Name: 未來可能出現的 12 個新國家！ (The 12 New Countries That Might Exist Soon)
Uploaded: 2026-03-17T17:21:07.000Z
Duration: 53 min 18 s

程度副詞

As history continues evolving with time, new and old countries come in and out of existence pretty much all the time.

隨著時間不斷演進，新舊國家此起彼落，一直都在誕生與消失。

情態副詞

Dozens of new UN recognized countries have come into existence in only the past 30 plus years since the Cold War began coming to a close back in 1990, and

自從 Cold War 接近尾聲的 1990 年以來，光是過去三十多年，就有數十個新成立並獲得 UN 承認的國家出現，

轉承詞

as a result, the world map has officially changed dozens of times in many of our lifetimes.

結果就是，在我們許多人有生之年，世界地圖就這樣正式變動了好幾十次。

East Germany faded out of existence in 1990 when it was legally absorbed by West Germany.

東德在 1990 年併入西德後，就從地圖上消失了。

Between 1990 and 1991, the collapse of the Soviet Union led to the birth of 15 newly recognized independent states and arguably a 16th in the form of Chechnya, which is a really interesting case study in how countries can be born and die.

1990 到 1991 年間，Soviet Union 的瓦解誕生了 15 個新獲承認的獨立國家，Chechnya 也可說是第 16 個，這是一個關於國家如何誕生與消亡的有趣案例。

Chechnya, an ethnically and religiously distinct territory of Russia, unilaterally declared its independence from the Soviet Union and Russia in 1991 and remained a de facto independent state for nearly a decade until it was forcefully resubjugated by the Russian armed forces in 2000.

Chechnya 是俄羅斯一個在種族和宗教上獨特的地區，它在 1991 年單方面宣佈脫離 Soviet Union 和俄羅斯獨立，並事實上獨立了將近十年，直到 2000 年被俄羅斯軍隊武力重新併入。

During that whole time, though, the only other country that ever formally recognized Chechnya's independence was Taliban ruled Afghanistan.

但在那段時間裡，唯一正式承認 Chechnya 獨立的國家，只有由 Taliban 統治的 Afghanistan。

Chechnya fought two massive and brutal wars of independence against the Russians in the 1990s.

Chechnya 在 1990 年代與俄羅斯打了兩場規模龐大且殘酷的獨立戰爭。

The first from 1994-96 that killed more than 100,000 people and resulted in their de facto independence, and

第一場是從 1994 年到 1996 年，造成超過 10 萬人死亡，並讓他們獲得事實上的獨立，

the second war from 1999 to 2000 when the Russians finally overran Chechnya and reincorporated it back into the Russian state.

第二場戰爭則是從 1999 年到 2000 年，俄羅斯最終擊潰 Chechnya，並將其重新併入俄羅斯國家。

Many high ranking Chechen government officials then fled the country and formed a Chechen government in exile in London that has continued existing to this day.

許多車臣政府高官隨後逃離，並在 London 成立了流亡政府，這個政府至今仍然存在。

While in October of 2022, in the midst of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Ukrainian government voted to formally recognize Chechnya status as being temporarily occupied by Russia and recognized the Chechen government in exile as the territor sole legitimate government, essentially extending Ukraine's legal recognition of Chechnya as an independent state.

而在 2022 年 10 月，俄羅斯入侵 Ukraine 的期間，Ukraine 政府投票決定正式承認車臣被俄羅斯暫時佔領的地位，並承認流亡政府為該地區唯一合法的政府，這基本上是 Ukraine 法律上承認車臣為獨立國家的延伸。

Now, the process of Yugoslavia's collapse after 1991 similarly led to the creation of six or seven new independent countries, depending on your point of view.

現在，Yugoslavia 在 1991 年後的瓦解過程，也類似地催生了六到七個新的獨立國家，這取決於你的看法。

Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, North Macedonia, and

Slovenia、Croatia、Bosnia and Herzegovina、North Macedonia，以及

the formerly united Serbia and Montenegro all emerged by the early 2000s, while Montenegro further declared its own independence from Serbia in 2006.

