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  • My first guest is the man who made electric cars a thing and is currently working on perfecting reusable rockets, space travel, connecting the human brain directly to computers, connecting cities with electromagnetic bullet trains, the Starlink satellite system that's so important to the war in Ukraine, and then on Tuesday, he's gonna work on that tunnel thing on traffic.

    我的第一位嘉賓是讓電動汽車成為現實的人,他目前正致力於完善可重複使用火箭、太空旅行、人腦與計算機的直接連接、用電磁子彈列車連接城市、對烏克蘭戰爭非常重要的星鏈衛星系統。

  • He also tweets a lot.

    他還經常發微博。

  • Elon Musk right here, do you want to know?

    埃隆-馬斯克就在這裡,你想知道嗎?

  • Look at you.

    看看你

  • Look at you.

    看看你

  • Wow.

  • Did I get the full order of things that you do in a day there when I was reading there?

    我在那裡讀書的時候,你們一天所做事情的順序是否完整?

  • I left out the tunnel thing at the end.

    我漏掉了最後的隧道。

  • Do you work on all these things?

    你在做這些事情嗎?

  • Yeah, I have a lot of jobs.

    是的,我有很多工作。

  • Do you do all these things every day?

    你每天都做這些事情嗎?

  • Do you work on all of them in a single day?

    您會在一天內完成所有工作嗎?

  • No.

  • But I do have a long work day.

    但我的工作日確實很長。

  • Yeah, so I work a lot.

    是的,所以我經常工作。

  • Well, I'm so thrilled you're here because we do a show where we talk about what changes happen in the world, but we just talk.

    我很高興你能來,因為在我們的節目中,我們談論世界上發生的變化,但我們只是談論。

  • There's very few people who actually make change happen.

    真正能實現變革的人少之又少。

  • You are one of those people, probably.

    你可能就是其中之一。

  • Thank you.

    謝謝。

  • I just want to say I love this audience.

    我只想說,我喜歡這些觀眾。

  • Well, you're a likable guy.

    你很討人喜歡。

  • I mean, they attack you a lot.

    我是說,他們經常攻擊你。

  • They do.

    他們是這樣做的。

  • And you seem to laugh it off, which I think is fantastic.

    而你似乎一笑置之,我覺得這真是太棒了。

  • I love it that you have a sense of humor because a guy as important as you who makes changes, could use your powers for evil and not good.

    我喜歡你的幽默感,因為像你這麼重要的人,能做出改變的人,可能會利用你的能力為惡,而不是為善。

  • The fact that-

    事實上

  • Yeah, absolutely.

    是的,當然。

  • You could.

    你可以

  • Of course, I would never use them for evil.

    當然,我絕不會用它們來做壞事。

  • That's crazy.

    太瘋狂了

  • No, I know, but the way I know that is because you have a sense of humor.

    不,我知道,但我之所以知道,是因為你有幽默感。

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • You really do.

    你真的這麼想。

  • I swear I do.

    我發誓我會的。

  • Yeah, you like laughing.

    是啊,你喜歡笑。

  • You like to be funny.

    你喜歡搞笑

  • I mean, I kill me.

    我是說,我殺了我自己。

  • As opposed to somebody like Zuckerberg who I'm not even sure is a real boy.

    而扎克伯格這樣的人,我甚至不確定他是不是一個真正的男孩。

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • I actually love comedy and I should let you know, like many years ago,

    我其實很喜歡喜劇,我應該讓你知道,就像很多年前一樣、

  • I actually was in the audience here and watched your show.

    實際上,我當時就在觀眾席上,觀看了你的表演。

  • Oh, really?

    哦,真的嗎?

  • So I've been a long time admirer of your show.

    我一直很喜歡你的節目。

  • Oh, well, thank you.

    哦,好吧,謝謝你。

  • Let me get back to you being a genius.

    讓我回到你是天才的話題上來。

  • Okay, so, but that has always been my view is that, I was a history major, and when you study history, what you realize is that, you know, there's the great man theory and they talk about kings and princes and queens and presidents.

    好吧,但我一直認為,我主修歷史,當你學習歷史時,你會意識到,你知道,有一種偉人理論,他們談論國王、王子、王后和總統。

  • It's really the people in tech who change the world.

    真正改變世界的是科技人員。

  • They're the people who deal the cards, whether it's fire or electricity for good or bad, or the cotton gin or the iPhone or the atom bomb.

    他們是發牌的人,不管是好是壞的火或電,還是軋棉機、iPhone 或原子彈。

  • Those are the cards and the rest of us just play it.

    這些都是牌,我們其他人只是玩牌。

  • Would you agree with that assessment?

