Name: 上次發生這件事… 美國經濟大崩潰！ (The Last Time This Happened… US Economy Collapsed)
Uploaded: 2026-01-10T18:30:52.000Z
Duration: 43 min 17 s

現在進行式

The global financial system is changing right in front of us.

全球金融體系正在我們眼前改變。

未來簡單式

Donald Trump is going to be the president who is going to completely reshape not just the US Economy, but

川普將會是那位徹底重塑美國經濟，

He is already doing that by the end of Trump presidency.

在川普總統任期結束時，他已經在這麼做了。

The global economy is no longer going to look like it has been since at least 1945, but

全球經濟將不再是自1945年以來我們所熟悉的樣子，

But it's not always going to be great for the United States.

The current financial system benefited enormously the United States.

現行的金融體系讓美國獲益良多。

However, recently it hasn't been working in the favor of the United States as it has been since 1945.

然而，最近它並沒有像1945年以來那樣對美國有利。

And that's why we are shifting this change in the global world order.

這就是為什麼我們正在轉變全球世界秩序中的這個變化。

And when the shift is going to happen or it's happening already, there are going to be winners on one side and losers on the other side.

而且當這個轉變發生或正在發生時，總會有一邊是贏家，另一邊是輸家。

So if you understand how the global financial system is changing, you can position yourself to profit from this change.

所以如果你瞭解全球金融體系是如何改變的，你就可以為自己定位，從這個改變中獲利。

So in this video I will explain how and why we are changing the global world order, which is changing the global economy and which assets you should be buying to profit from this shift.

所以這支影片我會解釋我們是如何以及為何要改變全球世界秩序，這正在改變全球經濟，以及你應該購買哪些資產來從這個轉變中獲利。

So if you're ready, give this video a thumbs up, subscribe and let's get right into it.

所以如果你準備好了，就給這支影片按個讚，訂閱，我們馬上開始。

The United States trade balance perfectly demonstrates how the global world order is shifting right now.

美國的貿易平衡完美地展現了全球世界秩序現在是如何轉變的。

For most of American history, the United States was the net exporter to the rest of the world.

在美國的大部分歷史中，美國一直是向世界其他地區的淨出口國。

And that's what made the United States such a powerful economy.

這也是讓美國成為如此強大的經濟體的原因。

Because while the rest of the world was consuming and consuming, the United States was producing and producing and exporting that to the rest of the world.

因為當世界其他地方不斷消費時，美國卻不斷生產並將這些產品出口到世界各地。

So when other nations generate and accumulate wealth, and

所以當其他國家創造並累積財富，

when you're selling to them, you're taking that wealth from them legally by doing business.

當你賣給他們時，你透過做生意合法地從他們那裡獲取財富。

In 1930s and 1940s has been some of the best years for the United States.

在1930年代和1940年代，是美國非常輝煌的時期。

First of all, World War II was happening and the United States wasn't participating in that war much.

首先，第二次世界大戰正在發生，而美國並沒有大規模參與這場戰爭。

So a lot of wealth moved from the United Kingdom, from the rest of the European countries, from, from Japan to the United States.

所以大量的財富從英國、歐洲其他國家，還有日本流向了美國。

But post World War II period was even more important to the United States because all of these nations suddenly found themselves completely distracted and they needed to rebuild their economies, they needed to rebuild their infrastructure.

不過，第二次世界大戰後時期對美國來說更為重要，因為這些國家突然發現自己分身乏術，需要重建經濟、重建基礎設施。

And the United States yet again found itself in a position where it can sell cars, trucks, planes, to Europe, to Japan, to the rest of the world that were trying to rebuild their countries.

美國又一次處於有利地位，可以向歐洲、日本以及其他正在努力重建國家的世界各地銷售汽車、卡車和飛機。

And that's why the trade surplus was really enormous during these periods, which allowed the United States again to be the most dominant power in the world.

這就是為什麼在這段時期，貿易順差非常龐大，這讓美國再次成為世界上最有影響力的國家。

But 1970s completely reshaped the global economy.

但1970年代徹底重塑了全球經濟。

When the gold standard was over, the United States realized that its main export from now onwards are going to be the US Dollars.

隨著金本位制的結束，美國意識到從今以後他們的主要出口將是美元。

Since the difference or the gap between the United States and other nations is so huge that other nations are simply ready to trade with the United States as long as they will get in exchange, US Dollars.

