

    人口最多的 10 個國家、弗拉基米爾-普京和習近平

  • have deepened their power in Russia and China.

    加深了他們在俄羅斯和中國的勢力。

  • 35% of the world's population is living in countries

    世界 35% 的人口生活在以下國家

  • deemed to be moving towards autocracy

    被視為走向專制

  • according to research institute, V-Dem.

    根據研究機構 V-Dem 的數據。

  • But in non-autocratic states, it can be hard

    但在非民主國家,可能很難

  • for younger candidates to run in costly elections.

    讓年輕的候選人参加費用高昂的選舉。

  • - Just harder to get money if you're young.

    - 只是如果你還年輕,就更難拿到錢了。

  • Maybe you were born with it, but if weren't born with it,

    也許你與生俱來,但如果不是與生俱來、

  • you then have to go to people to give you that money

    然後,你還得去找人給你錢

  • and they tend to be older,

    而且他們往往年齡較大、

  • and you have to persuade them to back you.

    你必須說服他們支持你。

  • - [Narrator] The US had its most expensive election

    - [旁白] 美國經歷了最昂貴的選舉

  • in 2020 at $14 billion.

    到 2020 年將達到 140 億美元。

  • - It's not the only place where individual candidates

    - 這不是個別候選人的唯一去處

  • are asked to amass the sort of war chest

    要求他們積聚戰爭財力

  • to be able to gain access to office.

    才能進入辦公室。

  • This is very much the case in countries in Asia,

    亞洲國家的情況也是如此、

  • in Japan, and in South Korea.

    在日本和韓國。

  • Right, which are right there with the United States

    對,與美國並列

  • of having very few young people in government.

    政府中的年輕人很少。

  • - [Narrator] And with more career politicians,

    - 還有更多的職業政客

  • younger candidates may not have

    年輕候選人可能不具備

  • as many opportunities to run.

    儘可能多的跑步機會。

  • In the US, incumbent reelection rates

    在美國,現任者的連任率

  • have never dropped below 85% in the House.

    眾議院的支持率從未低於 85%。

  • Incumbents also have an advantage around the world.

    在全球範圍內,在位者也有優勢。

  • - Once you get your foot in the door,

    - 一旦你踏進了這扇門、

  • you can often stay there for quite some time.

    你經常可以在那裡停留很長時間。

  • To be clear, I think there are a lot of positives

    說白了,我認為有很多積極因素

  • to having people who know how to get things done,

    擁有懂得如何完成工作的人、

  • who have rich networks that allow them

    他們擁有豐富的網絡,使他們能夠

  • to actually see policy through.

    將政策真正落到實處。

  • - [Narrator] But the over-representation

    - [旁白]但過高的代表性

  • of older politicians could mean that...

    老一代政治家可能意味著......

  • - Young people in particular

    - 特別是年輕人

  • are just less interested in say, a given election

    只是對某次選舉不那麼感興趣而已

  • when the leaders are much older than them.

    當領導者比他們年長很多時。

  • - [Narrator] Around the world, youth voter turnout

    - [旁白] 世界各地的青年選民投票率

  • is lower than the rest of the voting age population.

    低於其他投票年齡人口。

  • In a survey across 33 countries, 44% of young adults

    在對 33 個國家的調查中,44% 的年輕人

  • from 18 to 29 said they always voted,

    18-29歲的人說他們總是投票、

  • compared to 60% of the entire population.

    而全國人口的這一比例為 60%。

  • Yet the younger end of the electorate

    然而,年輕選民

  • is still valuable for candidates.

    對候選人來說仍然很有價值。

  • And politicians around the world

    世界各地的政治家們

  • have tried to appeal to younger voters.

    試圖吸引年輕選民。

  • - In the United States, one of the funniest recent examples

    - 在美國,最近一個最有趣的例子是

  • was Joe Biden setting up his own TikTok recently,

    喬-拜登最近建立了自己的 TikTok、

  • and the first caption was titled "lol hey guys."

    第一個標題是 "笑死你們"。

  • - I didn't say I was for the Eagles

    - 我沒說我支持老鷹隊

  • and I'd be sleeping alone.

    我一個人睡

  • - Let's go back to Indonesia, Prabowo Subianto,

    - 讓我們回到印尼,普拉博沃-蘇比安託、

  • this ex-General with a very controversial record

    這位記錄極具爭議性的前將軍

  • who's now trying to appeal to youth.

