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  • Hey, Vsauce. Michael here. In 1826 this became the very first photograph

  • ever taken. And in 1992, this became the very first image

  • ever uploaded to the web. But how many photographs have we all taken,

  • altogether throughout all of history? Well, 1000memories investigated this very

  • question. They took a look at the number of digital cameras

  • currently in use, typical usage of a digital camera, as well as the amount of analog film

  • and film-developing supplies used by the industry ever since the 19th century.

  • Tabulated altogether, they estimated that we have taken 3.5 trillion photographs, 4

  • billion of which were taken this year alone. We are snapping more photographs than ever

  • before, because of the proliferation of easy-to-use, affordable digital cameras.

  • In fact, we take 4 times more pictures per day than we did 10 years ago.

  • Or think of it this way. Today, every 2 minutes, humanity takes more

  • pictures than we took altogether in the entire 1800s.

  • Of course, the 1800s were a long time ago. But if we take every year from the invention

  • of photography until today, 10% of all of those images, a tenth of every still image

  • recorded of our world, was taken in the last 12 months.

  • That's a lot. But even crazier is the fact that a fifth

  • of these images, 20% of them, all wind up in the same place - Facebook.

  • Facebook is huge. But to put it in perspective, you Vsaucers

  • are huge. If all of us got together in one place and

  • claimed independence, we would become the 152nd largest country on Earth.

  • Right between Guinea-Bissau and Trinidad and Tobago.

  • But Facebook, with is 1 billion users, would be the 3rd largest country on Earth.

  • To take a quick, dark detour, of those 1 billion people on Facebook, it's estimated that 30

  • million of them are now dead. And in 100 years, it's estimated that half

  • a billion of the people on Facebook will be deceased.

  • Facebook stories offers a really neat tool, where you click on a country and then see

  • what other countries most of their Facebook friends live in.

  • It's fun to see what countries are most connected to which others, but this whole thing brings

  • up the question of degrees of separation. If you were to take 2 random people on Earth,

  • how many friend of a friend of a friend of a friends would you need to connect those

  • 2 people? Well, in the real world, it's a little difficult

  • to figure out, because we don't know who's friends with who and there are a lot of people.

  • But, luckily, mathematics has come to our rescue.

  • Watts and Strogatz showed that you could calculate the average path between any 2 random people

  • quite easily. In this equation, the "N" stands for the total

  • number of people in the population. And "K" stands for the number of friends each

  • person has. If we assume that each person has, say, 30

  • friends and we assume that 10% of our population is too young to have actual friends, it turns

  • out that you can connect any two people on Earth with only 6.6 connections.

  • Theoretically. Of course, in the real world, we don't all

  • have the same number of friends, we don't all have 30 friends and isolated groups make

  • the average much, much higher. Of course, there are non-real world places,

  • where these connections are easier to follow. For instance, Facebook.

  • Last year, Facebook's data team released two papers, showing that amongst all Facebook

  • users at the time, the average distance between any two random users was only 4.74 friends.

  • Twitter is even tighter. It's been shown that any two random users

  • of Twitter are connected by only 4.67 friends, though some studies have shown it to be as

  • low as 3.5. Numbers like that can make impersonal crowd

  • seem quite intimate. But one of my favorite things about crowds

  • is how smart they are. Wisdom of the Crowds is a fascinating phenomenon,

  • where the collective knowledge or guesses or estimations of a big group of people, when

  • averaged, are better than one individual person working alone.

  • A good example of this is trying to guess how many jellybeans are in a jar.

  • Some people will overestimate, while others will underestimate, but collectively, each

  • member cancels out the errors of the other and the group average estimation winds up

  • being smarter than the sum of its parts. The BBC's demonstration of this is fantastic,

  • I've linked it down in the description, it's worth watching.

  • They had 160 people guess the number of jellybeans in a jar.

  • The guesses ranged from a few hundred to tens of thousands, but the average of all 160 guesses

  • was 4,515, only 5 beans away from the exact answer.

  • It's amazing to think that in a large enough group, the errors and shortcomings of everyone

  • else, no matter how annoying they are individually, actually can balance and correct our own shortcomings.

  • It feels good, though a little bit strange to think that in a group, it's possible for

  • nobody to be correct, but for everybody to be right.

  • And as always,

  • thanks for watching.

Hey, Vsauce. Michael here. In 1826 this became the very first photograph

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A2 初級

拍了多少張照片? (How Many Photos Have Been Taken?)

  • 8 1
    林宜悉 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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