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  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Good evening. I'm William Brangham. Amna Nawaz and Geoff Bennett are away.

  • On the "NewsHour" tonight: Alexei Navalny's widow accuses the Kremlin of covering up the

  • opposition leaders killing and vows to continue his fight for a free Russia.

  • Poland's foreign minister discusses the state of Ukraine's nearly two-year-long war with

  • Russia, and the impact Congress stalling of U.S. support is having on the battlefield.

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI, Polish Foreign Minister: Without the United States, we are behind the

  • curve in making the stuff that Ukraine needs to defend itself.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: And the conservative group behind allegations of illegal ballot stuffing

  • in Georgia's 2020 election admits it has no evidence to support its claims.

  • (BREAK)

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Welcome to the "NewsHour."

  • Russia has cemented a substantial battlefield win in Eastern Ukraine tonight after a grinding

  • four-month fight. Moscow says its forces cleared the last Ukrainian defenders from Avdiivka,

  • a bombed-out city in the Donetsk region. Russian military footage showed attacks on a sprawling

  • industrial site in Avdiivka. Ukraine said its forces had to retreat because of a lack

  • of ammunition.

  • President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned today that Russia is exploiting the delay of new

  • American aid.

  • Twenty-six members of the European Union are calling for an immediate humanitarian pause

  • in Gaza. That came today as Hamas health officials reported the Gaza death toll has passed 29,000.

  • And Israel released security camera video purportedly showing a hostage and her two

  • small boys wrapped in a sheet. They were seen in Khan Yunis in Gaza just after being taken

  • captive in October.

  • The U.N.'s top court has kicked off a six-day hearing into Israel's 57-year occupation of

  • the land that Palestinians want for a state of their own. Diplomats filed into the International

  • Court of Justice at The Hague today. The Palestinian foreign minister opened with accusations of

  • Israeli apartheid.

  • RIYAD AL-MALIKI, Palestinian National Authority Foreign Minister: No occupying power, including

  • Israel, can be granted a perpetual veto over the rights of the people it occupies. Successive

  • Israeli governments have given the Palestinian people only three options, displacement, subjugation

  • or death.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Israel submitted a written statement that alleged the hearing does not

  • address Israeli rights and security concerns. The court is due to issue a nonbinding opinion

  • some months from now.

  • Houthi fighters in Yemen carried out new attacks on shipping vessels today in continued retaliation

  • for Israel's assault on Gaza. The Iran-backed group says it again targeted ships in the

  • Gulf of Aden. That follows Sunday's attack on a ship in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait. A missile

  • caused severe damage, forcing the crew to abandon ship.

  • Back in this country, a Minneapolis suburb is in mourning after a Sunday shooting that

  • killed two policemen and a firefighter. They'd answered a domestic dispute call in Burnsville

  • when a heavily-armed man opened fire. He was later found dead and seven children in the

  • house were unhurt.

  • Last night, the community gathered for a candlelit vigil. They paid tribute to those killed and

  • offered praise to the town's police force.

  • TERESE TREKELL, Burnsville, Minnesota, Resident: We need to find a way to really honor these

  • three, and just all police officers. You know that protect and serve is all over are our

  • Burnsville police cars, and I just think they do. They protect and they serve. They're -- they

  • run towards trouble to keep other people safe.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: In a further tribute, flags were lowered to half-staff in Minnesota today.

  • The latest in a string of winter storms has moved into California, and it could bring

  • new flooding and even tornadoes. Forecasters called for five to 10 inches of rain in Central

  • California before the storm moves south in coming days. It's expected to be milder than

  • the so-called atmospheric river earlier this month, in part because it's moving faster.

  • And on Australia's Christmas Island, the famous red crabs are scuttling behind schedule. In

  • typical years, more than 100 million crabs blanket the ground and block traffic as they

  • scramble to the sea to mate, but wildlife officials say lack of rain has largely put

  • this great migration on hold.

  • BRENDAN TIERNAN, Parks Australia: The last six to nine months of 2023 was exceptionally

  • dry, so dry that, when the crabs would normally migrate in October and November, we had no

  • rainfall, and they didn't migrate.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: All told, this is already the latest crab migration since tracking began

  • in the 1980s.

  • Still to come on the "NewsHour": Tamara Keith and Amy Walter break down the latest political

  • headlines; actor Paul Giamatti on his Oscar-nominated performance in "The Holdovers"; students and

  • their teacher give their Brief But Spectacular take on building trust; plus much more.

  • Alexei Navalny's suspicious death Friday in a Russian arctic penal colony continues to

  • reverberate around the globe.

  • World leaders, including President Biden, spoke today of stepped-up sanctions against

  • Russia, as Navalny's widow picked up his fight against Vladimir Putin.

  • Meanwhile, Russian authorities said they would hold Navalny's remains for a further two weeks.

  • Heavy with equal parts grief and resolve, Yulia Navalnaya released this video today

  • vowing to keep up her husband's fight.

  • YULIA NAVALNAYA, Widow of Alexei Navalny (through translator): By killing Alexei, Putin killed

  • half of me, half of my heart and half of my soul. But I still have the other half, and

  • it tells me that I have no right to give up.

  • I will continue the work of Alexei Navalny, continue to fight for our country. I urge

  • you to stand next to me, to share not only my grief and endless pain, but also to share

  • the rage.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Navalny's cause of death remains unknown. Russian authorities blocked

  • Navalny's mother from the morgue where her son's body is believed to be held.

  • Across Russia, more than 50,000 people have now signed a petition demanding Navalny's

  • body be released. Today, his widow met with European Union ministers in Brussels as they

  • weighed how to respond to the dissident's death.