    他現在正試圖吸引年輕人。

  • He danced. He did this jig.

    他跳起舞來。他跳的是吉格舞

  • (upbeat party music)

    (歡快的派對音樂)

  • His dances became viral, and supporters picked it up

    他的舞蹈成了病毒,支持者們紛紛效仿

  • and made their own interpretations.

    並做出自己的解釋。

  • And suddenly, he became this dancing grandpa

    突然間,他變成了這個跳舞的爺爺

  • who cuddled cats.

    誰抱過貓

  • The one thing that political scientists worry about

    政治學家擔心的一件事

  • is essentially a vicious circle where young people

    這基本上是一個惡性循環,年輕人

  • get demoralized because they feel like their options

    士氣低落,因為他們覺得自己的選擇

  • are only older leaders.

    只有年長的領導人。

  • They maybe don't vote.

    他們也許不投票。

  • - [Narrator] So, politicians might favor policies

    - [旁白]是以,政治家們可能會傾向於政策

  • important to those who voted for them,

    對投票給他們的人來說很重要、

  • and ignore those that are more important to younger people.

    而忽略了那些對年輕人更重要的東西。

  • - There's all sorts of policies in the world

    - 世界上有各種各樣的政策

  • that disproportionately affect young people.

    這些問題對年輕人的影響尤為嚴重。

  • Policies on education, unemployment, childcare.

    教育、失業和兒童保育政策。

  • - [Narrator] That was the case in Japan where younger mayors

    - 旁白] 日本的情況就是如此,年輕的市長們

  • were more likely to increase spending on childcare,

    更有可能增加育兒支出、

  • which was important to younger voters.

    這對年輕選民很重要。

  • - Younger politicians were much more likely to dedicate

    - 年輕的政治家更有可能致力於

  • that spending toward investment for the long term.

    將支出用於長期投資。

  • You know, these younger politicians

    你知道,這些年輕的政治家

  • potentially have greater concern for the future,

    有可能對未來有更大的擔憂、

  • particularly in a country like Japan that faces

    特別是在日本這樣一個面臨

  • these challenges for the social welfare budget

    社會福利預算面臨的這些挑戰

  • of a rapidly aging population and declining birth rates.

    人口迅速老齡化和出生率下降。

  • - [Narrator] And if younger voters feel

    - [旁白] 如果年輕選民覺得

  • like their interests aren't represented,

    好像他們的利益沒有得到代表、

  • it can lead to a lack of trust in the government.

    它可能導致人們對政府缺乏信任。

  • - Our planet's on fire.

    - 我們的星球著火了

  • - The world's changing very fast.

    - 世界變化非常快。

  • There are a lot of new, big challenges that we face.

    我們面臨著許多新的、巨大的挑戰。

  • It can make young people question

    它會讓年輕人質疑

  • the legitimacy of the system if the politicians

    如果政治家們

  • who are attempting or sort of attempting

    試圖或某種程度上試圖

  • to tackle these problems are quite a bit older.

    解決這些問題的方法已經有相當長的歷史了。

  • - [Narrator] That's particularly true when it comes

    - [旁白]當涉及到

  • to rapidly advancing tech and social media.

    與飛速發展的科技和社交媒體相適應。

  • - How do you sustain a business model

    - 如何維持商業模式

  • in which users don't pay for your service?

    用戶不為您的服務付費?

  • - Senator, we run ads.

    - 參議員,我們做廣告。

  • - How does that show up on a seven-year-old's iPhone

    - 這怎麼會出現在一個 7 歲孩子的 iPhone 上?

  • who's playing a kid's game?

    誰在玩小孩子的遊戲?

  • - Congressman, iPhone is made by a different company.

    - 議員先生,iPhone 是由另一家公司生產的。

  • - So, if you don't have a sort of greater age diversity

    - 所以,如果你沒有一種更大的年齡多樣性

  • at the decision making table,

    在決策桌前、

  • then you're really missing out on people

    那你就真的錯過了很多人

  • who have this direct personal experience.

    有這種直接親身經歷的人。

  • Much greater familiarity with how technology is changing

    更加熟悉技術的變化方式

  • and can use that expertise to all of our advantage.

    並能利用這些專業知識為我們大家服務。

  • (bright rhythmic music)

    (明快的音樂)

- [Narrator] All 10 of the world's most populated countries

- 世界上人口最多的十個國家

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