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  • If we open a map, like the one you are seeing on the screen, and we zoom in on Taiwan, what

  • we will see is a small island off the coast of China. An island, which does not particularly

  • stand out for anything.

  • At first glance, its territory is quite small; its population, with about 20 million inhabitants,

  • does not exactly make it a giant, also its geographical location does not seem particularly

  • relevant.

  • At the end of the day, Taiwan does not stand out any more than other Asian islands such

  • as those that make up the Philippines or Indonesia.

  • However, in spite of everything, the truth is that today, Taiwan is one of the most crucial,

  • strategic and potentially dangerous territories in the world.

  • We are talking about an island that, according to many, could trigger a new global war.

  • (China and the US: On collision course for war over Taiwan. – DW)

  • (Pelosi's [Former speaker of the United States House of Representatives] Taiwan visit risks

  • creating greater instability between the US and China. – CNN)

  • But why on earth is the island of Formosa so important to major powers like China or

  • the US? What is it about this small territory that the mention of a world war even comes

  • up?

  • Well, the answer lies in semiconductors.

  • Semiconductors are the electronic components needed to manufacture computers, airplanes,

  • household appliances, cars and, in short, any technology we can imagine.

  • While in the 20th century hundreds of battles were fought to control the supply of oil,

  • today those battles, or at least the political battles, are fought to control the semiconductor

  • sector.

  • And, do you know what?

  • It turns out that Taiwan is the most advanced place in the world in the manufacture of these

  • components.

  • For example:

  • Do companies like AMD or Nvidia ring a bell?

  • These are companies dedicated to the sale of processors and graphics cards. Without

  • a doubt, they are true titans in their sectors, and yes, they are US companies.

  • But... how would you feel if I told you that AMD and Nvidia products are not manufactured

  • by them, but by a Taiwanese company called TSMC?

  • What's more: You've all heard of Apple, right?

  • Recently, Apple has released cell phones and computers with the most powerful, fastest

  • and most efficient processors on the market.

  • And once again, like AMD or Nvidia, Apple does not manufacture its own processors, but

  • rather they are manufactured by Taiwanese company TSMC.

  • So it's a pretty big deal, right?

  • Well, let's go then to the most famous chip producer in the world: the American giant

  • Intel.

  • We have all used a computer or cell phone with an Intel processor at some point. In

  • fact, before the Taiwanese TSMC manufactured Apple's processors, Intel was the one who

  • occupied that place.

  • Well, the thing is that in this case, Intel does manufacture its own processors, but it

  • does not manufacture all of them. It turns out that the graphics processors of the American

  • Intel are also manufactured by TSMC in Taiwan.

  • Now, do you realize what all this means?

  • If China decided to invade Taiwan tomorrow, and expropriate companies like TSMC, China

  • could essentially cut off much of the world's supply of advanced semiconductors overnight.

  • In other words, by invading Taiwan, China could put virtually the entire global technology

  • industry on the ropes, thus gaining enormous political power. In fact, it wouldn't even

  • have to invade the island. It would be enough to block its trade with the rest of the world.

  • In any case, the most serious problem of all is that a cut in Taiwan's supply would not

  • only affect the computers and iPhones of its citizens, but would also have a terrible impact

  • on the military and war capabilities of the West.

  • A lot of military weaponry, from ships, tanks and fighter jets to missiles and drones, require

  • advanced semiconductors that are only produced on this island, in Taiwan. And that's something

  • that explains news stories like this:

  • (Pentagon ups pressure on Taiwan's TSMC to produce chips in the U.S. U.S. fears interference

  • from company's Chinese customers. – Taiwan News)

  • In short, Taiwan is not only the undisputed leader in the semiconductor sector, but also

  • the entire West is terribly dependent on it.

  • Now, given all this, there is something very surprising that we should pay attention to:

  • How did a remote Asian island become the world's most advanced semiconductor powerhouse?

  • How on earth is it possible that not even the USA or Japan, the cradles of world technology,

  • have been able to match Taiwan in the production of these components?

  • What recipe for success has the island of Formosa followed to be so many steps ahead

  • of the rest of the world?

