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  • GEOFF BENNETT: Good evening. I'm Geoff Bennett.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: And I'm Amna Nawaz.

  • On the "NewsHour" tonight: Continued  Israeli airstrikes flatten parts of Rafah,  

  • as negotiators make progress  for a cease-fire in Gaza.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: The fight over spending on Capitol  

  • Hill intensifies, pushing the country  ever closer to a government shutdown.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: And the state of the war in Ukraine  nearly two years into Russia's invasion.

  • MICHAEL KOFMAN, Carnegie Endowment for  International Peace: This year is clearly  

  • looking like a year during which Ukraine is  going to focus most likely much more on holding,  

  • defending, trying to rebuild  and reconstitute the force,  

  • and maybe creating challenges for the Russian  armed forces with expanded strike campaigns.

  • (BREAK)

  • AMNA NAWAZ: Welcome to the "NewsHour."

  • As Israel's bombing of Gaza continues, some  progress tonight towards a resumption of  

  • talks to both release hostages held by  Hamas and reach a cease-fire agreement.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: Israel's Army Radio  said the country's war cabinet,  

  • made up of the prime minister, the  defense minister, and opposition leader,  

  • approved sending emissaries to  truce talks to be held in Paris.

  • But that slow progress toward a deal did  nothing to stop the bombing and killing in Gaza.

  • In Rafah this morning, the sun rose over  fresh rubble. Gazan health officials said  

  • close to four dozen Palestinians  were killed in Israeli airstrikes.

  • Dina Al-Shaer lost three members  of her family last night.

  • DINA AL-SHAER, Gaza Strip Resident (through  translator): In 2014, they took three of my  

  • siblings, and in the 2024 war they took the  people I love. They took a piece of my heart.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: In Rafah, the  Al-Farouk Mosque is in ruins  

  • as the Muslim holy month of Ramadan approaches.

  • KHAIRY ABU SINJEL, Gaza Strip Resident (through  translator): Listen, good people. Let the whole  

  • world to listen. We are nearing the blessed  month of Ramadan. Where shall we pray?

  • GEOFF BENNETT: But Israeli officials  say, without a new hostage deal,  

  • their offensive won't wait for RamadanStill, there are small signs of progress.

  • Israel's defense minister said today that  Israel would expand the authority of its hostage  

  • negotiators. At the same time, violence nearby  threatens the chance for peace. In the West Bank,  

  • three Palestinian gunman opened fire at an  Israeli checkpoint, killing one and wounding  

  • at least five others. Two of the attackers were  killed by Israeli forces and the third captured.

  • Israel's far right national security minister,  

  • Itamar Ben-Gvir, called for arming more  Israeli citizens and said their right to  

  • safety was more important than the  Palestinian right to move freely.

  • ITAMAR BEN-GVIR, Israeli National Security  Minister (through translator): I expect to  

  • have here more and more checkpoints, to have  restrictions. We need to finally come to the  

  • understanding that our enemies are not looking  for excuses. Our enemies only want to harm.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: But, internationally, the  spotlight is on Israel. The United Nations'  

  • top court continues to hear arguments over  the occupation of Palestinian territories.

  • At the G20 meeting in Brazil, a European Union  diplomat told reporters -- quote -- "There  

  • was a strong request for a two-state  solution. It is a consensus among us."

  • In the region, Houthi militants vowed  again to continue their attacks on Red  

  • Sea shipping lanes. Today, U.S. forces said  they shot down six Houthi drones. Meantime,  

  • two Houthi missiles hit a British  cargo carrier. And in the Gulf of Aden,  

  • suspected Houthi missiles set  a Liberian-owned ship on fire.

  • In the Israeli port city of Eilat,  a suspected Houthi ballistic missile  

  • was intercepted by Israel's  Arrow missile defense system.

  • ABDEL-MALEK AL-HOUTHI, Houthi Leader  (through translator): In the Yemen front,  

  • as we mentioned last week, we have shifted  towards an escalation in our operations,  

  • as the enemy continues to escalate further  in the Gaza Strip and persists in committing  

  • genocide by all means against  the Palestinian people in Gaza.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: The situation inside Gaza only  grows worse closer to catastrophe. Beyond  

  • airstrikes and ground offensivesPalestinians are fighting off starvation.

  • FATHIA JOUMAA AL NAJJAR, Gaza Strip Resident  (through translator): We're trying to get  

  • food for our girls. We have girls and a boy.  I don't have anything to feed them, nothing.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: Cooks in Deir al  Balah work in makeshift kitchens,  

  • trying to feed as many as they can.

  • Mahmoud Abu Khalifa isvolunteer from Northern Gaza.

  • MAHMOUD ABU KHALIFA, Volunteer Cook (through  translator): We have a lot of people we're  

  • feeding. We have about 30,000 to  40,000 people. And it's not enough.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: Palestinians wait in long lines  for a chance to fill of a bowl with rice,  

  • anything that will get them to the next day.

  • In the day's other headlines: The mother of  the late Russian opposition leader Alexei  

  • Navalny says she's finally been able to see  her sons body. But in a video statement today,  

  • she said Russian authorities won't hand over his  remains unless she agrees to a secret burial.

  • LYUDMILA NAVALNAYA, Mother of Alexei Navalny  (through translator): According to the law,  

  • they should have given me  Alexei's body immediately,  

  • but they didn't. Instead, they blackmail  me, they put conditions where, when,  

  • and how Alexei should be buried. They want  it done secretly, without a memorial service.

  • They want to take me to the edge of the cemetery,  

  • to a fresh grave and say, here lies  your son. I don't agree with that.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: She's filed a lawsuit  demanding her son's body be released,  

  • but there won't be a hearing until next month.

  • Meantime, President Biden met  with Navalny's widow, Yulia,  

  • and daughter today in San Francisco. A  White House photo showed their embrace and,  

  • in a statement, the president  praised her husband's courage.

  • Russian President Vladimir Putin chided President  Biden today for calling him quote "a crazy SOB."  