  • MICHEAL MARTIN, Irish Foreign Minister (through translator): What has happened reminds us

  • all of the repressive and oppressive nature of the regime in the Russian Federation and

  • of how President Putin has ruthlessly put down any opposition and suppressed any dissent.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: In Moscow, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov blasted Western leaders who

  • have blamed Putin for Navalny's death.

  • DMITRY PESKOV, Spokesman for Vladimir Putin (through translator): An investigation is

  • under way, and all necessary actions in this regard are being carried out. But, so far,

  • the results of this investigation have not been made public, and, in fact, they're unknown.

  • Therefore, in conditions when there is no valid information, we believe that it is absolutely

  • inadmissible to make such, well, frankly, boorish statements.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Makeshift memorials have popped up across Russia, as mourners pay tribute

  • to Navalny's legacy.

  • VARVARA, Russia (through translator): He was a very strong person, and I think all of Russia

  • is suffering because we lost such a hero.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: In St. Petersburg, men clad in black removed flowers from a memorial,

  • carrying them away in garbage bags. But moments later, Navalny's supporters returned to replace

  • them.

  • Other memorials have also been dismantled across the country, and police have detained

  • nearly 400 people for attending events commemorating Navalny's death. With less than a month to

  • go before Russia's national election, and with Putin's victory all but certain, Navalny's

  • death further scatters and weakens an already thin opposition movement.

  • For the latest on Navalny's death and what it might mean for the future of Russia's opposition

  • movement, we turn to Andrei Soldatov. He's a Russian investigative journalist and a senior

  • fellow at the Center for European Policy Analysis.

  • Andrei, thank you so much for being here.

  • It has been four days since Navalny's death was announced. Russian authorities have not

  • allowed his family to see his body or take possession of his body. What do we know about

  • the circumstances surrounding his death?

  • ANDREI SOLDATOV, Russian Investigative Journalist: Well, to be honest, the circumstances are

  • getting more and more mysterious.

  • The initial official version was that he died on the 16th, but now there are some reports

  • from -- unofficial reports from his penal colony that probably he died the day before,

  • because that's when there was a lot of unusual activities, lots of cars coming to this place.

  • And, apparently, it was somehow connected to his sudden death.

  • Why he died, we still do not know. We have no clue. The official reason is sudden death,

  • whatever it means. And, as you pointed out, the family does not have any access to his

  • body.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Do you think that his family will ever truly know what happened?

  • ANDREI SOLDATOV: I very much hope so.

  • Of course, we have a very long record of political assassinations under mysterious circumstances

  • over the last 20-plus years under Vladimir Putin. And every time, it was extremely difficult

  • to establish the cause. And we have a number of poisonings and very few people we actually

  • know what was used against them in several cases.

  • So, we -- even now, after 20 years, we do not know for instance what was used against

  • famous Russian journalist Yuri Shchekochikhin in 2003 and what was used against Anna Politkovskaya.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: President Biden and many other leaders have squarely placed the blame

  • for this death on Vladimir Putin. Do you share that belief?

  • ANDREI SOLDATOV: Yes, absolutely.

  • I think what we have been seeing over the last three years was a deliberate systematic

  • effort to kill Navalny, not just to isolate him, but to kill him.Moving him up north to

  • more and more horrible conditions, and what happened before, I mean, his poisoning is

  • a very clear sign that he was a target of a political assassination.

  • It just failed back then, but they didn't fail now. We also know that Vladimir Putin,

  • being a very practical man, made a political assassination part of his toolkit. And now

  • we can say that, well, we have the upcoming election. Putin is extremely nervous. Again,

  • it makes a perfect practical sense for him.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Can you help me understand something, though? Because after that poisoning

  • that Navalny survived, he returned to Russia.

  • He had to know that he would be imprisoned, perhaps for the rest of his life. Help us

  • understand why he might have done that.

  • ANDREI SOLDATOV: First of all, Navalny didn't believe in his political future in exile.

  • He believed that he needed to get back and that he needed to conduct his political activity

  • in the country.

  • He was a strong believer of this idea. Of course, now the circumstances completely changed,

  • but remember that it was before the full-scale invasion started. And it appeared to some

  • people, including Navalny, that there was still some room for legitimate political activity

  • in the country.

  • He also built a very impressive network of supporters all over the country. And he didn't

  • want to abandon them. And he believed that, ethically, he needed to be with them in Russia.

  • Of course, he took his chances. And it was extremely brave.

  • But, well, Vladimir Putin decided to imprison him and finally to kill him.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: What does this do to the opposition movement in Russia? I mean, that

  • movement has been splintered and fractured and disparate for many, many years.

  • Now, with its ostensible leader gone, what does that do to that movement?

  • ANDREI SOLDATOV: Well, it's impossible to deny that it is a horrible blow, because,

  • as you pointed out, yes, the movement was never cohesive, and there were always problems

  • and arguments within the community of Russian activists and opposition politicians.

  • Navalny was the most popular politician. And, of course, it is a blow. At the same time,

  • he and his organization made possible several things which political opposition believed

  • was just impossible. For instance, he organized protests in Russian regions. And we always

  • had this concept that Russian liberals live only in big cities like Moscow or St. Petersburg.

  • Navalny changed that. For that, he built an organization. For that, he got his supporters

  • and network of people. These people are still there. They are not going anywhere. Some of

  • them are still in the country. Some of them left, but they are all very much active. And

  • they are determined to remain active politically.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: All right, Andrei Soldatov, thank you so much for joining us.

  • ANDREI SOLDATOV: Thank you.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Along NATO's eastern flank are several former Soviet satellite states,

  • each with long and bitter memories of Russian dominance.