    你同意這一評價嗎?

  • I think technology is the thing that causes these big step changes in civilization.

    我認為技術是導致文明發生巨大變化的原因。

  • So obviously you've got things like, say, the Gutenberg Press, before which it was very difficult to get books.

    很顯然,你已經有了像古騰堡印刷機這樣的東西,在此之前,要想獲得書籍是非常困難的。

  • They were very rare.

    它們非常罕見。

  • Even if you had a thirst for knowledge, you really couldn't do anything about it because there were very few books to read.

    即使你求知若渴,你也真的無能為力,因為可供閱讀的書籍少之又少。

  • So, and the internet is something beyond the Gutenberg Press, I think, but, you know, it's a...

    所以,互聯網是超越古騰堡印刷術的東西,我想,但是,你知道,這是一個...

  • When I first saw the internet coming into being in a way that the general public could use it, it felt like the humanity as a whole was developing a nervous system.

    當我第一次看到互聯網以一種普通大眾都能使用的方式出現時,我感覺整個人類都在發展神經系統。

  • So previously, the way that information would travel would be by osmosis, one person to another, or one person calling another.

    是以,以前資訊傳播的方式是滲透,一個人傳給另一個人,或者一個人打電話給另一個人。

  • But the access to information was very limited.

    但獲取信息的途徑非常有限。

  • Now with the internet, it's like having a nervous system.

    現在有了互聯網,就像有了神經系統。

  • It's like any part of humanity has access to almost all the information of humanity.

    就好像人類的任何一部分都能獲取人類幾乎所有的資訊。

  • Like you could be in the middle of the Amazon jungle with, say, a Starlink terminal and have access to more information than the president did in 1980.

    比如說,你可以在亞馬遜叢林中使用星聯終端,獲得比 1980 年的總統更多的資訊。

  • Right, well, anything on your phone.

    好吧,手機上的任何東西。

  • Everything.

    所有東西

  • Is...

    是...

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • Okay, so you are one of these dealers, these people who deal the cards in civilization.

    好吧,那麼你就是這些發牌員中的一員,這些在文明社會中發牌的人。

  • I deal some memes, too.

    我也處理了一些備忘錄。

  • Yes, you do.

    是的,你會的。

  • Some, uh...

    有些...

  • So I think a lot of people thought when you bought Twitter that this is kind of an outlier, like how does this, what doesn't fit with these other things you're doing?

    是以,我認為當你收購 Twitter 時,很多人都認為這有點離群索居,比如這和你正在做的其他事情有什麼不符?

  • I never thought that.

    我從沒這麼想過。

  • Because I think you're dealing with big civilizational issues and problems, and I was right on your page.

    因為我認為你們正在處理重大的文明問題和難題,而我就在你們的頁面上。

  • I think Twitter is one of them.

    我認為 Twitter 就是其中之一。

  • I mean, you have talked about this woke mind virus.

    我的意思是,你已經談到了這種被喚醒的 "心靈病毒"。

  • Yes.

    是的。

  • In really apocalyptic terms.

    用真正的世界末日術語來說。

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • You should explain why you don't think it's hyperbole to say things like it's pushing civilization towards suicide.

    你應該解釋一下,為什麼你不認為 "這是把文明推向自殺 "這種說法是誇大其詞。

  • First of all, what is the woke mind virus?

    首先,什麼是清醒頭腦病毒?

  • And if we don't deal with this, nothing else can get done.

    如果我們不解決這個問題,其他事情就無從談起。

  • Tell me why you think that.

    告訴我你為什麼這麼想。

  • Yeah, so...

    是啊,所以...

  • I think we need to be very cautious about anything that is anti-meritocratic, and anything that results in the suppression of free speech.

    我認為,我們需要非常謹慎地對待任何反民主的東西,以及任何導致壓制言論自由的東西。

  • So those are two of the aspects of the woke mind virus that I think are very dangerous, is that it's often anti-meritocratic.

    是以,我認為 "清醒頭腦病毒 "的兩個方面非常危險,那就是它通常是反精英的。

  • You can't question things.

    你不能質疑事物。

  • Even the questioning is bad.

    就連提問也很糟糕。

  • So another way to, almost anonymous, would be cancel culture.

    是以,另一種近乎匿名的方式就是取消文化。

  • And obviously people have tried to cancel you many times.

    顯然,人們也曾多次試圖取消你們。

  • Many times.

    很多次

  • Every week.

    每週

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • From left and right.

    從左到右

  • I've had it from both sides.

    我兩邊都受夠了。

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • And it's interesting, people, you and I are both like in that little group of people, maybe it's a bigger group now, who are called conservative, who haven't really changed.