  • Mr. Biden said it during a campaign fund-raiser  last night in San Francisco in the context of the  

  • threat that Putin poses, given Russia's nuclear  arsenal. Today, on Russian state TV, Putin said it  

  • was rude, but he suggested with a hint of sarcasm  that it shows why he supports a Biden reelection.

  • VLADIMIR PUTIN, Russian President  (through translator): You asked me  

  • who we prefer as the future president  of the United States. I said that we  

  • would work with any president. But  I believe that, for us, for Russia,  

  • Biden is a more preferable president. And judging  by what he just said, I am absolutely right.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: The White House had no  immediate response to Putin's remarks.

  • In Albania, lawmakers approved a deal today to  temporarily hold thousands of migrants seeking  

  • asylum in Italy. Under the five-year agreementItaly will build two processing centers on  

  • Albania's coast to house up to 36,000 people per  year. Opposition members of Parliament tried to  

  • disrupt the vote today with whistles. That's  as demonstrators gathered to condemn the plan.

  • ARILDA LLESHI, Albanian Activist (through  translator): These tourist areas will not  

  • be the same after the migrant processing  centers are built there. They will all  

  • be sent to a closed jail. And from  what we have seen in other countries,  

  • we have reasons to believe that this will  be a security problem for the whole area.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: Italy has asked other  European nations for help after  

  • migrant arrivals jumped 50 percent  last year from the previous year.

  • Here at home, a second fertility clinic  in Alabama is putting a hold on in vitro  

  • fertilization. It comes after the state Supreme  Court declared that frozen embryos are legally  

  • considered to be children. President Biden today  called that decision outrageous and unacceptable.

  • A federal judge in California has blocked  a state law that targets guns designated  

  • as abnormally dangerous. The 2022 statute allows  private citizens and state and local governments  

  • to sue gun makers. But the judge found it reaches  beyond California's borders and directly regulates  

  • out-of-state commercial transactions, and  violates the U.S. Constitution's Commerce Clause.

  • A Texas judge ruled today that a high  school acted legally when it suspended a  

  • Black student over his hairstyle. Darryl  George's lawyer argued his monthslong  

  • punishment violated a state ban on  race-based hair discrimination. The  

  • judge sided with the district, which cited  its policy limiting hair length for boys.

  • On Wall Street, stocks rallied as  shares in chipmaker Nvidia jumped  

  • 16 percent. The Dow Jones industrial  average gained nearly 457 points to  

  • close above 39000 for the first timeThe tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 460 points,  

  • or 3 percent. The S&P 500 added 105  points and also reached a record high.

  • And Hydeia Broadbent, a leading voice  in AIDS awareness, has died at her home  

  • in Las Vegas. She was born with HIV and had  full-blown AIDS by age 5. But as a young girl,  

  • she gained national attention, appealing for  support of those with the virus. In 1996,  

  • she addressed the Republican National Convention  

  • and later starred in a TV special with Magic  Johnson. Hydeia Broadbent was 39 years old.

  • Still to come on the "NewsHour": the search  for answers after a nonbinary student dies  

  • after a fight at an Oklahoma high school;  a respected geneticist and world-famous  

  • opera singer partner on research on  music's potential to improve health;  

  • and a private spacecraft attempts the first  U.S. lunar landing since the Apollo missions.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: Some news from Capitol  Hill even as Congress is out of town.

  • "NewsHour" has learned that bipartisan  negotiators may reach a spending deal  

  • in the next few days. But that may not be  soon enough to avert a partial government  

  • shutdown just a few days after that. This  has been a familiar plotline in recent years.

  • But Capitol Hill correspondent  Lisa Desjardins joins us now to  

  • explain that this spending showdown  has some unique features to it.

  • So, Lisa, let's start with the timelineAnd forgive me. I feel like I have asked  

  • you this before, but when wouldgovernment shutdown begin? And what,  

  • if anything, makes this showdown unique?

  • LISA DESJARDINS: This has been as  kind of repetitive as sort of the  

  • sunset and sunrise in American politicsbut this time is a little bit different.

  • And I'm going to show you why looking  at the timeline. It is shorter than  

  • even you might imagine. So let's look at  the calendar. When you talk about today,  

  • here we are, February 22.  Congress is out of town. Now,  

  • the first deadline comes next FridayAnd that's the first different feature.

  • These spending deadlines are split in twoFour different kinds of appropriation bills  

  • have their deadlines end next Fridaymust be passed by that or those kinds  

  • of agencies will shut down. Then there's  a second deadline on March 8 after that.

  • Now, here's what makes it really very  difficult to imagine them reaching that  

  • first deadline without some short-term dealbecause Congress doesn't return, as I said,  

  • until next week, the Senate on  Monday, but the House, Amna,  

  • does not return to Washington until next Wednesday  afternoon. That will give them a day-and-a-half,  

  • two days to come up with some kind of  solution to meet that first March deadline.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: So, Lisa, walk us through what  agencies and programs would be impacted,  

  • who would be affected and whenaccording to those deadlines.

  • LISA DESJARDINS: Right. We wanted to start talking about this now because  we think next week is going to be busy. It's going  

  • to feel more like a crisis. We wanted to  just calmly explain what could happen here.

  • That March 1 deadline, these are the kinds  of agencies we're talking about agriculture,  

  • energy, transportation, housing, and veteransthe VA. Now, that includes in those agencies,  

  • WIC, the program for food for mothers  and infants, as well as the FDA itself.

  • Now, the March 8 deadline, that is all of the  remaining agencies. Where is the bigger portion  

  • of government at risk? It's March 8. That's  about 80 percent of what government does or  

  • about -- what federal agencies do. So that's  the biggest, bigger chunk, the bigger concern.

  • But that in a way, Amna, makes that March  1 deadline more precarious. Some in the  

  • House will say, well, listen, it's not  all of government. It's not even most  

  • of government. So perhaps we can afford  to have a short shutdown after March 1.

  • Now, let's also talk about some bigger-picture  issues here to help people understand. There  

  • is a possible spending deal this weekend. I have  that reporting from multiple sources involved in  

  • the House and Senate. But even if they have  the outlines of a deal from appropriators,  

  • it is hard to see how that full deal  for all of the spending that they need  

  • to pass can actually get through  the House and Senate by March 1.