  • Those nations are among the strongest supporters of Ukraine's fight against Russia's invasion

  • and of American support for Europe more broadly. One nation loudly making that argument is

  • Poland.

  • Over the weekend, Nick Schifrin sat down with Poland's Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski.

  • They talked at the Munich Security Conference, which highlighted Europe's anxieties about

  • Putin's invasion and about America's resolve.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Foreign Minister Sikorski, thank you very much. Welcome back to the "NewsHour."

  • As of now, the U.S. House of Representatives has not approved vital military aid to Ukraine.

  • Already, as we know, Ukraine is rationing ammunition. What impact is the debate in the

  • U.S. having on American credibility?

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI, Polish Foreign Minister: Well, first of all, remember that Europe has

  • contributed financially more to the effort than the United States.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: In total. In total.

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: When you count Brussels and the member states.

  • Secondly, remember that this is money for weapons to be manufactured in the United States.

  • Thirdly, the Ukrainians have already destroyed half of President Putin's army without the

  • involvement of a single American soldier, and, lastly, that it's much cheaper to help

  • Ukraine now than it will be if Putin conquers Ukraine and then has to be deterred.

  • So, we think this is good value for money and that this package is important. We appeal

  • to the House of Representatives, to Mike Johnson personally...

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Speaker of the House, yes.

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: ... to please let it go to a vote.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Do you believe it is damaging U.S. credibility?

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: Well, if Ukraine, having been encouraged to resist, the president of

  • the United States having put his standard on the ground in Kyiv, the famous, historic

  • visit, then doesn't deliver on assistance, that would send a message around the globe

  • that you have to be careful, because the United States, for important, but regrettable reasons,

  • might not be able to come through for you.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Be careful, you mean trusting the United States in the future?

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: And that would have important implications, not only in Eastern Europe,

  • but around the globe, where there are other allies that feel exposed bordering on more

  • powerful countries, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, others, Philippines, Australia even.

  • And so the world is watching. This really is not only about Ukraine.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Can Europe make up the shortfall for Ukraine if the U.S. does not send military

  • aid?

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: We can make up financially, but there is literally not enough production

  • capacity of shells and of equipment.

  • We are 20 times bigger than Russia economically, but Russia has gone on to a war footing. It's

  • producing ammo 24/7. We haven't. And without the United States, we are behind the curve

  • in making the stuff that Ukraine needs to defend itself.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Many people here have admitted that Ukraine could lose without these weapons,

  • but can Ukraine win with these weapons? It has struggled to even match its own goals

  • for the counteroffensive last year.

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: Ukraine has recovered 50 percent of the territory that the Russians

  • once occupied, and Ukraine has cleared the Russian navy from half of the Black Sea and

  • is now exporting grain, not thanks to Putin's permission, but despite his best efforts.

  • We -- they just need the tools to do the job. They are doing God's work on our behalf. We

  • just need to enable them, because they can't defend themselves with bare hands.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: If Ukraine doesn't get these weapons, should it negotiate an end to the

  • war?

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: Well, then it will be U.S. responsibility for having brought that about,

  • for having allowed Putin to abolish a taboo that we established after two bloody World

  • Wars, that you may not change borders by force.

  • It would then get noticed by dictators and aggressors around the world that, yes, the

  • West will huff and puff, the America will -- America will encourage to fight, but when

  • it comes -- when push comes to shove, you can get away with it. And that would then

  • be a very costly proposition.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: I noticed, though, you don't say no. Do you think Ukraine should negotiate

  • an end to the war if it doesn't have enough weapons?

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: Look, I have said it before. There is never a shortage of pocket Chamberlains

  • willing to trade other peoples' freedom or land for their own peace of mind.

  • If it were to come to pass, these should be Ukrainian judgments. It's their people who

  • are being conquered, who are being expelled, their children who are being stolen, not ours.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: I know you're not going to want to talk about U.S. domestic politics,

  • but I do have to ask about comments made by the former president recently in which he

  • questioned whether NATO should defend countries that don't meet the 2 percent threshold of

  • GDP spending in terms of defense spending.

  • Do you believe the damage has already been done in some ways, that the very questioning

  • of Article 5, the idea that the U.S. would come to European defense no matter which European

  • country was attacked inside of NATO, do you think that's already damaged Article 5?

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: We heard Secretary-General of NATO Jens Stoltenberg reporting to the

  • Munich Security Conference that, this year, 18 NATO allies will be spending at least 2

  • percent.

  • Poland, I think, is number one, actually. So let's hope that what the former president

  • meant was to energize us to accelerate the increase of defense budgets. We prefer to

  • remember that, under his administration, the U.S. sent anti-tank weapons to Ukraine.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Is 18 countries out of 31, presumably soon to be 32, is that enough countries

  • meeting their 2 percent threshold?

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: Some countries are behind the curve. The flank countries are not. It's

  • not by...

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Eastern flank.

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: It is not by accident that, the closer you are to Russia, the more you're

  • spending on defense.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: In the past, Poland has resisted or worried about Europe making military plans,

  • making defense plans outside of NATO.

  • Are you reconsidering those worries that you have had in the past?

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: A very high-ranking Pentagon official told me the U.S. now supports European

  • defense. They know that there may come circumstances in which, irrespective of who's president,

  • you may be engaged in another part of the world, and you want to have the freedom, the

  • knowledge that the Europeans can, at least to some extent, fend for themselves, provide

  • their own security.

  • This means that we need to develop some capabilities.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Outside of NATO?

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: This should be done in strategic harmony with the United States,

  • and then I think it's actually helpful to the United States.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Foreign Minister Sikorski, thank you very much.