過去統一的 Serbia 和 Montenegro，都在 2000 年代初期出現，而 Montenegro 在 2006 年更宣佈從 Serbia 獨立。

And then Kosovo unilaterally declared their independence from Serbia too in 2008, which remains legally disputed by Serbia and therefore remains controversial.

接著 Kosovo 在 2008 年也單方面宣佈從 Serbia 獨立，這至今仍被 Serbia 在法律上爭議，是以具有爭議性。

In 1993, Czechoslovakia split into two new Czechia and Slovakia.

1993 年，Czechoslovakia 分裂成 Czechia 和 Slovakia 兩個新國家。

The same year, Eritrea managed to finally declare their own independence from Ethiopia after another decades long independence struggle.

同年，Eritrea 在又一次長達數十年的獨立鬥爭後，終於成功地從 Ethiopia 宣佈獨立。

In 1994, Palau a small Pacific island state achieved its sovereignty and effective independence from the United states states in 2002.

1994 年，太平洋島國 Palau 獲得主權，並在 2002 年從 United States 獲得實質獨立。

East Timor became the first new independent country to emerge in the 21st century after a long independent struggle against Indonesia.

East Timor 在與 Indonesia 長期的獨立鬥爭後，成為 21 世紀第一個新獨立的國家。

And then in 2011, South Sudan finally achieved its own independence from the rest of Sudan after another decades long independence struggle that resulted in it becoming the world's youngest widely recognized independent state and member of the United nations, at least for now.

接著在 2011 年，South Sudan 經過又一場長達數十年的獨立鬥爭後，終於成功從 Sudan 其他地區獨立，成為世界上最年輕、廣泛被承認的獨立國家和 UN 成員，至少目前是這樣。

Dozens of new countries became independent across the 1990s, but

1990 年代有數十個新國家獨立，但是

since the 21st century began, we've only seen the four mostly widely recognized examples of East Timor, Montenegro, Kosovo and South Sudan happened so far, and

自從 21 世紀開始以來，我們只看到了四個最廣泛被承認的例子：East Timor、Montenegro、Kosovo 和 South Sudan，到目前為止，

no more widely recognized examples that have taken place in the past 13 years now since 2011.

而且自 2011 年以來，過去 13 年沒有出現更多廣泛被承認的例子。

And that begs an interesting what are the most likely new countries that have the possibility to emerge on the world stage next?

這就引出了一個有趣的問題：世界上最有可能出現的新國家有哪些？

There are many, many possibilities out there that I'll cover in this video and many others that I won't.

有很多很多可能性，我會在這個影片和許多其他影片中介紹，有些我不會介紹。

I'm not going to cover any states here that already exist in a de facto sense but lack wide scale international recognition, such as Kosovo, claimed by Serbia, the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic, claimed by Moroc, the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, claimed by Cyprus Abkhazia and South Ossetia, claimed by Georgia, Transnistria, claimed by Moldova Somaliland, claimed by Somalia or the Republic of China on Taiwan, claimed by the People's Republic of China on the mainland.

我不會在這裡介紹任何已經事實存在但缺乏廣泛國際承認的國家，例如 Serbia 所聲稱的 Kosovo、Moroc 所聲稱的 Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic、Cyprus 所聲稱的 Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus、Georgia 所聲稱的 Abkhazia 和 South Ossetia、Moldova 所聲稱的 Transnistria、Somalia 所聲稱的 Somaliland，或是 People's Republic of 

I'm only going to cover potential new independent states that don't yet exist in either a legal de jure sense nor in a de facto sense.

我只會介紹那些在法律上（de jure）或事實上（de facto）都不存在的潛在獨立國家。

And so to start this list off, it seems most likely right now that the next newest country that'll emerge soon, and

所以，要開始這個列表，目前看來最有可能很快出現的下一個新國家，

that'll probably also be widely recognized, is as the 194th member of the United nations will be Bougainville in the Western Pacific.

而且很可能也會被廣泛承認，成為聯合國第 194 個成員國的，將是西太平洋的 Bougainville。

Bougainville is geographically the westernmost and largest island in the Solomon Islands archipelago.

Bougainville 在地理上是索羅門群島群中，最西邊也是最大的島嶼。

But while the rest of the Solomon Islands are an independent nation, Bougainville has long been politically a part of Papua New Guinea.