  • Now, if there is no long-term deal at all passed  by April 30, there will be a 1 percent cut for  

  • federal agencies. That is part of the Fiscal  Responsibility Act, that debt deal, remember,  

  • led by Kevin McCarthy and with Chuck Schumer  last year and President Biden. That was trying  

  • to motivate members of the House and Senate to  get all of these spending bills passed on time.

  • They said, if you don't pass these spending bills,  

  • there will be a cut. It's having a bit of the  opposite effect. Some conservatives say, great,  

  • let's not spend them, and let's,  in fact, do have a 1 percent cut.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: So, Lisa, take us behind the  scenes to some of the politics unfolding here.

  • As you talk to lawmakers,  

  • what's your sense of what the chances  are of a shutdown happening next week?

  • LISA DESJARDINS: We're watching  the House Freedom Caucus. And I  

  • spoke to several members of that group today.

  • They sent out a letter yesterday, really a warning  shot to Speaker Johnson, saying they wanted an  

  • update on this whole thing. But when you dig  beneath the surface, what's really happening here,  

  • while it was a politely worded letter, is, there  are conservatives, and they're connected to Donald  

  • Trump, in fact, including from his son, who  sent out this e-mail today, saying what he  

  • got from that letter was that Republicans in the  Freedom Caucus were ready to trigger a shutdown.

  • And, indeed, Amna, I did talk to at least  one member of the Freedom Caucus who said,  

  • yes, I think it's worth a shutdown, and  we should try and head that direction  

  • if we can't get spending cuts, which no  one thinks is possible in the next week.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: Meanwhile, LisaSpeaker Johnson is overseeing  

  • one of the narrowest House majorities in  history. What does all this mean for him?

  • LISA DESJARDINS: This is his biggest test.

  • He's been able to put off these huge decisions  where his own conference is split. He will have  

  • to decide in the next few days if he wants to  put forth a short-term resolution or not. And,  

  • of course, after that, he's got a major, very  difficult decision on Ukraine funding as well.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: All right, that is Lisa Desjardins  with the latest twists and turns from Congress.

  • Lisa, thank you.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: This Saturday  marks two years since Russia's  

  • full-scale invasion of Ukraine inwar that started nearly 10 years ago.

  • With the conflict atfrozen and brutal stalemate,  

  • Nick Schifrin now takes stock of what's  been gained and all that's been lost.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: In two years, countless  wives now widows, sons now orphans,  

  • the dead stolen of their dignity and  10 million forced to flee their homes,  

  • the largest refugee crisis since World War IIEveryone everywhere carries the war's scars.

  • And so Ukraine fights; 300,000 soldiers  are determined, but exhausted, outmanned  

  • and increasingly outgunned. In some areasfor every artillery shell that they fire,  

  • Russian soldiers fire 10. Two years ago  today, before the full-scale invasion,  

  • Russia occupied 7 percent of Ukraine. On March  22, 2022, Moscow expanded control to 27 percent.

  • Ukraine has won back about half  that newly captured territory,  

  • but Russia still occupies 18 percent. Recently,  

  • Ukraine pushed the Russian navy further  back into the Black Sea, increased exports,  

  • and now increasingly threatens occupied CrimeaBut it recently lost the eastern city of Avdiivka.

  • The Russian military has momentum  as Ukraine waits for U.S. aid,  

  • without which senior U.S.  officials fear Ukraine will lose.

  • We now take a look at where  the war is, where it could go,  

  • and U.S. policy toward Ukraine with three views.

  • Michael Kofman is a senior fellow  at the Carnegie Endowment for  

  • International Peace. John Mearsheimer  is a political science professor at  

  • the University of Chicago. And Rebeccah  Heinrichs is senior fellow and director  

  • of the Keystone Defense Initiative at the  Hudson Institute, a Washington think tank.

  • Thanks so much. All of youwelcome back to the "NewsHour."

  • Michael Kofman, let me start with you.

  • As we just said, Ukraine  has lost Avdiivka. They're  

  • increasingly outgunned, outmanned. How bad is it?

  • MICHAEL KOFMAN, Carnegie Endowment  for International Peace: Look, Ukraine  

  • starts 2024 in a very difficult positionThat is very clear. Ukraine has a deficit  

  • in terms of artillery ammunitionPart of that is because it depends  

  • on Western support for munitionsand it has a deficit of manpower.

  • It needs to replenish the force, particularly  the infantry component of the force. Now,  

  • while it's true that Russia is materially  advantaged in this war, that much is clear,  

  • if we look at manpower, particularly if  we look at artillery, to a lesser extent,  

  • equipment, that advantage at this  stage is not decisive either.

  • The battle for Avdiivka, which was a five-month  grinding fight, tells us about the challenges  

  • both militaries face. Ukraine was forced to  retreat after fighting a defensive battle,  

  • but it inflicted very high costs on the  Russian military. It cost the Russian military  

  • almost an entire army's worth of equipment, and  equipment remains the limiting factor for them.

  • So, that being said, this year is clearly looking  like a year during which Ukraine is going to focus  

  • most likely much more on holding, defendingtrying to rebuild and reconstitute the force,  

  • and maybe creating challenges for the Russian  armed forces with expanded strike campaigns.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Rebeccah Heinrichs, do you  agree with that assessment? And do you  

  • think the U.S. needs to go further  than it has so far in its support?

  • REBECCAH HEINRICHS, Hudson Institute:  I do agree with Mike's assessment.  

  • You can look at all of the things that  have not been going well for Ukraine.

  • Ukraine has clearly demonstrated an amazing  ability to make gains and Retake territory,  

  • strong will to fight, strong and greater sense  of national identity. And so what Ukraine needs  

  • now into the next year, agree with Michael, it  needs to be resupplied, but also longer-range  

  • strike systems, drones, bigger drones that can  carry longer-range strike systems in order to  

  • reach Russian targets, not just in Ukrainebut outside Ukraine into Russian territory.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: So, John Mearsheimerwhat do you think about that, that all  

  • that Ukraine needs to do is hold the line and  that the U.S. should increase its support for  

  • Ukraine over the coming years in order for  Ukraine to be able to achieve what it needs?