  • Well today, on VisualEconomik, we tell you what's behind it all. So... Let's get started!

  • Let's see. Although today Taiwan is indispensable in the most technologically advanced sectors

  • of the modern economy, in reality, this was not always the case.

  • In fact, until just a few decades ago, Taiwan was a really poor island, a place that had

  • been ravaged by numerous wars, and had to be helped economically by Western countries

  • such as the US in the 1950s.

  • At that time, and somewhat like mainland China, Taiwan was a territory with very little industry.

  • Its main activity was agriculture, a sector that did not allow it to advance economically.

  • So if Taiwan wanted to leave poverty behind, it had to change its productive model and

  • start betting on industry.

  • And as we say around here, no sooner said than done.

  • Starting in the 1960s, and thanks to international aid, Taiwan began to develop its industry

  • little by little.

  • In the beginning, Taiwanese factories were engaged in making products that were highly

  • dependent on cheap labor such as the production of clothing, toys or accessories.

  • But over time, the Taiwanese government wanted to go a little further, it wanted to promote

  • a more advanced industry, and for this purpose it supported the arrival of companies such

  • as the well-known Philips for instance. We are talking about companies that, in many

  • cases, were dedicated precisely to the production of semiconductors.

  • Of course, the first semiconductor factories in Taiwan were quite rudimentary. Basically,

  • they were assembly factories: they did not do any design or fabrication, but simply assembled

  • parts.

  • [A bit like being someone who has Lego pieces and builds a figure with them. That's it.]

  • The point is that this was the seed of the semiconductor industry in the country. However,

  • as you can imagine, something had to happen for those small assembly factories to become

  • the huge technology behemoths they are today.

  • Something must have switched for that impoverished little island to emerge as the kingdom of

  • semiconductors.

  • The question is, what was that something?

  • Well, pay close attention.

  • (SEMICONDUCTORS AND TAIWAN: AN IMPOSSIBLE STORY)

  • By the 1970s, which is when Taiwan began to have those first assembly factories, the island's

  • government realized one thing.

  • It realized, and quite rightly so, that the semiconductor sector could be a great bet

  • for the future, and therefore wanted to boost it even more.

  • Of course, it wasn't as easy as pushing a button and suddenly getting the industry off

  • the ground.

  • Historically, developing the semiconductor industry has proved to be very complicated.

  • The question is, why is developing this sector particularly complicated?

  • Here we could point out three main difficulties.

  • The first is that the investment required for semiconductors is very, very high.

  • For a company to be competitive, it needs to acquire the most advanced machinery, it

  • needs to face very slow development and production times, even several years, and it also has

  • to invest a lot of money in R&D with no clear results. To make matters worse, in many cases,

  • these companies also have to pay for licensing millions of dollars of external patents. In

  • other words, it takes a lot, and we're talking truckloads, of money.

  • However, beyond the investment, the second difficulty is that companies must hire highly

  • qualified personnel, personnel with very good training. Scientists and engineers are often

  • not easy to find or are simply not available.

  • And finally, the last major difficulty in this business is risk.

  • Semiconductor lifetimes are very short. If a processor or graphics card goes on sale,

  • it is typical that after a couple of years, a new version comes out that is much more

  • powerful than the previous one, making it obsolete.

  • In other words, if a company spends a lot of money and time manufacturing a product,

  • and then something goes wrong, it will not have time to fix it before the product becomes

  • completely obsolete. This makes the semiconductor industry particularly risky.

  • Well, knowing this, and going back to the Taiwan case, I guess you can see why it was

  • not going to be easy for the government to drive the semiconductor industry.

  • In the 1970s Taiwan was still a rather poor country. Its financial muscle was frankly

  • weak, and getting local companies to invest all the money required to develop this expensive,

  • unknown, and risky sector seemed doomed to fail.

  • At the same time, Taiwan also had no skilled workers, nor did it have large scientific

  • or technological entities.

  • In fact, until 1968, basic education was not compulsory on the island. So, to invest in

  • a sector that required so much knowledge, when people could not even read, well, what

  • can I say... It did not seem the most straightforward of ideas.