不過，雖然索羅門群島的其他島嶼是一個獨立國家，但 Bougainville 長久以來在政治上一直是巴布亞紐幾內亞的一部分。

Instead, the history dates back to the very end of the 19th century in 1899, when the colonial German Empire laid claim to Bougainville and annexed it into their nearby colony of German New Guinea.

相反地，這段歷史可以追溯到 19 世紀末的 1899 年，當時的殖民帝國德國聲稱擁有 Bougainville，並將其併入附近的殖民地德屬新幾內亞。

Then During World War I, the Australians invaded and occupied the German colony in New guinea, including Bougainville.

接著，在第一次世界大戰期間，澳洲人入侵並佔領了包括 Bougainville 在內的新幾內亞的德國殖民地。

And after the war's conclusion in 1920, all of modern day Papua New guinea became an Australian mandate through the League of Nations, which led to a long era of more than 60 years of nearly continuous Australian administration of the territory that was only briefly interrupted by the Japanese invasion of World War II.

戰爭在 1920 年結束後，現今整個巴布亞紐幾內亞透過國際聯盟成為了澳洲的託管地，這開啟了澳洲對該地區長達 60 多年近乎持續的行政管理時期，期間僅因第二次世界大戰期間日本的入侵而短暫中斷。

After the war, Papua New guinea evolved into a UN mandate under Australian administration.

戰後，巴布亞紐幾內亞在澳洲的管理下，演變成一個聯合國託管地。

And then in the 1960s, Australian geologists discovered that Bougainville had massive deposits of copper on the island.

然後在 1960 年代，澳洲的地質學家發現 Bougainville 島上有大量的銅礦。

So the Australian authorities did what every other colonial government at the time was doing and set up a huge copper mine on the island in 1972 that at the time was the largest open pit mine operating anywhere in the world.

是以，澳洲當局採取了當時其他所有殖民政府都在做的事情，於 1972 年在島上設立了一個巨大的銅礦，當時是全球最大的露天礦場。

The copper mine quickly became hugely important to the economy of Papua New Guinea.

這個銅礦很快就對巴布亞紐幾內亞的經濟變得極為重要。

It alone produced more than 45% of Papua New Guinea's entire national export revenue, and

它單獨就生產了巴布亞紐幾內亞全國出口總收入的 45% 以上，而且

the government received 20% of the mine's total profit, of which the indigenous people of Bougainville themselves only received a 0.5% to 1.25% share of the total profit.

政府拿了礦場總利潤的 20%，而布幹維爾島的原住民自己只拿到總利潤的 0.5% 到 1.25%。

Thousands of outside workers from the Papua New guinea mainland and from Australia came to work at the Bougainville mine across the 1970s.

在 1970 年代，有數千名來自巴布亞紐幾內亞大陸和澳洲的海外工人來到布幹維爾礦場工作。

And as more of them came and most of the profits left the island, the indigenous people on Bougainville began growing increasingly resentful.

隨著越來越多的人來到這裡，大部分利潤也離開了島嶼，布幹維爾島上的原住民開始越來越不滿。

There are massive cultural and linguistic differences between the Papua New guinea mainland and Bougainville.

巴布亞紐幾內亞大陸和布幹維爾島之間存在巨大的文化和語言差異。

Papua New guinea itself is usually classified as being the most linguistically diverse country in the entire world, with no less than 893 separate languages that are known to be spoken in the country.

巴布亞紐幾內亞本身通常被認為是世界上語言最多樣化的國家，已知該國有不下 893 種不同的語言。

It's also extremely rural, with only about 13% of the population today living in cities across some of the most challenging mountainous and rainforest terrain on the planet.

它也極度鄉村化，今天只有約 13% 的人口居住在城市，分佈在地球上一些最艱難的山區和雨林地帶。

Papua New guinea is still such an isolated and remote part of the world that there isn't even an accepted consensus on what the country's actual population is still today.