  • RADOSLAW SIKORSKI: Thanks.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: One of the key groups spreading false allegations of a rigged 2020 presidential

  • election recently admitted to a Georgia judge it has no evidence to support its claims.

  • The group is called True the Vote, and its accusations of widespread voter fraud became

  • the basis for several conspiracies around the 2020 contest. Those debunked claims continue

  • to be repeated by former President Donald Trump and many leading Republicans in the

  • lead-up to this year's election.

  • Laura Barron-Lopez has been following all of this. And she joins us now.

  • Hi, Laura.

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: Hi.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: So, what were these claims and how did they come apart like this?

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: True the Vote made repeated unfounded allegations of widespread voter

  • fraud in 2020.

  • Specifically, True the Vote had quite a few key claims, one, that a network of ballot

  • mules paid $10 per ballot to be stuffed into boxes, that they were contacted by an informant

  • who took part in the alleged ballot scheme, that they had a team of -- quote -- "researchers

  • and investigators" providing evidence of fraud, and that they received 117 hot line calls

  • from Georgia residents about voting irregularities.

  • Now, the Georgia State Board of Elections filed a lawsuit against the group after they

  • repeatedly tried to get information from them investigating these allegations of voter fraud.

  • True the Vote never handed that over.

  • So then, finally, a judge ordered True the Vote to respond with any information they

  • may have to support their claims. True the Vote responded in their recent legal filing

  • with the same answer to each request for evidence, saying: "True the Vote has no such documents

  • in its possession, custody or control."

  • And former President Donald Trump has repeated these concocted claims by True the Vote, not

  • just around 2020, but even to today.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: I mean, such an unbelievable admission to say, we don't have the evidence.

  • Many of those allegations, though, did become the sort of backbone for a lot of these baseless

  • conspiracy theories. Can you sort of sketch out how that became so integral here?

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: Yes, Donald Trump's lies about the 2020 election led to many in his

  • orbit taking on the mantle.

  • And so True the Vote, founded by Catherine Engelbrecht, peddled conspiracies about election

  • officials and voter fraud in Georgia and beyond. True the Vote's allegations were then picked

  • up and amplified by businessman Mike Lindell and Dinesh D'Souza, a Trump ally who made

  • a film called "2000 Mules" about baseless claims of people traveling to multiple ballot

  • boxes to vote.

  • Voter fraud allegations were also circulated by Rudy Giuliani and Sidney Powell, attorneys

  • who were co-conspirators in Trump's attempts to overthrow the 2020 election, William.

  • I spoke to Denver Riggleman, a former Republican congressman from Virginia, who worked on the

  • House's January 6 Committee that investigated the efforts of elections subversion, and he

  • described this as an orchestrated network of lies.

  • FMR. REP. DENVER RIGGLEMAN (I-VA): What it comes down to, True the Vote is just part

  • of a massive sort of multiheaded monster of groups that want to monetize lies. There's

  • never been any proof. And it's always the same people, Laura. It's the same people pushing

  • this. It's a massive grift.

  • And I have said it before, I believe this could have been the largest grift in American

  • history.

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: True the Vote, as Denver Riggleman noted, and all of those figures

  • that we highlighted, William, had ample airtime on FOX News to repeat those election lies.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: And, as you were saying, the former president continues to perpetuate

  • those lies and spread them.

  • How much of this is going to continue to be a part of the former president's campaign?

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: Since he launched his campaign, William, former President Donald

  • Trump has repeated election lies, saying that a rigged system is persecuting him, and he

  • has made vows to seek retribution.

  • DONALD TRUMP, Former President of the United States (R) and Current U.S. Presidential Candidate:

  • The radical left Democrats rigged the presidential election in 2020, and we're not going to allow

  • them to rig the presidential election in 2024.

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: You hear there, William, he's again laying the foundation, as he did

  • in 2020, priming his supporters to believe that, if he loses this year, that 2024 will

  • have been rigged.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: So we heard former Republican Congressman Denver Riggleman there pushing

  • back on some of this, but, as you know, he's out in the political wilderness, like Liz

  • Cheney is.

  • Is perpetuating this election lie now requirement for being in the modern-day GOP?

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: Well, William, let's check the receipts.

  • Elise Stefanik, the third-ranking House Republican, as well as Republican Senator J.D. Vance of

  • Ohio, were recently asked if they would have done what then-Vice President Mike Pence did

  • in certifying the 2020 election results.

  • REP. ELISE STEFANIK (R-NY): I would not have done what Mike Pence did. I don't think that

  • was the right approach.

  • SEN. J.D. VANCE (R-OH): If I had been vice president, I would have told the states like

  • Pennsylvania, Georgia, and so many others that we needed to have multiple slates of

  • electors, and I think the U.S. Congress should have fought over it from there.

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina, a Republican who campaigned against

  • Donald Trump, has also refused to answer that question.

  • And all three of them, Tim Scott, J.D. Vance, and Elise Stefanik, are potentially on the

  • short list for Trump's vice presidential picks. I spoke to Denver Riggleman about this as

  • well, and he said that election denialism has become a litmus test for the modern GOP

  • under Donald Trump.

  • FMR. REP. DENVER RIGGLEMAN: They're pushing the same type of conspiratorial thinking.

  • There's no way that the election was stolen. It's been proven over and over again.

  • And what they're doing is, they're just allowing the base to drive them where they need to

  • go, so they can win reelection, or have some kind of favor if Trump were to win, to have

  • some kind of favor in his administration.

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: Another example, William, of this loyalty paying off is that former

  • President Donald Trump is pushing an election denier, Michael Whatley, to be the new chairman

  • of the Republican National Committee. He's also pushing for his daughter-in-law, Lara

  • Trump, to be a co-chair to the committee.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: I mean, we saw what all of this misinformation and lies did to the

  • country in the last election cycle.

