Name: 英國央行表示，英國經濟未來幾個月將面臨嚴峻考驗 - BBC News (UK economy faces tough months ahead says Bank of England - BBC News)
Uploaded: 2021-02-05T20:20:36.000Z
Duration: 3 min 49 s

未來簡單式

K economy is in for another tough few months, but it believes that the impact of coronavirus restrictions will not be as bad as last year's.

K經濟又將迎來艱難的幾個月，但它相信冠狀病毒限制的影響不會像去年那樣糟糕。

過去簡單式

Locked down on the rollout of vaccines will help the economy bounced back the size off the economy.

鎖定疫苗的推出，將有助於經濟規模的反彈。

The GDP is expected to shrink by 4.2% in the first three months of this year.

預計今年前三個月GDP將萎縮4.2%。

The bank says there could be a rapid recovery from spring onwards.

該行表示，從春季開始，可能會出現快速復甦。

Meanwhile, as the government's furlough scheme winds down, the bank says the unemployment rate is likely to peak at 7.8% by the middle of the year.

同時，隨著政府休假計劃的結束，該行表示，失業率有可能在今年年中達到7.8%的峰值。

A czar, economics editor Faisal Islam, reports there are some reasons for hope, but predicting the course of the economy is as tough as trying to predict this pandemic.

一位沙皇，經濟學編輯Faisal Islam報道說，有一些希望的理由，但預測經濟的發展方向就像試圖預測這種流行病一樣艱難。

Like every town city and suburb, Slough High Street is currently locked down again on the latest figures.

像每個城鎮城市和郊區一樣，斯勞高街目前又被鎖定在最新的數據上。

It had one of the highest proportions of furloughed employees in the country.

它是全國被辭退員工比例最高的企業之一。

Not all of this will return, but the question is when does the process of reopening begin?

並非所有這些都會迴歸，但問題是什麼時候開始重新開放的過程？

It is the Bank of England's job to assess these matters every three months, it has been counting not just jobs and prices, but vaccinations, too.

英國央行的工作就是每三個月評估一次這些事項，它一直在統計的不僅僅是就業和物價，還有疫苗接種。

As a result, the shape of the economy from last year's extraordinary lock down and autumn recovery looks a little like this, with right now a further significant fall, but not quite as historic as last year, and then a sharp rebound between April and September, growing 5% a quarter as the economy is able to reopen.

是以，從去年的超常鎖定和秋季復甦的經濟形態來看，有點像這樣，眼下又是大幅下跌，但沒有去年那麼歷史性的下跌，然後在4月到9月之間大幅反彈，一季度增長5%，經濟能夠重新打開。

I am optimistic that we are now seeing hugely impressive program of vaccination and that we're also now beginning to see the positive benefits off it.

我很樂觀，我們現在看到的是令人印象深刻的疫苗接種計劃，我們現在也開始看到它的積極效益。

On that I think, you know, as we move forwards, that should reduce uncertainty.

關於這一點，我認為，你知道，隨著我們的前進，這應該減少不確定性。

This famous century old industrial estate is the largest in Europe.

這個著名的百年老工業區是歐洲最大的。

And while the bank also pointed to a hit for now from new trade barriers with the EU here businesses are investing Maurin serving customers over the Internet.

而該行也指出，目前與歐盟的新貿易壁壘對這裡的企業造成了衝擊，企業正在投資莫林通過互聯網服務客戶。

I think the trends around e commerce, digital and tech are so strong, Andi think the growth that we've seen over the pandemic will continue.

我認為圍繞電子商務、數字和技術的趨勢是如此強烈，Andi認為我們在大流行中看到的增長將繼續。

I think the recovery will be interesting.

What we're hearing from businesses on the trading estate, in particular and beyond, is this need for a roadmap uncertainty coming out off the pandemic.

我們從貿易地產的企業，尤其是其他企業聽到的是，這種需要路線圖的不確定性走出了大疫。

This lock down has been quite different from the first one last April, much more of the economy has been kept open, so the overall economic hit will be smaller than last April on.

這次鎖定與去年4月的第一次鎖定有很大的不同，更多的經濟領域保持了開放，所以整體的經濟衝擊會比去年4月上小。

There's also the certainty now of a vaccine fueled recovery.

現在也有肯定的疫苗助推復甦。

We on the Bank of England just don't know exactly when.

我們英格蘭銀行只是不知道具體時間。

And that's led to strong calls for the government to keep its high level of support going for months to come.

而這也導致了人們強烈要求政府在未來幾個月內保持高支持率。

On the site of Slough old Library, a surprise almost to the day of the new lock down last month, not just one, but two hotels opening here, a sign of more wheels of the economy turning during the current lock down.

在斯勞老圖書館的所在地，幾乎到了上個月新鎖的那一天，一個驚喜，這裡不僅有一家，而是有兩家酒店開業，這也是目前鎖館期間，經濟更多車輪轉動的信號。

There is key workers in this area on there.

There is a need for construction to continue on.

Our hotel is very well suited for that eso we decided to open and when we see we've opened this week and we've seen a pickup that justifies it, this'll is a bet on things getting back to normal at some points.

我們的酒店是非常合適的，eso我們決定打開，當我們看到我們已經打開了這個星期，我們已經看到了一個回升，證明了它，這將是一個賭注，事情在某些點上恢復正常。

Yes, I mean, we are very hopeful that travel restrictions will be east in due course.

是的，我的意思是，我們非常希望在適當的時候，旅行限制會東。

Who wouldn't want to travel here right now?

 It might not look like it, but the bank also pointed to tens off billions of pounds in extra savings by households who have not been able to spend that at some point could be unleashed, another much needed shot in the arm at a tough moment for the economy. 

這看起來可能並不像，但該行還指出，那些沒有能力消費的家庭的數百億英鎊的額外儲蓄，在某些時候可能會被釋放出來，在經濟的艱難時刻，這又是一劑急需的強心針。