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  • Ebola is one of the deadliest viruses we know of.

  • If left untreated, it kills about half of those it infects.

  • It can spread through pretty much every fluid your body makes,

  • including blood and sweat.

  • Even the dead can transmit the disease, often doing so at their own funerals.

  • On December 26th, 2013, a two-year-old boy in southern Guinea got sick.

  • Just two days later, he died.

  • It took local doctors working with the international community

  • four months to discover that Ebola was to blame,

  • largely because it had never before been detected outside of Central Africa.

  • In those four months, Ebola gained a head start that would prove devastating.

  • The outbreak lasted two years

  • and mushroomed into the largest Ebola epidemic in recorded history.

  • More than 28,000 people contracted the disease and over 11,000 died.

  • In 2013, Guinea had no formal emergency response system,

  • few trained contact tracers, and no rapid tests,

  • border screenings, or licensed vaccine for Ebola.

  • After that epidemic, Guinea,

  • with the support of the US and other international partners,

  • completely overhauled their epidemic response system.

  • And in January 2021, that system faced its first real test.

  • It started when a nurse in southern Guinea developed a headache, vomiting, and fever.

  • A few days later, she died.

  • As dictated by traditional burial practices,

  • her family prepared her body for the funeral.

  • Within a week, the nurse's husband and other family members

  • started experiencing symptoms.

  • Health officials suspected Ebola much quicker than in 2013 and ordered tests.

  • They came back positive,

  • and Guinea activated its epidemic alert system the next day.

  • Then, lots of things happened very quickly.

  • Guinea's National Agency for Health Security

  • activated 38 district-level emergency operations centers,

  • as well as a national one.

  • Teams of epidemiologists and contact tracers began the painstaking job

  • of figuring out exactly who was exposed and when,

  • generating a list of 23 initial contacts that quickly grew to over 1,100.

  • Advanced rapid testing capacity spun up in the city where the outbreak started.

  • At Guinea's borders with Liberia and Cote d'Ivoire,

  • public health workers screened more than 2 million travelers.

  • A large-scale vaccination campaign was started.

  • And, finally, more than 900 community mobilizers

  • alerted people of the outbreak

  • and suggested alternative burial practices that were acceptable to the community

  • and reduced the risk of spreading Ebola.

  • Thanks to all these measures,

  • the 2021 outbreak ended just four months after it began.

  • Only 23 people contracted Ebola; only 12 died.

  • That's less than 1% of the deaths in the prior outbreak.

  • The 2021 outbreak cost $100 million to control

  • which sounds like a lot but pales in comparison

  • to the global economic cost of the previous outbreak:

  • $53 billion.

  • So should every country just copy Guinea's approach?

  • Not exactly.

  • It is always important to respond to an outbreak quickly,

  • so an early warning system is essential.

  • But beyond that, a successful response can look very different

  • for different diseases in different countries.

  • For example, Brazil quenched an outbreak of yellow fever,

  • which is spread by mosquitoes,

  • primarily by mounting a massive vaccination campaign.

  • That strategy worked well for Brazil

  • because it's one of the major global producers of the yellow fever vaccine,

  • and its population was accustomed to regular, routine vaccinations.

  • But for many diseases, you don't even need a mass vaccination program.

  • In August of 2021, a truck driver tested positive for cholera in Burkina Faso.

  • Health care workers alerted the government that same day

  • and contact tracing began immediately.

  • Cholera is caused by a bacterium,

  • so Burkina Faso gave antibiotics to those exposed or potentially exposed.

  • This extremely fast response stopped the outbreak

  • just a few weeks after it started.

  • Cholera often rears its head in West Africa

  • in 2021, there were over 100,000 cases and more than 3,700 deaths.

  • Because Burkina Faso was so well prepared, they had zero deaths that year.

  • Zero.

  • In Chiang Mai, Thailand, health officials piloted

  • a community-owned, community-driven outbreak alert system

  • to monitor animal health

  • that's important because some animal outbreaks have the potential

  • to spill over and become human outbreaks.

  • Villagers used an app to alert health authorities about outbreaks in animals.

  • Over the course of 16 months, 36 animal outbreaks were identified.

  • For any outbreak response system to be effective,

  • it needs to be trusted, valued, and ultimately used by communities.

  • That means reaching people where they are, in the language they speak,

  • and aware of the culture, beliefs, and practices with which they live.

  • Perhaps most importantly, we can't expect to do nothing for years

  • and then just swing into action when an outbreak occurs.

  • One of the best ways to save lives is to invest in lasting health infrastructure,

  • 365 days a year, for everyone,

  • especially the most vulnerable among us.

Ebola is one of the deadliest viruses we know of.

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4 epidemics that almost happened (but didn't) - George Zaidan(4 epidemics that almost happened (but didn't) - George Zaidan)

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