    有趣的是,你和我都是那一小撮人中的一員,也許現在是更大的一群,他們被稱為保守派,他們並沒有真正改變。

  • I don't think of you as a conservative.

    我不認為你是保守派。

  • I'm definitely, yeah, like,

    我肯定,是的,喜歡、

  • I at least think of myself as a moderate, you know?

    我至少認為自己是個溫和派,你知道嗎?

  • So, I mean, at least like,

    所以,我的意思是,至少喜歡、

  • I've spent a massive amount of my life building energy, building sustainable energy, you know, electric vehicles and batteries and solar and stuff to help save the environment.

    我一生都在建設能源,建設可持續能源,你知道的,電動汽車、電池、太陽能等等,以幫助拯救環境。

  • That's not a, you know.

    這不是,你知道的。

  • No, no.

    不,不

  • No, no.

    不,不

  • It's not exactly far right.

    它並不完全是極右派。

  • No, you drew that diagram once where you're here.

    不,你在這裡畫過一次圖。

  • I related to that.

    我對此深有感觸。

  • And like, the world has changed.

    就像,世界已經變了。

  • Right.

  • I feel the same way.

    我也有同感。

  • I feel like very often wokeness is not building on liberalism.

    我覺得,智慧往往不是建立在自由主義的基礎上。

  • It's the opposite of liberalism.

    這是自由主義的反面。

  • I couldn't mention it.

    我不能提。

  • Yes, exactly.

    是的,沒錯。

  • Many examples where it's the opposite, including free speech.

    很多例子恰恰相反,包括言論自由。

  • Free speech is actually, it's extremely important.

    言論自由實際上是非常重要的。

  • And it's bizarre that we've come to this point where, like, free speech used to be a left or liberal value.

    奇怪的是,我們已經走到了這一步,比如,言論自由曾經是左派或自由派的價值觀。

  • And yet we see from, you know, the in quotes left, a desire to actually censor.

    然而,我們卻看到,你知道的,引號左側的人,渴望真正的審查。

  • And that seems crazy.

    這似乎太瘋狂了。

  • I mean, I think we should be extremely concerned about anything that undermines the First Amendment.

    我的意思是,我認為我們應該對任何破壞第一修正案的行為表示極大的關注。

  • There's a reason for the First Amendment.

    第一修正案是有原因的。

  • The First Amendment is because people came from countries where they could not speak freely.

    第一修正案的出臺是因為人們來自不能自由發言的國家。

  • And where saying certain things would get you thrown into prison.

    在那裡,說某些話會讓你被關進監獄。

  • And they were like, well, we don't want that here.

    他們說,我們不希望在這裡發生這種事。

  • And by the way, in many parts of the world, including parts of the world that people might think are relatively similar to the United States, the speech laws are draconian.

    順便說一句,在世界許多地方,包括人們可能認為與美國比較相似的地方,言論法是非常嚴厲的。

  • England is quite different.

    英國則截然不同。

  • I won't name any countries, but.

    我不會說出任何國家的名字,但是

  • England, why are we protecting them?

    英國,我們為什麼要保護他們?

  • They have no First Amendment.

    他們沒有第一修正案。

  • It's very easy to prove libel in England.

    在英國,證明誹謗很容易。

  • Where it's here, it's almost.

    在這裡,它幾乎。

  • I love England.

    我愛英格蘭

  • Yeah, you do, but I wouldn't want to say the wrong thing.

    是的,但我不想說錯話。

  • Or, you could be sued easier.

    或者,你可能更容易被起訴。

  • I mean, there are, in France,

    我是說,法國有、

  • I think if you deny the Holocaust, which I think is abhorrent, but I also think it should be part of free speech, you can be thrown into jail.

    我認為,如果你否認大屠殺,我認為這是令人憎惡的,但我也認為這應該是言論自由的一部分,你可以被關進監獄。

  • Okay, so this, I really can't emphasize this enough.

    好吧,這一點,我真的怎麼強調都不為過。

  • We must protect free speech.

    我們必須保護言論自由。

  • And free speech only matters, it's only relevant when it's someone you don't like saying something you don't like.

    只有當你不喜歡的人說了你不喜歡的話時,言論自由才有意義。

  • Because obviously, the speech that you like is easy.

    因為很明顯,你喜歡的演講很簡單。

  • So it's, and it's, the thing about censorship is that, sure, for those who would advocate it, just remember, at some point, that will be turned on you.

    是以,關於審查制度的問題是,當然,對於那些鼓吹審查制度的人來說,只要記住,在某些時候,審查制度會反過來對付你。

  • So, this woke mind virus, how did it start?

