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  • Every once in a while, a revolutionary product

  • comes along. That changes everything.

  • Today, Apple is going to reinvent the phone.

  • And here it is.

  • First introduced to the world in 2007, Apple's

  • iPhone has become one of the world's most

  • successful products of all time.

  • The early results are in, Apple's declaring the

  • iPhone launch a success.

  • Some estimates suggest that Apple will sell as

  • many as 400,000 units this weekend alone.

  • This is it. This is the device that everyone's

  • been waiting for.

  • Nearly two decades.

  • And 42 models later, the iPhone has made it into

  • the hands of billions of people, redefining the

  • meaning of a phone.

  • The iPhone from 2007 to a comparable period in 2022

  • has sold about 2.2 billion.

  • There was immediately a sense that this was a very

  • big deal.

  • All of the other main competitors were either

  • killed or kind of self-destructed.

  • This is the story of the iPhone and how it changed

  • the world.

  • Apple was founded in 1976 by Steve Jobs and Steve

  • Wozniak. Today, it's a household name and one of

  • the world's most valuable companies.

  • But it started with humble beginnings.

  • Before the iPhone, Apple had had a near-death

  • experience where bills were piling up.

  • Jobs was ousted by Apple in 1985 after a power

  • struggle between himself and another executive.

  • In July of 1997, he rejoined the company,

  • looking to save it from financial ruin.

  • Steve Jobs had to return, and one of the first

  • things he did when he got back to Apple in 1997 was

  • cut lots of stuff.

  • One of the first products to go was Apple's Newton,

  • the company's failed attempt at a handheld

  • device.

  • Apple had also been burned with the Newton, and

  • until the iPod, they didn't want to touch

  • anything to do with mobile.

  • It was basically a Mac business and when Steve

  • Jobs returned in 1997, his first efforts were

  • related to revamping the Mac line.

  • He did manage to turn Apple around.

  • It was basically had been written off as being a

  • dying company, and he brought it back with iMacs

  • and AirPort, an early version of Wi-Fi.

  • Various things, but no attempt to do mobile at

  • that point.

  • In 1998, introducing the iMac.

  • Apple's business at that time did about $6 billion

  • in revenue per year, and in the year after that

  • iMac came out, the business jumped.

  • It grew at 33%.

  • By 2001, though, the business had declined to

  • about a $5 billion revenue business.

  • In the same year that business was declining,

  • Apple attempted to reinvent itself,

  • introducing the iPod, a portable digital music

  • player.

  • The iPod was the first venture into mobile and

  • consumer electronics, and the iPod was wildly

  • successful, but very much a niche product.

  • The majority of growth from Apple from 2001 to

  • 2007 was almost entirely was from the iPod.

  • This was really the golden age and the period

  • where Apple had reinvented themselves in

  • the eyes of investors as being more than just a

  • computer company.

  • Before Apple entered mobile devices, much of

  • the cell phone development took place

  • outside of Silicon Valley.

  • There was i-mode in Japan, which was like the mobile

  • web. In 1999, there was Symbian in Europe,

  • BlackBerry in Canada, Motorola in Texas, and

  • Palm here in Silicon Valley.

  • So basically mobile by the 2000 was seen as

  • something that was probably not going to be a

  • Silicon Valley story.

  • During the early 2000, one of the world's best

  • selling phones was the Nokia 3310, and by 2005,

  • the Finnish company had sold its one billionth

  • mobile phone. But then in January 2007, Apple and

  • Steve Jobs shocked the world with the

  • groundbreaking announcement.

  • These are not three separate devices.

  • This is one device.

  • And we are calling it iPhone.

  • Steve Jobs, when he revealed it, he said this

  • is an internet communicator, like he

  • threw it out. These are three products.

  • It's not just an iPod phone.

  • In a 2007 interview with CNBC, Jobs said Apple's

  • goal was to take 1% of the market share.

  • It exclusively partnered with phone carrier AT&T in

  • order to achieve this goal, selling its first

  • iPhone for $499.

  • However, industry veterans and competitors

  • remain skeptical.

  • Why in the world would Apple Computer want to

  • jump into the handset market?

  • With so much competition and already so many

  • players.

  • We use all the handsets out there and uh boy, is

  • it frustrating. It's really frustrating.

  • It's a category that that needs to be reinvented.

  • And we think what we've done is to, is to reinvent

  • the phone and completely change what your

  • expectations are going to be for what you can carry

  • in your pocket.

  • Steve Ballmer, who at the time was the CEO of

  • Microsoft, was one of the people that expressed

  • skepticism that it would ever sell well.

  • Steve Ballmer pooh poohed it as not being a, you

  • know, it's not going to go anywhere.

  • It doesn't have a keyboard Business people

  • want a keyboard.

  • Other companies, though, like BlackBerry, you know,

  • made a very combative statement that this won't

  • make any difference.

  • Investors were optimistic about what the iPhone

  • could, the impact that it could have with Apple.

  • And when it was released in the summer of 2007, the

  • initial data that came out from AT&T was a

  • disappointment from that first few days of sales,

  • and I remember talking to investors after that first

  • weekend, and the general sense was that this

  • product, in one investor's words, was

  • "dead on arrival."

