Name: (Massive Crash Ahead - Do This Now To Make Money)
Uploaded: 2020-09-20T19:20:47.000Z
Duration: 9 min 54 s

程度副詞

Last week has been pretty rough for the stock market.

When everyone thought that these stocks are going to grow forever, Major tech stocks completely

當大家都以為這些股票會永遠增長的時候，主要的科技股完全

collapsed and experienced a drop day after day.

崩潰，經歷了一天又一天的下跌。

Apple, Google, Tesla, every tech stock is pretty much down.

蘋果、谷歌、特斯拉，每個科技股都跌得很慘。

The stock market has been overvalued for the last few months since the stock market has

And that's what has been happening recently.

At the beginning of August, Bezos first sold over 3.1 billion dollars of amazon stocks.

8月初，貝佐斯首次賣出超過31億美元的亞馬遜股票。

At the end of August, Tim Cook sold 131.7 million dollars of apple stocks since it probably

8月底，蒂姆-庫克賣出了1.317億美元的蘋果股票，因為它可能是。

won't cross the 2 trillion dollar mark at least in the coming year or two.

至少在未來一兩年內不會突破2萬億大關。

On September 1st, Tesla announced that it would raise 5 billion dollars by selling stocks

9月1日，特斯拉宣佈將通過出售股票籌集50億美元資金

from time to time, but it seems like that time wasn't long.

時不時的，但好像時間並不長。

By September 4th, within three days, they sold off everything and raised 5 billion dollars.

到了9月4日，三天之內，他們賣掉了所有的東西，籌集了50億資金。

It seems like Musk also thinks that the price was at all times high.

看來，馬斯克也認為，價格一直處於高位。

And that's one reason why the market has been falling.

而這也是市場一直下跌的原因之一。

The demand and supply usually set the price.

Since the beginning of the pandemic, there has been a lot of uncertainty about the future,

從大流行開始，未來就有很多不確定因素。

but what we knew for sure that we need to practice social distancing, and a lot of jobs

但我們確定的是，我們需要練習社交的距離，很多工作

Automation is going to accelerate, in other words, technology is basically the future

自動化會加速發展，換句話說，技術基本上是未來的發展趨勢

so investors had to keep their wealth somewhere safe and most important somewhere where it

是以，投資者必須保持他們的財富 安全的地方，最重要的地方，它

would continue to grow despite the pandemic and tech companies seemed like the best option

雖說是大流行病，但仍會繼續增長，科技公司似乎是最好的選擇。

That's why gold prices and tech companies grew exponantioally since there was much more

這就是為什麼金價和科技公司成倍增長，因為有更多的。

Once early investors realized that prices are significantly overvalued, they decided

一旦早期投資者意識到價格被嚴重高估，他們就決定

to sell and rip off the profits as would any rational investor.

和任何理性的投資者一樣，賣出並騙取利潤。

And one of the problems with the market is that most investors are not rational.

而市場的一個問題是，大多數投資者並不理性。

In the past, you had to study finance, understand financial statements, and make reasonable

過去，你要學習金融，瞭解財務報表，並做出合理的

financial decisions, today, you can buy stocks with a few clicks on your smartphone, so If

財務決策，今天，你可以買股票，在智能手機上點擊幾下，所以如果

you are seeing in the news that apple, Tesla, or amazon stocks are growing dramatically!

你在新聞中看到，蘋果、特斯拉或亞馬遜的股票都在大幅增長!

Why not take the ride with them and also get rich quickly!

何不和他們一起搭車，也能快速致富!

And when the market starts falling, people panic and start selling to minimize losses,

而當市場開始下跌時，人們就會恐慌，開始賣出，以減少損失。

Just in December of last year, its price to earnings ratio was 17.7, which means for every

就在去年12月，其市盈率為17.7，這意味著每一個

dollar you invest, it will take the company 17.7 years to pay back the amount you paid

你投資的一元錢，公司需要17.7年的時間來償還你支付的金額。

Since the industry average is 15, apple was quite a good investment back then.

由於行業平均水平是15，所以蘋果當時的投資相當不錯。

But then suddenly, in less than a year, its PE ratio jumps to almost 40 when its earnings

但突然間，不到一年的時間，其PE比就跳到了近40，當其收益

were pretty much the same as the last year.

Of course, price to earnings ratio isn't the most accurate way to value a company since

當然，市盈率並不是最準確的公司估值方式，因為

it uses the company's earnings for the last 12 months.

它使用公司過去12個月的收益。

So let's take a look at the forward P/E ratio.