  • If this keeps up, what do you imagine this means for 2024?

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: Former Congressman Denver Riggleman told me that he's concerned that

  • voters are continuing to believe this, that when he talks to Republican voters in his

  • rural area of Virginia, that they say that they already think that 2024 is being stolen

  • by Democrats.

  • Election workers are preparing for potential continued threats of violence against them

  • in preparation for the election this year. And election denialism has become so baked

  • into the GOP, William, but it's also something that Americans are starting to accept as a

  • part of the Republican Party.

  • According to a poll conducted by CNN, the majority of voters surveyed said they didn't

  • think Donald Trump would concede the 2024 election if he were to lose.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Really such troubling reporting.

  • Laura Barron-Lopez, thank you so much.

  • LAURA BARRON-LOPEZ: Thank you.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: The presidential primary season could come closer to an effective end

  • later this week after voters in South Carolina finished casting their votes on Saturday.

  • Meanwhile, there is no end in sight for former President Trump's legal troubles or for the

  • debate on Capitol Hill over continuing funding for Ukraine's defense.

  • For more on all of this, we turn to our Politics Monday analysts, Amy Walter of The Cook Political

  • Report With Amy Walter and Tamara Keith of NPR.

  • Welcome to you both. So nice to see you.

  • AMY WALTER, The Cook Political Report: Thank you, William.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Thanks for being here on the holiday.

  • Tam, let's talk about South Carolina.

  • Trump has a commanding 30-point lead, if you believe all the polls, over former U.N. Ambassador

  • and former Governor of South Carolina Nikki Haley. If she gets totally blown out of the

  • water in her home state, how does she go forward?

  • TAMARA KEITH, National Public Radio: She just proceeds forward without a mandate to proceed,

  • which has been her entire time in this primary.

  • She says, we have got it down to the race I want. It's just me against Trump.

  • And guess what? Republican primary voters seem to want Trump. So she is saying that

  • she's going to keep competing through Super Tuesday at least. She's been out -- and that's

  • in early March, March 5. She's been out to several of those states to hold events. She's

  • also been holding a lot of events in South Carolina.

  • Trump has held very few, but he may not need to, it turns out. So she can keep going as

  • long as she has the money to keep going and as long as she's willing to sort of take whatever

  • political damage comes from losing a lot.

  • AMY WALTER: That's the question. Is it political damage, or is she positioning herself in a

  • way that she can get something politically from doing this?

  • Everybody comes in...

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Something like what?

  • AMY WALTER: Well, is she going to be a -- the voice -- somebody wrote the other day -- the

  • voice of "I told you so" after the election?

  • She's been saying over and over again on the campaign trail, he can't win. Every time Trump

  • has been on the ballot, he's lost. Our candidates have lost. And so, if he does lose in 2024,

  • people look to her and say, oh, right, she was the one who told us all along, and we

  • will now look to her for other political advice going forward. That may not happen, but that's

  • certainly one pathway.

  • The other is, you're hearing from folks from the wing of the party, some known as the anti-Trump

  • wing, others in the former establishment wing, the sort of Reagan wing of the party, that

  • she will continue to carry that torch going forward, that there will always be this element

  • in the Republican Party of a strong, interventionist, culturally, but mostly fiscally conservative

  • party, and that, even though Trump is ascendant now, she will be the one carrying that piece

  • of the party and their agenda forward in whatever form that takes.

  • Theoretically, you could go forward and amass a bunch of delegates and then have some leverage

  • going into a party convention. But the way that the process works -- South Carolina is

  • one of these -- it's a winner-take-all system.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Right.

  • AMY WALTER: So, even getting 40 percent of the vote gets you zero.

  • TAMARA KEITH: Nothing.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Right.

  • AMY WALTER: It's not like the Democrats.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Empty-handed.

  • AMY WALTER: Yes.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Do you think that is her calculation here, that she -- it just seems

  • that -- I understand the theory that you're describing, but it seems that the GOP is not

  • interested in having a principled, Republican-esque critic in its midst?

  • TAMARA KEITH: Certainly not.

  • And just look at who former President Trump wants to lead the Republican Party. He wants

  • to get rid of an RNC chairwoman who has been pretty darn loyal to him and replace him...

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: This is Ronna McDaniel.

  • TAMARA KEITH: And replace Ronna McDaniel with...

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: His daughter-in-law.

  • TAMARA KEITH: ... his daughter-in-law...

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Right.

  • TAMARA KEITH: ... with his own -- with members of his own family.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Right, Lara Trump.

  • TAMARA KEITH: The longer Nikki Haley stays in this primary, it's not that it helps her

  • with the delegate math, but the longer she stays in, the more Trump's challenges, legal

  • challenges, financial challenges, all of these issues, the longer they have to come to light.

  • Now we know that there's a trial that will start in New York on March 25, as long as

  • it sticks. He's had this big ruling against him, huge fines and fees that he has to pay.

  • So she is able to more clearly make the argument she's been making all along, which is like

  • whoa, whoa, whoa, is this really who we want to nominate?

  • But then it still comes back to the same problem. In the Republican primary, the answer is yes.

  • AMY WALTER: It's still yes.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Right. The primary voters have been crystal clear about that thus far.

  • AMY WALTER: Yes. Yes.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Let's talk about that, the -- some of the legal troubles that Tam is

  • bringing up, huge, multi -- multi -- hundreds of millions of dollars, which could be a potential

  • dent on his ability to spend money going forward, but also the Stormy Daniels case, the January

  • 6 case, potentially, maybe Georgia, maybe Mar-a-Lago in the classified documents.

