Name: 美國的保守派是如何轉向反對疫苗的 (How American conservatives turned against the vaccine)
Uploaded: 2022-05-17T23:59:23.000Z
Duration: 14 min 48 s

We're entering the third year of the pandemic and in the US

我們正在進入該大流行病的第三年，在美國

the loss of life, month by month,  for two years, looks like this.

兩年來，逐月的生命損失看起來是這樣的。

Altogether more than 900,000 people have died.

the distribution of the vaccines dramatically changed the nature of the pandemic.

疫苗的分發極大地改變了該大流行病的性質。

If we look closer at the delta wave  and the beginning of omicron

如果我們更仔細地看一下delta波和omicron的開始

we see the deaths of unvaccinated people were much higher than vaccinated people.

我們看到未接種疫苗者的死亡人數遠遠高於接種疫苗者。

This data comes from a subset of US states and cities that provide immunization data.

這些數據來自美國各州和城市提供免疫數據的子集。

While the delta wave did kill  some vaccinated people

雖然三角波確實殺死了一些接種疫苗的人

the risk was 15 times higher  if you were unvaccinated.

如果你沒有接種疫苗，其風險要高15倍。

Philly Baird was one of those  unvaccinated people.

菲利-貝爾德是那些未接種疫苗的人之一。

And he started going live on his  Facebook page from the hospital.

他開始在醫院的Facebook頁面上進行直播。

In one of the videos he recommends to his friends and family that they get the vaccine.

在其中一個視頻中，他向他的朋友和家人建議他們接種疫苗。

Do you think that was a  hard thing for him to say?

你認為這對他來說是一件難事嗎？

Yes, because that's not what he had been communicating, you know, prior to that.

是的，因為這不是他一直在溝通的，你知道，在這之前。

But I think that he would want me to communicate what I know he wanted

但我認為，他希望我傳達我知道他想要的東西。

and that is for you to look at his situation

you could get severe the Covid like he did  and be fighting for your life.

你可以像他那樣得到嚴重的Covid，併為你的生命而戰。

And then have a lot of regrets that you didn't have the vaccine at that time.

然後有很多遺憾，你當時沒有接種疫苗。

"You know I was one of those  that sat there and kinda

"你知道我是那些坐在那裡，有點

was more on the political side with Covid and all."

更多的是在政治方面，與科維德和所有。"

"我們必須把所有這些放在一邊。"

Now when it comes to the political breakdown on vaccinations, there are two things to know.

現在談到關於疫苗接種的政治細分，有兩件事需要知道。

One is that a majority of Republicans are vaccinated with at least 1 dose

一個是大多數共和黨人至少接種了1劑疫苗

according to the most recent survey  from the Kaiser Family Foundation.

根據凱撒家庭基金會的最新調查。

The 2nd thing to know is that most  unvaccinated Americans are Republican.

要知道的第二件事是，大多數未接種疫苗的美國人是共和黨人。

So the question is: how does that affect the balance of lives lost?

是以，問題是：這如何影響到生命損失的平衡？

Well, we can plot the states directly by their 2020 election results

那麼，我們可以根據各州2020年的選舉結果直接繪製出各州的情況

with the red states on the right and the blue states on the left.

右邊是紅色的州，左邊是藍色的州。

And we can look at their death rates since April 2021.

而我們可以看一下他們自2021年4月以來的死亡率。

The Republican states were suffering  much bigger losses.

共和黨各州遭受的損失要大得多。

And I want to stress that this relationship wasn't there before the vaccines.

我想強調的是，這種關係在接種疫苗之前是不存在的。

This is the same chart, but it shows death rates before April 2021.

這是同一個圖表，但它顯示了2021年4月之前的死亡率。

And they're much more spread out, with Covid hitting blue states as hard as red ones.

而且它們更加分散，科維德對藍州和紅州的打擊同樣嚴重。

So what I want to understand is the series of events that took us from this... to this.

所以我想了解的是把我們從這個......帶到這個的一系列事件。

"The Democrats are in a full-court freak out over coronavirus

"民主黨在冠狀病毒問題上全面發飆

after Ted cruz self-isolated  after coming into contact..."

在泰德-克魯茲接觸後自我隔離..."

A very accomplished radio entertainment personality.

一個非常有成就的廣播娛樂人士。

"New York Times even called it the Trump virus."

