You must stay at home.

你必須呆在家裡。

England will return to a tiered system of local restrictions.

英格蘭將回歸到地方限制的分級制度。

There have been so many different interventions to try to reduce the spread of co vid.

有這麼多不同的干預措施，試圖減少同型錄像帶的傳播。

It's understandable that when cases do fall, politicians point to their measures is doing the trick.

可以理解的是，當案件真的落馬時，政客們指出他們的措施是在做文章。

It's easy to credit restrictions when they align with the virus retreating, but it could be harder scientifically to put a finger on what actually happened.

當限制措施與病毒撤退保持一致時，很容易歸功於它們，但在科學上對實際發生的事情可能更難下定論。

In Liverpool, cases fell sharply after tougher restrictions were introduced, but it turns out that cases had already peaked before the tougher restrictions came in.

在利物浦，更嚴厲的限制措施出臺後，案件急劇下降，但事實證明，在更嚴厲的限制措施出臺前，案件已經達到頂峰。

More recently, London's positive covert cases started rising three weeks into lock down.

最近，倫敦的正面隱蔽案件在鎖定三週後開始上升。

Could it be a Z?

會不會是Z？

Important as the restrictions are Justus important or how we behave in response to them?

重要，因為限制重要的是Justus還是我們如何應對這些限制的行為？

The actual regulations, of course, are important only insofar as they actually changed people's behavior.

當然，實際的規章制度只有在實際改變人們的行為時才是重要的。

That's what's crucial, so whether the virus levels of infection are going up or down is a direct reflection of what people are actually doing.

這才是最關鍵的，所以病毒的感染水準是上升還是下降，直接反映了人們的實際行動。

It doesn't mean that they're not obeying the regulations or indeed that they are.

這並不意味著他們不遵守規章制度，也不意味著他們確實遵守了規章制度。

What it means is that they're behaving overall in a way that allows the virus has spread.

這意味著，他們的整體行為方式，讓病毒已經擴散。

Or it doesn't on bats the whole range of different activities, both within our households, within our workplaces, within our schools that we all have to think about in terms of managing this epidemic, The government has set out a Siris of interventions that scientists say reduce the spread of coronavirus and deaths thes air incorporated into the tears.

或者它不在蝙蝠的整個範圍內的不同活動，無論是在我們的家庭，在我們的工作場所，在我們的學校，我們都必須考慮在管理這種流行病方面，政府已經制定了一個Siris的干預措施，科學家說，減少冠狀病毒的傳播和死亡的空氣納入眼淚。

They include closure of bars, pubs, cafes and restaurants.

這些措施包括關閉酒吧、酒吧、咖啡館和餐館。

This will have a moderate impact on covert transmission restrictions on outdoor gatherings has a low impact on the closure of schools, also has a moderate impact.

這將對隱蔽傳播限制有一定影響，對戶外集會影響不大，對學校停課也有一定影響。

Cases have risen and then fallen at different speeds in different places.

案件在不同的地方以不同的速度上升，然後下降。

For some, we place too much emphasis on easy to understand.

對於一些人來說，我們過於強調易懂。

Restrictions such as eating out are not enough emphasis on many people's living situations.

外出就餐等限制，在很多人的生活環境中都不夠重視。

The things that really matter, how do you get your food?

真正重要的事情，你是如何獲得食物的？

How do you survive if if you're in debt all the time, how could you possibly isolate who looks after the kids when you goto work so you can keep yourself respect on what happens if that person is age 65 on a bit frail and has had some illnesses.

如果你一直負債，你怎麼可能生存，你怎麼可能隔離誰照顧孩子，當你去工作，所以你可以保持自己的尊重，如果這個人是65歲上有點虛弱，並有一些疾病發生。

These side of things have talked about a great deal less as's compared to the middle class aspects of life.

與中產階級的生活方面相比，這些方面的事情已經少談了很多，因為。

One study prepared for sage found, perhaps counterintuitively that lock down made least difference in reducing contacts in areas that already had the highest restrictions.

為Sage準備的一項研究發現，也許是與直覺相反，在已經有最高限制的地區，鎖定對減少接觸的差別最小。

Lock down in England on November.

11月英國鎖定。

The fifth seems to have resulted in reductions in mean contacts made by individuals who were previously under Tier one or Tier two restrictions, but appears to have made no significant difference to mean contacts reported by individuals in Tier three.

第五項措施似乎減少了以前受第一級或第二級限制的個人的平均接觸次數，但似乎對第三級個人報告的平均接觸次數沒有重大影響。

You know clearly if pubs and restaurants are closed them people can't go to them.

你很清楚，如果酒吧和餐館被關閉，人們就不能去了。

But is it this specifically not going to pubs and restaurants that has the effect or to the announcements act more generally as a trigger for people to alter their behavior?

但這是專門不去酒吧和餐館才有效果，還是公告更普遍地起到觸發人們改變行為的作用？

One of the really striking things we've seen in recent weeks has been a decrease in infections amongst people over 70 um, almost irrespective of tears.

我們在最近幾周看到的真正引人注目的事情之一是70歲以上的人感染率下降，幾乎不考慮眼淚。

So one thing I think that's going on is that the more news you have about tears in them or worried it is about the disease.

所以有一點我覺得是這樣的，就是你對他們的眼淚的新聞越多，或者說擔心的是這個病。

Increasing numbers of elderly people are isolating themselves and seeing people less.

越來越多的老人把自己孤立起來，見人少了。

So is the idea of Christmas being a complete free for all misplaced majority of people expecting to be very restrained on if they are, Then we should see that reflected in the levels of cases and the number of hospitalizations that accumulate over Christmas and beyond.

所以，聖誕節是一個完整的免費的所有錯位的大多數人的想法是期望非常剋制的，如果他們是，那麼我們應該看到，反映在案件的水準和住院人數，積累在聖誕節和以後。

It's what people will do that matters.

人們會做什麼才是最重要的。

I think the most useful thing that scientists and public health officials could do.

我認為科學家和公共衛生官員能做的最有用的事情。

It's advise people on how to do what they're allowed to do safely.

它是建議人們如何做他們允許安全的事情。

So with behavior being so important, the question is, how do you encourage people to make the best decisions to keep all safe?

所以，行為如此重要，問題是，如何鼓勵人們做出最好的決定，保證所有人的安全？

No.

不知道