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  • Hello and welcome back to the note.

    哈囉,歡迎回到 the note。

  • Back in New York, this week and just in time for a landmark,

    紐約股市在這週剛創了新的里程碑,

  • it looks as though Google has taken over from Apple as the world's largest company by market cap.

    看樣子Google擠下Apple,成爲全球市值最高的企業。

  • This is how those two companies stood at the end of trading today and turn to their market cap.

    這是兩大公司今日交易收盤的結果,我們來看他們的市值,

  • Then Google announced their earnings which were considerably better than expected,

    Google發布了他們優於市場預期的盈利,

  • so were their revenues and judging by after-hours trading,

    同樣高漲的還有他們的營收。從盤後交易的情形來看,

  • Their share prices up some 5%, that would be more than enough to take them ahead of Apple.

    Google的股價漲了百分之五,光是這樣就足以超越Apple的股價

  • Now, that's an exciting development,

    這真是令人振奮的發展,

  • but in general earnings haven't been better than expected here, in the US.

    但總體而言,美國股市的盈利並沒有比預期的好,

  • And in general, stock markets today haven't been exciting at all.

    股市大致來看並沒有太大的波動。

  • And yes, it was almost exactly flat for the day.

    的確,整天下來股市幾乎走勢平平,

  • That's followed (by) continued gains in Japan on

    接著,由於日銀於週五祭出了破天荒的負利率政策,

  • the back of Japan's shocking decision to go to negative interest rates on Friday,

    日經指數持續攀升,

  • but falls in European stocks.

    卻在歐洲股市下跌。

  • Now, a lot of that could be due to ISM surveys, which we always get in the beginning of the month,

    這些結果大部分是來自每個月初ISM指數的調查,

  • looking at manufacturing date.

    可從製造日期觀看。

  • Try if we take a look at this next chart, you can see here in the US,

    如果我們觀看下一個圖表,你可以發現美國

  • the manufacturing ISM continues to signal contraction.

    ISM生產指數一直呈現下跌的情況。

  • Yes, manufacturing accounts for a much smaller chunk of the economy than it used to do.

    確實,製造業對經濟體系的貢獻比起以往縮水許多,

  • But as you can see, going back to 1980, it really,

    但正如您所看到,在1980年

  • this survey really does seem to map very well onto the absent flows of the economy itself.

    這份調查似乎忠實呈現了經濟體本身流動停滯的情形。

  • You can see why this is contributing to growing nervousness about whether

    可以想見為什麼這個現象造成越來越多人擔心

  • the US economy really is as strong as many people have assumed.

    美國的經濟實力其實沒有大家想像般的強盛。

  • Now that leads into one final big issue which is going to begin to bulk larger,

    這就要談到另一個最終會越演越烈的重大議題,

  • which is that over the next few hours, we will have the Iowa caucuses and

    那就是在接下來的幾個小時內,我們將會由愛荷華州黨團會議初選

  • the process for deciding who the next US president is going to be.

    來得知美國總統選舉的走勢。

  • We'll finally move into action.

    我們最終會付諸行動。

  • Now if we take a look at the Iowa Electronic Markets, has no direct connection to the Iowa caucuses.

    我們來看看愛荷華州電子股市,這和愛荷華州黨團會議沒有直接相關。

  • This is an electronic futures market run by the University Of Iowa,

    這是由愛荷華大學創立的電子期貨市場,

  • which allows people to bet on who they think is going to be president.

    可以讓民眾來下注總統大選的結果。

  • You can see it's been much less volatile and exciting than the campaign has been so far,

    可以看出市場走勢並不如競選來的浮動和振奮,

  • and there is a general sense that the Democrats are more likely to prevail,

    而且普遍呈現往民主黨一面倒的情況,

  • better two in three shots at this point.

    有三分之二的機率民主黨會獲勝。

  • That really says little more than the electoral map at this moment tends to favor the Democrats

    這其實跟選舉地圖上呈現的民主黨支持度相差無幾,

  • if there's no other particular reasons of votes,

    除非有什麼特別的投票原因,

  • otherwise you would tend to think that the Democrats are more likely to win the presidency.

    不然人們大都會認為民主黨會贏得總統大選。

  • Well, I doubt very much that this level of calmness about the presidential process can last much longer.

    我不認為現在選戰的平穩程度能再持續多久,

  • The chances are that we're going to see more volatility there,

    我們很可能會觀察到越來越多的波動,

  • and that will be reflected in markets.

    而這些將會反映在股市上。

Hello and welcome back to the note.

哈囉,歡迎回到 the note。

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A2 初級 中文 FinancialTimes 股市 民主黨 愛荷華州 走勢 指數

從蘋果到Alphabet|作者簡介 (From Apple to Alphabet | Authers' Note)

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    Kristi Yang 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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