    那麼,這種喚醒心靈的病毒是如何開始的呢?

  • Was it bats?

    是蝙蝠嗎?

  • Was it an escape from a lab?

    是從實驗室逃出來的嗎?

  • I mean, what is your assessment of why?

    我的意思是,你對原因有何評估?

  • Because it's fairly recent.

    因為這是最近的事。

  • Why, how did it start and why?

    為什麼會這樣?

  • I was, so I was trying to figure out where it's coming from.

    我是這樣想的,所以我想知道它是從哪裡來的。

  • I think it's actually been a long time brewing, in that it's, I think it's been going on for a while.

    我認為這其實已經醞釀了很久,因為我認為它已經持續了一段時間。

  • And the amount of indoctrination that's happening in schools and universities is, I think, far beyond what parents realize.

    我認為,學校和大學的灌輸程度遠遠超出了家長們的認識。

  • And I only, I sort of came to realize this somewhat late.

    我也是後來才意識到這一點的。

  • The experience that we had in high school and college is not the experience that kids today are having.

    我們在高中和大學的經歷與現在孩子們的經歷不同。

  • And hasn't been for, I don't know, 10 years, maybe 20 years, so.

    我也不知道,10 年了,也許 20 年了吧。

  • Aren't parents themselves also a big part of the problem?

    父母本身不也是問題的一個重要部分嗎?

  • Well, I suppose in some cases that parents, but I think, like, the parents are just generally not aware of what their kids are being taught, or what they're not being taught.

    好吧,我想在某些情況下,家長會這樣做,但我認為,家長一般都不知道他們的孩子在接受什麼教育,或者沒有接受什麼教育。

  • They're letting the kids think that they're equal.

    他們讓孩子們認為他們是平等的。

  • I mean, yeah, let me give you an example that a friend of mine told me, which his daughters go to college in, sorry, go to high school in the Bay Area.

    我的意思是,是的,讓我給你舉個例子,我的一個朋友告訴我,他的女兒在灣區上大學,對不起,在灣區上高中。

  • And he was asking them, like, well, so who are the, you know, who are the first few presidents of the United States?

    他問他們,美國前幾任總統是誰?

  • They could name Washington.

    他們可以說出華盛頓的名字。

  • And I said, well, what do you know about him?

    我說,那你對他了解多少?

  • Well, he was a slave owner.

    他是奴隸主

  • What else?

    還有什麼?

  • Right.

  • Nothing.

    什麼都沒有

  • Right.

  • Like, okay, that's, maybe you should know more than that.

    好吧,也許你應該知道更多。

  • You know, yeah.

    你知道,是的。

  • Yeah, and that is the Wolf-Mind virus.

    沒錯,這就是狼心病毒。

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • Exactly, yeah.

    沒錯

  • No, no, no, exactly.

    不,不,不,完全正確。

  • It's like, you know, the, you know, slavery is obviously a horrific institution, but we should still know more about George Washington than that.

    這就像,你知道,奴隸制顯然是一個可怕的制度,但我們對喬治-華盛頓的瞭解應該比這更多。

  • And by the way, one that was practiced all over the world, forever, since the beginning of time, by every race, including people of color.

    順便說一句,自古以來,包括有色人種在內的所有種族都在全世界範圍內實行這種習俗。

  • I'm sorry to tell you that.

    我很遺憾地告訴你。

  • It's huge in the Bible.

    這在《聖經》中非常重要。

  • Absolutely.

    當然可以。

  • The Bible loves it.

    聖經》喜歡它。

  • We're, I, I, I,

    我們,我,我,我、

  • Really?

    真的嗎?

  • Yes, they're quite strict about, like, you know, don't take someone else's slave and that kind of thing.

    是的,他們的要求很嚴格,比如,你知道,不能搶別人的奴隸之類的。

  • Right, but no one ever says, just don't do it.

    沒錯,但從來沒有人說過 "別這麼做"。

  • They don't, they don't.

    他們沒有,他們沒有。

  • They don't, at no point does it say slavery's bad in the Bible.

    聖經》中沒有任何一處說奴隸制是不好的。

  • No, no, no.

    不,不,不

  • They do not condemn it at all.

    他們根本沒有譴責。

  • They just, so, so it's.

    他們只是,所以,所以它的。

  • But Twitter is not doing bad, right?

    但 Twitter 做得並不差,不是嗎?

  • I mean, I saw today that Tucker Carlson recently fired.

    我是說,我今天看到塔克-卡爾森最近被解僱了。

  • You were just on his show and he lost his job, so I hope this isn't an old one.

