Name: 主要研究表明，英格蘭冠狀病毒病例的上升速度可能會放緩 - BBC News (Major study suggests rise in coronavirus cases may be slowing in England - BBC News)
Uploaded: 2020-10-27T19:24:00.000Z
Duration: 4 min 29 s

情態助動詞 B1

the major studies suggests that the rate at which the coronavirus is spreading in England may be slowing down.

主要的研究表明，冠狀病毒在英國傳播的速度可能正在放緩。

That's after the last few weeks of rapid growth are.

這是在過去幾周的快速增長後是。

Medical editor Fergus Walsh has been taking a look at the numbers.

醫學編輯Fergus Walsh一直在看數字。

Every month, 150,000 people from every corner in England chosen at random to receive AH Home Corona virus swab kit.

每個月，來自英國每個角落的15萬人被隨機抽中，獲得AH Home Corona病毒拭子套裝。

It enables researchers to get an accurate picture of the amount of infection in the community, including among those with no symptoms.

它使研究人員能夠準確地瞭解社區的感染量，包括那些沒有症狀的人。

The last samples were collected this weekend, and interim results show the virus has been spreading fast.

最後一個樣本是本週末採集的，中期結果顯示病毒傳播速度很快。

The survey estimates that one in every 200 people in England is currently infected with coronavirus.

調查估計，目前英格蘭每200人中就有一人感染了冠狀病毒。

That's four times the level of just a month ago.

Prevalence is highest among the 18 to 24 year olds, among whom one in 100 is thought to be infected.

18至24歲的人發病率最高，據認為每100人中就有一人被感染。

But it's rising across all ages, with a seven fold increase among the over 65 the group most at risk from the virus.

但它在所有年齡段都在上升，65歲以上的人群增加了7倍，他們是最容易感染病毒的群體。

Since a low point in early August, Cases of CO vid 19 have been rising throughout England on going up fastest in the Northwest on Northeast.

自8月初的低點以來，CO vid 19的病例一直在上升，整個英國在西北地區的東北地區上升最快。

But those analyzing the data have found something less gloomy.

但那些分析數據的人卻發現了一些不那麼悲觀的事情。

The speed of growth seems to be slowing down.

You can think about an epidemic curve being a hill.

你可以把疫情曲線看成是一座山。

We've been growing up a really steep section of the hill.

我們一直生長在一個非常陡峭的山段。

A little bit of good news in the results that have found today is that maybe it's not quite a steep, but that's really not enough.

在今天發現的結果中，有一點好消息是，也許還不算陡峭，但這真的不夠。

We need to be going down the hill, and we really need to get to the bottom of the hill like we were in the summer.

我們需要下山，我們真的需要像夏天那樣，到山下去。

As for our the virus reproduction number, that's still above one, which means the epidemic is growing its budget private test, whose placement but the study team think it's not as high as it waas, meaning the rise in cases is mawr gradual.

至於我們的病毒繁殖數量，這仍然高於一個，這意味著疫情正在增長其預算私人測試，其放置，但研究小組認為它不是高，因為它waas，意味著案件的上升是mawr漸進。

The study published today shows us hope that together we can crack this on the MAWR.

今天發表的研究報告讓我們看到了希望，我們可以一起破解這個關於MAWR的問題。

People follow the rules and reduce their social contact, the quicker we can get Liverpool on the Northeast back on their feet.

大家遵守規則，減少社會接觸，就能越快讓東北的利物浦重新站起來。

The challenge will be to motivate people to socially distance throughout the winter, the season when respiratory viruses spread more easily and to do it while keeping schools open on the economy afloat.

挑戰將是激勵人們在整個冬季，呼吸道病毒更容易傳播的季節裡進行社會距離，並在保持學校開放的同時保持經濟的活力。

現在有請我們的健康編輯他加入。

So millions of people will be under some sort of local locked down by the weekend.

所以，週末前，數百萬人將在某種程度上被當地鎖定。

There are plans afoot to make it simpler, this sort of almost a traffic light system, so we understand it better.

正在計劃讓它變得更簡單，這種幾乎是一個交通燈系統，所以我們更瞭解它。

Yes, so if he plans have been circulating for England in Whitehall for a couple of weeks now, we understand their complete.

是的，所以如果他的計劃已經在白廳流傳了幾周，我們明白他們的完整。

They could be rolled out in the next couple of weeks, though not finally signed off.

它們可能會在未來幾周內推出，儘管還沒有最終簽收。

The idea is to end this system where you can have confusion with one local council with one set of restrictions on another not far away with something completely different.

這個想法是為了結束這種制度，在這種制度下，你可以與一個地方議會的一套限制對另一個不遠處的完全不同的東西進行混淆。

So the thought is you go to a regional system for England and then take a tiered approach based on risk.

所以，我們的思路是，你對英格蘭實行區域制，然後根據風險採取分層的方式。

So the bottom tier Tier one, as it would be called, would be based on national restrictions, as they are now like the rule of six, with nothing extra on top of that, if it's higher risk not based on the number of infections, but the rate at which they are accelerating.

所以，最底層的一級，會根據國家的限制，就像現在的六條規則一樣，如果不是根據感染的數量，而是根據感染的速度加快，風險較高，那麼在這個基礎上就沒有額外的東西。

You'd have a ban on mixing households in indoor venues, homes and pubs.

你要禁止在室內場所、家庭和酒吧混住戶。

Sort of thing we've seen in the Northeast and announced for Liverpool on the highest risk would be Tier three.

有點像我們在東北看到的，宣佈為利物浦上風險最高的將是三線。

Now, if a region is in that tier, there'd be a widespread lock down.

現在，如果一個地區在這個層級，就會出現大範圍的鎖定。

It would see everything but schools on essential shops basically closed.

它將看到除了學校之外的一切基本商店都會關閉。

There's a region which would fall into that category.

And it's all about targeting localized outbreaks, isn't it?

而這一切都要針對局部的爆發，不是嗎？

Yes, Chris Witty, the UK government's chief medical adviser, said yesterday was very different now from what it was in March.

是的，英國政府的首席醫學顧問克里斯-威蒂昨天說，現在和3月份的情況很不一樣。

Thes are localized, particularly the Northeast in the north west of England.

Thes是局部的，特別是英格蘭西北部的東北部。

That's why you have this approach with different types of restrictions in different regions.

所以你才會有這個辦法，在不同的地區有不同的限制類型。

It hasn't been completely finalized On one thing.

 Certain new national restrictions haven't been ruled out. 

還沒有排除某些新的國家限制。