Name: 英國科學顧問因英格蘭鎖國的證據受到質疑 - BBC News (UK scientific advisers challenged over evidence for England lockdown - BBC News)
Uploaded: 2020-11-04T19:10:37.000Z
Duration: 6 min 5 s

the chief scientific adviser, Sir Patrick Violence, and the chief medical officer of England, professor Chris Witty, have both been challenged by MPs about the evidence behind the latest lock down in England.

首席科學顧問帕特里克-暴力爵士，以及英格蘭首席醫療官克里斯-威蒂教授，都受到了國會議員的質疑，關於英格蘭最近一次封鎖背後的證據。

進階形容詞比較級句型

In particular, they were asked about some modeling scenarios, which had suggested there could be as many as 4000 deaths a day without appropriate measures in place.

特別是，他們被問及一些模擬情景，這些情景表明，如果不採取適當措施，每天可能會有多達4 000人死亡。

基礎被動語態

One MP accused them of frightening a lot of people, but Sir Patrick said it was based on an assumption to try to get a reasonable worst case scenario.

一位議員指責他們嚇壞了很多人，但帕特里克爵士說，這是基於一個假設，試圖獲得一個合理的最壞情況。

Our science editor, David Shankman, has more details.

我們的科學編輯David Shankman為您介紹更多細節。

It's the risk of the health service being overwhelmed.

That suddenly changed government policy, a decision based on scientific projections for how maney thousands the virus might kill in the coming months.

這突然改變了政府的政策，這個決定是基於科學的預測，對於未來幾個月內病毒可能會殺死多少人。

But looking at this official graph, what are the rial chances of the worst scenario being right?

但從這張官圖來看，最壞的情況對的里亞爾機率有多大？

That's the question that MPs raised today, putting the government's top advisors on the spot.

這就是議員們今天提出的問題，讓政府的高級顧問們大跌眼鏡。

You don't think that you just frightened people who do not have your scientific background and understanding of models or not, I hope not.

你不要以為你只是嚇唬那些沒有你的科學背景和對模型的理解能力的人，我希望不是。

I mean, I think I hope not, and that's certainly not the aim.

我的意思是，我想我希望不是，這肯定不是目的。

It's very difficult to project forward in a way that doesn't inevitably lead Thio.

很難用不必然導致Thio的方式向前推算。

Problem of is that really no, it's not really is a model, but it is what we need to understand, because this is a disease which is spreading, like all epidemics in a way that will affect us in weeks to come but isn't felt today.

問題的是，真的沒有，它不是真的是一個模型，但它是我們需要了解，因為這是一種疾病，正在蔓延，像所有的流行病的方式，將影響我們在未來幾周，但今天沒有感覺到。

Some of the projections for future deaths were made before the regional three tier system had any effect on.

對未來死亡的一些預測是在區域三級制度對以下方面產生影響之前作出的：

Like any computer models, they're meant to be a guide to what might happen rather than a firm prediction.

就像任何計算機模型一樣，它們是為了指導可能發生的事情，而不是堅定的預測。

So is there a clear sense of the impact of the virus today?

那麼，今天是否對病毒的影響有一個清晰的認識呢？

We got the latest figures for what are called excess deaths.

我們得到了所謂超額死亡的最新數據。

That's deaths above average shown on this line here, based on data over the last five years.

這就是這裡這條線上顯示的高於平均水平的死亡人數，基於過去五年的數據。

Back in April, losses were massively above that average line, and nearly all of them were because of covert 19 looking Mawr.

早在4月份，虧損額就大規模超過了這一平均線，而幾乎所有的虧損都是因為隱蔽的19號找毛爾。

Recently, there are signs of another increase in deaths.

最近，死亡人數又有增加的跡象。

Above average on the main cause is Covic.

高於平均水平的主因是科維奇。

The number of hospital admissions is the key indicator of what's happening right now, and whatever the arguments over future scenarios, there's a warning that things are mostly going the wrong way.

入院人數是衡量現在情況的關鍵指標，不管對未來的情況有什麼爭論，但有一個警告，事情多半是走錯了路。

Rates is still steadily tracking up in ALS.

The data that I have seen in the older age groups who are the ones who are likely to translate into hospitalizations.

我所看到的數據，在大齡人群中，誰是可能轉化為住院的人。

The reality is that on average, someone who's infected is spreading the virus to Mawr than one other person.

現實情況是，平均來說，一個被感染的人比另外一個人更容易將病毒傳播給莫爾。

And the hope is that the new restrictions will help to reverse that.

而希望新的限制措施能夠幫助扭轉這一局面。

David Shankman, BBC News Everyone who lives or works in Liverpool will be offered a rapid coronavirus test, whether they have symptoms or not.

大衛-尚克曼，BBC新聞每個在利物浦生活或工作的人都將被提供快速的冠狀病毒測試，無論他們是否有症狀。

From Friday, military personnel will have to deliver the pilot scheme on.

