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  • The price of a single Bitcoin has climbed above $100,000 for the first time after rising nearly 140% this year.

    今年以來,單個比特幣的價格上漲了近 140%,首次突破 100,000 美元。

  • Investors expect President-elect Donald Trump to support cryptocurrencies.

    投資者預計當選總統唐納德-特朗普將支持加密貨幣。

  • He's promised to make America the crypto capital of the planet and to create a national stockpile of Bitcoin.

    他承諾要讓美國成為全球的加密貨幣之都,並建立全國性的比特幣儲備。

  • Let's get more on this now from Carol Alexander who's an expert in crypto assets and professor of finance at the University of Sussex.

    現在讓我們從加密資產專家、蘇塞克斯大學金融學教授卡羅爾-亞歷山大(Carol Alexander)那裡獲得更多資訊。

  • Thank you for joining us, Carol.

    感謝您加入我們,卡羅爾。

  • So first of all, just explain, because there's plenty of different cryptocurrencies out there.

    所以首先要解釋一下,因為現在有很多不同的加密貨幣。

  • So just explain what is Bitcoin and why is it valued this way?

    那麼,請解釋一下什麼是比特幣,為什麼會有這樣的估值?

  • Bitcoin is like many other crypto assets, which are tokens that are supposed to have some sort of value transferred on a blockchain.

    比特幣和許多其他加密資產一樣,都是在區塊鏈上轉移某種價值的代幣。

  • They're called crypto because a blockchain is blocks of information that are linked cryptographically.

    區塊鏈之所以被稱為加密鏈,是因為區塊鏈是以加密方式連接起來的資訊塊。

  • And there are hundreds of thousands of these things.

    這些東西成千上萬。

  • Some of them, like Bitcoin and also another one called Ether, are the tokens that are produced by building the blockchain.

    其中一些代幣,如比特幣和另一種名為以太幣的代幣,就是通過構建區塊鏈產生的。

  • And something like Ether probably has an intrinsic value because the Ethereum blockchain that Ether is driving is underpinning the whole of the new digital economy on sophisticated blockchains.

    像以太幣這樣的東西可能具有內在價值,因為以太幣所驅動的以太坊區塊鏈是整個新數字經濟在複雜區塊鏈上的基礎。

  • But Bitcoin was just introduced as the first and it is the largest.

    但比特幣剛剛問世,是第一個,也是最大的一個。

  • I mean, it's like two trillion, the value of the 20 million bitcoins there are now, which is half, more than half of the entire value of all the crypto assets.

    我的意思是,這相當於兩萬億美元,相當於現在兩千萬比特幣的價值,是所有加密資產總價值的一半,超過一半。

  • So it was the first original one, but it was just built as a sort of toy example of what a blockchain can do.

    是以,它是第一個原創的區塊鏈,但它只是作為區塊鏈能做什麼的一個玩具示例。

  • And Carol, sorry to cut you off there, but just to go back to the rise in value then, I know that you don't have a crystal ball.

    卡羅爾,很抱歉打斷你,但我還是想回到價值上升的問題上,我知道你沒有水晶球。

  • No one does.

    沒有人這樣做。

  • But do you think that this will continue or do you think it's likely to fall soon?

    但您認為這種情況會持續下去嗎?

  • What are your expectations?

    您的期望是什麼?

  • I think it will continue.

    我認為這種情況會繼續下去。

  • It's always very, very volatile because the price of Bitcoin is made on these unregulated exchanges where very, very large trades, highly leveraged, push the price up with this bit of good news.

    比特幣的價格總是非常非常不穩定,因為比特幣的價格是在這些不受監管的交易所裡產生的,在這些交易所裡,非常非常大的交易,高槓杆的交易,都會因為這個好消息而推高比特幣的價格。

  • And there's been a lot of good news since Trump, for crypto at least, since Trump got elected.

    自特朗普當選以來,至少對加密貨幣來說,有很多好消息。

  • But then this price can fall again.

    但隨後這一價格可能會再次下跌。

  • I mean, three years ago, I made the prediction that its price would go down from $60,000 to $10,000 or $15,000.

    我是說,三年前,我曾預測它的價格會從 6 萬美元降到 1 萬或 1.5 萬美元。

  • And it went to actually around $15,000 over that year.

    而實際上,在那一年裡,它漲到了 15000 美元左右。

  • But this year, I have been successfully predicting it for three years in a row and I'll do the same.

    但今年,我已經連續三年成功預測到了,我也會這麼做。

  • I'll make another prediction.

    我再預測一下。

  • It may not be successful.

    可能不會成功。

  • But I do think that this year it's going to go up to $150,000 or $200,000.

    但我確實認為,今年會漲到 15 萬或 20 萬美元。

  • And it's a pity because young people are drawn in.

    這很可惜,因為年輕人會被吸引進來。

  • They feel this FOMO, fear of missing out.

    他們感到 FOMO,害怕錯過。

  • And the people that are really making money are the professional traders creating the volatility.

    而真正賺錢的是那些製造波動的專業交易商。

  • Well, given that you have made predictions successfully in the past, Carol, I would definitely fancy your odds.

    卡羅爾,鑑於你過去曾成功預測過,我肯定會看好你的勝算。

  • Well, we'll leave it there now.

    好了,我們就到此為止吧。

  • But thank you so much for giving us an overview and giving us your analysis there.

    不過,還是非常感謝你給我們做了概述和分析。

  • Thank you.

    謝謝。

  • That's Carol Alexander, who's an expert in crypto assets and Professor of Finance at the University of Sussex.

    這位是卡羅爾-亞歷山大(Carol Alexander),她是加密資產方面的專家,也是蘇塞克斯大學的金融學教授。

The price of a single Bitcoin has climbed above $100,000 for the first time after rising nearly 140% this year.

今年以來,單個比特幣的價格上漲了近 140%,首次突破 100,000 美元。

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