  • JOHN MEARSHEIMER, University  of Chicago: Well, I disagree.

  • I think that Ukraine has already lost the  war. It's lost 20 percent of its territory,  

  • according to my calculations. And it's not  going to conquer that territory and get it back,  

  • as was demonstrated in the failed  counteroffensive of last year.

  • The key to understanding where this war  is headed is to know that it is a war  

  • of attrition. This is two armies that  are standing toe-to-toe and beating the  

  • living daylights out of each other. And  the question is, which army bleeds which  

  • army first? And it's quite clear that the  Russians are bleeding the Ukrainians white.

  • As the setup piece made clear, the  Russians have about a 10-1 advantage  

  • in artillery. And there's nothing we can  do to fix that in the foreseeable future,  

  • because we don't have artillery on  the shelf that we can give them.

  • Furthermore, in terms of manpower, they are in  absolutely terrible shape. They say they need  

  • a mobilization and will bring into the force  500,000 troops. They are not going to be able  

  • to mobilize 500,000 troops. In my opinion, they  will be lucky if they can mobilize 150,000 troops.

  • And they're already greatly  outnumbered by the Russians,  

  • because the Russian population is  five times bigger than the Ukrainian  

  • population. So when you look at the metrics  that really matter in a war of attrition,  

  • the Ukrainians are in a terrible situationand this situation only gets worse with time.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Michael Kofman, take on those  points, that there's not enough artillery to send  

  • them, that they will not have enough manpowerand -- quote -- "Ukraine has already lost."

  • MICHAEL KOFMAN: OK, first of all, I  just have to disagree on the facts.

  • The United States has plenty of  artillery. It just doesn't have  

  • the money. And artillery production both  in the United States and European Union  

  • is increasing significantly. We will be inmuch better position by 2025 than we are now.

  • Second, Russia's fires advantage right now is  about 5-1. It's not the size of fires advantage,  

  • given the main constraints the force has. Thirdwhen it comes to manpower, there's a lot more to  

  • military analysis than basic algebra. It's  much more about how you use the forces you  

  • have and your ability to convert your resources  into combat-capable and effective formations.

  • Russia has a lot more people on paperThat is true, but the Russian forces in  

  • Ukraine don't actually outnumber the Ukrainian  troops on the front line by that much at all.  

  • Russia is feeding off of Soviet legacypulling equipment from its warehouses.

  • It lost a ton of it over the battle of AvdiivkaIt can't keep doing that too many times, all  

  • right? And if Russia is not on track and doesn't  look like they're actually really winning this war  

  • by the time we get into 2025, their negotiating  position becomes actually very uncertain.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Rebeccah Heinrichs,  

  • is Ukraine already losing? And is itrump state, as John Mearsheimer said?

  • REBECCAH HEINRICHS: No, of course not.

  • The United States currently has ready to  send Ukraine as soon as Congress gives a  

  • go-ahead and passes this national security  supplemental. We have also seen the United  

  • States and other Western companies be  able to adapt actually very quickly,  

  • increase the production of key munitions, and tick  them over to the battlefield very, very quickly.

  • So, for the medium and long term, it does  have the ability to produce these weapons  

  • to get them to Ukraine if there is the  will to do so. And so this isn't just  

  • all good and positive things going for  Russia. It does have to look elsewhere  

  • also. And so the same situation is for  Ukraine. It's going to look to the West.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: John Mearsheimer, take  on those points, one, that the U.S. and  

  • Europe are increasing their production  to be able to send to Ukraine, and, two,  

  • that, in general, Russia does not have the  decisive advantage that you think it does.

  • JOHN MEARSHEIMER: It's clear from  almost all the accounts in the media  

  • that the Russians have roughly a  10-to-1 advantage in artillery.

  • If Michael's correct that the  artillery is on the shelf,  

  • why don't we give it or why haven't we  given it to the Ukrainians? And the fact is,  

  • it's not on the shelf. We don't have the  artillery tubes or shells to give to them.

  • And he says that we will make a substantial  improvement in that regard by 2025. I would  

  • remind him that this is February 2024. And we  have a lot of months to go before we get to  

  • 2025. And if you look at the Russians, they havesignificant industrial base that can pump out lots  

  • of weapons. And they're doing exactly thatwhich is why they have a 10-to-1 advantage.

  • Furthermore, if you look at manpower,  

  • there are some reports that the average age  of Ukrainian forces is 43 years old. They're  

  • having a significant problem with draft  dodgers back in Kyiv and other places in  

  • Ukraine. This mobilization is not going  to be able to produce 500,000 troops.

  • And Zaluzhnyi and other generals have said they  need 500,000 troops because the Russians have  

  • much larger numbers of troops. So in a war of  attrition, if you're outnumbered in terms of  

  • artillery and you're outnumbered in terms  of manpower, you're really in big trouble.

  • And you saw this in Avdiivka, where the  Ukrainians just suffered a humiliating defeat.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Michael Kofman, what is  victory for Ukraine and can it achieve it?

  • MICHAEL KOFMAN: Yes, what does victory look  like? Ukraine is able to achieve an end to the  

  • war on terms favorable to itself that does  not involve it sacrificing any significant  

  • amount of sovereignty or compromising  its economic viability as a state.

  • And, ideally and most importantly, Ukraine avoids  having to negotiate from a position of weakness,  

  • where Russia achieves a victor's peace. Andthink that's possible and it's still feasible  

  • at this point, but I won't argue that Ukraine  does not have a difficult path ahead of it.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: Rebeccah Heinrichs, you talk  about attacking inside Russia. Some U.S.  

  • officials, as you know, are worried about  escalation. Do you think they should be?

  • REBECCAH HEINRICHS: To end this war on terms that  favored Ukraine, to give Ukraine the strongest  

  • hand to play to end this conflict that leaves  itself with a strong hand to protect itself  

  • from further incursions is to make sure that  Ukraine can inflict pain on Russia so that  

  • Russia decides that it's no longer worth the  risk and the cost to continue moving forward.