  • I know you're always reluctant to say that this will have an impact or not. But do you

  • think that any of those cases could meaningfully change this election?

  • AMY WALTER: Yes, so it is a question that is going to get asked a lot throughout the

  • entirety of this campaign.

  • Right now, it feels like, for so many voters, this is white noise. Even these judgments

  • against Donald Trump have not gotten any sort of traction.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Right.

  • AMY WALTER: It hasn't changed the math in the Republican primary and it certainly hasn't

  • changed it in the general election.

  • So the question becomes, if there is a criminal -- if there's criminal liability, he's found

  • guilty in one of these cases you mentioned, the documents case or January 6, is that going

  • to change people's mind? I think what's going to be fascinating to watch is, first of all,

  • how this question gets asked voters.

  • Right now, it's very hypothetical. And then, if something does happen, do voters opinions

  • of it change over time, that the immediate reaction may be different from, as Tam pointed

  • out, are we really going to do this, once we get to October and November, where you

  • could see voters rallying behind Trump maybe. You could also see them saying, no, I'm not

  • going to vote for him, but then rally around him at the end.

  • This is also going to take an effort, I think, on the Biden campaign's part to make this

  • part of the campaign, right? It's not just this event is going to happen, and then organically

  • voters are going to end up where they end up. The job of the opposition campaign is

  • to make that certainly a centerpiece.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Is Biden going to do that? Because he's thus far been reluctant to touch

  • Trump's legal woes. When they have been obvious targets to shoot at, he has not.

  • TAMARA KEITH: Biden has been reluctant personally. His campaign has also been extremely reluctant.

  • They feel like the legal challenges that Trump has get a lot of attention. Just think about

  • he had -- there were dueling court hearings last week, and he got to hold court outside

  • of the courthouse both before the trial date was set and then afterwards. He's getting

  • a lot of attention about this.

  • For now, at least, they think it's getting enough attention. They'd like voters to focus

  • on what does this mean for them, rather than what does this mean for Donald Trump? And

  • they're struggling to get voters to actually focus on that. They're struggling with that

  • message, but they're trying to figure out how to do it.

  • I think that, for Trump, these first cases on the calendar, if you look at it, the civil

  • cases that -- and penalties that he's faced in New York, the next case being the Stormy

  • Daniels hush money/campaign finance violation and cooking the books, or -- that's not the

  • right phrase -- but those cases are all in New York.

  • He's done a fairly good job of convincing definitely Republican voters, but even people

  • who are not Republican voters, that these...

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: These are New York City liberals who hate me.

  • (CROSSTALK)

  • AMY WALTER: That's right.

  • TAMARA KEITH: Yes, these are New York City liberals who hate me. These cases shouldn't

  • count against me. This is a -- this, this is particularly a witch-hunt.

  • You don't necessarily get to a case where voters haven't had -- haven't been convinced

  • of this, you don't get out of New York for quite some time in the calendar.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Let's shift across the Atlantic for a second.

  • The Munich Security Conference just wrapped up this weekend. We just saw Nick's tremendous

  • interview with the Polish foreign minister talking about this yearning for Europe to

  • know where America stands. Are we going to support Ukraine? Are we not?

  • AMY WALTER: That's right.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: I mean, they just lost a city to the Russians, theoretically, reportedly,

  • because they ran out of ammunition.

  • What do you think comes out of that conference? We saw very dueling views.

  • AMY WALTER: They did get dueling visions, quite clear dueling visions.

  • You have the vice president there saying, we are standing with Ukraine. We do see this

  • as a Central America's role here. And then you saw somebody like J.D. Vance, the senator

  • from Ohio, who was there basically as a Trump surrogate, we could say, who said in his remarks

  • that we -- yes, we like Europe, we like NATO, but don't see Putin as an existential threat

  • to Europe, and that that is something, if you're a European, you probably do not like

  • to hear that.

  • And he basically said, we will stay part of NATO, but we don't see that as important as

  • we do other places in the world, especially the fight with China.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Lastly, Tam, do you see that the Republican move away from supporting

  • Ukraine, which used to be they were in lockstep with the Democrats, and now they are not,

  • does that hurt them in an election?

  • TAMARA KEITH: Generally speaking, foreign policy is not what decides elections. Now,

  • this could be the year where that changes, but it also could be the year where that doesn't

  • change, where you continue the pattern where people think about their own lives. They look

  • inward. They look to the United States, and they're not looking at foreign policy in that

  • way.

  • AMY WALTER: And unless Putin, something really does happen in Europe, and then that's a different

  • calculation.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Amy Walter and Tamara Keith, so nice to see you both.

  • (CROSSTALK)

  • TAMARA KEITH: Great to see you.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: In whatever role he appears, in films or TV, as lead or as a character

  • actor, Paul Giamatti makes an impression.

  • Last month, he won a Golden Globe Award for his performance in the film "The Holdovers."

  • And the role has now brought him his first best actor Oscar nomination.

  • He recently spoke with Jeffrey Brown for our arts and culture series, Canvas.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI, Actor: I can tell by your faces that many of you are shocked at the outcome.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: In "The Holdovers," Paul Giamatti plays Paul Hunham, a crusty 1970s-era New

  • England prep schoolteacher ever ready to quote Marcus Aurelius and take down his pampered

  • charges.

  • ACTOR: I can't fail this class.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Oh, don't tell yourself short, Mr. Kountze. I truly believe that you can.

  • ACTOR: I'm supposed to go to Cornell.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Unlikely.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: The setting was well-known to Giamatti, who had himself attended such

  • a prep school as a teenager and comes from a family of educators, including his father,

  • Bartlett Giamatti, who served as president of Yale University. but familiarity also presented

  • an unfamiliar acting challenge.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: It's one of the first times I have ever felt that sort of close to something,

  • where there was that much available to me, consciously and unconsciously, which was a

  • good thing.