    你剛上過他的節目,他丟了工作,所以我希望這不是一個老問題。

  • Yeah, yeah.

    是啊,是啊。

  • But Tucker, what are you, the angel of death that you've gone around?

    但是塔克,你是什麼? 你是繞來繞去的死亡天使嗎?

  • Yeah, no, exactly.

    是的,不,沒錯。

  • I'm not, I'm not the typhoid Mary of talk shows.

    我不是,我不是脫口秀裡的傷寒瑪麗。

  • No.

  • But for some reason, people just get fired after that.

    但出於某種原因,人們在那之後就被解僱了。

  • But his rant yesterday, or today on Twitter,

    但他昨天或今天在 Twitter 上的咆哮、

  • I think it was yesterday or something, or a couple days ago?

    我想是昨天還是什麼時候,或者幾天前?

  • It did more than every cable news monologue or something like that.

    它比每條有線電視新聞的獨白或類似內容都要精彩。

  • Is that right?

    是這樣嗎?

  • Well, Twitter has a tremendous audience.

    推特擁有大量閱聽人。

  • So there's 250 million people that spend an average of half an hour a day on Twitter.

    是以,有 2.5 億人平均每天在 Twitter 上花費半小時。

  • So it's about 120 to 130 million user hours per day, and it's been increasing.

    是以,每天大約有 1.2 億到 1.3 億個用戶小時,而且還在不斷增加。

  • So, we didn't do anything.

    所以,我們什麼也沒做。

  • To be clear, we did nothing special whatsoever.

    說白了,我們沒做什麼特別的事。

  • I learned about it afterwards that he had posted something on Twitter.

    事後我才知道,他在 Twitter 上發佈了一些消息。

  • So it's just that Twitter has a lot of people's attention.

    是以,推特吸引了很多人的注意力。

  • So, and it tends to be the people that are, that read a lot or are interested in current events and generally are pretty influential.

    是以,這往往是那些經常閱讀或對時事感興趣的人,他們一般都很有影響力。

  • But most of the people who tweet are the same people, right?

    但大多數發微博的人都是一樣的人,不是嗎?

  • I mean, the people who actually tweet, it's mostly just reading it.

    我的意思是,真正發推特的人,大多隻是在閱讀。

  • I feel like that's, I've read this many times, that's a very small percentage of the people on Twitter.

    我覺得,我已經讀過很多次了,這只是推特上很小一部分人的觀點。

  • And it seems like, see, here's why I don't tweet anymore, because you may be the mayor of TweetTown now.

    這就是我不再發推特的原因,因為你現在可能是推特鎮的鎮長了。

  • Yeah, I'm the mayor of TweetTown.

    是的,我是 TweetTown 的鎮長。

  • We're getting a cap with that.

    我們有一個上限。

  • And I'm glad, and I like it that the mayor likes my jokes.

    我很高興,我喜歡市長喜歡我的笑話。

  • But the reason I don't do it anymore is because the mob of mean girls is still there.

    但我不再這樣做的原因是,那些刻薄女孩的暴行依然存在。

  • And that has not changed.

    這一點沒有改變。

  • It's too easy to get canceled.

    被取消太容易了。

  • And I don't even know what pisses them off.

    我甚至不知道是什麼惹惱了他們。

  • They're so nuts, these kids.

    這些孩子真是瘋了

  • I feel like I'm walking on a roof with a blindfold.

    我感覺就像蒙著眼睛在屋頂上行走。

  • I could fall off any time.

    我隨時都可能掉下去。

  • That was the most innocuous thing, but it's like, you know,

    這是最無傷大雅的事情,但就像,你知道的、

  • I said George Washington was a great president.

    我說過喬治-華盛頓是一位偉大的總統。

  • Oh, how dare you?

    哦,你怎麼敢?

  • Yeah, yeah, exactly.

    是啊,是啊,沒錯。

  • I had some flaws, but-

    我有一些缺點,但是

  • So how do you fix that?

    那麼,如何解決這個問題呢?

  • I was instrumental in the creation of the United States, so...

    我在創建美國的過程中發揮了重要作用,所以...

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • Well, you have to say, like, what does canceled mean?

    那麼,你必須說,取消是什麼意思?

  • You know, I mean, yes, people attack you on Twitter, that's one thing, but frankly, that's just gonna increase engagement.

    你知道,我的意思是,是的,人們在 Twitter 上攻擊你是一回事,但坦率地說,這隻會增加參與度。

  • So I would just ignore it.

    所以,我會置之不理。

  • Well, that's easy for you because they can't take your job away, or any of your main 10 jobs, but they could take mine, and they did once, by the way.