  • To do that, you have to inflict  pain. And Russia can no longer be  

  • a sanctuary for where it is launching its  attacks and where its logistics are. So,  

  • Ukraine has already been hitting some of those  targets. It's just not been permitted to do so  

  • with Western weapons. And that needs to change  if we're going to actually change the tide of  

  • the war and enable Ukraine, as Michael saidto have a strong hand to play to end this war.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: John Mearsheimer, final word.

  • JOHN MEARSHEIMER: And I just want to point out  that you want to understand that we armed up  

  • and we trained the Ukrainians formajor counteroffensive last summer.

  • And that counteroffensive was a colossal failureAnd given what's happened since then, there is no  

  • reason to think that the Ukrainians can go on the  offensive and win a war against the Russians. And,  

  • if anything, it's quite clear that the balance  of power over time has shifted in the Russians'  

  • favor, and it's likely to continue to shift  further in the Russians' favor moving forward.

  • So we are in deep trouble in Ukraine.

  • NICK SCHIFRIN: John Mearsheimer,  

  • Rebeccah Heinrichs, Michael Kofmanthank you very much to all of you.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: There are new details  today about the death of an Oklahoma  

  • teenager the day after a physical  altercation in a school restroom.

  • Nex Benedict, who was nonbinaryattended high school in Owasso,  

  • a suburb of Tulsa. Police say that investigation  is ongoing. But Nex's death is raising concerns  

  • in LGBTQ+ communities and igniting fear in some  families and among students who identify as queer.

  • For a closer look, I'm joined now  by our communities correspondent,  

  • Adam Kemp, who's been reporting  on this story from Oklahoma.

  • So, Adam, let's begin, please, if you can just  tell us a little bit more about Nex, about who  

  • this teenager was, and also what we know about the  events that unfolded the day before Nex's death.

  • ADAM KEMP: Yes, it's important to  start the story that we don't know  

  • how Nex identified. What we do know  is, the teen was gender-expansive.

  • Nex was a 16-year-old sophomore student  at Owasso High School. On February 7,  

  • they were involved in an altercation with  three other students in a school bathroom.  

  • Early indications -- or early reports  actually indicate that Nex had their  

  • head hit against the bathroom ground  several times during that altercation,  

  • which lasted around two minutes, before  it was broken up by other students.

  • All the students involved were then checked  out by a school nurse. Nex was then taken by  

  • a family member to the hospital. Nex went home  that evening. And the next day, medics responded  

  • to a medical emergency involving Nex, who was  then later declared dead at a local hospital.

  • Family and friends have described Nex  as a gamer who loved to play Minecraft,  

  • a straight-A student, and a lover of  animals, including a pet cat named Zeus.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: So, Adam, what about from authorities  

  • and from the school district? What are  we hearing from them about Nex's death?

  • ADAM KEMP: Right.

  • Police did say that Nex's death, preliminary  reports indicate that it was not the result of  

  • trauma. School officials have been tight-lipped  so far on this, mostly because this case does  

  • involve juveniles. The Owasso police did  say that an investigation is ongoing.

  • It is important context to note  for the story that, in 2022,  

  • Oklahoma did pass a transgender and nonbinary  bathroom ban, so that students are not allowed  

  • to use the bathroom that their gender identity  aligns with. State Superintendent Ryan Walters,  

  • it should be noted, is a very big  critic of LGBTQ+ issues in this state.

  • But he has offered Owasso Public Schools  his support and the support of the state for  

  • counseling services. Governor Kevin Stitt actually  released a statement saying -- quote -- "The  

  • death of any child in an Oklahoma school istragedy, and bullies must be held accountable."

  • Again, there's just still a lot of questions  at this time without a lot of answers.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: Adam, I know you have been  speaking with families in the area,  

  • with LGBTQ+ advocates. What  are you hearing from them?

  • ADAM KEMP: Yes, right now, it's a lot  of fear from families that I'm hearing.

  • Right now, in the Oklahoma state legislaturemore than 50 plus anti-LGBTQ+ bills have been  

  • introduced so far this session. That's  the most of any state, according to the  

  • ACLU. I spoke with Freedom Oklahoma, which isLGBTQ+ advocacy group, who has been doing their  

  • own investigation into this case and has found  that Nex had been bullied for more than a year.

  • Speaking with Nicole McAfeetheir executive director,  

  • she had this to say about kind of the  mood of their community right now.

  • NICOLE MCAFEE, Executive DirectorFreedom Oklahoma: It feels incredibly  

  • overwhelming to not know how we can keep  kids in our community alive as they are  

  • being bullied and targeted not only  by fellow students, but by the state.

  • We have a lot of teachers in that space  who they themselves are queer or trans  

  • and nonbinary and are grappling  with whether they can keep doing  

  • this work or if they feel like  their only option is to leave.

  • ADAM KEMP: I have also spoken to many  nonbinary and trans parents here in the  

  • state who just say the atmosphere  is that of despair right now.

  • One mother, in particular, talked about just  the hateful rhetoric directed at her son  

  • that she's seen ramped up in the past couple  years alone. Right now, she's grappling with  

  • the idea of moving out of state and whether  that's the best option to keep her son safe.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: So, Adam, given all the  questions, what can we expect to happen next?

  • ADAM KEMP: Yes, Owasso police say an autopsy and  toxicology report are forthcoming. We know that --  

  • we don't know yet what the consequences could be  for the students that were involved in the fight.

  • We do know that Nex's family  has hired an attorney and that  

  • vigils are being planned around  the state for later this month.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: Of course, our thoughts  are with Nex Benedict's family tonight.

  • Adam Kemp, our communities  reporter joining us from Oklahoma.

  • Adam, thank you.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: We have long known about  racial and ethnic bias in health care,  

  • but now we're getting some firsthand  knowledge of how pervasive it is from  

  • people within that system through  the largest study of its kind. The  

  • report was based on interviews with doctorsnurses, dentists and mental health workers.

  • William Brangham breaks down the study's findingspart of our ongoing coverage of Race Matters.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: In this study from The  Commonwealth Fund, nearly half of health care  

  • workers in the U.S. say racism against patients  is a major problem, and equal numbers report that  

  • they have personally witnessed discrimination  against patients in their workplace.

