Name: 35分鐘看懂川普、伊朗等議題的分析！ (35 minutes of Enten running numbers on Trump, Iran & more)
Uploaded: 2026-03-21T16:51:20.000Z
Duration: 34 min 42 s

How are you seeing MAGA feel about the president right now?

你覺得 MAGA 現在對總統的感覺怎麼樣？

程度副詞

Yeah, you know, sometimes you look at the polling data and there are numbers that just jump off the screen at you.

對啊，你知道，有時候你看民調數據，有些數字會讓你眼睛一亮。

轉承詞

And this is one of those, because just take a look here.

這就是其中之一，因為你看這裡。

MAGA GOP 對川普的支持度是 100%。

If you are a member of MAGA in the GOP, you approve of Donald John Trump, 0% say that they disapprove.

如果你是 GOP 裡的 MAGA 成員，你會支持唐納·約翰·川普，0% 的人表示他們不支持。

You don't have to be a mathematical genius to know you can't go higher than 100%.

你不用是數學天才也知道，不可能高過 100%。

他就是 1972 年的邁阿密海豚隊。

Now, there are some Republicans who disapprove of Donald John Trump, but

現在，的確有些共和黨人不支持唐納·約翰·川普，但是

they are not members of the Make America Great Again movement.

他們不是 Make America Great Again 運動的成員。

The bottom line is this, if you are a member of maga, you approve of Donald Trump.

總之，如果你是 MAGA 成員，你就會支持唐納·川普。

It's interesting, though, because there have been a couple prominent people who have sort of come out online and they're very mad about this war with Iran because he promised no new wars.

不過這很有趣，因為有幾位知名人士在網路上表達強烈不滿，他們對這場與伊朗的戰爭感到非常生氣，因為他曾承諾不會發動新戰爭。

Is there any sign that people might be leaving Maga relative to 2024?

有沒有跡象顯示，相較於 2024 年，人們可能會離開 MAGA？

Okay, so, you know, I've said it before and you know, the theme of this segment is Tucker Carlson be darned.

好的，你知道，我之前說過，這段節目的主題就是「管他塔克·卡爾森」。

And when we look at the numbers, I mean, I've heard some people say, oh, you know what, when you look at those MAGA numbers, it doesn't account for those who might have left MAGA.

當我們看數字時，我聽過有些人說，哦，你知道嗎，當你看那些 MAGA 的數字時，並沒有計算那些可能已經離開 MAGA 的人。

In November of 2024, it was 28% of Americans.

在 2024 年 11 月，有 28% 的美國人。

If anything, it's slightly higher at 30%.

如果有的話，甚至更高一點，來到 30%。

The MAGA base within the GOP is not shrinking.

GOP 裡面的 MAGA 基礎並沒有縮小。

If anything, it is slightly larger than it was back in 2024 when of course, Donald Trump won a second term.

如果有的話，甚至比 2024 年唐納·川普贏得連任時還要稍微大一點。

So that 100%, that Donald Trump has approval among MAGA GOP, that is not an artifact of MAGA shrinking.

所以，那 100% 表示唐納·川普在 MAGA GOP 中有支持度，這並不是 MAGA 縮小的結果。

It's just an indication of how strong Donald Trump's grip is on that MAGA base.

這只是顯示唐納·川普對 MAGA 基礎的掌握有多強。

And so I guess that begs the questions, what's happening with inside the gop and if there are any splits there?

所以我想這就引出了問題，GOP 內部發生了什麼事，以及是否存在任何分裂？

Because with that, those kind of numbers, they're going to want to retain that.

因為有了這樣的數字，他們會想要保留那些。

對，這樣他們才能保住自己的席位。

You know, we mentioned Iran in the intro of this segment.

你知道，我們在節目開頭提到了伊朗。

有 90% 的支持度，只有 5% 的反對。

If you disapprove of the job that Donald Trump is doing or, excuse me, the US Military action in Iran.

如果你對唐納·川普的工作，或者，抱歉，美國在伊朗的軍事行動不認同。

有 36% 的人支持，54% 的人贊同。

But the majority of Republicans approve of the job that the U.S. military action is in Iran.

但共和黨的大多數人贊同美國在伊朗的軍事行動。

And the majority of MAGA, which is the majority of the GOP, very much proof, 90%, very little split in Donald Trump's base.

而 MAGA 的大多數人，也就是 GOP 的大多數人，非常贊同，90%，唐納·川普的支持群體幾乎沒有分歧。

Those who disapprove in the gop, simply put, they hate maga.

GOP 中那些不贊同的人，簡單來說，他們討厭 MAGA。

Talk to us about how these countries, in particular citizens and voters are feeling about this war now in its third week and some of the pressure their leaders are now put under.

跟我們談談這些國家，特別是公民和選民，對於這場戰爭現在來到第三週的感受，以及他們領導人現在承受的一些壓力。

Yeah, I would say that their leaders are put under a tremendous amount of pressure because when it comes to our allies, the folks in those countries do not like the US Military action in Iran.