巴布亞紐幾內亞至今仍是世界上一個如此孤立偏遠的地區，甚至對於該國的實際人口數至今仍沒有公認的共識。

The government officially reports their population today to be about 9.4 million, but

政府今天官方報告的人口約為 940 萬，但是

there are credible studies conducted as recently as December of 2022 that estimate the true population of the country is actually closer to 17 million people, nearly double what the government actually reports.

截至 2022 年 12 月進行的可信研究估計，該國的真實人口其實更接近 1700 萬人，幾乎是政府實際報告人數的兩倍。

Compared to the Papua New guinea mainland, Bougainville is much smaller and less populated, with only around 300,000 residents today whose culture and ethnicity is more closely related to the Melanesians of the neighboring Solomon Islands than to the Papua New guinea mainland.

與巴布亞紐幾內亞大陸相比，布幹維爾島要小得多，人口也少得多，今天只有約 30 萬居民，他們的文化和種族與鄰近索羅門群島的美拉尼西亞人更為接近，而非巴布亞紐幾內亞大陸。

And so, perhaps understandably, conflict began to bubble up to the surface between Bougainville and Papua New guinea after the opening of the massive open pit copper mine in the early 1970s.

所以，可以理解的是，在 1970 年代初期，隨著大型露天銅礦的開放，布幹維爾和巴布亞紐幾內亞之間的衝突開始浮現。

Australia granted Papua New guinea its independence in September of 1975.

澳洲於 1975 年 9 月給予巴布亞紐幾內亞獨立。

That included Bougainville but just a few days before the independence was granted, Bougainville unilaterally declared itself as the Independent Republic of the North Solomons instead.

這包括了布幹維爾，但在獨立授予前幾天，布幹維爾單方面宣佈自己為北索羅門獨立共和國。

But after it failed to gain any international recognition, Bougainville agreed on a settlement several months later in August of 1976 to become absorbed into Papua New guinea with a degree of political autonomy.

但由於未能獲得任何國際承認，布幹維爾在幾個月後的 1976 年 8 月同意達成協議，以一定程度的政治自治併入巴布亞紐幾內亞。

But tensions between Bougainville and the Papua New guinea government over the continued operation of the mine on the island continued growing until they exploded in outright rebellion in 1988 when a separatist faction on the island called the Bougainville Revolutionary army rose up to fight for Bougainville's independence.

然而，布幹維爾與巴布亞紐幾內亞政府之間關於礦場持續運營的緊張關係不斷加劇，直到 1988 年爆發了公開叛亂，當時島上一個名為布幹維爾革命軍的分離主義派系為了爭取布幹維爾的獨立而奮起反抗。

This resulted in a truly devastating decade long war for independence that lasted until 1998 and which has been described by leaders as the largest milit military conflict who had been fought in the region of Oceania since the Second World War.

這導致了一場長達十年的毀滅性獨立戰爭，一直持續到 1998 年，領導人形容這是自第二次世界大戰以來在太平洋地區發生的最大規模軍事衝突。

As the Papua New guinea government cracked down on Bougainville hard in order to maintain their access to the island's crucial copper mine, Papua New guinea enforced a total maritime blockade of the island and deployed thousands of their soldiers to the island to enforce Papua New Guinea's authority.

由於巴布亞紐幾內亞政府為了維持對島上關鍵銅礦的開採權而嚴厲鎮壓布幹維爾，巴布亞紐幾內亞對該島實施了全面的海上封鎖，並派遣了數千名阿兵哥前往該島以維護巴布亞紐幾內亞的權威。

Estimates vary greatly as to how many people were killed in the decade long war, but

戰爭長達十年，期間的死亡人數估計差異很大，但

it's usually estimated that between 15,000 and 20,000 people in Bougainville died during the conflict, While at least 300 Papua New guinea soldiers were killed and thousands more were wounded.

通常估計在衝突期間，布幹維爾有 15,000 到 20,000 人死亡，而至少有 300 名巴布亞紐幾內亞阿兵哥陣亡，數千人受傷。

That means that in the decade long war for independence between 1988 and 1998, roughly 10% of Bougainville's entire pre war population died, while tens of thousands more were placed into internally displaced person camps.

