He hated it immediately, and it is because he foresaw he had that rare genius to foresee.

他立刻恨得牙癢癢，就是因為他預見了自己有那種難得的天才預見。

What would happen, which is at the three point shot, has essentially ruined basketball as we have always known it.

會發生什麼，這是在三分球，基本上已經毀了我們一直以來的籃球。

And last night it was taken to its final and most ridiculous extreme.

而昨晚，它被帶到了最後最可笑的極端。

I my father would have lost his mind if you had seen this.

如果你看到這一切，我父親一定會失去理智的。

Now I'm going to describe for you the situation that took place last night.

現在我為大家描述一下昨天晚上發生的情況。

You almost have to see it.

你幾乎必須看到它。

We're on the radio here, you and I.

我們在廣播裡，你和我。

So you almost have to see this.

所以你幾乎要看這個。

But I'm going to do my best to paint the picture for you.

但我會盡我所能為你畫出這幅畫。

The Nuggets are playing the Wizards.

掘金隊對陣奇才隊。

The Nuggets are down by two and they get a defensive rebound with six seconds left down to in regulation.

掘金隊落後2分，他們在常規賽還剩6秒的時候拿到一個防守籃板。

And Jamal Murray, who gets the rebound, is racing up court with the ball six seconds left, and they have a four on one break, four on one.

而拿到籃板的賈馬爾-穆雷，正帶著球往場上衝，還剩6秒，他們有一個四對一的突破，四對一。

He pulls up at the three point line and the other three Nuggets all race to the corners.

他在三分線拉起，另外三個掘金隊都在角逐。

They all race outside the three point line.

他們都在三分線外比賽。

No one goes to the basket.

沒有人去籃下。

Anyone standing under the basket would have an uncontested dunk or lay up a 99.999% shot from the floor.

任何人站在籃下都會毫無爭議的扣籃或者上籃，99.999%的投籃率。

They all race to the three point line.

他們都在爭奪三分線。

They were not putting up a shot that doesn't even come close and they lose.

他們並沒有放出一個根本就不靠譜的鏡頭，他們就輸了。

And it is just the perfect illustration of where we have gone wrong.

而這恰恰是我們出錯的最好說明。

Because here is what we sometimes lose track of analytics are extraordinarily valuable, They are important and they are not to be ignored.

因為這裡是我們有時會忽略的，分析是非常有價值的，它們是重要的，是不可忽視的。

But they also cannot be the only consideration.

但也不能把它們作為唯一的考慮因素。

And here's what I mean by that during the course of a game and over the course of a season, if you want to tell me that pulling up for three on a fast break in the long run will result in more points than having guys go to the basket and getting higher percentage looks at two, I'll buy that.

而我的意思是，在一場比賽的過程中，在一個賽季的過程中，如果你想告訴我，從長遠來看，在快攻中拉起三分，會比讓人去籃下，在兩個人身上得到更高的百分比的外觀更多的分數，我會相信。

It's probably right, but my kid play basketball for years.

也許是對的，但我的孩子打了多年的籃球。

I cannot tell you how many practices I have sat and listened to when my son from the time he was eight until last year, when they called off this basketball season because of the coronavirus.

我不能告訴你我兒子從八歲開始一直到去年他們因為冠狀病毒而叫停這個籃球賽季時，我坐著聽了多少次訓練。

And how many times I heard the coaches yelling these two words clock and score clock and score clock and scored.

而我多少次聽到教練員喊這兩個字時鐘和得分時鐘和得分時鐘和得分。

Clock and score definitely are more important than analytics clock and score.

時鐘和分數絕對比分析時鐘和分數更重要。

You cannot add two and two and get five if you know what the clock and score are.

如果你知道時鐘和分數是什麼，你就不可能把二和二相加，得到五。

So yes, if that happens in the middle of the third quarter and those guys, I'll fly out to the wings into the corners and they wind up getting a good look at three over the course of the long haul that might wind up being the best thing to do.

所以，是的，如果這種情況發生在第三節中段，那些傢伙，我會飛到翅膀到角落，他們風得到一個很好的外觀三在長期的過程中，這可能是最好的事情。

But if anyone and I'm looking right at him, But who is my vice president of analytics?

但如果有人和我對視，但誰是我的分析副總裁？

If you try to tell me that was the right play in that moment I'm going to a remove your hashtag.

如果你想告訴我那是正確的打法... ...我就會刪除你的標籤。

You're close to earning a hashtag on this show.

你就差在這個節目中賺取一個標籤了。

Baba has a hashtag new no has a hashtag I'm close to.

巴巴有一個標籤新無有一個標籤我接近。

I'm going to remove your hashtag and further I'm going to eject you from the room.

我要把你的標籤去掉，進一步的，我要把你趕出房間。

Is what did they make the right play last night?

是什麼他們昨晚做了正確的發揮？

They did not make the right play last night, but you are conflating a tad bit.

他們昨晚沒有做出正確的打法，但你有點混為一談了。

Tell me So you, you hating analytics in this case is different than the analytics don't work.

