Name: 驚呆！共和黨糟糕的政治現況？Enten 預測健保法案補助金即將到期！ (‘Awful politics for Republicans’: Enten runs numbers on expiring Obamacare subsidies)
Uploaded: 2025-12-27T17:01:16.000Z
Duration: 10 min 4 s

The extension of the Obamacare subsidies.

歐巴馬健保計畫補助金的延長。

程度副詞

Millions of Americans could lose a lot of money when their premiums go up.

數百萬美國人的保費可能會上漲，損失大筆金錢。

So why was the president maybe being a little bit conciliatory?

那麼，總統為什麼要稍微緩和一下呢？

He's been here listening to this entire conversation so far, seen as chief data analyst.

他一直在這裡聽我們講話，是首席數據分析師。

How do Americans rate the president right now on the issue of health care?

美國人現在怎麼看待總統在醫療保健這個議題上的表現？

In fact, it's the worst of his major issues.

事實上，這是他所有重要議題中表現最差的。

根據最新的美聯社民意調查，29%。

他在這個議題上甚至連30%都不到。

I was looking back at all the AP new polls.

我回頭看了所有美聯社的民意調查。

This ties for his lowest rating ever in either term one or term two.

這追平了他第一任或第二任期中的最低評價。

69% runs 40 points higher than the approval.

69% 的駁回率比準許率高出 40 個百分點。

And when you look at Republicans, even 30, 39% of Republicans of Republicans say they disapprove.

而看看共和黨人，甚至有 30% 的共和黨人表示他們駁回。

When we're talking about 2/5 of the Republican base saying they disapprove of Donald Trump in a particular issue, you know that the American people are against him.

當我們談到 2/5 的共和黨基本盤在某個議題上表示駁回川普時，你就知道美國人民是反對他的。

And I should point out this 29% is no outlier.

我應該指出，這 29% 並非離群值。

I was looking at the Fox News poll that was sub 35% as well.

我看了福斯新聞的民意調查，支持率也在 35% 以下。

The bottom line is Americans very much dislike Donald Trump in health care.

總之，美國人民非常不喜歡川普在醫療保健議題上的表現。

It is no wonder he's taking a more conciliatory.

難怪他會採取比較緩和的態度。

All right, the immediate issue at hand is the extension of these Obamacare subsidies.

好的，目前最迫切的問題是延長這些保險計畫的補助金。

What do voters say they want to see there?

I mean this once again, what are we talking about here?

我再說一次，我們到底在談論什麼？

We're talking about a clear majority of the American public say they want those expiring ACA subsidies extended, compared to just 30% who say let them expire again.

我們談論的是，美國民眾中有明確的過半數表示希望延長這些即將到期的歐巴馬健保計畫補助金，而只有 30% 的人表示讓它們再次到期。

We're talking double, more than double on the extend side versus the let expire.

我們談論的是，支持延長的一方是反對延長的一方的兩倍多。

And, and even 45% of Republicans, on my little note there, say that they should be extended again.

而且，甚至有 45% 的共和黨人，根據我這裡的筆記，表示應該再次延長。

We're talking about an issue that unites Democrats and cracks the Republican base right down the middle.

我們談論的是一個能團結民主黨人、並讓共和黨基礎分裂的問題。

This is just awful politics for Republicans as we stand here today.

對共和黨人來說，這絕對是糟糕的政治。

If that remains the case, who gets the blame?

如果情況真是如此，那誰該為此負責？

Yeah, I don't think it would be too much of a surprise to our viewers based upon the Presentation based upon the first slide, what our last slide is going to show you here, and

是的，我想根據簡報，根據第一張投影片，我們最後一張投影片將要呈現的內容，這對我們的觀眾來說應該不會太令人意外，

而且，這是一個非常簡單的歸咎。

如果歐巴馬健保計畫補助金沒有被延長。

This is among those who are enrolled in the ACA.

這是在那些已登記參加歐巴馬健保計畫的人當中。

63%, the vast clear majority, say Trump or Congressional Republicans will get the blame, compared to just 19% of congressional Democrats.

高達 63% 的絕大多數人表示，川普或國會共和黨人將為此負責，而國會民主黨人只有 19%。

Again, the point of this segment is we are seeing massive, massive majorities blaming Trump, saying they want the ACA subsidies to be extended.

再來，這段的重點是我們看到絕大多數人都在怪川普，說他們希望保險計畫補助金能延長。

And if they're not, they are blaming the Republican Party and Donald Trump.

