字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 If we open a map, like the one you are seeing on the screen, and we zoom in on Taiwan, what we will see is a small island off the coast of China. An island, which does not particularly stand out for anything. At first glance, its territory is quite small; its population, with about 20 million inhabitants, does not exactly make it a giant, also its geographical location does not seem particularly relevant. At the end of the day, Taiwan does not stand out any more than other Asian islands such as those that make up the Philippines or Indonesia. However, in spite of everything, the truth is that today, Taiwan is one of the most crucial, strategic and potentially dangerous territories in the world. We are talking about an island that, according to many, could trigger a new global war. (China and the US: On collision course for war over Taiwan. – DW) (Pelosi's [Former speaker of the United States House of Representatives] Taiwan visit risks creating greater instability between the US and China. – CNN) But why on earth is the island of Formosa so important to major powers like China or the US? What is it about this small territory that the mention of a world war even comes up? Well, the answer lies in semiconductors. Semiconductors are the electronic components needed to manufacture computers, airplanes, household appliances, cars and, in short, any technology we can imagine. While in the 20th century hundreds of battles were fought to control the supply of oil, today those battles, or at least the political battles, are fought to control the semiconductor sector. And, do you know what? It turns out that Taiwan is the most advanced place in the world in the manufacture of these components. For example: Do companies like AMD or Nvidia ring a bell? These are companies dedicated to the sale of processors and graphics cards. Without a doubt, they are true titans in their sectors, and yes, they are US companies. But... how would you feel if I told you that AMD and Nvidia products are not manufactured by them, but by a Taiwanese company called TSMC? What's more: You've all heard of Apple, right? Recently, Apple has released cell phones and computers with the most powerful, fastest and most efficient processors on the market. And once again, like AMD or Nvidia, Apple does not manufacture its own processors, but rather they are manufactured by Taiwanese company TSMC. So it's a pretty big deal, right? Well, let's go then to the most famous chip producer in the world: the American giant Intel. We have all used a computer or cell phone with an Intel processor at some point. In fact, before the Taiwanese TSMC manufactured Apple's processors, Intel was the one who occupied that place. Well, the thing is that in this case, Intel does manufacture its own processors, but it does not manufacture all of them. It turns out that the graphics processors of the American Intel are also manufactured by TSMC in Taiwan. Now, do you realize what all this means? If China decided to invade Taiwan tomorrow, and expropriate companies like TSMC, China could essentially cut off much of the world's supply of advanced semiconductors overnight. In other words, by invading Taiwan, China could put virtually the entire global technology industry on the ropes, thus gaining enormous political power. In fact, it wouldn't even have to invade the island. It would be enough to block its trade with the rest of the world. In any case, the most serious problem of all is that a cut in Taiwan's supply would not only affect the computers and iPhones of its citizens, but would also have a terrible impact on the military and war capabilities of the West. A lot of military weaponry, from ships, tanks and fighter jets to missiles and drones, require advanced semiconductors that are only produced on this island, in Taiwan. And that's something that explains news stories like this: (Pentagon ups pressure on Taiwan's TSMC to produce chips in the U.S. U.S. fears interference from company's Chinese customers. – Taiwan News) In short, Taiwan is not only the undisputed leader in the semiconductor sector, but also the entire West is terribly dependent on it. Now, given all this, there is something very surprising that we should pay attention to: How did a remote Asian island become the world's most advanced semiconductor powerhouse? How on earth is it possible that not even the USA or Japan, the cradles of world technology, have been able to match Taiwan in the production of these components? What recipe for success has the island of Formosa followed to be so many steps ahead of the rest of the world? Well today, on VisualEconomik, we tell you what's behind it all. So... Let's get started! Let's see. Although today Taiwan is indispensable in the most technologically advanced sectors of the modern economy, in reality, this was not always the case. In fact, until just a few decades ago, Taiwan was a really poor island, a place that had been ravaged by numerous wars, and had to be helped economically by Western countries such as the US in the 1950s. At that time, and somewhat like mainland China, Taiwan was a territory with very little industry. Its main activity was agriculture, a sector that did not allow it to advance economically. So if Taiwan wanted to leave poverty behind, it had to change its productive model and start betting on industry. And as we say around here, no sooner said than done. Starting in the 1960s, and thanks to international aid, Taiwan began to develop its industry little by little. In the beginning, Taiwanese factories were engaged in making products that were highly dependent on cheap labor such as the production of clothing, toys or accessories. But over time, the Taiwanese government wanted to go a little further, it wanted to promote a more advanced industry, and for this purpose it supported the arrival of companies such as the well-known