  • Nevertheless, they did it. The island managed to get this complicated industry off the ground

  • despite all the difficulties. The real question here is: How did it do it? What policy measures

  • were taken to achieve this goal?

  • Well, the answer can be summed up in three factors: copying, investing, and educating.

  • But let's look at them in order.

  • (DON'T KNOW HOW? IMITATE THE OTHERS)

  • If there is one thing we can take away from this whole story, it is that it was unrealistic

  • for Taiwan to be able to develop all the research needed to compete with the advanced technology

  • of countries like the US or Japan on its own.

  • What it could do, however, was to copy those technologies. And in fact, it did so on many

  • occasions.

  • But do you want a concrete example? Then take a look.

  • In the early 1990s, companies from developed countries, such as Philips and Sony, had great

  • success with the sale of CDs and DVDs.

  • In those years, these products were true commercial revolutions, the problem was that Taiwan neither

  • manufactured them nor knew how to manufacture them.

  • However, that was not a problem for the Taiwanese company UMC.

  • In only six months, this company copied the technology of CDs and DVDs, and after a short

  • time it ended up being the largest producer in the world. UMC ended up manufacturing up

  • to five million discs per month, more than the original creators, Philips and Sony.

  • Now: Don't think that when we talk about copying, we are talking about Taiwan skirting intellectual

  • property laws. In reality, Taiwan's technology copying was all legal, and part of a government

  • strategy.

  • More specifically, Taiwan's technology copying strategy was carried out by ITRI, the Taiwanese

  • Industrial Technology Research Institute, which was created by the government in 1973,

  • and was aimed at expanding the country's technology industry.

  • The question is: What exactly did this technological copying strategy consist of?

  • Well, you see, on the one hand, using government money, ITRI bought patent licenses from foreign

  • companies. Thanks to these patents, Taiwanese companies were able to copy the technologies

  • in a completely legal way. Take, for example, the following case:

  • (In 1975, ITRI signed an agreement with RCA to license complementary metal oxide semiconductor

  • (CMOS) and negatively-doped metal oxide semiconductor (NMOS) process technologies. – Tung, A.

  • C. (2001). Taiwan's Semiconductor Industry: What the State Did and Did Not)

  • Meanwhile, apart from the patents, ITRI also managed to adopt the technology of foreign

  • companies by collaborating with them.

  • For example, through ITRI, companies such as Intel or Motorola negotiated with Taiwanese

  • companies to outsource part of their production to them.

  • This is something that allowed them to save costs, as Taiwanese labor was very cheap.

  • But in return, Taiwanese companies were able to access the most advanced technology, and

  • learn a great deal from these companiesIntel and Motorolawithout having to spend huge

  • amounts of money on research.

  • However, apart from buying patents or reaching agreements with foreign multinationals, another

  • thing ITRI did was to help local companies develop their own scientific research.

  • For example, in the early years of the industry in Taiwan, companies had to test their products

  • manually. This was a very time-consuming and expensive process, which damaged their competitiveness.

  • So what was the solution? The solution was that this institute financed

  • and developed expensive computerized testing tools. That is, computer-based tests instead

  • of manual ones. Faster tests, which considerably increased the productivity of companies.

  • Well, in that capacity alone, ITRI was something like the shared research center for Taiwan's

  • technology companies.

  • A center that supported and reduced costs for companies, it was in fact the main source

  • of in-house research in Taiwan until the mid-1990s. In short, we could say that the Taiwanese

  • Industrial Technology Research Institute was responsible for bringing foreign technology

  • into the country and, to a certain extent, also for creating its own technology.

  • Be that as it may, Taiwan's recipe for success did not stop there. If Taiwan wanted to become

  • a superpower, it needed to do more than just copy foreign technology. It needed to create

  • its own companies capable of adapting, improving and exploiting that technology.

  • And VisualEconomik viewers, it was right here, where the second phase of the country's enormous

  • technological development came into play. Listen up!

  • (THE NEW FORMOSA CLUSTER)

  • As we said earlier, the semiconductor sector is very expensive and involves taking on a

  • lot of risk.

  • So why is that a problem?

  • The problem is that this enormous risk means that many investors, who could invest in the

  • business, simply do not do so.