從週五開始，軍人要將試行辦法送上。

If it's successful, it could be rolled out.

Across the United Kingdom are health correspondent Dominic Hughes, reports from Liverpool.

在英國各地的健康記者多米尼克-休斯，從利物浦報道。

People's like so many others across the country, pupils at ST Margarets Academy in Liverpool on making up for time lost during the first lock down.

利物浦ST Margarets學院的學生們和全國各地的許多人一樣，在彌補第一次封鎖期間損失的時間。

The imagery tends to be more positive hit the threat to their education from the coronavirus remains, especially from those who are asymptomatic, who don't yet have symptoms but can still infect others.

想象力傾向於更積極地打冠狀病毒對他們教育的威脅仍然存在，特別是來自那些無症狀的人，他們還沒有症狀，但仍然可以感染他人。

Hard to people to come out of the way if I was the school if we've being affected so badly already.

如果我是學校的話，如果我們已經受到這麼嚴重的影響，很難讓人出手。

But what do these six formers think about the plan for citywide testing?

但這六位陣法師對全城測試的計劃怎麼看？

You've got a factor in all the people that don't want to get tested because you can't force people to get tested.

你有一個因素在所有的人 不想得到測試 因為你不能強迫人們得到測試。

People aren't being safe, especially in the reports being feel like cases where people just aren't sticking toe isolation, rules and stuff.

人們並不安全，尤其是在報告中被感覺到的情況下，人們只是沒有堅持到隔離，規則和東西。

So I think I can see it from the point of view why they want to do that.

所以我想從他們為什麼要這樣做的角度來看，我是可以理解的。

People do live in, Forget about the coronavirus.

人們確實生活在，忘記冠狀病毒。

So what set a lot of people's minds if they knew a definite yes or no?

那麼，如果知道一個確定的是或不是，很多人的心態是怎樣的呢？

Whether you've got it, it's an opportunity to drive down the R Rated.

是否你有它，這是一次開下R額定的機遇。

The school's principal is Stephen Briley.

I think if we've got good, accurate knowledge of who's got it and who hasn't, our schools will be safer because there'll be less asymptomatic people in school.

我想如果我們能很好的，準確的知道誰得了病，誰沒得病，我們的學校就會更安全，因為學校裡會有更少的無症狀的人。

There'll be fewer people who are infected, fewer people in schools who are affected and therefore more Children staying in school, more learning going on.

受感染的人就會減少，學校裡受影響的人就會減少，是以就會有更多的孩子留在學校，有更多的學習機會。

The livable pilot will start this week as well as existing swab tests, there will be what are known as lateral flow tests, which can provide a result within an hour without the need to use a lab.

宜居試點將於本週開始，以及現有的拭子測試，將有所謂的橫向流動測試，可以在一個小時內提供結果，而無需使用實驗室。

Organizing citywide testing will be a logistical challenge.

組織全市範圍內的測試將是一個後勤方面的挑戰。

The Army will once again help as it did during the first wave of the pandemic.

軍隊將再次像第一波疫情時那樣提供幫助。

The head of the test and trace program in England, which has been criticized for having only a marginal impact on reducing infections, says.

英國的測試和追蹤計劃的負責人說，該計劃因對減少感染只產生邊際影響而受到責備。

This is a program led by Liverpool for Liverpool.

這是一個由利物浦為利物浦牽頭的項目。

We together want to find as many people who have the disease is possible so that we can stop them infecting others.

我們一起要儘可能多的找到患病的人，這樣才能阻止他們傳染給別人。

And that's the way we will all get back to work and get back to the lives we want to live.

而這也是我們都會回到工作崗位，回到自己想要的生活中去的方式。

Even a citywide testing program won't be enough to stop cove it in its tracks.

即使是一個城市範圍內的測試計劃也不足以阻止cove它的發展。

The basics washing her hands, wearing a face covering maintaining social distance remain the best way to stop the spread of the virus on There are big questions about how many people are going to want to self isolate if they're not showing any symptoms and how many will be willing to come forward for a test if it potentially means missing out on work on the pay that will bring any time you fire in a.

基本知識洗她的手，戴著面罩保持社會距離仍然是阻止病毒傳播的最佳方式上有很大的問題，有多少人會想要自我隔離，如果他們沒有表現出任何症狀，有多少人會願意前來進行測試，如果它有可能意味著錯過了工作上的報酬，將帶來任何時候你火在一個。

In a city that has seen some of the highest number of covert cases in the UK, the big question is whether MAWR testing will help slow or even reverse the spread of the virus and help keep places like ST Margarets free from infection.

在英國一些隱蔽病例數量最多的城市，最大的問題是MAWR測試是否有助於減緩甚至逆轉病毒的傳播，並幫助保持像ST Margarets這樣的地方免受感染。

多米尼克-休斯，BBC利物浦新聞。