    這對你來說很容易,因為他們不能奪走你的工作,或者你的 10 份主要工作中的任何一份,但他們可以奪走我的工作,順便說一句,他們曾經奪走過我的工作。

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • It was a failed affair.

    這是一次失敗的事件。

  • You know, I was, like, literally canceled.

    你知道,我就像被取消了一樣。

  • You were literally canceled.

    你真的被取消了

  • I mean, like, the show is canceled.

    我的意思是,就像,節目被取消了。

  • But, okay, so you were in Congress, at Congress the other day, talking with Chuck Schumer about AI.

    但是,好吧,前幾天你在國會,在國會上,和查克-舒默(Chuck Schumer)談論人工智能。

  • I'm very interested in this because you've been on this for years.

    我對此非常感興趣,因為你已經研究這個問題很多年了。

  • I've always thought you were right about this.

    我一直認為你是對的。

  • I think you're right about almost everything.

    我覺得你說的幾乎都對。

  • I mean, let's have more babies and raise them on Mars.

    我的意思是,讓我們生更多的孩子,在火星上撫養他們。

  • I don't get that, but okay.

    我不明白,不過沒關係。

  • Well, I just think we should be cautious about civilizational decline, and we have plummeting birth rates in most places, yeah.

    嗯,我只是覺得我們應該謹慎對待文明的衰落,而且我們大多數地方的出生率都在急劇下降,是的。

  • Right, and also plummeting resources.

    沒錯,資源也在急劇下降。

  • No, no, resources will be fine.

    不,不,資源不會有問題。

  • But they're not fine.

    但他們並不好。

  • And I know a lot about it.

    我對它瞭解很多。

  • They're not fine now.

    他們現在並不好。

  • Look, I'm not suggesting complacency.

    聽著,我並不是說要沾沾自喜。

  • We do want to move to a sustainable energy economy as quickly as possible, but we're not in any danger of resource collapse.

    我們確實希望儘快轉向可持續能源經濟,但我們並沒有資源崩潰的危險。

  • But lots of people don't have enough food or water.

    但很多人沒有足夠的食物和水。

  • Water, we will run out of water.

    水,我們會沒水的。

  • They're running out of sand.

    沙子快用完了

  • No, Earth is 70% water by surface area.

    不,按表面積計算,地球上 70% 都是水。

  • But you can't drink that.

    但你不能喝。

  • But desalination is absurdly cheap.

    但海水淡化的成本卻低得離譜。

  • Why don't we do it, then?

    那我們為什麼不做呢?

  • We do it.

    我們來做。

  • It is done.

    已經完成了。

  • You have a lot of free time.

    你有很多空閒時間。

  • It is done.

    已經完成了。

  • There is a lot of desalination done.

    海水淡化量很大。

  • Okay, but-

    好吧,但是

  • There's plenty of water.

    水源充足

  • This is not an issue.

    這不是一個問題。

  • I want to be clear.

    我想說清楚。

  • All right, but let's talk about AI, because you were on this tip 10 years ago when nobody else was.

    好吧,但我們還是來談談人工智能吧,因為 10 年前,當別人都不知道的時候,你就已經在研究這個問題了。

  • And I always thought he's right.

    我一直認為他是對的。

  • Why?

    為什麼?

  • Because I've seen too many movies.

    因為我看過太多電影了。

  • Everything that happens in movies, that happens in real life.

    電影中發生的一切,在現實生活中也會發生。

  • You know, if you make things that are way smarter than you, why wouldn't they become your overlords?

    要知道,如果你製造的東西比你聰明得多,它們為什麼不成為你的霸主呢?

  • So what did you say to Chuck Schumer and what are we doing about this?

    你對查克-舒默說了什麼?

  • I know you want a pause in AI, because just in the last six months with ChatGPT, which came from a company you started.

    我知道你想暫停人工智能,因為就在過去六個月裡,你創辦的公司 ChatGPT 就出現了問題。

  • Yes.

    是的。

  • Well, I mean, A Friend of Mine has a sort of modification of Occam's Razor, you know, so instead of the simplest thing being the most likely, like the most ironic outcome is most likely.

    我是說《我的一個朋友》對奧卡姆剃刀進行了某種修改 所以最簡單的事情反而最有可能發生 最諷刺的結果反而最有可能發生

  • Right, yes.

    對,是的。

  • So with respect to AI,

    是以,關於人工智能、

  • I just think we should be, we should have some sort of regulatory oversight.

    我只是認為,我們應該有某種監管監督。

  • So, you know, for anything that is a danger to the public, if it's sort of aircraft, cars, food and drug and whatnot, we've got some regulatory oversight, like a referee, essentially, and making sure that companies don't cut corners.

