You want teams, players, coaches, executives and everyone else involved to be doing everything they can to win.

你希望球隊、球員、教練、高管和其他所有參與的人都能竭盡全力去贏得比賽。

And they have exploited something that is out of proportion, which is that a shot that is not 50% harder is worth 50% more points.

而且他們還利用了一些不合比例的東西，那就是射門的難度不超過50%，就多值50%的分。

They have exploited that to a place where it makes no logical sense not to do it.

他們已經利用這一點，到了不這樣做沒有邏輯意義的地方。

So you cannot tell the team shoot fewer threes because it would be malpractice to do so.

所以你不能告訴球隊少投三分，因為這樣做是瀆職。

It would be a breach of your fiduciary responsibility.

這就違反了你的信託責任。

So what do they have to do?

那麼他們要做什麼呢？

They have to change the rules in the same way that pro football has multiple times changed rules in the same way that might Major League Baseball, National Hockey League and the NBA itself has changed rules multiple times.

他們必須改變規則，就像職業足球多次改變規則一樣，可能美國職業棒球大聯盟、國家冰球聯盟和NBA本身也多次改變規則。

They have done so in order to make the game more watchable, more competitive or more.

他們這樣做的目的是為了讓遊戲更具觀賞性，更具競爭力，或者更。

Whatever it is they want to be more of no one should have a problem with that and I certainly don't so let's solve this problem.

不管他們想成為更多的人，沒有人應該有問題，我當然也沒有問題，所以我們要解決這個問題。

Mine is that sort of rare genius that will not be fully appreciated until long after it's time Virginia's decided your genius.

我的是那種難得的天才，要等到很久以後，弗吉尼亞決定你的天才的時候，才會被充分欣賞。

He's genius.

他是天才。

See, we're not gonna appreciate your breath until you're gone.

你看，我們不會欣賞你的呼吸，直到你走了。

Brilliant.

輝煌。

Exactly So, hambo.

正是如此，漢博。

If you read the Kevin Hart of its Peace, he gives one suggestion of a solution that I don't like.

如果你讀過《凱文-哈特的和平》，他給出了一個我不喜歡的解決方案的建議。

Tell everybody what that is, the one about the limitation.

告訴大家那是什麼，關於限制的那個。

So one solution this is one that executives have even suggested is to cap the amount of three pointers that a team is allowed to take.

所以，一個解決方案這是高管們甚至提出的，那就是對球隊的三分球數量進行上限。

So you specify the number.

所以你要指定號碼。

You cannot exceed it.

你不能超過它。

And beyond that, any shot that you shoot beyond the three point arc would only count for two.

而除此之外，你在三分弧線外的任何投籃都只能算作兩分。

So there's a certain number of threes you can get in a game you can shoot from wherever you want, but only I'm just making this up 20 times, 15 times 25 times whatever it is.

所以，在一場比賽中，你可以在任何地方投出一定數量的三分球，但只是我隨便編了個20次，15次25次什麼的。

Only that number of times with that shot be worth three points.

只有這個次數與那個鏡頭才值得三分。

I don't love it.

我不愛它。

I don't love it.

我不愛它。

It feels contrived.

感覺很造作。

It feels like something you're following now.

感覺就像你現在在關注的東西。

Do you really want Jeff Van Gundy explaining to you?

你真的想讓傑夫-范甘迪給你解釋嗎？

Well, they've already made their 23 so From this point forward, you'll have a little graphic at the bottom of your screen.

好吧，他們已經做出了他們的23，所以從這一點開始，你將在螢幕底部有一個小圖形。

Three's remaining.

還剩三個。

I guess we would get used to that if they did it.

我想如果他們這樣做，我們會習慣的。

It's not a bad idea.

這不是一個壞主意。

I don't like it.

我不喜歡它。

It feels contrived.

感覺很造作。

The best solution feels like college overtime.

最好的解決辦法感覺是大學加班。

I hate college football's over time because it feels contrived.

我討厭大學足球的超時空，因為感覺很造作。

It doesn't feel like the game anymore.

