BeforeSirPatrickprovidesanupdateonthelatestdatafromourCobraKurtCoronavirusstash, I justwanttogiveyouanupdateonthestepsthatweas a governmentbeingtakentodefeat I'llstepbystep.
Well, thatbattleagainstoursAmazingdoctors, AmazingnursesawaySupportstaffWorkingdaywiththousandsofotherkeyfocusfromallteacherstosuitwalkinglookfantasticdiplomaticnetworkwhoareallas a teamworkingaroundtheclocktogetusthroughthisunprecedentedcreativechallenge.
Inrecently, effortsareclosingdown, preventingairlinesoperatingwithcommercialbasislittleauthoritiesandplacedrestrictionsonmovementthatpreventpeoplefromgettingtotheairportat a criticaltransit.
This, you'llsay, fullof a socialleaderofUKEmbassyorHighcommissioninthecountrywheretheyfindthemselvessotheycanbedirectedtoaccuraterealtimeinformationfromthelocalauthorities.
Wecouldalsoforour n hsbycontinuingtofollowtheguidancetostayhome, protectourchestandsavelawyers.
I think I'llnowDavidPatrickBalance, whogave a presentationonthelatestdatathatwilltakesomequestionsafterhowmuch I wantedtosharewithyousomeoftheinformationaboutwhereweareinthisoutbreakonsomeofthemeasureshavebeentakenon.
Thatshowsit's goingupnotinanincreasingamountofgettingupin a constantwhichmaysuggestthatwerealreadybeginningtoseesomeeffectsthroughabouthalfofthosecasesunderHallforinLondon.
Thenumberofpeoplecomingintowell, I'vesaidrecently, isthatweexpectthistogetworseoverthenextcoupleofweeksbecausethere's a lagphasebetweengettingthediseaseandpeopleturningupinhospital.
Soyouwouldexpecttosee a continuationofthisatleastovertwoorthreeweeks, that a stabilizationonthegradualdecreaseThereafter, thenumberofhospitaladmissionstorepeathasgoneuproughlythesameamounteachday, suggestingthatwe'renoton a fastaccelerationofnextline.
Allofthisisaboutpreventingdeathsonpreventingthe N hsbecomingoverwhelmedintheintensivecareunitsventilatorsandonthisgraph, ittracksthedeathsthathaveoccurredgloballyacrosssomeofthecountry's notwithcountries, obviously, anditshowsthatthereis a patternofincreasingdeathswhichyouexpectedplasticreach a plateautocomedowneventuallyandyoucanseeintheUKherewhichisinthepurpleLine.
Whatwecando a lustcandoismakesurethatweheartheadvicetostayathometoreducethosecontactssothatweultimatelydecreasethenumberofpeopleweregoingtobeseriouslyillwilldiefromthisinfection.
Thankyouverymuch.
Patrickand, er, peopletendtoquestionsnow, littlekids, andthankyoufor a sexuallyrepressedup, SirPatrick, basedonwhatyouknownow, aretherestrictionsworkingondheCouldbeavoidthe n hsbeingoverwhelmed.
ThetrajectorycontinueslikethisinForeignSecretary, You'reasking a hugeamountofthepublic.
Whatweknowisthatthemeasurestobetakenarehaving a verybigeffectoncontactson I showedyouthedataontransportingdramaticreductionsintheamountoftransportbeingused.
Youwouldexpectthatareyounowintermsoftheearlyphasesoftransmissioninthecommunity, tobecomingdownorbelowone, sothatwethinkthatthathashadtheeffectthatthatdesirethattakestwoorthreeweekstofeedthroughintothenumberofpeoplewhomightbeappearinginhospital a littlelongerintermsofthosewhoareseriouslyill?
Allthose?
Ofcoursethatmightdie.
Soweexpecttosee a lagphasebeforeyoureallyseethesecurveschanging.
Also, make a commentabouttheduration.
It's importantthatwedothisnowtogetthenumbersbelow N hs I seeyoucapacity.
And I thinkyouanythinglowerthanthatisthatobviously, themoreagainstthetopicistheydoincreasinglyfullythisguidance, thequickerwewillbeabletogetintopositionwherewereviewwhetherandhowthereisanyusingthoserestrictions.