Philips for instance. We are talking about companies that, in many cases, were dedicated precisely to the production of semiconductors. Of course, the first semiconductor factories in Taiwan were quite rudimentary. Basically, they were assembly factories: they did not do any design or fabrication, but simply assembled parts. [A bit like being someone who has Lego pieces and builds a figure with them. That's it.] The point is that this was the seed of the semiconductor industry in the country. However, as you can imagine, something had to happen for those small assembly factories to become the huge technology behemoths they are today. Something must have switched for that impoverished little island to emerge as the kingdom of semiconductors. The question is, what was that something? Well, pay close attention. (SEMICONDUCTORS AND TAIWAN: AN IMPOSSIBLE STORY) By the 1970s, which is when Taiwan began to have those first assembly factories, the island's government realized one thing. It realized, and quite rightly so, that the semiconductor sector could be a great bet for the future, and therefore wanted to boost it even more. Of course, it wasn't as easy as pushing a button and suddenly getting the industry off the ground. Historically, developing the semiconductor industry has proved to be very complicated. The question is, why is developing this sector particularly complicated? Here we could point out three main difficulties. The first is that the investment required for semiconductors is very, very high. For a company to be competitive, it needs to acquire the most advanced machinery, it needs to face very slow development and production times, even several years, and it also has to invest a lot of money in R&D with no clear results. To make matters worse, in many cases, these companies also have to pay for licensing millions of dollars of external patents. In other words, it takes a lot, and we're talking truckloads, of money. However, beyond the investment, the second difficulty is that companies must hire highly qualified personnel, personnel with very good training. Scientists and engineers are often not easy to find or are simply not available. And finally, the last major difficulty in this business is risk. Semiconductor lifetimes are very short. If a processor or graphics card goes on sale, it is typical that after a couple of years, a new version comes out that is much more powerful than the previous one, making it obsolete. In other words, if a company spends a lot of money and time manufacturing a product, and then something goes wrong, it will not have time to fix it before the product becomes completely obsolete. This makes the semiconductor industry particularly risky. Well, knowing this, and going back to the Taiwan case, I guess you can see why it was not going to be easy for the government to drive the semiconductor industry. In the 1970s Taiwan was still a rather poor country. Its financial muscle was frankly weak, and getting local companies to invest all the money required to develop this expensive, unknown, and risky sector seemed doomed to fail. At the same time, Taiwan also had no skilled workers, nor did it have large scientific or technological entities. In fact, until 1968, basic education was not compulsory on the island. So, to invest in a sector that required so much knowledge, when people could not even read, well, what can I say... It did not seem the most straightforward of ideas. Nevertheless, they did it. The island managed to get this complicated industry off the ground despite all the difficulties. The real question here is: How did it do it? What policy measures were taken to achieve this goal? Well, the answer can be summed up in three factors: copying, investing, and educating. But let's look at them in order. (DON'T KNOW HOW? IMITATE THE OTHERS) If there is one thing we can take away from this whole story, it is that it was unrealistic for Taiwan to be able to develop all the research needed to compete with the advanced technology of countries like the US or Japan on its own. What it could do, however, was to copy those technologies. And in fact, it did so on many occasions. But do you want a concrete example? Then take a look. In the early 1990s, companies from developed countries, such as Philips and Sony, had great success with the sale of CDs and DVDs. In those years, these products were true commercial revolutions, the problem was that Taiwan neither manufactured them nor knew how to manufacture them. However, that was not a problem for the Taiwanese company UMC. In only six months, this company copied the technology of CDs and DVDs, and after a short time it ended up being the largest producer in the world. UMC ended up manufacturing up to five million discs per month, more than the original creators, Philips and Sony. Now: Don't think that when we talk about copying, we are talking about Taiwan skirting intellectual property laws. In reality, Taiwan's technology copying was all legal, and part of a government strategy. More specifically, Taiwan's technology copying strategy was carried out by ITRI, the Taiwanese Industrial Technology Research Institute, which was created by the government in 1973, and was aimed at expanding the country's technology industry. The question is: What exactly did this technological copying strategy consist of? Well, you see, on the one hand, using government money, ITRI bought patent licenses from foreign companies. Thanks to these patents, Taiwanese companies were able to copy the technologies in a completely legal way. Take, for example, the following case: (In 1975, ITRI signed an agreement with RCA to license complementary metal oxide semiconductor (CMOS) and negatively-doped metal oxide semiconductor (NMOS) process technologies. – Tung, A. C. (2001). Taiwan's Semiconductor Industry: What the State Did and Did Not) Meanwhile, apart from the patents, ITRI also managed