由於美國與其他國家之間的差距非常巨大，其他國家只要能換到美元，就願意和美國做生意。

Because US Dollars would allow them to trade with the rest of the world.

因為美元能讓他們與世界其他國家進行貿易。

So you can see that the trade deficit exponentially grows after that.

所以你可以看到，在那之後貿易逆差呈指數級增長。

We haven't included the data moving forward in 2016 and 17 because that number would exponentially completely continue to grow.

我們沒有包含 2016 年和 17 年之後的數據，因為數字會持續指數級增長。

So this was the golden period in American history.

所以這是美國歷史上的黃金時期。

This period is no longer is going to happen because this allowed the United States to import cheaply from the rest of the world.

這個時期將不再發生，因為這讓美國能夠從世界其他地方廉價進口。

So most of the things that your parents would consume or you had been consuming back in 1970s, 80s, 90s, and

所以你父母或你在 1970、80、90 年代，

up until recently was mainly produced cheaply outside the United States in countries such as China, the Vietnam, India, and

一直到最近消費的大部分東西，主要是在美國以外的國家，像是中國、越南、印度等地廉價生產的，

was imported to the United States, while the United States would sell them very, very expensive products like cars, planes, sophisticated technology.

然後進口到美國，而美國則賣給他們非常非常昂貴的產品，像是汽車、飛機、高科技產品。

But if you're paying attention, you can see that world order has been changing.

但如果你有在關注，你會發現世界秩序一直在改變。

Not yesterday, but, but at least the last 15 years.

不是昨天才開始，而是至少過去 15 年了。

And that's why this system is no longer working for the United States.

這就是為什麼這個體系對美國不再奏效了。

所以這個體系就是這樣建立起來的。

The United States had the most powerful financial system that the rest of the world used that was standing on the shoulders of the US Dollars.

美國擁有最強大的金融體系，全世界都仰賴它，而這個體系是建立在美元的基礎上的。

So you had all of these nations that want to trade with one another.

所以，這些國家都想彼此貿易。

India wants to trade with China, India wants to trade with Russia.

印度想跟中國做生意，印度也想跟俄羅斯做生意。

None of these trades would be possible if you did not have the dollars and you did not have the American banks that would be the middlemen in these transactions.

如果沒有美元，沒有美國銀行作為這些交易的中間人，這些貿易就都不可能實現。

So all these countries would literally just sell anything to the United States and in exchange, all they want in the US Dollars so that they can buy goods and resources from one another.

所以，這些國家實際上會把任何東西賣給美國，而交換來的，他們只想要美元，這樣他們就可以彼此購買商品和資源。

That's what alleviated the United States above all other nations.

這就是讓美國超越所有其他國家的地方。

But most importantly, the United States had the largest consumer market in the world.

但最重要的是，美國擁有全球最大的消費市場。

Selling in the United States was the best business you could possibly make.

在美國銷售是你能做的最好的生意。

Let's go back to 1990s or early 2000s or even 1980s.

我們回到1990年代、2000年代初期，甚至是1980年代。

If you would look at the global economy, you will realize that the best way to build a business is to sell in the United States.

如果你看看全球經濟，你會發現建立事業最好的方式就是在美國銷售。

You could not sell in China because the Chinese GDP was so Small.

你無法在中國銷售，因為中國的GDP非常小。

And the Chinese consumer market was very small.

You could sell something in the European Union as that economy was growing, but not much.

你可以在歐盟銷售一些東西，因為當時歐盟經濟正在成長，但成長幅度不大。

Even Japan, that almost overtook the US economy as the largest economy back in 1970s and 80s.

即使是日本，在1970和80年代幾乎要超越美國經濟，成為最大的經濟體。

The moment they realized that they no longer can sell cheaply in the US market, guess what happened to the Japanese economy?

當他們意識到再也無法廉價地在美國市場銷售時，猜猜日本經濟發生了什麼事？

In fact, the Japanese economy completely relied on the United States, first of all to become at that time the second world's largest economy and to become one of the most prosperous countries in the world.

事實上，日本經濟完全依賴美國，才能成為當時世界第二大經濟體，並成為世界上最繁榮的國家之一。

So the strategy back in 1960s, 70s and up until recently was very simple.

所以，從1960年代、70年代一直到最近的策略都很簡單。

If you want to become a very prosperous nation, all you do is that you sell to the United States, so you come to the United States.