感覺不像是遊戲了。

We're doing something else, and that's what I don't like about that.

我們在做別的事情，這就是我不喜歡的地方。

And that's what I don't like about this.

這也是我不喜歡的地方。

To me, The answer to this is so simple, so simple.

對我來說，這個答案是如此簡單，如此簡單。

Move the line back, just move it out.

把線往後移，就移出來。

The shot is just much too easy.

這個鏡頭實在是太簡單了。

So long as teams comfortably hit 30% of their shots, they will never stop.

只要球隊舒服地命中率達到30%，他們就不會停止。

Push the line back, get that number into the twenties.

把線往後推，把那個數字推到二十幾。

The moment the first digit on that shot is a two instead of a three.

那一瞬間，那一槍的第一個數字是2而不是3。

They will stop doing it because geniuses like Daryl Morey aren't trying to make the game boring.

他們會停止這樣做，因為像Daryl Morey這樣的天才並不是想讓遊戲變得無聊。

They're trying to win.

他們想贏。

They need to make this change because this is not what the game was intended to be.

他們需要做出這種改變，因為這不是遊戲的初衷。

It is an impediment to the watchability of it.

這對它的可看性是一種阻礙。

It has changed too many things about it.

它改變了太多關於它的事情。

Fundamentally, it has taken too many players out of the game i e.

從根本上說，它讓太多的玩家退出了遊戲即。

Big men.

大男人。

Their value has diminished to next to nothing.

他們的價值已經降低到幾乎沒有。

And the biggest one, the first one they have to take away is the corner.

而最大的一個，他們首先要帶走的是角落。

Three.

三號

Hambo gave me this statistic.

漢博給了我這個統計。

The league is shooting 40% on corner threes.

聯盟的角球三分命中率為40%。

Just think about that for a moment.

想一想就知道了。

That means for every 100 possessions if you take a corner three, you will score 100 and 20 points.

也就是說，每100次進攻如果採取角球三分，你將得到100分和20分。

You would have to shoot 60% from inside the arc in order to equal that.

你必須在內線投籃命中率達到60%，才能與之持平。

Shooting.

拍攝。

60% is what NBA players do 4 ft from the basket and closer.

60%是NBA球員在距離籃筐4英尺和更近的地方所做的。

So the minute you're 5 ft away from the basket, envision what 5 ft is the minute you're 5 ft away from the basket.

所以，在你離籃筐5英尺的那一刻，設想一下你離籃筐5英尺是什麼？

You were better off shooting a corner three than you are taking a shot from where you currently are.

你投一個角球三分，比你從目前的位置投籃要好。

It's just math.

這只是數學。

That's all analytics are.

這就是分析的全部內容。

We hate the word, but that's what it is.

我們討厭這個詞，但它就是這樣。

It's just math, and the people running these sports are math people Now.

這只是數學，而經營這些運動的人都是數學人現在。

When Daryl Morey and Charles Barkley were fighting on TV all the time.

當達里爾-莫雷和查爾斯-巴克利一直在電視上打架的時候。

Charles wasn't wrong.

查爾斯沒有說錯。

But he is wrong.

但他錯了。

The math wins.

數學贏了。

Math is an absolute.

數學是絕對的。

So is science, by the way.

對了，科學也是如此。

But let's not have that conversation right now.

但我們現在不要談這個話題。

These are not things that are open to opinion or interpretation.

這些都不是可以隨意評論或解釋的事情。

The math is the math.

數學就是數學。

60% is 60% 40% is 40%.

60%就是60% 40%就是40%。

And as long as players can make these shots, you watch the All Star Game the other night.

而只要球員能打出這些球，你看前幾天晚上的全明星賽。

Steph Curry and Damian Lillard are comfortably hoisting up 47 ft jump shots.

斯蒂芬-庫裡和達米安-利拉德正舒服地舉起47英尺的跳投。

They're not heaving the ball.

他們沒有把球傳出去。

They're shooting it in perfect form.