這意味著，在 1988 年到 1998 年這場長達十年的獨立戰爭中，布幹維爾戰前總人口約有 10% 死亡，而數萬人則被安置在境內流離失所者營地。

The two warring sides agreed on a ceasefire in 1997 and Papua New guinea forces began withdrawing from the island the following year.

雙方在 1997 年同意停火，巴布亞紐幾內亞軍隊於隔年開始從島上撤離。

In 1998, while Australian peacekeepers came in to take their place, a formal peace agreement was settled between Bougainville and the Papua New guinea government in 2001 that solidified Bougainville's status as a fully autonomous part of the country and which also granted Bougainville the right to hold a non binding referendum on outright independence within 20 years in the future.

1998 年，澳洲維和部隊進駐接替，2001 年布幹維爾與巴布亞紐幾內亞政府簽署了正式和平協議，確立了布幹維爾作為國家完全自治的一部分地位，並賦予布幹維爾在未來 20 年內就完全獨立舉行非約束性公投的權利。

That promised referendum was eventually held in Bougainville at the end of 2019, which saw an absolutely overwhelming vote of 98.3% of voters on the island choosing independents, with a huge 87.4% voter turnout showing that the will of the Bougainville people clearly desired independence.

這項承諾的公投最終在 2019 年底於布幹維爾舉行，結果顯示島上 98.3% 的選民壓倒性地選擇獨立，投票率高達 87.4%，顯示布幹維爾人民的意願顯然渴望獨立。

And though the referendum was technically non binding on the part of the Papua New guinea government.

雖然這項公投對巴布亞紐幾內亞政府來說技術上沒有約束力，

The overwhelming results of it for independence and all of the previous history have made it extremely difficult for the government just to simply ignore it.

但壓倒性的獨立結果以及過去的種種歷史，讓政府很難就這樣忽視它。

And so In July of 2021, Bougainville and the Papua New guinea government came to an agreement that Bougainville will be granted its formal independence from the country no earlier than 2025 and no later than 2027, pending legal ratification by the Papua New Guinea Parliament.

是以，在 2021 年 7 月，布幹維爾與巴布亞紐幾內亞政府達成協議，布幹維爾最快將於 2025 年、最晚於 2027 年獲得該國的正式獨立，但需待巴布亞紐幾內亞國會的法律準許。

And although to date when this video was made that ratification hasn't been given yet, it seems fairly certain still that Bougainville will become the world's next largely recognized independent country sometime by 2027, and

雖然截至本影片製作時，該準許尚未生效，但到 2027 年，布幹維爾很有可能成為世界上最新一個獲得廣泛承認的獨立國家，

will likely replace South Sudan as the world's youngest independent country by then.

並可能在此之前取代南蘇丹，成為世界上最年輕的獨立國家。

But what about other, less likely candidates for new countries to emerge?

但對於其他較不可能出現的新國家，情況又是如何呢？

Relatively nearby to Bougainville is also New Caledonia, which is probably, at least in my opinion, the next most likely place to eventually become a newly independent country.

相較於布幹維爾，距離不遠的新喀裡多尼亞，在我看來，可能是下一個最有可能成為新獨立國家的地區。

New Caledonia currently still remains as a legal overseas territory of France, despite the fact that the island is in the Pacific and is located about 17,000 km away from metropolitan France, over on the other side of the world in Europe.

新喀裡多尼亞目前仍是法國的海外領土，儘管這個島嶼位在太平洋，距離法國本土約一萬七千公里，橫跨整個世界，位在歐洲。

The French annexed New Caledonia back in 1853, and

法國在 1853 年併吞了新喀裡多尼亞，

ever since then successive waves of European, Polynesian and other settlers have come to the island that have made the indigenous ethnic Kanak people on the island a minority, where today they only represent about 41% of New Caledonia's total population of about 270,000 people, with Europeans representing another 24% of the population and various Polynesians and other groups representing most of the rest.