    所以,你知道,對於任何對公眾有危險的東西,如果是飛機、汽車、食品和藥品之類的,我們都有一些監管監督,本質上就像一個裁判,確保公司不會偷工減料。

  • So I think that since, if one agrees that AI is a potential risk to the public, then there should be some regulatory body that oversees what companies are doing so that they don't cut corners and potentially do something very dangerous.

    所以我認為,既然大家都認為人工智能對公眾有潛在風險,那麼就應該有一些監管機構來監督公司的行為,以免他們偷工減料,做一些非常危險的事情。

  • That's it.

    就是這樣。

  • Yes.

    是的。

  • And if we don't do something, lay out a scenario for me in the next two, five, 10 years, if nothing is done, because we're very good at doing nothing, especially when it comes in the way of profit, and this is a big profit engine now for companies, they're going to want to just compete with each other.

    如果我們不做點什麼,請為我設想一下未來兩年、五年、十年,如果什麼都不做,因為我們很擅長什麼都不做,尤其是當它涉及到利潤的時候,而現在這對公司來說是一個很大的利潤引擎,他們會只想相互競爭。

  • I mean, there are people like Ray Kurzweil who doesn't think it's a problem at all.

    我的意思是,有些人,比如雷-庫茲韋爾(Ray Kurzweil),根本不認為這是一個問題。

  • Actually, Ray Kurzweil's prediction for artificial superintelligence is 2029.

    實際上,雷-庫茲韋爾對人工超級智能的預測是 2029 年。

  • He's not far on.

    他離得不遠。

  • Right.

  • But he doesn't think it's a problem, whereas people like you and Bill Gates and Stephen Hawking think it's a problem.

    但他並不認為這是一個問題,而像你和比爾-蓋茨、霍金這樣的人卻認為這是一個問題。

  • Yeah, it depends.

    是的,這要看情況。

  • If some people want to live forever or for a much longer period of time, and they see AI as the only way, digital superintelligence as the only thing that can figure out how to get them to live forever,

    如果有些人想長生不老或活得更久,而他們又把人工智能視為唯一的方法,把數字超級智能視為唯一能讓他們長生不老的東西、

  • I think Kurzweil is in that category.

    我認為庫茲韋爾就屬於這一類。

  • So he would prefer to have AI, artificial general intelligence than not, because it can figure out longevity.

    所以,他寧願有人工智能,人工通用智能,也不願意沒有,因為它可以計算壽命。

  • So are you optimistic?

    那麼你樂觀嗎?

  • I read in your Rolling Stone article back in the day that you said you can never be happy unless you're in love.

    我曾在《滾石》雜誌上讀到過你的文章,你說除非墜入愛河,否則永遠不會幸福。

  • Well, you can be half happy, I suppose.

    好吧,我想你可以高興一半。

  • I mean, there's two things.

    我是說,有兩件事。

  • I think to be most happy, if you're happy in love and you love your work, then you'll be, I think, fully happy if you lack either of those two.

    我認為,要想獲得最大的快樂,如果你在愛情中快樂,你熱愛你的工作,那麼,我認為,如果你缺少這兩者中的任何一個,你都會完全快樂。

  • If you have one of those two things, you'll be half happy, you know, roughly.

    如果你有這兩樣東西中的一樣,你就會有一半的幸福,你知道,大概是這樣。

  • I feel like the theme in a lot of your works that connect all these different things is connecting.

    我覺得你很多作品的主題都是把這些不同的東西聯繫起來。

  • Like, you want to connect things.

    比如,你想把事情聯繫起來。

  • You know, you want to connect on the Hyperloop, and you want to connect this to Mars, and even Twitter.

    你知道,你想連接 Hyperloop,你想連接火星,甚至 Twitter。

  • I want to connect four.

    我想連接四個。

  • You want...

    你想...

  • I love that game.

    我喜歡那場比賽。

  • What?

    什麼?

  • Connect four, you know, where you can put it.

    連接四個,你知道,你可以把它放在哪裡。

  • But...

    但是

  • But...

    但是

  • But...

    但是

  • But...

    但是

  • But...

    但是

  • But...

    但是

  • Sorry, this is a comedy, right, you know?

    對不起,這是一部喜劇,對吧?

  • Gonna throw some comedy in there.

    我要在裡面加入一些喜劇元素。

  • But it's...

    但是...

  • But it's...

    但是...

  • It's hard for you, because when you bought Twitter, you're kind of doing what you did when you took over, when you started Tesla, you lived at the factory, right?