  • Of course, the Taiwanese government was fully aware of this problem, and to solve it, it

  • implemented two measures that worked perfectly:

  • The first of these consisted in the creation of science parks where technology companies

  • could establish themselves with practically no taxes, without facing harsh regulations,

  • and where they could take advantage of infrastructure adapted to their activity.

  • To give you an idea, during the 90's, which was the greatest period of expansion of the

  • industry, companies in this sector barely paid 1.5% tax on their profits, while in other

  • countries they typically paid around 20%.

  • The second measure consisted of providing public capital to companies that wanted to

  • start a new business.

  • Basically, the government invested money out of its own pocket in order to become a co-owner

  • of the new private companies, thus bearing much of the cost of the investment, and reducing

  • some of the investors' risk.

  • But, let me give you a concrete example, do you remember TSMC, the company that manufactures

  • processors for Apple and AMD?

  • This company was established in 1987, and 48% of the investment was made by the Taiwanese

  • government through ITRI.

  • In this way, and together with the technological copying strategy explained above, Taiwan was

  • able to solve two of its major problems: lack of investment and lack of advanced technology.

  • However, there was still one last major drawback to be solved: the labor issue.

  • Despite having access to modern technology and powerful new companies, Taiwan still lacked

  • skilled workers.

  • Well, to fix this, the government promoted very close partnerships between the Taiwanese

  • business community and universities.

  • Companies began to collaborate with universities by sending equipment, materials, and tools

  • so that students could have advanced learning focused on the needs of the industry.

  • At the same time, students could do internships in these companies, and when they finished

  • their studies, they could stay with them, securing a job.

  • This close collaboration between companies and universities, along with the government's

  • promotion of education, almost doubled the percentage of people with higher education

  • in the country in just 18 years. What's more, many of these people were trained in

  • fields such as mathematics or engineering.

  • And take note, because it didn't end there.

  • Another measure taken by the government to ensure a skilled labor force was to develop

  • support programs for workers who wanted to move to work in other countries and then return.

  • In this way, some Taiwanese went to work in the best companies abroad, and when they returned

  • home, they came back with a lot of valuable knowledge that allowed them to boost local

  • industry. Not only that, but many of those who returned set up their own companies, or

  • later had important contacts with whom they developed large businesses.

  • In short, thanks to all this, Taiwan went from being a simple assembler in the 1970s

  • to starting to create real semiconductors. At first it did this with digital clocks,

  • circuits for toys and very basic technologies, and later it progressed to producing the most

  • advanced technologiesfrom the first semiconductors to the most advanced ones

  • However, something else was still missing. Taiwan not only managed to create a strong

  • industry, it managed to create the best semiconductor industry in the world.

  • And to be the best, it's not enough just to copy others, you have to go one step further,

  • create unique products, and blow away the competition.

  • The question is: How did Taiwan manage to do that? What was the differentiating factor

  • that triggered its success?

  • Well, let's take a look.

  • (THE MUSHROOM MODEL)

  • You see, back in the 1980s and early 1990s, which is when Taiwan had already managed to

  • establish its industry, the global technology market was dominated by companies known as

  • Integrated Device Manufacturers or IDMs.

  • IDM companies were companies like Intel and Samsung, and were characterized by producing

  • semiconductors from start to finish.

  • In other words, the IDMs designed the products, manufactured them, and marketed them. Basically,

  • they had an integrated production process from start to finish.

  • Over time, and with the advancing worldwide demand for electronic devices, these companies

  • encountered several problems.

  • And, you see, being companies that produced everything, they had difficulties adapting

  • their ways of working to different designs and new market trends. Let's just say that,

  • due to their production structure they were very rigid.

  • This is something that, in part, was solved by the creation of companies dedicated exclusively

  • to semiconductor design. These companies would pass their designs to the IDMs, and the IDMs

  • would manufacture them.

  • However, this way of operating was quite problematic: if you think about it, the design firms were

  • rivals of the IDMs. If the IDM copied a design from these companies and acted in bad faith,

  • it could cause a lot of trouble.

  • Well, it was right here that Taiwan's real revolution in the semiconductor industry began.