How much experts predict the company is going to earn.

Since its price to earnings ratio has more than doubled, its forward PE ratio should

由於其市盈率已經翻了一倍多，所以其遠期PE比應該是

It jumped slightly to 28 as of September 2020.

截至2020年9月，它略微躍升至28。

Which is another indicator that the stock price is probably overvalued?

還有哪一個指標可以說明股價可能被高估了？

That's why it has fallen to 34 at the time of writing this script and would probably

這就是為什麼在寫這篇稿子的時候，它已經降到了34歲，而且可能會。

Of course, relying on some ratios to judge the market isn't the most accurate method,

當然，依靠一些比率來判斷市場並不是最準確的方法。

but it's not just apple, but also Tesla, amazon, google, and others.

但不僅僅是蘋果，還有特斯拉、亞馬遜、谷歌等。

However, not the entire market is overvalued.

然而，並非整個市場都被高估。

Many companies haven't recovered to their pre-pandemic levels yet.

許多公司還沒有恢復到流行前的水準。

It's only the tech companies that surged dramatically.

So, The question is Will the market crash again?

那麼，問題是市場會不會再次崩盤？

The United States handled COVID-19 terribly.

美國對COVID-19的處理非常糟糕。

Cases might have dropped to 30 or 40 thousand a day, but that's still significantly high.

案件可能已經下降到每天3、4萬件，但仍然明顯偏高。

And as we approach the winter, experts are warning that cases might spike again.

而隨著冬季的到來，專家警告說，病例可能會再次激增。

On top of that, take into account that the election is coming, you have a perfect recipe

除此之外，考慮到大選在即，你有一個完美的配方。

Which means investors don't know what's going to happen.

這意味著投資者不知道會發生什麼。

Regardless of which candidate do you support, we have to put the facts on the table.

不管你支持哪位候選人，我們都要把事實擺在桌面上。

If trump gets elected, we will have massive protests, which will also increase COVID 19

如果特朗普當選，我們將有大規模的抗議活動，這也將增加COVID 19

案，並將帶來更多的不確定性。

And if Biden gets elected, then corporate taxes or even capital gain taxes would probably

而如果拜登當選，那麼公司稅甚至資本利得稅可能會

spike, which means fewer earnings for companies and investors, which means stock prices would

飆升，這意味著公司和投資者的收益減少，也就意味著股價將

But that doesn't mean that the market will crash as it did back in March.

但這並不意味著市場會像3月時那樣崩盤。

But what we know for sure is that the Fed is going to do everything possible to keep

但我們可以肯定的是，美聯儲將盡一切可能保持

the economy stable because that's the job of the fed.

If the economy is rising too fast, it raises interest rates, for example, to slow it down.

如果經濟上升速度過快，它就會提高利率，比如說，讓它慢下來。

When the market is falling dramatically, then the fed steps in to flood the market with

當市場急劇下跌時，美聯儲就會出手，讓市場氾濫成災。

cash to make the crises a little less painful.

The fed lowered interest to almost zero, issued stimulus checks, started buying corporate

美聯儲把利息降到幾乎為零，開出刺激性支票，開始購買企業的股票

It basically used every weapon in its arsenal to prevent the economy sliding into a recession,

它基本上動用了其武器庫中的所有武器，以防止經濟滑向衰退。

the economy still went into recession, but the stock market grew exponentially since

經濟仍在衰退，但股市卻成倍增長。

the Fed made it clear that it's going to do everything to keep it stable.

美聯儲明確表示，將盡一切努力保持穩定。

然而，這種情況不能繼續下去。

At some point, investors are going to realize that prices are inflated, and the bubble would

在某些時候，投資者會意識到價格被誇大了，保麗龍將

The Fed is trying to keep the economy stable until a vaccine is available so that everyone

美聯儲試圖保持經濟穩定，直到有了疫苗，讓大家

will get back to work, and the economy keeps growing as it has been prior to that.

將重新開始工作，經濟保持增長，因為在此之前。

According to Bill Gates, who has long ago predicted this pandemic and heavily invested

根據比爾-蓋茨的說法，他早就預測到了這種流行病，並投入巨資

in the top 6 companies working on a vaccine, a vaccine for COVID 19 will most likely be

在研發疫苗的前6家公司中，針對COVID 19的疫苗很有可能是

ready by the beginning of 2021, so we are pretty close to it.

到2021年初準備好，所以我們已經很接近了。

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(Massive Crash Ahead - Do This Now To Make Money)

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