    這對你來說很難,因為當你買下 Twitter 時,你就像接手特斯拉時一樣,住在工廠裡,對嗎?

  • I feel like that's your pattern.

    我覺得這就是你的模式。

  • You get into this thing, and then you gotta live at the factory to make it work.

    你進入了這個圈子,就得住在工廠裡,讓它運轉起來。

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • You've been back in, you moved to Texas, then you went back up to San Francisco because of Twitter.

    你回來過,你搬到了德克薩斯州,然後又因為推特回到了舊金山。

  • I was living in the library of Twitter for a while, yes.

    是的,我曾在 Twitter 的圖書館裡生活過一段時間。

  • But I think things are reasonably stabilized right now.

    但我認為,現在情況已經比較穩定了。

  • It was just on the fast track to bankruptcy after the acquisition, so I had to take drastic action.

    收購完成後,公司駛上了破產的快車道,是以我必須採取果斷行動。

  • There wasn't any choice.

    別無選擇。

  • Right, I'm just saying it's hard for a woman.

    對,我只是說這對一個女人來說很難。

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • To, like, when the guy lives at the factory.

    比如,他住在工廠裡。

  • Yes.

    是的。

  • Yes.

    是的。

  • Yes.

    是的。

  • Yes.

    是的。

  • Yes, it is.

    是的,就是這樣。

  • That could be a stumbling block, but...

    這可能是一個絆腳石,但...

  • Yes.

    是的。

  • But overall with, you know, my concern with Twitter was that it is somewhat of the digital town square, and it's important that there be both the reality and perception of trust for a wide range of viewpoints.

    但總的來說,你知道,我對 Twitter 的擔憂是,它在某種程度上是一個數字市政廣場,重要的是,現實和觀念中都要有對各種觀點的信任。

  • And there was a lot of censorship going on, and we sort of uncovered a lot of that with the Twitter files, including a lot of government-driven censorship, which...

    當時有很多審查制度,我們通過推特文件發現了很多,包括很多政府主導的審查制度,這...

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • Yeah.

    是啊

  • It's, I mean, it seems that that's gotta be a constitutional violation, what was going on there.

    這,我的意思是,這似乎是 必須是違反憲法的, 這是怎麼回事。

  • But, so, and I can, since I'm like an avid Twitter user,

    但是,我可以,因為我是 Twitter 的狂熱用戶、

  • I could detect that, like, something's not right here.

    我能感覺到,這裡有些不對勁。

  • And so that's really why I did the acquisition.

    這就是我收購的真正原因。

  • It wasn't because I thought this was an easy way to make money or something like that.

    這並不是因為我覺得這是個賺錢的好方法之類的。

  • Man, this is, being mayor of Twitter Town,

    天啊,這就是推特小鎮的鎮長啊、

  • Tweet Town or whatever, is definitely like, there's a lot of arrows pointed at you, like flying at you.

    鳴叫鎮 "什麼的,肯定會有很多箭頭指向你,就像在向你飛一樣。

  • Of course.

    當然。

  • But you seem to handle that okay.

    但你似乎處理得很好。

  • I hope you do.

    我希望你能做到。

  • Because, look, I mean, geniuses are gonna be a little quirky sometimes, but your heart is always in the right place.

    因為,聽著,我是說,天才有時會有點古怪,但你的心總是在正確的地方。

  • You are trying to fix this world.

    你在試圖修復這個世界。

  • And, look, I could talk to you forever.

    聽著,我可以和你聊一輩子。

  • We can't today.

    今天不行。

  • I'd love to get high with you.

    我很想和你一起嗨。

  • I know a great place to do it.

    我知道一個好地方。

  • But I can't tell you how much I appreciate you.

    但我無法表達我對你的感激之情。

  • I know you have a lot of choices and places you can go.

    我知道你有很多選擇和去處。

  • Thank you.

    謝謝。

  • Elon Musk, ladies and gentlemen.

    女士們,先生們,我是埃隆-馬斯克。

  • All right, I'll see you soon, Elon.

    好吧,回頭見,埃隆。

My first guest is the man who made electric cars a thing and is currently working on perfecting reusable rockets, space travel, connecting the human brain directly to computers, connecting cities with electromagnetic bullet trains, the Starlink satellite system that's so important to the war in Ukraine, and then on Tuesday, he's gonna work on that tunnel thing on traffic.

我的第一位嘉賓是讓電動汽車成為現實的人,他目前正致力於完善可重複使用火箭、太空旅行、人腦與計算機的直接連接、用電磁子彈列車連接城市、對烏克蘭戰爭非常重要的星鏈衛星系統。

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