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[Music]
To understand the strategic decisions of the Second World War,
you have to understand the struggle for resources that underpinned it.
All wars to some extent are about resources, but this war was like no other conflict in history.
To power the vast engine of war,
to feed the complex machine that turned out tanks and bombs, trucks and ships,
that kept millions of men fed, armed, and clothed in the field,
the combatants of World War II needed a diversity and a quantity of natural resources
heretofore unconsidered in the annals of military planning.
And everybody knew that if they didn't get those resources,
it would just be a matter of time before the all-consuming engine of battle ground to a halt.
It was this fear that drove the Axis planning throughout much of the war.
If we look at the Allies, we see an unimaginable wealth of resources.
There were the oil and coal fields of Russia,
the vast farmland, minerals, and refineries of the United States,
and the far-flung empires of France and Britain,
which could draw in exotic resources from across the globe.
Now compare that to the Axis,
with the small island nation of Japan,
and the largely landlocked and noncolonial powers of Germany and Italy.
The Allies could fuel the war on resources they already had.
If the Axis was going to last at all, they needed to make up for what they lacked in war gains.
And this dictated early policy.
The Nazis knew that they were gonna lose their supplies of
cobalt, copper and, most importantly, oil, as soon as the war began in earnest,
for they had imported most of those materials from their soon-to-be enemies.
So they needed to find an alternative.
The Molotov-Ribbentrop pact with the Soviet Union not only assured that the Germans
wouldn't have to fight a two-front war,
but also laid out, in great detail,
a trade agreement that would have the USSR
provide Germany with the supplies of those
resources it would need to prosecute the war.
Next, the German planners had to tackle their lack of aluminum and iron.
And this served as part of the impetus for the invasion of Norway.
Not only would Norway serve as an excellent location for aluminum
production, but it secured German access to Sweden, which is where the vast
bulk of their iron imports came from. But the Germans would also need food if they
were going to feed and field an army of millions, and France served as one of the
most fertile regions in Europe. With a rapid conquest of France, Germany could
also hope to secure strategic reserves that would
buy them some time to pin down the other resources they were lacking. And so,
there's the first two years of the war. Other concerns certainly factored into
the strategic decision-making, but step by step, throughout the early war you can
follow the need to shore up the resources the German economy lacked, but
even after the massive German expansion of 1940, this left German planners with
one great concern: oil. Even after Nazi efforts to support
fascists in Romania brought the Romanian oil fields under their control, the
German war machine was consuming about 25 percent more oil than even the
expanded Reich could produce. Month after month, this shortfall was being made up
for by shipments from the USSR, but Nazi planners and the Nazi leadership lived
in a state of continual paranoia where the looming and perhaps quite real
possibility of Stalin simply cutting off oil shipments would spell an end to the
Reich. And this is where the resource war and the terrible ideology of the Third
Reich merge. While there were a number of military men who suggested that the
fascist war machine should break through North Africa and come to possess the oil
fields of the Middle East, Hitler with his need for Lebensraum, his hatred of
the Slavs and the Jews, and his foundational fear of communism instead
decided that the Nazi armies would move east into the heart of the Soviet Union
and to take possession of the Soviet oil fields. When this enormous effort stalled
out, there were some desperate attempts to turn south and pick up oil fields
closer to the Middle East, but by then it was too late.
Germany had used most of its reserves pushing into Russia, and as a result
would suffer shortages for the rest of the war. Japan faced a similar dilemma
but was perhaps in yet more dire straits because the overwhelming
majority of its trade before now had been with one single partner, the United
States. Most Japanese planners recognized this deficiency but also believed that
any expansion in the Pacific would almost certainly draw them into conflict
with the U.S. This led directly to a strategy that involved knocking the U.S.
out of the war as quickly as possible, but it also led to two other strategies
for the coming conflict, a set of strategies that would divide the
Japanese forces. The Army favored what is known as Hokushin-Ron, or the Northern
Expansion Doctrine, which called for a push through China into the
resource-rich country of Siberia. The central idea was that the army could
simultaneously bring the majority of raw materials that their economy needed
under Japanese control and cripple the Soviet Union's ability to prosecute a
war against Japan. The Navy, on the other hand, advocated
Nanshin-Ron or Southern Expansion Doctrine, which proposed sweeping up the
islands in the South Pacific to solve Japan's economic shortfalls, and both of
these doctrines would play a huge part in how the Japanese prosecuted the war.
in the outset of the war, with the invasion of China, we see the beginning
of the implementation of the Northern Expansion Doctrine, but though little
talked about in the history of World War II,
this approach ground to a halt when the Japanese tried to push up through
Mongolia and were turned back by the Soviets at the battles of Khalkhyn Gol.
Over 100,000 men fought an undeclared war there, and at its end, the
Japanese army was forced to abandon its dreams of Siberian conquest, which left
their Navy ascendant and free to push the doctrine that would win it the most
prestige. And thus began Japan's rapid expansion into the Pacific. The idea was
to strip the European nations already beleaguered by the war in the West of
all of their colonial possessions in Asia. And this became an utter necessity
because, by this point, the United States, Britain, China, and the Dutch government
in exile who controlled the all-important Dutch East Indies, had put
an embargo on Japan, denying it nearly 80% of its oil. And though this empire
was rolled back and finally shattered over the course of the coming years, it
does lead me to one last thing I wanted to talk about. You see, as the Japanese
expanded in the Pacific, they denied the Allies one key war material: rubber. 90%
of the world's rubber production came from the territory overrun by the
Japanese. So what did the Allies do? Left with no alternative, they synthesized
rubber. At the beginning of the Second World War,
only 0.4 percent of America's rubber was synthetic. But by the end, refineries
dotted America, and techniques for synthesizing rubber had been established
that underpin how we do it to this day and even now, with no war or great
international crisis, more of the world's rubber is synthesized than harvested. And
this may seem like a small thing, but it tells us something very important about
the Second World War. if World War I was the first truly
industrial war, the first war where mass production and industrial capacity truly
tipped the balance, World War II was the first scientific war, where things like
radar, computing, and the atomic bomb would help to decide the world's fate.
And not least among these scientific advances were synthetics. Without
synthetics, the resource war may have been lost.
And while the creation of synthetic forms of many
natural resources may not get heralded the way that the radar or the jet engine
do, it changed the war and changed the world economy forever. So if you want to
understand policy decisions in World War II, whether they be strategic or
scientific, one good place to start is to follow the resources. I hope some of
these episodes got you thinking in a new way about the Second World War. I know
they're not our usual epic story fair, but we wanted to take this opportunity
to talk about tactics, ideas, and policies that had a huge impact but sometimes get
glossed over in the grand scheme of things. This more or less concludes our
discussion of resources in World War II, but as long as we're talking World War II,
we wanted to take a closer look at the battle of Britain.
So we'll see you soon for that.