  • Employees at facilities that mostly serve Black or  

  • Latino patients reported higher  instances of discrimination.

  • To expand on the study's findings and why it  matters, I'm joined by one of its co-authors.  

  • Dr. Laurie Zephyrin is senior vice president for  advancing health equity at The Commonwealth Fund.

  • Dr. Zephyrin, so good to  have you on the "NewsHour."

  • So half of health care workers say racism ismajor problem, they have seen it in their own  

  • workplaces. I'm curious why you chose to  look at this issue from this perspective.

  • DR. LAURIE ZEPHYRIN, The Commonwealth  Fund: Thank you, and thanks for having me.

  • Previous research really tells us that racism  and discrimination impact health care outcomes,  

  • especially for people of color. This study goes  a step further, really spotlighting the voice of  

  • health care workers who have witnessed racism and  discrimination and also experienced it themselves.

  • In terms of why health workers, health  care workers, understanding what health  

  • care workers are experiencing and what they  need from their employers and colleagues  

  • to address discrimination is really critical  to successful and sustainable change. Health  

  • care workers are a key part of the health care  system, and they can be a part of the solution.

  • We do know that the perspective of patients  and providers are incredibly important,  

  • but for this study, we decided to focus  on health care workers because they're  

  • on the ground. They impact the day-to-day  care of people. And health care workers  

  • are living and breathing in the  health care system every day.

  • They really experience the realities of  what it is to provide health care firsthand.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: One of the more striking  disparities in this was the perspective  

  • of Black health care workers. And  I'm going to put this graphic up.

  • While half of all health care workers said  doctors are more accepting of white patients  

  • advocating for themselves compared to  Black patients, it was 70 percent of  

  • Black workers who said this. I mean, that kind of  perspective just has to really leap out at you.

  • DR. LAURIE ZEPHYRIN: Yes, it  does. It does leap out at you.

  • Where you come from is important. Diverse  experiences are incredibly important. The  

  • data are clear just in general on the  importance of a culturally diverse work  

  • force. It has a really profound impact on the  health care system, on the patients served. I'm  

  • sure you have seen the data about diverse  work force. It can address cultural needs,  

  • language needs, improve communicationimprove patient status satisfaction.

  • And there also may be more awareness of  

  • the impacts of discrimination and  bias because of lived experience.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: There was also similar  disparities when it came to language  

  • differences, with over 70 percent of Latino  workers saying that non-English-speaking  

  • patients just don't get the same kind  of care as English-speaking patients.

  • Do these disparities, do you believeactually impact patient outcomes?

  • DR. LAURIE ZEPHYRIN: There  are data that support the  

  • linkage between discrimination  and impact on quality of care.

  • So we do know that there are significant  disparities and inequities and outcomes,  

  • whether we're talking about maternal mortality  and the crisis we're experiencing in this country  

  • or we're talking about inequities in life  expectancy. We do know that where you live,  

  • work, play impacts your outcomes, right?

  • And there's impacts of discrimination and  racism on the social determinants of health.  

  • So we certainly have data that support  this linkage. And to your point earlier,  

  • for people that have lived experiencewhether it's race, ethnicity, language,  

  • other aspects of culture, there just may be  more of an understanding, more of a recognition,  

  • more of a sensitivity to witnessing and  discrimination within the health care system.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: There was also  an interesting generational divide,  

  • with older health care workers not seeing quite as  striking a level of crisis as younger workers did.

  • What do you attribute that to?

  • DR. LAURIE ZEPHYRIN: Yes, we didn't ask why in the  study. And so you don't know what you don't know.

  • But a few things come to mind in terms of why  younger people, younger health care workers are  

  • seeing more. This could reflect a generational  shift in health care workers being more  

  • equity-oriented and younger workers who recognize  equity as a key component of health care outcomes.

  • So we need more research to clarify  these generational differences. And  

  • more research could be potentially  important to inform efforts to  

  • really prevent younger health care  workers from leaving the profession.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: On that issue, you talked  with workers about what they would like to  

  • see done to make things better. What were the  sort of general principles they articulated?

  • DR. LAURIE ZEPHYRIN: Creating a safe reporting  environment was one that came up as crucial.

  • So, the study found that witnessing  discrimination creates stress and also  

  • that helped care workers fear retaliation. So  having a safe reporting environment that not  

  • only supports reporting, but also helps with  reconciliation, is really important as well.

  • I think education also remains  crucial to engendering reform,  

  • and training is going to be very  critical, not just anti-bias training,  

  • but also training recognizing that discrimination  can be a game changer in health care, that it can  

  • impact quality of health care outcomes, and also  be able to recognize the signs of discrimination.

  • WILLIAM BRANGHAM: All right, Dr. Laurie  Zephyrin at The Commonwealth Fund,  

  • thank you so much for being here.

  • DR. LAURIE ZEPHYRIN: Thank youThanks so much for having me.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: Two giants of music  and science are merging their  

  • knowledge to propel advancements in body and mind.

  • Researchers, therapists, and  artists from around the world  

  • gathered to explore what is known  and what is yet to be discovered.

  • Jeffrey Brown takes a look and a listen for  our ongoing arts and health coverage on Canvas.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: She is a singer, one of the  world's most beloved sopranos. But at times  

  • in her remarkable career, Renee Fleming has  experienced terrible bouts of somatic pain,  

  • the body's way of distracting her from the  mental anxiety brought from performance.

  • RENEE FLEMING, Singer: I was never a natural  performer. And so I just kept reading and  

  • reading about the mind-body connection, trying  to understand more about what was causing this,  

  • et cetera. And I discovered that the  medical profession and neuroscientists  

  • were studying music. And I asked him why one day.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: He is the renowned  physician-geneticist best known for  

  • his landmark discoveries of disease genes  and leadership of the Human Genome Project.

  • DR. FRANCIS COLLINS, Former DirectorNational Institutes of Health: Today, we  

  • celebrate the revelation of the first  draft of the human book on life.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Francis Collins headed  the National Institutes of Health,  

  • the world's largest supporter of biomedical  research, for 12 years until 2021.