如果沒有延長，他們就會怪共和黨和唐納川普。

The polling is rarely ever this clear, but on this issue, it is very much clear.

民意調查很少這麼清楚，但在這個議題上，非常清楚。

This is an issue that hurts Republicans and very much helps Democrats.

這是一個會傷害共和黨、而且非常幫助民主黨的議題。

This number is interesting because the Republicans argue that Democrats who wrote this law and passed it, they did.

這個數字很有趣，因為共和黨認為，寫下這項法案並通過的民主黨人，是他們做的。

So they were the ones who created the expiration date.

But American people don't seem to be buying it.

No, they don't buy the Republican spend at all, Harriet.

沒有，哈麗雅特，美國民眾根本不買共和黨的帳。

The Senate rejected dueling bills to extend the Obamacare tax subsidies.

參議院駁回了兩項延長保險計畫補助金的法案。

Both the Republican and Democratic versions failed.

共和黨和民主黨的版本都失敗了。

But four Republicans did cross the aisle and support the Democratic bill, which extends the Obamacare subsidies for another three years.

但有四位共和黨人跨越黨派，支持民主黨的法案，將保險計畫的補助金延長三年。

Tonight, he is signaling that he may be open to working with Democrats.

今晚，他暗示可能會與民主黨合作。

We have a lot of Democrats and we welcome you.

我們有很多民主黨人，我們歡迎你們。

And I think we're going to start working together in health care.

我認為我們將開始在醫療保健方面合作。

Well, joining me now, a Democrat who Trump may want to work with, Georgia Senator and pastor Raphael Wardock.

嗯，現在加入我的是一位民主黨人，川普總統可能會想與他合作，喬治亞州參議員兼牧師 Raphael Wardock。

I'm happy to have you here and get your insight because everyone's asking about the fact that today's Democratic bill failed.

很高興你能來，並分享你的見解，因為大家都在問，今天民主黨的法案失敗了。

Is there any hope of some deal in the Senate?

參議院還有達成協議的希望嗎？

Quite frankly, you should ask my Republican colleagues, because we gave them 13 opportunities to prevent this huge spike in healthcare premiums for some 22 million Americans, many of them in red districts and in red states.

坦白說，你應該去問我的共和黨同事，因為我們給了他們 13 次機會，來阻止這 2200 萬美國人，其中許多人來自紅色選區和紅色州，他們的醫療保健保費大幅飆升。

They will see their health care premiums double on average.

他們的醫療保健保費平均會翻倍。

And that's on top of having knocked 15 million Americans off of their health care by cutting a trillion dollars out of Medicaid, as they did in the one big ugly bill, all to give billionaires a tax cut.

這還是他們在那個龐大又醜陋的法案中，透過削減一兆美元的 Medicaid 預算，讓 1500 萬美國人失去醫療保健的基礎上發生的，而這一切都是為了給億萬富翁減稅。

I think Americans have to ask themselves, who are the Washington Republicans working for?

我認為美國人必須問問自己，華盛頓的共和黨人到底在為誰工作？

We'll Keep pushing them, but we'll keep making this argument all the way to November.

我們會持續推動他們，並一路將這個論點講到十一月。

But hopefully they will come to their senses and stand up for their own constituents, not have the health care premiums double.

但希望他們能懸崖勒馬，為自己的選民發聲，而不是讓醫療保健保費翻倍。

The thought of that increase is astounding to people.

這種漲幅讓大家感到難以置信。

Thinking about everyone's budgets, in particular with the top Republican here in Washington, D.C.

想到大家的預算，特別是華盛頓特區這裡的共和黨領袖。

He is saying tonight that he thinks that Republicans and Democrats will work together to pass some type of health care reform.

他今晚說，他認為共和黨人和民主黨人會合作通過某種形式的醫療保健改革。

你們有從白宮那邊聽到什麼消息嗎？

What we've been hearing from Donald Trump over the last 10 years is that he's got a plan.

過去十年來，我們聽到的川普說法是，他有個計畫。

Meanwhile, this, you know, enrollment period, we're now at.

同時，你知道的，這個報名期間，我們現在正處於。

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驚呆！共和黨糟糕的政治現況？Enten 預測健保法案補助金即將到期！ (‘Awful politics for Republicans’: Enten runs numbers on expiring Obamacare subsidies)

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