  • Apple sold 1.4 million iPhones in 2007, with 80%

  • of those sales coming in Q4.

  • For perspective, in the same year, Nokia sold 7.4

  • million mobile phones in Q4 alone.

  • Nokia was seen as unstoppable, unbeatable in

  • the late 90s early 2000.

  • They shipped a lot of devices.

  • The investing community largely took this as

  • something that is going to be a much more

  • difficult market for Apple to really crack.

  • Although the iPhone debuted to lackluster

  • sales, one feature was about to change the

  • trajectory forever.

  • For the first year, you couldn't download apps.

  • There were no apps, there was no App Store.

  • There were staffers at Apple that pushed very

  • hard for the App Store.

  • And then that became the defining feature of the

  • iPhone. And that was just absolutely crazy.

  • That started the rocket rise.

  • The 2008 launch of the App Store ultimately led to

  • the demise of dominant companies like BlackBerry,

  • whose products didn't offer similar

  • integrations. It also spurred a new wave of

  • modern tech companies and put Apple ahead of its

  • competitors.

  • Uber didn't exist before.

  • Facebook predates the iPhone, but Facebook

  • pivoted really hard. Mark Zuckerberg, he was like,

  • no, that's a future.

  • We have to have the best iPhone app that exists.

  • The App Store allowed your phone to become a lot

  • more. What the traditional phone

  • manufacturers missed is they missed the App Store.

  • That was the piece that that incite that other

  • phone manufacturers didn't see that coming.

  • In the years following the App Store, Apple took off.

  • In 2011, the iPhone 4S helped Apple reach a

  • milestone. Over 50 million iPhones were sold

  • for the first time in a year, and by 2015, Apple

  • was selling over 200 million iPhone units

  • yearly.

  • The App Store was a huge thing, and Android

  • basically followed that model with the Play Store.

  • I don't think there's any question the iPhone set,

  • the standard that really almost all phones have

  • followed since then.

  • A decade after the App Store launched, Apple hit

  • a historic $1 trillion market cap, becoming the

  • first publicly traded U.S .

  • company to do so.

  • Today, there are nearly 1.5 billion active iPhone

  • users, and the iPhone dominates in the U.S.

  • with 53% of the market share.

  • In 2019, Apple stopped breaking out iPhone unit

  • sales, but it's estimated that more than 2.3 billion

  • iPhone units have been sold to date.

  • After 15 generations of the iPhone and becoming a

  • $3 trillion company, what else is left for Apple?

  • The whole smartphone industry is is facing a

  • real question. I mean, we don't need a new iPhone

  • every year. The consumer doesn't, but Apple does

  • because it's the way the company works.

  • But there is no clear n ext feature

  • .

  • For the first time, Apple has surpassed Samsung as a

  • smartphone leader, holding 20% of the global

  • market share, but Samsung is not far behind and

  • previously held the spot since 2010.

  • There is a period from 2008 to 2015

  • where Apple needed to worry about what Samsung

  • was going to do with Android. Their market

  • share was actually declining globally from

  • call it 20%, but what Apple has been the master

  • at is building the ecosystem.

  • I can't imagine a scenario where Samsung,

  • for example, can build a suite of products that is

  • going to disrupt the Apple ecosystem.

  • And I'm always nervous at that view, because that's

  • what people said about BlackBerry in 2007, is

  • that the email client was so fundamental, but in

  • this case, Apple's taking over so many parts of our

  • lives, it's hard to imagine that any

  • competition is going to impact them.

  • Samsung is still Apple's biggest competitor,

  • continuously innovating and launching new products

  • like foldables.

  • But Apple's high selling price means it's one of

  • the most profitable companies in the world.

  • For an American deciding what phone to buy.

  • Almost always, it's Apple versus Samsung.

  • The one thing Apple has really been emphasizing

  • lately is services, and that's something that

  • Samsung can't easily match because they don't

  • have the same kind of software organization.

  • We want to be an industry example.

  • We're really just focused on how do we create the

  • very best products for our users, and what do we

  • need to do to enable that?

  • Apple is also dabbling in machine learning in A.I.

  • A.I. Is going to be critical to humanity, and

  • it's going to be a critical feature inside of

  • iPhones. And today, Apple uses A.I.

  • to make the products work better with organizing

  • photos, with helping organize emails, and

  • potentially doing things around text organization.

  • But for the most part is that the iPhone doesn't

  • capture the full opportunity.

  • Far from it when it comes to A.I.

  • The things in iOS 17 today like, you know, being able

  • to lift the subject from a photo or advanced

  • autocorrect, or developing a personal

  • voice for those at risk of speech loss.

  • These are incredibly compute-intensive,

  • intelligent capabilities, but having them happen on

  • the device again can help preserve that user

  • privacy.

  • The way that people use their iPhones is going to

  • be very different than it is today.

  • Imagine having this concept of a personal

  • assistant, even though we haven't heard much about

  • that from Apple, I suspect that that's going

  • to be an important feature and function and

  • use case for the iPhone in the decade ahead.

Every once in a while, a revolutionary product

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