  • DR. FRANCIS COLLINS: I'm a doctor.  I want to find every possible way to  

  • help people who are suffering from illnesses  or other kinds of life experiences that are  

  • limiting their ability to flourish.  I want to make everybody flourish,  

  • and music is such a powerful  source of that kind of influence.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Together, they are leading  proponents of a marriage of arts and health,  

  • advocates for research, understanding, and  practice in the nexus of music and the brain.

  • We talked recently on the NIH  campus about their music and  

  • health initiative, now in its seventh year.

  • RENEE FLEMING: I believe the arts should be  embedded in health care across the boards.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Embedded meaning?

  • RENEE FLEMING: Meaning, we already have  it in many, many places. Many hospitals  

  • have discovered just how beneficial it is  to have creative arts therapists on staff.  

  • Children's hospitals should have a creative  arts studio, I think, available to parents  

  • and their children and families. So, I just  think it should be everywhere in health care.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: It's a growing movement, one  we have been reporting on around the country,  

  • including neuroscientists at Johns Hopkins  studying music's impact on dementia patients,  

  • a hospital at the University of Florida  incorporating arts into its care, individuals  

  • who've suffered traumatic brain injurieslike former Congresswoman Gabby Giffords,  

  • playing the French horn to help rewire her  brain and rebuild her ability to speak.

  • Our understanding of the brain's connections  and responses is still in early stages,  

  • Francis Collins says, with projects like  the NIH-funded BRAIN Initiative helping  

  • show how individual circuits connect and  respond. We do know some basics, however.

  • DR. FRANCIS COLLINS: I think  you can say the acoustic cortex,  

  • which is where your brain processes incoming  sound, and particularly musical sound,  

  • does have some pretty interesting circuitsIt's also plastic. It responds to training.

  • If you look at the brain of somebody who  had intense musical training before age 7,  

  • you can actually see that part of the cortex  is a little larger than in somebody who did  

  • not have that. So, our brains are responding  to the environment very clearly in that way.

  • And then you can say, OK, if you have a musical  experience that affects you, you can see how that  

  • signal that starts out in the acoustic cortex  spreads to many other parts of the brain.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Maybe you have had an MRIRenee Fleming got in and sang for two hours.

  • (SINGING)

  • RENEE FLEMING: When I show this video to people, I  always say, well, no Grammys for this performance.

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • JEFFREY BROWN: One interesting finding, that for  an experienced singer like Fleming, her brain  

  • circuits were more active while she thought about  or imagined singing than when she actually sang.

  • Did that surprise you?

  • RENEE FLEMING: It surprised me a great  deal. It's also -- I think what's even  

  • more surprising to me is that music actually is  in every known mapped part of the brain. So it's  

  • extraordinarily diverse and throughout the entire  brain, as we know, as we currently understand it.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: The research so far has a wide  range of implications for child development,  

  • Alzheimer's, and other forms  of dementia, Parkinson's,  

  • and other conditions and interventions.

  • Some research goes on in labs, some in the worldas in a study in which individuals were offered  

  • singing lessons. One group was given individual  training, the other as part of a chorus.

  • DR. FRANCIS COLLINS: For 12 weeks, and to  just see what happens as far as their health,  

  • the people that had individual singingthey did OK. The people in the choir,  

  • by all kinds of measures, were actually  affected in a very positive way.

  • Many of them had chronic pain. Their chronic pain  was noticeably reduced. They had various measures  

  • of personal attitudes. Their attitude toward  generosity went straight up, and their oxytocin  

  • levels went up too, as another sort of hormonal  measure of good will, good sense of health.

  • RENEE FLEMING: My favorite is, postpartum  depression is tremendously benefited by  

  • singing in a choir. I would never  have -- I wouldn't have guessed that.

  • NARRATOR: Having even one risk factor...

  • JEFFREY BROWN: In fact, you know those  advertisements for drugs we're all bombarded with?

  • NARRATOR: Ask your doctor or pharmacist  if Paxlovid is right for you.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Renee Fleming  has one she'd like to see.

  • RENEE FLEMING: Ask your doctor if  music therapy is right for you.

  • (LAUGHTER)

  • JEFFREY BROWN: As a kind of prescription.

  • RENEE FLEMING: Exactly. Exactly.

  • (CROSSTALK) DR. FRANCIS COLLINS: The prescription. Why not?

  • JEFFREY BROWN: Yes, but you have  to -- you're saying it still has  

  • to be shown exactly in a scientific method...

  • DR. FRANCIS COLLINS: Yes.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: ... for a doctor  to be willing to prescribe it.

  • DR. FRANCIS COLLINS: Sure. That's our  system, and I'm totally behind it. You  

  • need evidence that this actually isn't just  a nice thing; it actually improves outcomes.

  • I'm pretty convinced from the data we have  that's the case for various places, but  

  • let's tighten that up. Let's make it absolutely  incontrovertible. And then you will have a better  

  • chance with the insurance companies saying OKbecause that may save them money in the long run.

  • MAN: Let's listen to this melody  line as it floats all the way up.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: At this recent gathering and  others, Fleming and Collins are advancing new  

  • findings through a variety of collaborationsincluding NIH Music and Health with 20 NIH  

  • institutes, the Kennedy Center's Sound Health  partnership, and the Renee Fleming Foundation.

  • Everything you're talking about requires  a kind of buy-in from your communities,  

  • the arts world and the science  world. But is there still pushback?

  • DR. FRANCIS COLLINS: There's a bit, but  I think were getting some real momentum  

  • going. It doesn't hurt that scientists are  also musicians. At least, many of them are.

  • This workshop, we invited multiple leadership  at NIH to come and take part, and they all  

  • said pretty much yes, and they went away sayingthat was even more interesting than I thought.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: A young person now  goes to the music conservatory,  

  • you want them to study therapy, science, health?

  • RENEE FLEMING: Well, these would be divisions  within a conservatory or university.

  • But there's definite buy-in now. But  when I started, people were saying  

  • exactly what you're saying, is, well, we have  too much to do already with what were doing,  

  • in terms of presenting, and we're strapped, and  the funding is difficult, et cetera, et cetera.