他們的拍攝形式非常完美。

So we got to move that back.

所以我們得把它移回來。

Now.

現在就去

How far back is something that we have to figure out?

多久以前的事情，我們要搞清楚？

Amber, What were you telling me?

琥珀，你剛才跟我說什麼？

What is the 29 ft?

29英尺是什麼？

The break even point here is 29 ft, meaning at that distance.

這裡的盈虧平衡點是29英尺，也就是說在這個距離。

That's when the the average field goal percentage goes below 33%.

這時，場均得分率就會低於33%。

But that's that's not a good stat, it seems to me, because people aren't taking that shot.

但在我看來，這並不是一個好的數據，因為人們並沒有採取這種拍攝方式。

Normally, people aren't taking a lot of 25 footers, right?

一般情況下，人們不會拿很多25英尺的東西，對吧？

That's just not the way these things are going.

這些事情不是這樣的。

People aren't shooting from 4 ft behind the line, 3 ft behind the law.

人們不是從線後4英尺處射擊，而是從法律後3英尺處射擊。

There are more than 1500 shots this season taken between 28 30 ft.

本賽季在28 30英尺之間有超過1500次拍攝。

A lot of shots, but a lot of those those are the particularly long ones.

很多鏡頭，但很多那些都是特別長的鏡頭。

How many shots were taken at 24 ft 25 ft just behind the line?

在24英尺25英尺的線後就拍了多少次？

Which is to say, I want and I still want the shot part of the game.

也就是說，我想要，我還是想要遊戲中的投籃部分。

I'm not taking the shot out of the game, but we just need to knock the percentage down a little bit.

我並不是要把鏡頭拿出來，但我們只需要把比例打低一點。

When the shot is just too easy, everyone can make it.

當鏡頭太簡單的時候，每個人都可以做到。

If you just knock that number down a dial it back, just a couple of percent, it will make all the difference.

如果你把那個數字敲下來再撥回去，只要幾個百分點，就會有很大的不同。

The league shoots 38% between 24 25 ft.

聯盟在24 25英尺之間的投籃命中率為38%。

It's still pretty high 38% so even that might not be enough.

38%還是挺高的，所以即使這樣可能也不夠。

But I'm willing to try.

但我願意嘗試。

I'm willing to start there.

我願意從那裡開始。

I'm not talking about moving it back to 29 ft.

我不是說要把它移回29英尺。

Don't get me wrong, that's crazy.

不要誤會我的意思，這太瘋狂了。

But if you just move it back, let's just start by moving it back a foot and see what happens.

但如果你只是把它往後移，我們就先把它往後移一尺，看看會發生什麼。

You're still going to get Steph Curry.

你還是會得到斯蒂芬-庫裡。

You're still going to get James Harden.

你還是會得到詹姆斯-哈登。

You're still going to get paid.

你還是會得到報酬的。

Melilla.

梅利利亞。

You're still going to get that.

你還是會得到的。

I'm not taking that out of the game, but you just can't have that be the best shot in every situation.

我並不是要把這一點排除在遊戲之外，但你不可能在任何情況下都把這一點作為最好的投籃。

You just cannot have teams when they're running a three on one break, flaring to the corners because they want to take a corner three instead of an uncontested layup.

你就是不能讓球隊在進行三對一突破的時候，因為想要拿下角球三分而不是毫無爭議的上籃，而向角球發起進攻。

That's just not basketball.

這根本不是籃球。

And I have to believe that people who run this sport agree with that.

我不得不相信，經營這項運動的人也同意這一點。

If you love the sport, if you if you have paid attention to it for longer than the last four years, you know I'm right.

如果你熱愛這項運動，如果你如果關注它的時間超過了過去四年，你知道我是對的。

So to me, that's the solution.

所以對我來說，這就是解決辦法。

Just start moving the line back until we figure it out.

就開始往後挪動線路，直到我們搞清楚為止。

Thank you for watching ESPN on YouTube for live streaming sports and premium content.

感謝您在YouTube上觀看ESPN的體育直播和優質內容。