告訴我所以你，你討厭分析在這種情況下和分析不工作是不同的。

So right now the offense in the NBA is thriving at a level which it never has before, in large part because of the analytics, in fact, unwatchable.

所以現在NBA的進攻興盛到了一個前所未有的程度，很大程度上是因為分析的原因，其實是看不懂的。

But eight of the 10 best offensive seasons in NBA history happening right?

但NBA歷史上10個最佳進攻賽季中有8個發生了吧？

Right now I'm aware of that.

現在我意識到了這一點。

So part of that is that no one is playing defense because everyone is tired and the games are all kind of jam together and all of that kind of stuff.

所以一部分原因是沒有人防守，因為大家都累了，比賽都是那種卡在一起的，諸如此類。

But go on, I'm listening.

但繼續，我在聽。

All I'm saying is like, for example, with baseball, we pointed to Blake Snell.

我想說的是，比如說，棒球，我們指的是布雷克-斯內爾。

Being removed from the World Series game is like an indictment on analytics, right?

在世界大賽中被除名，就像是對分析學的控訴吧？

Like you can't just pick certain things that don't work and then blanket analytics as the reason why.

就像你不能只挑某些沒用的東西，然後一概分析為原因。

Correct?

對嗎？

Yes, you can hear is why you can, because analytics have a place, an important place.

是的，你能聽到就是為什麼能聽到，因為分析有一個地方，一個重要的地方。

But they are not the only consideration.

但它們不是唯一的考慮因素。

So if in the decisive game of the World Series you're starting, pitcher is dealing and you look at the situation and say, If I make this move every single time, it comes up for me during the course of a season, in the long run like like analytics are like playing blackjack.

所以如果在世界大賽的決定性比賽中，你是先發，投手在發牌，你看情況說，如果我每一次都做這個動作，在一個賽季的過程中，它就會出現在我的身上，從長遠來看，就像像分析學就像玩21點一樣。

If you go to Vegas or Atlantic City, or I guess now you can play blackjack anywhere.

如果你去拉斯維加斯或大西洋城，或者我想現在你可以在任何地方玩21點。

If you go play blackjack, there's a way you should play.

如果你去玩21點，你應該有一個玩法。

My father taught me that, too, and if someone is playing wrong at the table, my father would get up and leave with great prejudice.

我的父親也是這樣教我的，如果有人在桌上玩錯了，父親就會帶著極大的偏見起身離開。

He would, he would.

他會的，他會的。

He would not hide.

他不會隱藏。

I'll tell you a great story about that in a minute.

我一會給你講個好故事。

But my point is that makes sense, because over the course, if you play 100 hands, then you can come as close as possible to tilting the odds in your favor by playing right by hitting on 16 against a face card and all the rest of that.

但我的觀點是有道理的，因為在這個過程中，如果你打了100手牌，那麼你可以通過打對牌，打在16上對面牌和其他所有的牌，儘可能地接近傾斜於你的賠率。

But you will lose multiple times doing that, and you go into it knowing it.

但你這樣做會輸多次，你去做也知道。

So in no one situation, each one situation there is room for taking into account.

所以，在任何一種情況下，每一種情況都有考慮到的空間。

In these circumstances, the analytics don't really apply.

在這種情況下，分析學並不適用。

It doesn't matter if over the course of 100 times, this would work more often than not.

如果在100次的過程中，這不要緊，這樣做會比不做更有效。

I'm dealing in this one moment, and in this one moment there's a much better chance of my winning this game if I throw the ball to the guy underneath the basket for an uncontested layup than if I throw it on the wing to an undrafted rookie.

我正在處理這一個時刻，在這一個時刻，如果我把球扔給籃下的人，讓他上籃，比我把球扔給一個未入選的新秀，我贏得這場比賽的機會要大得多。

Oh, I've never seen in my life to put up a three that doesn't even touch the recognizing.

呵呵，我這輩子都沒見過放個三的，連認識的都沒碰過。

The exception is what you're saying.

例外的是你說的。

Yes, recognizing, recognizing that analytics are a super valuable tool, but they are not the be all end all.

是的，認識到了，認識到分析是一個超級有價值的工具，但它們不是萬能的。

I suppose it should come as no surprise to anyone who watches our TV show that you're advocating a team going for the tie, you know, going for the tie.

我想，看我們電視節目的人應該不會感到驚訝，你主張球隊打平，你知道，打平。

First of all, the game doesn't end in a tie.

首先，比賽不會以平局結束。

You know that.

你知道的

See that you're risking your hashtag your your status is having a hashtag on.

看你冒你的標籤你的你的狀態是有一個標籤上。

This show is at risk now, with that little cheap shot at the bottom line of it is this.

這個節目現在是有風險的，它的底線就是這個小便宜。

That's just that was just so insane.

只是那實在是太瘋狂了。

And it did bring to the four this idea of three point shots being the only thing that matter in basketball anymore.

而這也確實給四人帶來了這種三分球是籃球中唯一重要的東西的想法了。

Thank you for watching ESPN on YouTube for live streaming sports and premium content.

感謝您在YouTube上觀看ESPN的體育直播和優質內容。

Subscribe to ESPN plus.

訂閱ESPN加。