從那時起，歐洲、波利尼西亞和其他地方的移民陸續來到島上，使得原住民卡納克人成了少數民族，如今他們只佔新喀裡多尼亞約 27 萬總人口的 41% 左右，歐洲人佔了另外的 24%，而各種波利尼西亞和其他族群則佔了其餘的大部分。

For decades under French colonial rule in the 19th and early 20th centuries, the indigenous Kanak were largely marginalized, excluded from the island's economy, and

在 19 世紀和 20 世紀初法國殖民統治的幾十年裡，原住民卡納克人大多被邊緣化，被排除在島嶼經濟之外，

eventually confined to a system of reservations like indigenous Americans were in the Western hemisphere.

最後被限制在保留區制度裡，就像美洲原住民在西半球一樣。

By the 1970s, a modern independence and sovereignty movement began growing in popularity among the indigenous Khannaq people on the island, who were frustrated with their lower socioeconomic status relative to the European settlers of the island, and

到了 1970 年代，一個現代化的獨立和主權運動開始在島上的原住民卡納克人中日益普及，他們對相較於島上的歐洲移民，自己社會經濟地位較低感到沮喪，

so the movement steadily adopted more violent methods to advance their cause.

是以，該運動穩步採取了更激進的手段來推進他們的訴求。

The biggest violent incident occurred in 1988, when a group of 30 heavily armed Khannaq independence fighters attacked a French military outpost on the island, killing four French soldiers and taking another 36 people, including some civilians, as hostages.

最大的暴力事件發生在 1988 年，當時有 30 名全副武裝的卡納克獨立戰士攻擊了島上的一個法國軍事前哨站，殺害了四名法國阿兵哥，並挾持了另外 36 人，包括一些平民作為人質。

The group demanded that the hostages would be released in exchange for serious talks with the French government on the independence of New Caledonia.

該組織要求釋放人質，以換取與法國政府就新喀裡多尼亞獨立問題進行嚴肅談判。

France refused to negotiate and deployed a crack hostage recovery team made up of dozens of French commandos, paratroopers, and

法國拒絕談判，並部署了一支由數十名法國突擊隊員、傘兵組成的精銳人質救援隊，

GIGN counter terror specialists to raid them instead.

由 GIGN 反恐特戰隊來突襲他們。

In the ensuing raid, The French killed 19 of the Connaught hostage takers and successfully freed all of the hostages, while two of the French soldiers in the assault team were also killed, resulting in the total deaths of 25 people during the bloody incident.

在隨後的突襲行動中，法國方面擊斃了 19 名卡納克人質劫持者，並成功救出所有人質，而突擊隊中有兩名法國阿兵哥也陣亡，這次血腥事件總共造成 25 人死亡。

In the aftermath, the French government and the Kanak independence movement agreed on a 10 year truce to secure stability on the island, and

事後，法國政府與卡納克獨立運動簽訂了為期 10 年的休戰協議，以確保島上的穩定，

after the decade had passed in 1998, without any other major incidents, the French government and the major pro and anti independence parties on the island all signed the Noumea Accord, which established a 20 year transitional period until 2018 in which certain powers would be transferred to the local government, and

十年後的 1998 年，在沒有其他重大事件發生的情況下，法國政府與島上主要的獨立派和反獨立派政黨簽署了《努美阿協定》，該協定確立了直到 2018 年為止的 20 年過渡期，期間部分權力將移交給地方政府，

which also guaranteed that after those 20 years, beginning in 2018, New Caledonia would be allowed to host three separate independence referendums that would determine the island's future political status.

並且保證在 20 年後，也就是從 2018 年開始，新喀裡多尼亞可以舉辦三次獨立公投，以決定該島未來的政治地位。

And so the first of these independence referendums in New Caledonia was hosted in 2018, which was soundly rejected, with 56.7% of voters choosing to remain with France and only 43.3% of voters choosing independence, with a total voter turnout on the island of 81%.

於是，新喀裡多尼亞的第一次獨立公投在 2018 年舉行，結果遭到壓倒性否決，56.7% 的選民選擇留在法國，只有 43.3% 的選民選擇獨立，島上的總投票率為 81%。

Then the second independence referendum was hosted a couple years later in 2020 that grew much more narrow, this time with only 53.3% of voters choosing to remain with France and 46.7% of voters choosing to become independent, with an even higher voter turnout this time of 85.7%, the momentum appeared to be rising for the pro independence side, and

接著，第二次獨立公投在幾年後的 2020 年舉行，結果變得更加接近，這次只有 53.3% 的選民選擇留在法國，46.7% 的選民選擇獨立，而這次的投票率更高，達到 85.7%，獨立派的聲勢似乎正在上漲，

with the final referendum on independence scheduled for December 2021, all eyes were fixated on what would happen next.