  • And it all happened thanks to the intervention of this man: Morris Chang.

  • Morris Chang is a former president of ITRI and had experience working in US semiconductor

  • companies such as General Instrument and Texas Instruments.

  • You know, one of those workers who went to work abroad and came back with a lot of knowledge

  • and a desire to undertake his own projects.

  • Well, Morris Chang was none other than the founder of the incomparable TSMC.

  • And TSMC was a huge revolution for one essential reason: it was the first company dedicated

  • exclusively to semiconductor manufacturing.

  • Unlike IDMs such as Intel, TSMC neither designed nor marketed nor was it in charge of production

  • processes beyond pure manufacturing.

  • And VisualEconomik viewers, this gave it an absolute advantage over other companies for

  • two main reasons:

  • The first is that by focusing on semiconductor manufacturing alone, and not on other things,

  • TSMC was able to create more efficient processes and greatly reduced costs.

  • [You know, don't bite off more than you can chew].

  • And at the same time, the second advantage of TSMC's specialization was that it was able

  • to work with design companies in a more flexible, secure, and profitable way.

  • TSMC's production was not exclusively adapted to a specific semiconductor type, but instead

  • was adaptable to different designs provided by external companies. Proof of this is that

  • today TSMC produces for a multitude of companies such as Intel, AMD, Apple and Nvidia, and

  • is able to make money with all of them.

  • And keep in mind that TSMC was exclusively dedicated to manufacturing, this no longer

  • meant direct competition for design companies. If a designer sent its product to TSMC, there

  • wouldn't be the risk of TSMC copying it or acting in bad faith.

  • Conclusion? Design companies started to go to TSMC as their preferred choice, and then

  • TSMC skyrocketed in the market.

  • To give you an idea, during the 1990s, TSMC's profits grew by up to 50% each year. And by

  • the early 2000s, in just over a decade, this company had established itself as the absolute

  • market leader.

  • Now, although the TSMC case may appear to be an isolated example, the truth is that

  • this way of producing went much further, and benefited the entire Taiwanese industry as

  • a whole. Why?

  • Well, remember Taiwan's technology parks?

  • In those parks, and partly thanks to the mediation of ITRI, the rest of the companies followed

  • a specialization process very similar to the one followed by TSMC. Take a look at this

  • image for example. What you are looking at is a representation

  • made in 2014 of how the semiconductor industry was divided in Taiwan. Each box represents

  • a separate production process, and the number in the circles represents the number of companies

  • dedicated exclusively to each of those processes.

  • Basically, what you just saw means that since the arrival of TSMC, Taiwan experienced industrial

  • growth following a kind of mushroom pattern. Many specialized companies emerged, and because

  • they were so specialized, they all had the same competitive advantages as TSMC.

  • Thanks to this, the Taiwanese industry managed to increase its production speed, to make

  • its production more flexible to adapt to new product varieties, new trends, and new technologies;

  • but all this happened in an environment of low taxes, expansive international openness,

  • and where labor costs were still relatively cheap.

  • The result?

  • The result was that Taiwan's industry left its competitors in the dust. Its formula was

  • specialization, rapid and flexible investment, and the synergies of technology parks, along

  • with its close ties to universities and international markets.

  • By the year 2000, and barely a decade after the arrival of TSMC, Taiwan had dramatically

  • multiplied the revenues generated by this sector. And its two main companies, TSMC and

  • UMC, established themselves as major global players in patenting.

  • Be that as it may, and at this point, it is now your turn:

  • What did you think of Taiwan's semiconductor success story? Do you think it is a strategy

  • that could be replicated in other countries? What does the geopolitical future hold for

  • the island of Formosa?

  • You can leave me your answer in the comments and as always, don't forget that here, on

  • VisualEconomik, we release new videos every week, so subscribe to this channel and hit

  • the little bell so as not to miss any of our updates. If you liked this video, LIKE it

  • and see you in the next one. All the best and see you next time.

If we open a map, like the one you are seeing on the screen, and we zoom in on Taiwan, what

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台灣如何成為科技強國(How Taiwan Became a Tech Powerhouse)

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    何佳玲 發佈於 2023 年 08 月 26 日
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