Name: 川普的舉動！美國經濟再也無法挽回的衝擊！ (Trump Just Did Something IRREVERSIBLE to US Economy)
Uploaded: 2026-03-15T18:02:52.000Z
Duration: 10 min 59 s

程度副詞

Trump just did something irreversible to the US Economy.

川普剛對美國經濟做了一件無法挽回的事。

情態副詞

This decision alone could fundamentally destroy the foundation of the petrodollar.

這項決定本身就可能徹底摧毀 petrodollar 的基礎。

The US Iran war is turning into a disaster and forcing the United States to take really bad decisions.

美國與伊朗的戰爭正演變成一場災難，迫使美國做出非常糟糕的決定。

Oil prices have been rising faster than ever and they have crossed over $100.

油價以前所未有的速度上漲，已經突破了 100 美元。

And this is creating a very dangerous situation in the market because a lot of US Allies rely on that oil.

這在市場上造成了非常危險的局面，因為許多 美國盟友 都依賴這些石油。

First of all, let's take Japanese countries or Asian countries such as Japan and South Korea.

首先，我們來看看 日本國家 或 亞洲國家，像是日本和 韓國。

95% of the Japanese oil comes from Middle East.

70% of South Korean oil comes from Middle East.

And since Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, since the United States have launched this attack on Iran, now these countries, which are very close allies of the United States, don't have much oil.

而且自從 伊朗 關閉了 荷姆茲海峽，自從 美國 對 伊朗 發動這次攻擊以來，這些與 美國 非常親近的盟友國家，現在已經沒有多少石油了。

So Japan has released it is strategic oil reserves.

所以日本已經釋出了它的 戰略石油儲備。

And when that is going to be over, it is going to be a catastrophe for a country that heavily relies on manufacturing.

而且一旦這情況結束，對於一個高度依賴 製造業 的國家來說，將會是一場災難。

The same thing could be said about South Korea.

But it's not just about the Asian countries.

Yes, Europe does not import much of its oil from Middle east, but

沒錯，歐洲從 中東 進口的石油不多，但是

global oil prices are interconnected with one another.

So if oil prices globally rise, that means that oil prices in Europe are also going to rise.

所以如果全球油價上漲，也就代表歐洲的油價也會跟著上漲。

And if you look at countries such as Germany that heavily relies on manufacturing, they are going to get out of business.

而像 德國 這種高度依賴 製造業 的國家，它們的生意將會做不下去。

Now, Germany suffered a lot when the Russian energy stopped flowing to Germany because a lot of German factories began closing down.

現在，當 俄羅斯能源 停止供應給 德國 時，德國已經遭受了很大的痛苦，因為很多德國的工廠開始關閉。

而現在我們又面臨了另一個 能源危機。

It seems like it is going to send Germany into a stone age.

這似乎會讓德國回到石器時代。

And finally, it's also a pressure over the United States as well because if you look at oil prices or gas prices, the they have risen by 30, 50 or even doubled in some places.

最後，這也給美國帶來壓力，因為看看油價或汽油價格，它們已經上漲了 30%、50%，甚至在某些地方翻倍了。

And that is creating political instability, even though that from the other side it might be beneficial for the United States.

這正在製造政治不穩定，儘管從另一方面來看，這可能對美國有利。

Rising oil prices means that more countries will be buying oil using US Dollars.

油價上漲意味著會有更多國家使用美元購買石油。

That means that there is more demand for the U.S. treasuries.

這意味著對美國國債的需求會增加。

I mean, look at a country such as Japan that holds $1.3 trillion of U.S. treasuries.

我是說，看看像日本這樣的國家，它們持有 1.3 兆美元的美國國債。

Part of the reason they do that is because they use a lot of that money to buy oil from Middle east since Middle east only sells oil in US Dollars.

他們這樣做的部分原因是，他們用很多錢從中東購買石油，因為中東只接受美元出售石油。

But it seems like that is about to change because countries are trying to negotiate with Iran, bypassing the United States.

但似乎這種情況即將改變，因為各國正試圖與伊朗談判，繞過美國。

China, for example, secured its ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz because it is a close ally of Iran, France is right now negotiating with Iran and forgetting about the United States.