  • But I think pretty much everyone is on board now,  

  • because we're community service providersSo, I think people who run performing arts  

  • organizations and conservatories are  starting to see the benefit of it.

  • JEFFREY BROWN: And these two don't just talk about  

  • bringing their disciplines together. They  have been known to give it literal form,  

  • as amateur musician Francis Collins  accompanies science-fascinated Renee Fleming.

  • For the "PBS NewsHour," I'm Jeffrey Brown  

  • at the National Institutes of  Health in Bethesda, Maryland.

  • (MUSIC)

  • (APPLAUSE)

  • AMNA NAWAZ: And Fleming has edited a collection  of essays from scientists, artists, and therapists  

  • called "Music and Mind: Harnessing the Arts for  Health and Wellness." That's due out this spring.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: Its the first U.S.-built  spacecraft to land on the moon in more  

  • than 50 years and the first ever  by a private company. The lander,  

  • known as Odysseus, was cause for  celebration a short time ago.

  • MAN: We are on the surface and we are  transmitting. And welcome to the moon.

  • MAN: Houston, Odysseus has found his new home.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: The mission is not  expected to last about seven days  

  • until the sun sets on the landing  site and a frigid lunar night begins.

  • Odysseus took off from Cape Canaveral  last week. While the Houston-based  

  • company Intuitive Machines created the spacecraft,  

  • this trip is key to NASA's goal of  returning to the moon with a manned mission.

  • Miles O'Brien joins us now.

  • So, Miles, I got to tell you the suspense in the  studio here has been palpable over this last hour.  

  • Help us understand why this successful landing  is so significant. What all went into this?

  • MILES O'BRIEN: Well, no matter what  the condition of the craft, Geoff,  

  • the fact that they have gotten this far with  the relatively small budget and tiny team  

  • that they have operating on this different  structure, where NASA is more of a customer,  

  • a client than it is in charge, all of that  speaks well to the direction they're headed.

  • How successful was this landingWell, I think we can say it's a  

  • success by virtue of the fact that it's  on the surface and maybe transmitting  

  • faint signals. Is it toppled over? Is  there damage to it? We don't know yet.

  • But I think, in the grand scheme  here, proving that this can be done,  

  • and done for essentially pennies on the dollar,  

  • is very important when you look at the larger  ambition that NASA has with the Artemis program.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: In preparing to speak with  you, I learned that all -- or, rather,  

  • over half of all lunar landing  attempts have ended in failure.

  • Why is this so challenging, especially  when we did this more than 50 years ago?

  • MILES O'BRIEN: Yes, I have been  thinking a lot about that, Geoff.

  • Of course, half, 50 percent of the time will  get you into the Major League Hall of Fame,  

  • but that's not very good for space travel. What  happened 55 years ago or so, Neil Armstrong,  

  • Apollo 11 lunar module, the guidance system  was headed straight for a big boulder.

  • And if he'd not intervened, that would  not have been a success. So trying to  

  • replicate the neural network that is the human  brain with 80 billion neurons and human eyes  

  • with computers that are going to a place we  don't know much about is a real challenge.

  • And, of course, the moon is tough anyway, because  there's no atmosphere. You can't use parachutes.  

  • You have to have a powered descent all the  way down. And they're going to the south pole,  

  • which is much more rugged than  any of the Apollo destinations.

  • So a lot of people say, well, if  we did that so easily back then,  

  • why can't we do it now? There's all  that and the fact that it cost us,  

  • inflation-adjusted, abouttrillion dollars to do it.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: Wow.

  • Well, this lander, as I understand it,  

  • has left behind six instruments on the  moon's surface. What exactly do they do?

  • MILES O'BRIEN: Well, they're going to be  trying to characterize the surface of the  

  • moon. There was a lot of technology  involved in just the landing itself.

  • There was a failure on the way down of one of  the laser guidance systems. The team was able  

  • to piggyback off of an experimental system  that NASA was flying. And there actually are  

  • some space sculptures on board as well. The idea  was to create this public-private partnership so  

  • that the company, Intuitive Machines, could  sell payloads like a cross-country trucker,  

  • NASA doing most of it, filling  up most of the truck as it were.

  • But other commercial players are thereincluding Embry-Riddle University,  

  • which had a tiny little CubeSat with  cameras on it designed to capture the  

  • landing itself. We will see if we see those  pictures. It would be great if we could.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: Well, tell us more about this  Houston-based company behind the spacecraft.

  • MILES O'BRIEN: It's a lot of former NASA  people, a lot of steely-eyed rocket scientists.

  • Steve Altemus is a legendary flight  director from NASA in the shuttle days  

  • and senior manager at NASA. There's some  experience here, but it's worth pointing  

  • out it's been two generations since anybody  actually lived through this in the United  

  • States and landed a craft on the moonAnd so the institutional memory is gone.

  • We're -- in a way, we're having  to relearn all of this with new  

  • technology and without humans in the loop  at the surface. So it's a different game  

  • right now with a different set  of experience that's required.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: And, Miles, in  the 30 seconds we have left,  

  • what is NASA hoping to glean with  another manned mission to the moon?

  • MILES O'BRIEN: Well, I think they  want to prove they can stay there.

  • Building an outpost in space, as much as anything,  

  • is to prove human beings can live in these  environments because the long-range goal for  

  • NASA remains putting human beings on MarsThe idea is, if you can do it at the moon,  

  • which is much closer, much faster radio  signals, you have got a better shot on Mars.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: That is Miles O'Brienour man on all things space and aviation.

  • Always a pleasure, Miles. Thanks.

  • MILES O'BRIEN: You're welcome, Geoff.

  • GEOFF BENNETT: And that is the "NewsHourfor tonight. I'm Geoff Bennett.

  • AMNA NAWAZ: And I'm Amna Nawaz.

  • On behalf of the entire "NewsHourteam, thank you for joining us.

GEOFF BENNETT: Good evening. I'm Geoff Bennett.

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PBS NewsHour full episode, Feb. 22, 2024

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