  • I mean, and I was drawing on lots of -- on a deep well of things. But, yes, it was sometimes

  • kind of uncomfortable. I was like, wow, I'm not acting enough.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: What does that mean, "I'm not acting enough"?

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: This feels so familiar to me that I wonder if I'm doing -- am I doing enough?

  • Am I doing the job well? I have never had the experience before of this. It was a really

  • peculiar, peculiar thing.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: So, how did you deal with it? How did you overcome it?

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: I just kept doing it.

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: The Germans have been reinforcing two regiments all day.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Giamatti has made his mark in small parts, "Saving Private Ryan" in 1998...

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: When someone talks to you as though you are no consequence, you have two

  • choices.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: ... and large, the showtime series "Billions."

  • He's been a primate in "Planet of the Apes" and a founding father in the HBO series "John

  • Adams," for which he won an Emmy.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Now, either you are stark-raving mad, or I am! Good day, sir.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: A breakthrough star turn came in 2004 with "Sideways," directed by Alexander

  • Payne, with whom he's reunited for "The Holdovers."

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Need I remind you that it is not my fault that you are stuck here?

  • JEFFREY BROWN: In which three wounded souls find themselves left behind during the Christmas

  • break.

  • Giamatti's Hunham, a troubled student played by Dominic Sessa, and the school's cafeteria

  • manager, a grieving mother whose son died in Vietnam, played by Da'Vine Joy Randolph,

  • herself a Golden Globe winner and best supporting actress nominee.

  • DA'VINE JOY RANDOLPH, Actress: Can we say its his birthday?

  • DOMINIC SESSA, Actor: It's my birthday.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Its brilliant ensemble acting and, for Giamatti, the very essence of his

  • profession.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: It's interesting, the whole idea of sort of chemistry, because people

  • often ask actors, like, how is it that you find this chemistry? And I actually just think

  • it's -- at bottom, it's my job. It's my job to get along with other people. It's my job

  • to engage.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: You mean in a staged or a theatrical -- yes.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Yes. Yes, but it's my job to find something that I connect with these people

  • and then can do it. It really seems, at bottom, mostly what I do is to try to find chemistry.

  • And, sometimes, you have to fake it. And it'll still -- if you're good at it, it'll still

  • look like it works. But then, most of the time, you have something like this, where

  • we all just melded, and it was really nice, and we had that magical thing just happening

  • anyway.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: He knows, your character, that everybody can't stand him.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: He kind of likes it that people can't stand him, to some extent.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: He also knows, though -- and this is where I think you -- you struck me

  • as doing something very interesting -- he knows the holes in himself, that, somehow,

  • you have to show us that.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Yes. Well, he has a self-awareness. He's a self-aware man, which is probably -- only

  • makes life harder for him. Probably, if he was more oblivious, he would be better off.

  • And, hopefully, yes, you see these kinds of holes in him and his awareness of them, and

  • that gives you some sympathy for him.

  • That blue-blooded prick's family had allies on the faculty. I mean, their last name was

  • on a library, for Christ's sake. So he accused me in order to sanitize his treachery, and

  • they threw me out.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: But how do you do that as an actor? How do you bring that out?

  • I'm thinking of roles where you're talking a lot more and where you're emoting a lot

  • more. This character is a little calmer, a little quieter, for the most part.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Yes, for the most part. Yes, that's interesting.

  • I start from the script. I mean, I really do. That's the basis and the foundation of

  • the thing, and I'll discover more about the character the more I sort of investigate the

  • script. And the interesting thing with film is, so much of film really, really lives in

  • the inarticulate moments, the wordless moments.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Do you like those moments?

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: I actually like those the most in things, where film acting, where it flowers,

  • because you're expressing everything just through -- it's all just bodily expression.

  • And that's amazing, because it is the kind of exploration of consciousness and unconsciousness

  • and things like that that makes film different from stage.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Always, though, his decision to take a role begins with the script itself,

  • a close reading to see if he wants to keep turning the pages.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: I'm not being facetious when I say this, but to actually just keep reading

  • the script, if that's what I get, is the script at first, which is usually what I want to

  • see first even before I'll meet the director or something. I want to see what the story

  • is.

  • If the story compels me to keep reading it, that's the most important thing. Then it'll

  • be maybe the character and the director and who else is doing it. I'm lucky to be able

  • to choose like that.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Wasn't always like that, I assume.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: No. No.

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: It's not for most actors, no.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Or even for you at some point, right?

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Oh, no, definitely, for a long time.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Did you have doubts about whether it would all work?

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Sure. I don't think there's an actor alive who doesn't have doubts, who

  • hasn't sort of encountered doubt at some point, if not all the time, sure. You just don't

  • know. It's such a crazy gamble of a thing to do with yourself.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: You have any sense why it worked out?

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • JEFFREY BROWN: What do you tell yourself?

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: I don't know. I -- you know, at the same time, I had a funny sort of sense

  • that I'd manage. I would manage to find work. I had this -- a funny kind of low-level confidence

  • that I'd find stuff to do.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Low level.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Yes, low level of confidence. I wasn't going to go too far. I didn't want

  • to jinx things. but I had a sense that doing, as you say, the kind of character actor work,

  • I'd find stuff, I'd be OK.

  • But you go through rough patches where you're not sure. And then I don't know. I just kept

  • enjoying it, I kept loving it, so that kept me going.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: In the meantime, congratulations.

  • Paul Giamatti, thanks for talking to us.

