Name: TED】邁克爾-謝倫伯格：對核電的恐懼是如何傷害環境的（How fear of nuclear power is hurting the environment | Michael Shellenberger）。 (【TED】Michael Shellenberger: How fear of nuclear power is hurting the environment (How fear of nuclear power is hurting the environment | Michael Sh
Uploaded: 2021-01-14T06:44:20.000Z
Duration: 13 min 59 s

And where I live in Berkeley, California,

it seems like every day I see a new roof with new solar panels going up,

我幾乎每一天都能看到 新鋪上太陽能板的屋頂，

Germany sometimes gets half its power from solar,

德國有時能有一半能源來自太陽能，

and India is now committed to building 10 times more solar

印度現正籌備建設的 太陽能發電裝置數量，

Even nuclear seems to be making a comeback.

Bill Gates is in China working with engineers,

比爾·蓋茨在中國與工程師們合作，

there's 40 different companies that are working together

to try to race to build the first reactor that runs on waste,

試圖爭先建造第一個 依靠核廢料運行的反應堆，

going to be a lot easier to solve than anybody imagined?

真的比任何人想像中都要容易解決嗎？

so my colleagues and I decided to take a deep dive into the data.

所以我和同事決定深入研究數據。

但是研究的結果卻讓我們感到驚訝。

The first thing is that clean energy has been increasing.

第一件事就是 潔淨能源的使用一直在增加。

This is electricity from clean energy sources over the last 20 years.

這是潔淨能源過去的20年發電量

But when you look at the percentage of global electricity

但是，當你看全球電力的百分比

it's actually been in decline from 36 percent to 31 percent.

實際上一直在下降， 從36％到31％。

you've got to go in the opposite direction

你會覺得我們需要逆轉這個趨勢，

to 100 percent of our electricity from clean energy sources,

我們需要盡快把清潔能源所佔的

"Come on, how much could five percentage points of global electricity be?"

“嘿！全球電力的5%能有多少嘛？“

而是相當於60座，加州最後的發電廠

the size of Diablo Canyon, California's last nuclear plant,

代阿布洛峽谷核電廠的發電量，

或900座加州托帕石太陽能電廠的發電量，

which is one of the biggest solar farms in the world,

這可是世界上最大的太陽能電廠。

A big part of this is simply that fossil fuels are increasing

化石燃料持續增加， 比潔淨能源還快。

that are still using wood and dung and charcoal

which is that one of those clean energy sources in particular

那就是， 有一項潔淨能源的數據

has actually been on the decline in absolute terms,

從絕對數值來看，其實一直在下降，

You can see its generation has declined seven percent

你可以看到核電發電量 在過去的10年

Now, solar and wind have been making huge strides,

現在，太陽能和風能 已經有了巨大的進步，

so you hear a lot of talk about how it doesn't really matter,

所以你聽到了很多演講， 說核能其實並不重要，

because solar and wind is going to make up the difference.

因為太陽能和風能足以彌補差額。

When you combine all the electricity from solar and wind,

you see it actually barely makes up half of the decline from nuclear.

你看它實際上只能勉強彌補 核能下降值的一半。

Let's take a closer look in the United States.

Over the last couple of years -- really 2013, 2014 --

we prematurely retired four nuclear power plants.

They were almost entirely replaced with fossil fuels,

幾乎完全以 化石燃料發電取代，

and so the consequence was that we wiped out

almost as much clean energy electricity that we get from solar.

People think of California as a clean energy and climate leader,

人們認為加州是潔淨能源和 對抗氣候變遷的領導者，

California reduced emissions more slowly than the national average,

加州減少碳排放量速度低於全國平均水準。

German emissions have actually been going up since 2009,

德國的排放量居然自2009年以來一直往上走，

and there's really not anybody who's going to tell you

that they're going to meet their climate commitments in 2020.

他們要怎麼達成 2020年的減碳承諾。

Solar and wind provide power about 10 to 20 percent of the time,

太陽能和風能可提供電能時間 約佔一天中10％到20％，

which means that when the sun's not shining,

這意味著當沒陽光照耀、風不吹拂，

但醫院、城市及工廠仍需要電力

事實是，電池永遠不會像 電網一樣有效率。

And while batteries have made some really cool improvements lately,

每回你將電能以電池儲存後， 再次將它拿出來，

the truth is, they're just never going to be as efficient

Every time you put electricity into a battery and take it out,

you lose about 20 to 40 percent of the power.

我們現在約10％電力 取自太陽能發電。

we try to deal with all the solar we've brought online --

we now get about 10 percent of electricity from solar --

when the sun goes down, and people come home from work

我們需要大量的天然氣備載電力。

and turn on their air conditioners and their TV sets,

但去年年底， 它如雨後春筍般湧現洩漏。

is stuffing a lot of natural gas into the side of a mountain.

but then late last year, it sprung a leak.

它是把相當於五千輛 汽車在道路行駛。

TED】邁克爾-謝倫伯格：對核電的恐懼是如何傷害環境的（How fear of nuclear power is hurting the environment | Michael Shellenberger）。 (【TED】Michael Shellenberger: How fear of nuclear power is hurting the environment (How fear of nuclear power is hurting the environment | Michael Sh

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