字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 MARIA: WELCOME BACK. THE RECORD ROLE FOR IF STOCK MARKET CONTINUES THIS WEEK. INCREDIBLE UNCHARTERED HIGHS HIGHLIGHTED BY THE DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE CRACKING THE 25,000 MARK FOR THE FIRST TIME BLACK CONTINUE THIS YEAR OR SHOULD WE EXPECT A CORRECTION. WITH MORE NOW WE HAVE JASON AND RALPH, DIRECTOR OF TECHNICAL PROGRAM. GOOD TO SEE YOU BOTH. THANK YOU FOR JOINING US. RALPH, A REAL HONOR TO HAVE YOU AS YOU WERE REALLY ONE OF THE ORIGINALS OF THIS PROGRAM, "WALL STREET WEEK." HOW ARE YOU DOING, RALPH? >> DOING FINE. AND YOU'RE DOING A GREAT JOB. I KNOW LOU WOULD BE VERY VERY HAPPY WITH WHAT YOU'RE DOING WITH HIS OLD SHOW. CONGRATULATIONS. MARIA: YOU AND I GO BACK A LONG TIME AND I GOT TO GIVE YOU KUDOS HERE. IT ALL STARTED IN JUNE OF 1995 WITH YOUR 578-PAGE REPORT ENTITLED "DOW 7,000". YOU CALLED DOW 7,000 WHEN THE DOW WAS AT 4,000. A LOT OF PEOPLE SAID HE'S NUTS. I DON'T BELIEVE IT. WE GOT THERE, SIX MONTHS LATER YOU RAISED YOUR TARGET TO DOW 10 NOWS. YOU WERE SO RIGHT. YOUR FIRM GAVE YOU A LITTLE RED CORVETTE. YOU TOOK ME FOR A RIDE IN THAT CAR. I REMEMBER. >> YES, WE DID. WE WENT DOWN BROADWAY. MARIA: SINCE YOU PREDICTED DOW 4 DOW 25,000 WHICH WE REACHED THIS >> YES, I THINK SO. IN FACT, MY VERY SHORT TERM TARGET WHEN I DID IT A COUPLE OF WEEKS AGO WAS 25,900. I THINK THAT'S A GIVEN. BUT MY SECONDARY TARGET FOR THIS YEAR, MARIA, IS 28,700. I THINK THAT'S VERY DOABLE. MARIA: WHY? WHAT TO YOU SEE OUT THERE THAT MAKES YOU SO BULLISH? >> THAT'S A GREAT QUESTION. IT'S NOT WHAT'S HAPPENED IN THE IT'S WHAT'S HAPPENED IN THE LAST HALF, THE SECOND HALF OF 2017. MARIA, IT WAS SUCH SECTOR ROTATION, SO POWERFUL AND SO IMPRESSIVE, MONEY COMING BACK IMPRESSED. MARIA: JASON, YOU HAVE ONE OF THE BEST RESEARCHER THE BEST RESEARCH SHOPS ON THE STREET. HOW DO YOU SEE ? IT? >> I AGREE WITH RALPH. AN OLD FRIEND. GOOD TO SEE YOU. IN SOME WAYS I THINK WE'RE JUST BEGINNING -- A LOT OF PEOPLE THINK THIS MIGHT BE THE END OF THE BUSINESS CYCLE GIVEN HOW LONG THE EXPANSION HAS BEEN. BUT IN SOME WAYS IT'S JUST THE BEBEGINNING BECAUSE I THINK CENTRAL BANKS, WHILE THEY WERE HELPFUL AT THE BEGINNING WOUND UP GETTING IN THE WAY AT THE END. AND I BELIEVE THERE ARE PEOPLE THAT ARE PO O-POOING THE TAX CUT. PERSONALLY I THINK IT'S GOING TO AVERAGE PERSON THAT PAYS TAXES. AND I ALSO THINK FOR BUSINESS INVESTMENTS. WE'RE JUST GETTING STARTED. CHRONOLOGICALLY IT SEEMS QUITE OLD. IN MY OPINION WE'RE JUST GETTING GOING. AND I ALSO AGREE WITH RALPH. I THINK YOU'RE GOING TO ZEROATION INTO THE MORE ENCYCLICAL VALUE ORIENTED SECTORS OF THE MARKET. MARIA: I THINK YOU MAKE A GOOD REALLY IN THE LAST EIGHT YEARS WAS REALLY DO TO EASY MONETARY POLICY. THERE REALLY WEREN'T A LOT OF MARKET. BUT THIS TIME, THIS YEAR WE SEE RATES BEGINNING TO GO UP. SO MONETARY POLICY IS TAKEN AWAY AND NOW WE'VE GOT FISCAL POLICY DRIVING THE BUCK. >> AND THE NET RESULT OF THAT -- THE OVERALL MARKET MIGHT NOT DO AS WELL AS IT HAS, LET'S SEE, LAST YEAR. BUT THE OPPORTUNITIES TO MAKE I THINK IT'S MUCH BETTER FOR ACTIVE MANAGERS BECAUSE THERE'S GOING TO BE GREATER DISPERSION OF RETURNS. AND I THINK YOU'RE GOING TO SEE STRONGER COMPANIES CONSOLIDATING A LOT OF THE WEAKER COMPANIES AS INTEREST RATES RISE. MARIA: WHAT ABOUT THAT RALPH? HOW DO YOU MAKE MONEY IN THIS JASON JUST SAID. YOU KNOW WHAT, JASON, CORRECT ME IF I'M WRONG. I THINK THE MARKET IS LOOKING BEYOND THE NEXT QUARTER OR TWO. I THINK IT'S LOOKING OUT INTO THE END OF THIS YEAR AND PERHAPS EVEN INTO 2019. IT'S A LONG TERM VIEW THAT THE MARKET IS TAKING. YOU KNOW, THE LIFELINE OF THE BULL MARKET THAT HAD IN THE LATE '90s, MARIA, WAS LOW THAT'S THE FERTILE GROUND FOR THIS. I LOVE WHAT JASON SHAD TO SAY. IT KIND OF FITS IN WITH MY LONG TERM FEELING. AS FAR AS BUYING ANYTHING, I WOULD LOOK AT STOCKS THAT HAVEN'T PERFORMED, LIKE EXXONMOBIL, BIG BLUE CHIP DOW STOCK, HALL BURTON, A DRILLING STRENGTH IN ENERGY. BANKING STOCKS. I THINK IT'S JUST STARTING FOR COMPANIES LIKE CITI GROUP AND BANK OF AMERICA. MARIA: YOU MAKE A GREAT POINT. IT'S BEEN A LOT OF TECH THAT'S BEEN LEADING HERE. >> SO I THINK PEOPLE -- WHEN ECONOMIC GROWTH IS RELATIVELY LOW, PEOPLE WOULD PAY UP FOR GROWTH, EARNINGS GROWTH AND ECONOMIC GROWTH. NOW THAT ECONOMIC GROWTH WILL BE MORE DIFFUSE, MORE APPARENT, I THINK INVESTORS WILL FIND GROWTH WITH RALPH. I THINK ENERGY AND FINANCIALS IN PARTICULAR ARE TWO GREAT PLACE TO LOOK FOR FINANCIAL BENEFIT A LOT FROM REGULATORY REFORMS AND SO I THINK THE OUTLOOK IS QUITE
A2 初級 道瓊斯在2018年將不斷打破記錄。Ralph Acampora (Dow Jones will keep breaking records in 2018: Ralph Acampora) 1 0 林宜悉 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日 更多分享 分享 收藏 回報 影片單字