如果你想成為一個非常繁榮的國家，你所要做的就是賣東西給美國，所以你就來美國。

So the US consumer market was basically the essential element of building a successful country.

所以美國的消費市場基本上是建立一個成功國家的關鍵要素。

And finally, the United States had the most advanced technology in the world.

最後，美國擁有世界上最先進的技術。

You want the latest planes, you have to go to Boeing.

你想要最新的飛機，你得找波音。

You want the latest defense technology, you.

You have to go to American defense companies such as Raython or even Boeing or Lockheed Martin, you name it.

你得找像 Raytheon 或是 Boeing、Lockheed Martin 這樣的美國國防公司，隨便你說。

And the United States was here at the top.

So this system literally worked since at least 1945.

這個體系至少從 1945 年就開始運作了。

And that's why if you are a country after World War II, you want to rebuild your country, you go to the United States.

這就是為什麼如果你是一個國家，在第二次世界大戰後想重建國家，你會去找美國。

And that's how the European Union became literally just dependent on the United States for everything.

這就是歐洲國家如何變得完全依賴美國的各種事務。

And that was the case for most other countries as well.

That allowed the United States to receive very cheap goods from all across countries in exchange for papers.

這讓美國能夠用紙（貨幣）換取來自各國的廉價商品。

The United States dictated the rules of the global economy.

If you do not follow the US Rules, you will be kicked out out of the US financial system.

如果你不遵守美國的規則，你就會被踢出美國的金融體系。

You will not have access to the US consumer market.

你將無法進入美國的消費市場。

You will be denied when you want to buy the US technology.

當你想購買美國的技術時，你將被拒絕。

And that's why the strategy is be the best friend of the United States.

這就是為什麼策略是成為美國最好的朋友。

The closer you are to the U.S. the more successful you become.

你跟美國越親近，你就會越成功。

Just look at the historical period between 1945 up until recently.

只要看看從 1945 年到最近的歷史時期。

You will find out that all the nations that were under the rule of the United States and became great allies of the US they became wealthiest countries in the world.

你會發現所有在美國統治下，並成為美國的堅定盟友的國家，都成了世界上最富有的國家。

And Middle Eastern countries are probably the best example.

Those Middle Eastern countries that ally themselves with the US they became insanely wealthy, while those that opposed the United States ended up in wars and destructions that also made or gave the US companies an upper hand over the rest of the world.

那些與美國結盟的中東國家變得極度富有，而那些反對美國的國家則陷入戰爭和毀滅，這也讓美國公司在世界上佔據了優勢。

Well, if you are an ally of the U.S. you have to allow U.S.

嗯，如果你是美國的盟友，你必須允許美國。

companies to get to your country and dominate these sectors.

公司進入你的國家並主導這些產業。

So you have to allow Amazon to get to you and dominate your market.

所以你必須允許亞馬遜進入你的國家並主導你的市場。

You can compete with Amazon if you want to, but

it's very difficult to compete with Amazon with when Amazon has the upper hand because they have dominated the US Market.

當亞馬遜已經主導了美國市場，要跟它競爭就非常困難了。

And that's how US Companies literally dominated every single country.

這就是美國公司 literalmente（字面意思上）主導了每個國家。

That's why there are Coca Colas in every single country across the globe.

這也是為什麼全世界每個國家都有可口可樂。

That economic advantage allowed the United States to borrow money at a way lower cost than everybody else.

這種經濟優勢讓美國能夠以比其他國家都低的成本借到錢。

If you can borrow money, you can invest more, you can build more factories, you can hire more people, you can grow your economy faster.

如果你能借到錢，你就能投資更多，蓋更多工廠，聘更多人，讓你的經濟體成長得更快。

And that's why historically, if you look many nations at their beginning of their growth, there is such a strong growth because you're building the basic infrastructure.

這也是為什麼歷史上，如果你看許多國家在成長初期，會有如此強勁的成長，因為你在建構基礎設施。

And then there is a point where you have already built the basic infrastructure and now it's time to build sophisticated technology.

然後會有一個階段，你已經建好了基礎設施，現在是時候要建構高科技了。

And now it gets very hard because you can't grow at that rate and you can't be.

現在變得非常困難，因為你無法以那樣的速度成長，你也做不到。

And you need a lot of money to invest in R and D.

而且你需要很多錢來投資研發。

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上次發生這件事… 美國經濟大崩潰！ (The Last Time This Happened… US Economy Collapsed)

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