BethBethFreebiefromScottThankyou a question 1st 1stPatrickononFriday, the N.
H s chiefsaidtherewas 6200 Coronaviruspatientsinhospitaltoday, hesaiditwas 9000.
That's nearly 1000 newpatients a day.
Doyouthinkthosenumberswillaccelerateoverthenext 2 to 3 weeks?
Onwhatstage?
Atthemomentyouthinktheenergyjustcouldhitcapacity?
Andthenjust a quickquestionfortheforeignsecretary, please.
That's not a rapidlyaccelerationisanimportantnumber.
It's a verydifficultnumbertodealwithit.
Andit's a numberthattheenergystarclearlycopingwithintermsofdoingthemomentonthenumbersasprojected, alldesignedasthechiefmedicalofficersaidtokeepthisbelowtheicyyoucapacityyoucan't promise.
And I certainlywouldn't promisethateverysingle I C.
U isnevergonnabreachit's numberbecausethathappenseverywinter.
MustbeworriedaboutthatIn a finalquestionforSirPatrick, areyouthinkingaboutaddingthesymptomsoflossoftasteandsmellassymptomsthatmightbe a pointedtowardspeoplehavingthankyousoontheprotectiveequipmentandthehusband?
A hugeamountoffmaterialdeliveredtoTheohospitalsandclinicsonthefrontline 170 millioniTunes.
Itdoesseemtobe a featureofthisformorepeoplereportingonitissomethingthatobviouslypeopleshouldtakeintoaccountastheythinkabouttheirsymptoms.
I thinkit's reallyforthechiefmedicalofficertodecideatwhatpointofanythediagnosticchangetakesplaceintoselfisolationonthosesymptomsthatwe'relearningaboutforthisdisease, allonesthatwe'regonnagetmoreinformationallovertime.
LordSumption, theformerSupremeCourtjustice, suggestedtodaythatsomeareasofthecountryturninginto a policestate, Sowillthegovernmentissuedfortheguidanceonwhatheshouldorshouldn't findpeoplefor.
Sotheordinarymembersofthepublicdon't getcriminalizedforshoppingforthewrongthingortaking a breatheron a parkbench.
Can I alsoaskthatyouoryourfirstpressconferencesincetheChinaissue, DoyouDoyoubelievelikesomeofyourcolleagues, apparentlydothatChinashouldorwillface a reckoningwhenallthisisover.
Butoverall, theoverridingmessagethatwewanttoconveytotheBritishpublicand I thinkthepolicearerighttryingtoconveyisthatweneedtobefollowingtheletterandspiritofthatdiamonds.
Sothequestionaboutdeath, Yes, there's a lackofdatawiththelackofdata.
I thinktheCMOwasexpressedthisbeforeintermsofverifyingexactlythetime, ofcoursedeathandmakematurealongthatsideofthingsaccuratebecauseyougetpresumedandthenyougetconfirmedintermsofthevirus.
So, yes, there's a laginthedataonthere'llalwaysbesomeblank.
Intermsofgettingthecountrythroughthiscrisis, I will, onyourtechnicalquestion, testingdefective.
Thankyou, saidStates.
Sotestingis a crucialpartofourstrategytodealwiththisepidemic.
Onthereare a numberofstrong's thatwe'veheardonementionedalreadyhere, whichisthe 25,000 testsperdaythatpublichealthEnglandontheimagesarewellonthewayto a meetingbythemidtolateApril.
Nowthereare a numberofothers, andyou'vementionedone, whichistheantibodytestingthisatthemomentisunderinvestigation.
Itis a testthatisnovel.
Itwouldbe a pointofcaretestingsoitwouldbedoneintheplace.
Itcouldbedone, forinstance, intheholeonitcouldbedoneatscale, butand I wouldcomebacktothestatementthatthechiefmedicalofficermade, whichisthisonethingworsethan a notestisabouttestonthisTestingneedstobeevaluatedtomakesureit's valid.
Inotherwords, itdoeswhatitsaysonthatunitatscale, andthiswouldbe a largenumbers.