to adopt the technology of foreign companies by collaborating with them. For example, through ITRI, companies such as Intel or Motorola negotiated with Taiwanese companies to outsource part of their production to them. This is something that allowed them to save costs, as Taiwanese labor was very cheap. But in return, Taiwanese companies were able to access the most advanced technology, and learn a great deal from these companies – Intel and Motorola – without having to spend huge amounts of money on research. However, apart from buying patents or reaching agreements with foreign multinationals, another thing ITRI did was to help local companies develop their own scientific research. For example, in the early years of the industry in Taiwan, companies had to test their products manually. This was a very time-consuming and expensive process, which damaged their competitiveness. So what was the solution? The solution was that this institute financed and developed expensive computerized testing tools. That is, computer-based tests instead of manual ones. Faster tests, which considerably increased the productivity of companies. Well, in that capacity alone, ITRI was something like the shared research center for Taiwan's technology companies. A center that supported and reduced costs for companies, it was in fact the main source of in-house research in Taiwan until the mid-1990s. In short, we could say that the Taiwanese Industrial Technology Research Institute was responsible for bringing foreign technology into the country and, to a certain extent, also for creating its own technology. Be that as it may, Taiwan's recipe for success did not stop there. If Taiwan wanted to become a superpower, it needed to do more than just copy foreign technology. It needed to create its own companies capable of adapting, improving and exploiting that technology. And VisualEconomik viewers, it was right here, where the second phase of the country's enormous technological development came into play. Listen up! (THE NEW FORMOSA CLUSTER) As we said earlier, the semiconductor sector is very expensive and involves taking on a lot of risk. So why is that a problem? The problem is that this enormous risk means that many investors, who could invest in the business, simply do not do so. Of course, the Taiwanese government was fully aware of this problem, and to solve it, it implemented two measures that worked perfectly: The first of these consisted in the creation of science parks where technology companies could establish themselves with practically no taxes, without facing harsh regulations, and where they could take advantage of infrastructure adapted to their activity. To give you an idea, during the 90's, which was the greatest period of expansion of the industry, companies in this sector barely paid 1.5% tax on their profits, while in other countries they typically paid around 20%. The second measure consisted of providing public capital to companies that wanted to start a new business. Basically, the government invested money out of its own pocket in order to become a co-owner of the new private companies, thus bearing much of the cost of the investment, and reducing some of the investors' risk. But, let me give you a concrete example, do you remember TSMC, the company that manufactures processors for Apple and AMD? This company was established in 1987, and 48% of the investment was made by the Taiwanese government through ITRI. In this way, and together with the technological copying strategy explained above, Taiwan was able to solve two of its major problems: lack of investment and lack of advanced technology. However, there was still one last major drawback to be solved: the labor issue. Despite having access to modern technology and powerful new companies, Taiwan still lacked skilled workers. Well, to fix this, the government promoted very close partnerships between the Taiwanese business community and universities. Companies began to collaborate with universities by sending equipment, materials, and tools so that students could have advanced learning focused on the needs of the industry. At the same time, students could do internships in these companies, and when they finished their studies, they could stay with them, securing a job. This close collaboration between companies and universities, along with the government's promotion of education, almost doubled the percentage of people with higher education in the country in just 18 years. What's more, many of these people were trained in fields such as mathematics or engineering. And take note, because it didn't end there. Another measure taken by the government to ensure a skilled labor force was to develop support programs for workers who wanted to move to work in other countries and then return. In this way, some Taiwanese went to work in the best companies abroad, and when they returned home, they came back with a lot of valuable knowledge that allowed them to boost local industry. Not only that, but many of those who returned set up their own companies, or later had important contacts with whom they developed large businesses. In short, thanks to all this, Taiwan went from being a simple assembler in the 1970s to starting to create real semiconductors. At first it did this with digital clocks, circuits for toys and very basic technologies, and later it progressed to producing the most advanced technologies – from the first semiconductors to the most advanced ones – However, something else was still missing. Taiwan not only managed to create a strong industry, it managed to create the best semiconductor industry in the world. And to be the best, it's not enough just to copy others, you have to go one step further, create unique products, and blow away the competition. The question is: How did Taiwan manage to do that? What was the differentiating factor that triggered its success? Well, let's take a look. (THE