隨著最後一次獨立公投定於 2021 年 12 月舉行，所有人的目光都聚焦在接下來會發生什麼。

But in between the second and third referendums, the COVID 19 pandemic hit the island and ravaged it, which resulted in more than 300 deaths that disproportionately affected the indigenous Kana community that was more pro independence.

但在第二次和第三次公投之間，COVID-19 疫情襲擊了該島並造成嚴重破壞，導致超過 300 人死亡，其中對原住民卡納克社群的影響尤為嚴重，而這個社群大多支持獨立。

It quickly became clear that the next referendum would take place during a period of customary mourning within the Kana community for their lost ones.

很快就顯而易見的是，下一次公投將在卡納克社群為失去的親人哀悼的時期舉行。

But the government's health restrictions had made campaigning for the final referendum largely impossible.

不過，政府的健康限制措施讓最後一次獨立公投的競選活動幾乎不可能進行。

So the pro independence parties on the island became worried that this would all contribute to a lower voter turnout than in either of the previous referendums, and

所以島上的獨立派政黨開始擔心，這一切會導致投票率比前兩次公投都來得低，

so they began asking the French government to reschedule the final referendum until after the pandemic had settled down more.

是以他們開始請求法國政府將最後一次公投延期，直到疫情稍微緩和之後。

But the French government refused to reschedule the referendum and went ahead with it as originally planned in December of 2021, which led to all of the pro independence parties on the island announcing that they would boycott the vote in protest.

但法國政府拒絕延期公投，並按照原定計畫在 2021 年 12 月舉行，這導致島上所有獨立派政黨宣佈抵制這次投票以示抗議。

As a result, the remain with France choice secured an overwhelming 96.5% of the 2021 vote, while only 3.5% of voters chose independence, and

結果，選擇留在法國的選項在 2021 年的投票中獲得了壓倒性的 96.5%，而選擇獨立的選民只有 3.5%，

with a very low voter turnout this time of only 43.9% of the island, since all the pro independence parties had boycotted it.

而且這次的投票率非常低，只有島上 43.9% 的選民參與，因為所有獨立派政黨都抵制了。

But none of that stopped France's president, Emmanuel Macron, from visiting New Caledonia himself afterwards, where he proudly proclaimed that the 2021 vote had confirmed the will of Caledonians to stay French, while he further emphasized the New Caledonia had a vital role to play in France's geopolitical strategy for the Indo Pacific region, New Caledonia places sovereign French territory relatively nearby to the South China Sea, Taiwan and China.

但這一切都沒有阻止法國總統馬克宏（Emmanuel Macron）本人之後親自訪問新喀裡多尼亞，他在那裡自豪地宣稱，2021 年的投票證實了新喀裡多尼亞人希望留在法國的意願，同時他進一步強調，新喀裡多尼亞在法國印太地區的地緣戰略中扮演著至關重要的角色，新喀裡多尼亞擁有主權的法國領土，相對靠近南海、臺灣和中國。

While New Caledonia, much like Bougainville, is also rich in specific natural resources, New Caledonia is specifically home to between 10% and 25% of all the world's proven reserves of nickel, a metal that is becoming increasingly important as a major component of batteries and electric vehicles.

雖然新喀裡多尼亞和布幹維爾一樣，也富含特定的天然資源，但新喀裡多尼亞特別擁有全球已探明鎳儲量的 10% 到 25%，鎳是一種越來越重要的金屬，是電池和電動車的主要組成部分。

France's control over New Caledonia makes it the fourth largest producer of nickel in the entire world, remaining only behind the likes of Russia, the Philippines and Indonesia.

法國對新喀裡多尼亞的控制使其成為全球第四大鎳生產國，僅次於俄羅斯、菲律賓和印尼。

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未來可能出現的 12 個新國家！ (The 12 New Countries That Might Exist Soon)

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