  • PAUL GIAMATTI: Yes, my pleasure, man. Thank you.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Online, hear more from Paul Giamatti, including what's his favorite holiday

  • and why. That's on our YouTube page.

  • In Nashville, Valor Collegiate Academy encourages students to share what's going on in their

  • lives and to accept support from others.

  • Tonight, we hear from high school teacher Natalie Nikitas and some Valor students as

  • they give their Brief But Spectacular take on building trust.

  • NATALIE NIKITAS, Teacher, Valor Collegiate Academy: When I go somewhere, the Uber driver

  • is talking and inevitably they ask, well, what do you do? I'm a teacher. They go, oh,

  • and they have their reaction.

  • And a lot of times, they are like, well, why? And I always ask them, well, like, who was

  • your favorite teacher? Ninety-nine percent of the time, they're able to name the person.

  • And 99 percent of the time, they smile. I don't -- yes, I don't know another profession,

  • other than like being a superhero, I guess, that could -- that could do that.

  • I teach here at Valor College Prep. I teach 11th grade A.P. U.S. history. At Valor, the

  • focus is much more so on social and emotional learning, teaching students how to basically

  • navigate the onslaught of emotions and feelings that they're experiencing every single day,

  • along with traditional math, science, social studies.

  • JESTER, Student: Hi, my name is Jester (ph). I'm feeling kind of nervous today.

  • Valor is, in a word, unique.

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • JESTER: So, circle, the best way that I have come to describe it is it's halfway between

  • a group therapy session and an AA meeting.

  • NATALIE NIKITAS: Circle basically is about like a 55-minute experience where students

  • will sit together and basically take the time to share how they're feeling.

  • STUDENT: I'm feeling kind of worried today.

  • STUDENT: I'm feeling a little bit stressed, but mostly excited.

  • STUDENT: I am feeling a mix of, like, stress but as well kind of at peace.

  • JESTER: It's a moment for us to decompress and focus in on how we're doing emotionally

  • and give us just that sort of safe space to just be a collective individually.

  • STUDENT: What if I don't get the scholarship I had before and I have to actually pull away

  • a lot more? Because I didn't study, and I regret it a lot, because I feel like I should

  • have listened to my mom when she told me.

  • STUDENT: So I definitely understand that idea of procrastinating. But I definitely feel

  • like that same pressure you're under, wanting to do really well, so you can apply to college

  • and get your scholarships and everything.

  • I also resonate with the fact of how your mom was saying making sure you study, also

  • kind of did the same thing with mine.

  • NATALIE NIKITAS: On our best days, I truly have seen students look out for another and

  • make connections that I think every teacher and member of a school hopes to see.

  • STUDENT: Expressing my worries about school and the stress and the overwhelming feelings

  • that I usually have throughout the day in class, I think talking about those are pretty

  • relieving, because you realize that almost everybody's feeling the exact same way.

  • STUDENT: I shared last year, my 10th grade year, it was my first time in front of everybody.

  • Like, I was nervous. You just like getting put on spotlight basically. You are just talking,

  • and people are just listening to you and looking at you. So I was telling my teacher like,

  • I didn't want to do it.

  • NATALIE NIKITAS: You're supposed to have them share out their -- basically, like, their

  • feelings, their emotions, their struggles. A student isn't going to do that unless they

  • trust you. And to do that is a feat.

  • But if you do it well, the reward is astronomical.

  • STUDENT: I personally really disliked it as a middle schooler. I just really didn't think

  • sitting down, talking about my feelings was important. But over time, throughout the years,

  • I started to realize that it was actually something that was useful to me.

  • STUDENT: People know who I am today, like, at Valor. They know what I went through and

  • everything.

  • JESTER: The hardest part is being vulnerable, but, in almost every circle I have ever been

  • in, vulnerability is always met with support.

  • STUDENT: I'm able to trust more with people that I love, like my friends.

  • NATALIE NIKITAS: Even if we don't understand what a teenager is going through, to say it

  • is tough, your feelings are valid, for a student to hear that from a teacher, like they actually

  • care about them as a human being, what I have seen happen is, students start to excel.

  • STUDENT: There's more to life than all this. You know, there's a lot of stress in school.

  • And I realized I was trying to work myself to death. This is my life. No one can take

  • that away from me.

  • So what I have been doing for the past couple of days is just appreciating the things in

  • life that I have.

  • JESTER: So I want to appreciate Chris. It's like, how are you even the same person right

  • now? You have just taken such an initiative and said, I'm not just going to sit here.

  • I'm going to do everything I can to be the person I want to be.

  • NATALIE NIKITAS: Once you see students open up, it's like, this is everything that we

  • have been trying to do. And for one brief magical moment, students get to feel, like,

  • whole.

  • I think, without recognizing students as whole humans with desires and dreams and setbacks

  • and obstacles, then we're truly missing out on half of a student.

  • JESTER: You all ready?

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • NATALIE NIKITAS: My name is Natalie Nikitas, and this is my Brief But Spectacular take

  • on building trust in a circle.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Tonight's Brief But Spectacular is part of a six-part collection on the future

  • of education. The entire series can be seen on our Web site, PBS.org/"NewsHour."

  • Later tonight on PBS, "Independent Lens" premieres a documentary about how a group of women and

  • LGBTQ+ journalists banded together to launch the nonprofit newsroom The 19th. "Breaking

  • the News" airs at 10:00 p.m. Eastern. Check your local listings.

  • And that is the "NewsHour" for tonight. I'm William Brangham.

  • On behalf of the entire "NewsHour" team, thank you so much for joining us.

WILLIAM BRANGHAM: Good evening. I'm William Brangham. Amna Nawaz and Geoff Bennett are away.

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PBS NewsHour full episode, Feb. 19, 2024

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