例如，中國確保了船隻能通過荷姆茲海峽，因為它是伊朗的親密盟友；法國目前正與伊朗談判，而忽略了美國。

Something like that was unimaginable even two weeks ago.

兩週前，這種情況根本無法想像。

Now, maybe what, two weeks from now, Japan is going to negotiate with Iran and will say, listen, we will buy your own oil, and

現在，也許兩週後，日本會跟伊朗談判，然後說，聽著，我們要買你們的石油，而且

Do you see how this is quickly accelerating and putting an end to the petrodollar?

你們有沒有看到這一切加速多快，以及它如何終結 petrodollar？

And Iran could set actually its own terms.

And part of the terms could be, if you want us to sell you the oil and if you want us to let your ships to go through this trade of Hormuz, maybe it's time to lift the sanctions out of the United States.

其中一個條件可能是，如果你們想讓我們賣石油給你們，並讓你們的船隻通過荷姆茲海峽進行貿易，也許是時候解除美國的制裁了。

And that could potentially jeopardize the entire financial power that the United States has built since 1944.

這可能會危及美國自 1944 年以來建立的整個金融實力。

But Trump has a plan to fix this problem, because Trump always has a plan.

但川普有個解決這個問題的計畫，因為川普總是有計畫。

So if you look at oil prices, there are different kind of benchmarks to track oil prices.

所以如果你們看油價，有幾種不同的指標可以追蹤油價。

布蘭特原油的價格現在是 103 美元。

Because this is an American oil or mostly light oil.

因為這是美國的石油，或是大部分是輕質原油。

However, these are not the only benchmarks.

And why do we have so many different kind of oil prices?

為什麼會有這麼多種不同的油價呢？

And that's because the oil industry is extremely complicated.

First, you have two different kind of oils in different parts of the world.

首先，世界上有兩種不同的原油。

So you have heavy oil, you have light oil.

That oil must be extracted from the ground first, and

這種原油必須先從地裡開採出來，

then it must be refined, and then it can be sold.

So it must be shipped to its final destination.

It's not easy, and nobody actually wants to build them.

這不容易，而且沒人真的想蓋。

The United States has a lot of light oil, but

most of the refineries in the United States has been built back in 1960s and 70s when the United States was extracting a lot of heavy oil.

美國大部分的煉油廠是在 1960 年代和 70 年代建造的，那時候美國開採了很多重油。

So a lot of oil that the US Extracts is being shipped to the rest of the world.

所以美國開採出來的很多原油都被運往世界各地。

And the United States imports heavy oil from Canada because it is much more financially reasonable to do something like that, since margins on selling oil are extremely low.

而且美國從加拿大進口重油，因為這樣做在財務上更合理，畢竟賣油的利潤非常微薄。

And you have to make a lot of investments to extract that oil.

要開採那些石油，你得投入很多資金。

A lot of businesses that are not ready to invest billions of dollars, they might rather use the current refineries that we have all across the globe.

很多企業還沒準備好投資數十億美元，他們可能寧願使用我們全球現有的煉油廠。

Venezuela Why don't we build more refineries in the United states and detach U.S.

委內瑞拉，為什麼我們不在美國蓋更多煉油廠，讓美國的

prices from the rest of the world so that the United States is no longer going to be dependent on the Strait of Hormuz?

油價與世界脫鉤，這樣美國就不再需要依賴荷姆茲海峽了？

And since the US Has a lot of oil and Venezuela is the largest oil, not producer, but

既然美國有很多石油，而委內瑞拉擁有全球最大的石油，不是產量，而是

rather has proven reserves in the world, we can simply make all the oil in the United States and sell them to Japan and the European Union.

探明儲量，我們可以乾脆把所有石油都在美國煉製，然後賣給日本和歐洲聯盟。

And the allies of the United States will simply be dependent on the United States and nobody would care about this trade of Hormuz.

而且美國盟友也會完全依賴美國，沒人會在乎荷姆茲海峽的貿易。

That seems like a reasonably great plan because it will make the rest of the world dependent on the United States on energy.

這聽起來是個很棒的計畫，因為這樣就能讓全世界都依賴美國的能源。

The only question is why nobody has about this plan before Trump.