"紐約時報 "甚至稱其為 "特朗普病毒"。

"Can you imagine if the Ebola virus had been called the Obama virus?"

"你能想象如果埃博拉病毒被稱為奧巴馬病毒嗎？"

He was on air in July and you can hear him kind of talking through the symptoms.

他在7月的直播中，你可以聽到他在談論這些症狀。

"And yesterday was probably my worst day and just the shaking and the chills..."

"而昨天可能是我最糟糕的一天，只是發抖和發冷..."

"And as I've told you, I'm not judging anybody either way."

"而且我已經告訴過你，我不會以任何方式評判任何人。"

"If you want to get the vaccine,  it's a personal health decision."

"如果你想接種疫苗，這是一個個人健康決定。"

"I made the decision that I probably wouldn't die from it."

"我做了一個決定，我可能不會是以而死。"

"Phil would like his listeners to know that he regrets not being more vehemently pro-vaccine."

"菲爾希望他的聽眾知道，他很後悔沒有更強烈地支持疫苗。"

"He is in the hospital in the critical-care unit..."

"他在醫院的重症監護室裡......"

我們知道這一切是如何結束的。

"We're all very sad right now at the passing of a friend and a colleague."

"我們現在都對一位朋友和同事的去世感到非常難過。"

"And our thoughts and prayers go out to Susan and the boys at their tremendous loss."

"我們對蘇珊和孩子們的巨大損失表示同情和祈禱。"

Had he been opposed to other types of vaccines in the past?

他過去是否反對過其他類型的疫苗？

Were his or his kids vaccinated  with the school vaccines?

他或他的孩子是否接種了學校的疫苗？

It's not obvious that Republicans would be more vaccine hesitant.

共和黨人會不會有更多的疫苗猶豫不決，這並不明顯。

Similar percentages of Democrats and Republicans

民主黨人和共和黨人的比例相似

said they get the flu shot “every year” according to a May 2020 poll.

根據2020年5月的一項民意調查，表示他們 "每年 "都會注射流感疫苗。

And in 2019, the Pew Research Center  found that

而在2019年，皮尤研究中心發現，

nearly identical shares of  Republicans and Democrats

共和黨人和民主黨人的比例幾乎相同

said that the benefits of the vaccinating kids for measles, mumps, and rubella

表示，為孩子們接種麻疹、腮腺炎和風疹疫苗的好處是

Republicans were slightly less likely to say they should be required

共和黨人認為應該要求他們的可能性略低

that we see in Covid vaccination rates today.

我們今天在科威德疫苗接種率中看到的。

One way to understand that gap is to consider the vastly different information environments

理解這種差距的一個方法是考慮到巨大的資訊環境

共和黨人和民主黨人都生活在其中。

This is a list of news sources trusted by at least 40% of Democrats

這是一份至少有40%的民主黨人信任的新聞來源清單

"... health officials warn..." "... the highest daily rate..."

"...衛生官員警告說...""......每天的最高比率......"

"... the Covid variant was first reported..."

"......Covid的變體首次被報道......"

"... the latest data from the centers..."

And here's a list of news sources trusted by at least 40% of Republicans.

而這裡有一份至少有40%的共和黨人信任的新聞來源清單。

What this means is that American conservatives are quite exposed to the editorial choices

這意味著，美國的保守派對編輯部的選擇有相當的接觸

And on vaccine coverage, that network's choices have been confusing.

而在疫苗覆蓋方面，該網絡的選擇一直很混亂。

"It's a great vaccine. It's a safe vaccine."

"這是一種偉大的疫苗。它是一種安全的疫苗。

"It is something that can keep you out of the hospital."

"這是能讓你遠離醫院的東西。"

"How many people have been killed or injured by the Covid vaccines?

"有多少人因科威德疫苗而死亡或受傷？

"If your doctor says you're ok for it,  get it.

"如果你的醫生說你可以接受，就去做吧。

It's still protecting you and those around you."

它仍然在保護你和你周圍的人。"

"Why should you penalize people for not taking a vaccine which doesn't work?"

"為什麼你要懲罰人們不接種一種不起作用的疫苗？"

"The mRNA covid vaccines need to be withdrawn from the market now.

"mRNA covid疫苗現在需要從市場上撤下來。

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美國的保守派是如何轉向反對疫苗的 (How American conservatives turned against the vaccine)

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