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- [Narrator] A group of seven big tech stocks
known as the magnificent seven, grew 75% in 2023,
leaving the rest of the S&P 500 in the dust.
But if we look at each individual stock in 2024,
the group has an outlier.
- Tesla has kind of stuck out like a sore thumb
in terms of the magnificent seven.
- [Narrator] This year, Tesla's share price is down
more than 25%.
- If Tesla's stock keeps falling, that might be bad news
for the S&P 500,
simply because it would drag the index down.
- [Narrator] Here's what Tesla's slide
says about this elite group of tech stocks
and why investors are concerned.
Apple, Microsoft, Amazon,
NVIDIA, Alphabet, Tesla, Meta.
♪ The magnificent seven ♪
- [Narrator] Unlike these gunslingers,
this magnificent seven is by some measures
worth more than all the stocks
from these four countries combined,
but that dominance has bred doubt.
- So one big risk, I think, on investors' minds
is that while these stocks have helped drive
the market higher toward repeated highs to start 2024,
there is concern that they could stage a big U-turn,
- [Narrator] And it wouldn't be the first time.
In 2022, they collectively lost $4.7 trillion in value
amid worries that rising interest rates
could cause a recession dragging down the rest of the index.
- People were thinking, has the dot com bubble just burst?
You know, are these stocks done for good?
- [Narrator] But in May, 2023,
that changed when NVIDIA announced record profits
for an unexpected reason.
- [Colette] Generative AI drove significant upside in demand
for our products, creating opportunities
and broad-based global growth across our markets.
- Many investors looking at its earnings,
hearing its earnings calls,
like, their mouths were to the floor.
They just had this incredibly blockbuster earnings report
that shocked investors
and made investors think, we have to bet big on AI.
And that sent NVIDIA shares soaring
and a lot of these other stocks soaring as well.
- [Narrator] Around the same time, strong economic data
and easing inflation gave tech stocks another boost.
That led to the magnificent seven's 75% rally.
But for Tesla, which was gearing up
for the Cybertruck launch,
there was a rough road ahead.
- You have elon musk saying-
- [Elon] You know, I just want to temper expectations
for Cybertruck.
- And that hit its stock pretty hard.
- [Narrator] Musk later revealed that Tesla fell behind
Chinese EV maker BYD in quarterly sales
for the first time.
All of this helped lead to that drop in its share value.
- In terms of concerns about, you know, bubbles
or stock being in a bubble,
Tesla is the one that people (chuckling)
worry about the most.
- [Narrator] A bubble is when shares of a stock
are pumped higher than they're worth,
often driven by investor excitement.
- Tesla has always been valued like a technology company,
so that gives it a higher valuation
because investors tend to value tech companies
higher than they do say car companies.
So some of the really bearish investors on Tesla say,
"Hey, this is just a car company.
This is not a tech company
and it doesn't deserve this kind of rich valuation premium."
- [Narrator] But there may be bubbles
within the technology sphere too.
- I've heard investors say that they think
AI in the stock market and the impact of AI
and all these AI beneficiaries are a huge bubble.
The issue is that we're still in early innings
of the AI game in the stock market,
and it's gonna be years before we find out, you know,
what are the implications of AI?
How are people and companies actually using this technology?
So that seems pretty far out in the future right now.
- [Narrator] While some investors are uncertain
about the magnificent seven's future,
others are doubling down on their positions.
- Some individual investors
and even institutional investors I've been speaking with
are kind of afraid to bet against these stocks
because they've been so dominant in the market.
- [Narrator] Some investors say that Tesla
doesn't deserve to be part of that group, but-
- The thing is, people have been saying that Tesla
is in a bubble for like five years now.
Of course, for the most part
it's held up the past few years.
So time will tell if it ends up kind of collapsing
and being the bubble that a lot of investors say it is.