MUSHROOM MODEL) You see, back in the 1980s and early 1990s, which is when Taiwan had already managed to establish its industry, the global technology market was dominated by companies known as Integrated Device Manufacturers or IDMs. IDM companies were companies like Intel and Samsung, and were characterized by producing semiconductors from start to finish. In other words, the IDMs designed the products, manufactured them, and marketed them. Basically, they had an integrated production process from start to finish. Over time, and with the advancing worldwide demand for electronic devices, these companies encountered several problems. And, you see, being companies that produced everything, they had difficulties adapting their ways of working to different designs and new market trends. Let's just say that, due to their production structure they were very rigid. This is something that, in part, was solved by the creation of companies dedicated exclusively to semiconductor design. These companies would pass their designs to the IDMs, and the IDMs would manufacture them. However, this way of operating was quite problematic: if you think about it, the design firms were rivals of the IDMs. If the IDM copied a design from these companies and acted in bad faith, it could cause a lot of trouble. Well, it was right here that Taiwan's real revolution in the semiconductor industry began. And it all happened thanks to the intervention of this man: Morris Chang. Morris Chang is a former president of ITRI and had experience working in US semiconductor companies such as General Instrument and Texas Instruments. You know, one of those workers who went to work abroad and came back with a lot of knowledge and a desire to undertake his own projects. Well, Morris Chang was none other than the founder of the incomparable TSMC. And TSMC was a huge revolution for one essential reason: it was the first company dedicated exclusively to semiconductor manufacturing. Unlike IDMs such as Intel, TSMC neither designed nor marketed nor was it in charge of production processes beyond pure manufacturing. And VisualEconomik viewers, this gave it an absolute advantage over other companies for two main reasons: The first is that by focusing on semiconductor manufacturing alone, and not on other things, TSMC was able to create more efficient processes and greatly reduced costs. [You know, don't bite off more than you can chew]. And at the same time, the second advantage of TSMC's specialization was that it was able to work with design companies in a more flexible, secure, and profitable way. TSMC's production was not exclusively adapted to a specific semiconductor type, but instead was adaptable to different designs provided by external companies. Proof of this is that today TSMC produces for a multitude of companies such as Intel, AMD, Apple and Nvidia, and is able to make money with all of them. And keep in mind that TSMC was exclusively dedicated to manufacturing, this no longer meant direct competition for design companies. If a designer sent its product to TSMC, there wouldn't be the risk of TSMC copying it or acting in bad faith. Conclusion? Design companies started to go to TSMC as their preferred choice, and then TSMC skyrocketed in the market. To give you an idea, during the 1990s, TSMC's profits grew by up to 50% each year. And by the early 2000s, in just over a decade, this company had established itself as the absolute market leader. Now, although the TSMC case may appear to be an isolated example, the truth is that this way of producing went much further, and benefited the entire Taiwanese industry as a whole. Why? Well, remember Taiwan's technology parks? In those parks, and partly thanks to the mediation of ITRI, the rest of the companies followed a specialization process very similar to the one followed by TSMC. Take a look at this image for example. What you are looking at is a representation made in 2014 of how the semiconductor industry was divided in Taiwan. Each box represents a separate production process, and the number in the circles represents the number of companies dedicated exclusively to each of those processes. Basically, what you just saw means that since the arrival of TSMC, Taiwan experienced industrial growth following a kind of mushroom pattern. Many specialized companies emerged, and because they were so specialized, they all had the same competitive advantages as TSMC. Thanks to this, the Taiwanese industry managed to increase its production speed, to make its production more flexible to adapt to new product varieties, new trends, and new technologies; but all this happened in an environment of low taxes, expansive international openness, and where labor costs were still relatively cheap. The result? The result was that Taiwan's industry left its competitors in the dust. Its formula was specialization, rapid and flexible investment, and the synergies of technology parks, along with its close ties to universities and international markets. By the year 2000, and barely a decade after the arrival of TSMC, Taiwan had dramatically multiplied the revenues generated by this sector. And its two main companies, TSMC and UMC, established themselves as major global players in patenting. Be that as it may, and at this point, it is now your turn: What did you think of Taiwan's semiconductor success story? Do you think it is a strategy that could be replicated in other countries? What does the geopolitical future hold for the island of Formosa? You can leave me your answer in the comments and as always, don't forget that here, on VisualEconomik, we release new videos every week, so subscribe to this channel and hit the little bell so as not to miss any of our updates. If you liked this video, LIKE it and see you in the next one. All the best and see you next time.
B1 中級 美國腔 台灣如何成為科技強國(How Taiwan Became a Tech Powerhouse) 255 7 何佳玲 發佈於 2023 年 08 月 26 日 更多分享 分享 收藏 回報 影片單字