唯一的問題是，為什麼川普之前沒人想到這個計畫？

Is Trump such a genius that he came out with this brilliant plan to make the United States the global center of energy?

川普是個天才嗎？他想出這個絕妙的計畫，讓美國成為全球能源中心？

Unfortunately, there is one huge plan or one huge problem with this plan, and

可惜的是，這個計畫有一個巨大的問題，

that is if you want to build a refinery, it takes at least five to 10 years to build a refinery.

那就是如果你想蓋煉油廠，至少需要五到十年才能蓋好。

And that is, in the best case scenario, when you build the refinery, it's a financial investment.

而且，最好的情況是，當你蓋好煉油廠時，這是一項財務投資。

So if you put, for example, $1 billion to do it, but

所以，如果你投入十億美元來做這件事，但

it usually costs like 10 to $20 billion, you need to make the 10 to $20 billion back before you are going to make a profit.

通常要花費一億到二十億美元，你必須先回收這筆錢，然後才能獲利。

And it usually takes around 15 to 20 years to break even for every single refinery.

而且每座煉油廠通常需要大約十五到二十年才能達到損益平衡。

And that's why the United States in the last 50 years hasn't actually built a single refinery.

這就是為什麼在過去的五十年裡，美國其實沒有蓋過一座煉油廠。

Why would you build a refinery when it's gonna take you probably 20 to 30 years to break even?

你幹嘛要蓋煉油廠，因為你可能要花上二十到三十年才能打平？

It would be far better financially viable for you to extract the oil and refine it whenever you have a good refinery for that particular oil.

對你來說，在有好的煉油廠來處理特定原油時，再開採和精煉原油，在財務上會更可行。

He just signed a deal that they will be building more refineries across the United States.

他剛簽署了一項協議，他們將在美國各地建造更多煉油廠。

And this refinery is most likely never going to pay off.

而這座煉油廠很可能永遠都不會回本。

But that also creates another problem, and that is the future is electric.

但這也造成了另一個問題，那就是未來是電力的時代。

The entire world is moving into renewable energy because we know for a fact that there is a finite amount of oil in the world.

全世界都在轉向再生能源，因為我們確切知道，地球上的石油是有限的。

And if you want to be energy independent, if you want to be energy sufficient, then you have to improve the renewable energy so that most of the source of your energy is going to come from renewables, such as sun.

如果你想能源獨立，想能源自給自足，那麼你必須改善再生能源，讓你的大部分能源都來自再生能源，像是太陽。

And that means that you have unlimited amount of energy.

And that's why China, for example, has been investing hundreds of billions of dollars in building these technologies.

這也是為什麼中國，舉例來說，已經投入數千億美元來發展這些技術。

And guess which country leads the world in renewable energy?

那猜猜看哪個國家在再生能源領域是世界領先的？

At least 20 to 40% of China's energy right now comes from renewable energy.

現在中國至少有百分之二十到四十的能源來自再生能源。

And in 30 years from now, it is going to be most likely 80 because they have built the infrastructure and if they grow at this rate and in 30 years from now, they will dominate the renewable energy because most of their energy is going to come from there.

而從現在起算三十年後，這個比例很可能高達百分之八十，因為他們已經建立了基礎設施，如果以這個速度成長，三十年後他們將主導再生能源，因為他們大部分的能源都會來自那裡。

China also manufactures about 90% of global batteries.

中國也製造了全球大約百分之九十的電池。

So here is the problem that the United States is facing.

所以，這就是美國面臨的問題。

The United States is taking a strategic decision to focus on the past.

美國做出了專注於過去的戰略決定。

Instead of investing in renewable energy, we are going to invest more money in refining oil and investing in the past, while China is investing in the future to dominate the entire future.

與其投資再生能源，我們將投入更多資金在煉油和投資過去，而中國卻在投資未來以主導整個未來。

So who, who do you think, for example, European countries are going to ally themselves with?

那麼，你認為，舉例來說，歐洲國家會選擇和誰結盟呢？

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川普的舉動！美國經濟再也無法挽回的衝擊！ (Trump Just Did Something IRREVERSIBLE to US Economy)

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