對啊，我會說他們的領導人承受著巨大的壓力，因為說到我們的盟友，那些國家的人們不喜歡美國在伊朗的軍事行動。

Well, I pulled up three countries for you.

Three close allies of the United States of America.

Net approval, the US Military action in Iran, way, way underwater in all three.

淨準許度，美國在伊朗的軍事行動，在這三個國家裡都遠遠地、遠遠地低迷。

We're talking about 27 points underwater in Canada, 73 points underwater in Japan.

我們在說加拿大低迷 27 個百分點，日本低迷 73 個百分點。

And then in the UK we're talking about 34 points underwater, at least 27 points underwater in all three.

然後在英國，我們談論的是淨準許度下降 34 個百分點，在這三個國家裡都至少下降 27 個百分點。

然後在日本，下降 73 個百分點。

I didn't know you could be that unpopular.

我不知道竟然可以這麼不受歡迎。

But I think what's important to note is not just how unpopular the current military action in Iran is.

但我想重要的是要注意的，不只是目前在伊朗的軍事行動有多不受歡迎。

Let's compare it to the US Military action in a different part of The Middle east, that is Iraq, all the way back 23 years ago.

讓我們把它跟美國在另一個中東地區的軍事行動做比較，那就是伊拉克，早在 23 年前。

Just take a look at how much more unpopular the actions in Iran are.

就看看伊朗的行動有多麼不受歡迎。

Okay, this is the shift in net approval in US military action in Iran now versus Iraq in 2003.

好的，這是現在伊朗的美國軍事行動淨準許度與 2003 年伊拉克的比較。

In Canada, we're talking about 27 points less popular in Japan, 40.

在加拿大，我們談論的是受歡迎度下降 27 個百分點，在日本則是 40 個百分點。

48 points less popular this time around than the US and UK military action in Iraq was all the way back in 2003.

這次比 2003 年美國和英國在伊拉克的軍事行動，受歡迎度少了 48 個百分點。

So we're talking about tremendous shifts.

所以我們談論的是巨大的轉變。

Our allies, the people in those countries shifting away from the United States, becoming a lot less likely to like, in fact, US Military action going on in the Middle east.

我們的盟友，那些國家的人們正在遠離美國，越來越不可能喜歡，事實上，正在中東發生的美國軍事行動。

But I have to say, Zayn, to be honest, I am not all that surprised because this is part of a longer polling trend dating back to last year in which President Trump and the United States is, simply put, not as well, like amongst other countries, folks in other countries, because just take a look here.

但我必須說，Zayn，說實話，我一點也不意外，因為這是從去年開始的一項長期民調趨勢，簡單來說，川普總統和美國在其他國家，其他國家的人們之間，並沒有那麼受歡迎，因為我們就來看看這裡。

Favorable view of the US in 2025 versus 2024, when, of course, Joe Biden was the president, the favorable views went down, went down in 79% of the 24 countries that were in fact polled.

2025 年與 2024 年相比，當時當然是喬·拜登擔任總統，在實際接受民調的 24 個國家中，好感度下降了 79%。

So this is just part of a longer lineage in which folks abroad have been moving against the United States of America.

這只是眾多趨勢中的一部分，外國民眾對美國的看法一直在轉變。

It is the chickens coming home to roost in which President Trump has basically been pushing other countries away.

這就像是自食惡果，因為川普總統基本上一直在推開其他國家。

And now all of a sudden he wants our allies to help out and they're saying, nah, we're good.

而現在他突然希望我們的盟友伸出援手，但他們卻說「不用了，我們沒事」。

And the voters and the adults in those countries are also saying, nah, we're good.

這些國家的選民和成年人也說「不用了，我們沒事」。

Net approval of Trump on gas prices, all overall, negative 39 points.

川普在油價方面的淨支持率，整體來說是負 39 個百分點。

He is underwater, swimming in the deep blue sea.

And even amongst those who voted for him in 2024, he's getting just 56% approval there.

就連 2024 年投給他的選民，也只有 56% 的支持率。

The bottom line is this, Americans independence, they hate, hate, hate the way they that Trump is handling gas prices at this point.

總之，美國民眾非常非常討厭川普處理油價的方式。

And how does this relate to cost of living?

Yeah, okay, that's the key question, right?

對啊，這才是關鍵問題，對吧？

Because we know that inflation was the key reason why Donald Trump was reelected to a second term back in 2024.

因為我們知道，通膨是唐納·約翰·川普在 2024 年連任的關鍵原因。

It sunk the Joe Biden presidency, brought down Kamala Harris's chances of winning in 2024.

它擊垮了喬·拜登的總統任期，也讓賀錦麗在 2024 年的勝選機會泡湯。

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35分鐘看懂川普、伊朗等議題的分析！ (35 minutes of Enten running numbers on Trump, Iran & more)

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