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  • In a fair democracy everyone's vote should count equally, but the method that the United

  • States uses to elect its president, called the electoral college, violates this principle

  • by making sure that some people's votes are more equal than others.

  • The Electoral College is, essentially, the 538 votes that determine who wins the presidency.

  • If these votes were split evenly across the population every 574,000 people would be represented

  • by one vote.

  • But that's not what happens because the Electoral College doesn't give votes to people, only

  • states. Which has some unfair consequences.

  • For example there are 11,500,000 people in Ohio so, to fairly represent them, it should

  • get 20 electoral votes. But the Electoral college doesn't give Ohio 20 votes, it only

  • gets 18 -- two less than it should.

  • Where'd those other votes go? To states like Rhode Island.

  • Plucky Rhode Island has 1.1 million people in it, so it should have about two votes,

  • but instead it gets four!

  • Those extra two votes that should be representing Ohioans go to representing Rhode Islanders

  • instead? Why?

  • Because, according to the rules of the electoral college, every state, no matter how few people

  • live there, gets three votes to start with before the rest are distributed according

  • to population.

  • Because of this rule there are a lot of states with a few people that should only have one

  • or two votes for president but instead get three or four.

  • So Georgians, Virginians, Michiganders & Jerseyites are each missing one vote,

  • Pennsylvanians, North Carolinians, Ohioans & Hoosiers are missing two, Floridians are

  • missing 4, New Yorkers, 5, Texans 6, and Californians are 10 short of what they should get.

  • Because of this vote redistribution, the Electoral College essentially pretends that fewer people

  • live where they do and more people live where they don't.

  • An American who lives in one of these states, has their vote for president count for less

  • than an American who lives in one of these states.

  • In some cases the Electoral College bends the results just a little, but if you live

  • in a particularly large or small state, it bends them a lot.

  • One Vermonter's vote, according to the Electoral College is worth three Texans' votes. And

  • one Wyomingite's vote is worth four Californians'.

  • Now, hold on there son, you might be saying to yourself right now: you're missing the

  • whole point of the electoral college. It's to protect the small states from the big states.

  • Give the small states more voting power and the presidential candidates will have to pay

  • them more attention in an election.

  • If that's the goal of the electoral college, it's failing spectacularly.

  • Here's a graph showing the number of visits the presidential Candidates paid to each of

  • the states in the last two months of the previous election.

  • If it looks like there are a few states missing, you're right. Only 18 of the 50 states received

  • even a single visit from a candidate. And just two of those states, Mane and New Hampshire

  • have very small populations.

  • The area of the country with the most small states is conspicuously missing.

  • The Electoral College doesn't make candidates care about small states.

  • But, interestingly the biggest states, California, Texas and New York are missing as well so

  • what's going on?

  • Looking closer, just four states, Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania and Virginia received a majority

  • of the candidates' attention during the election.

  • And if you follow the money, it's the same story.

  • Why do candidates spend so much money and time in so few states? Because the way the

  • electoral college works forces them to do so.

  • The elections are winner-take-all. As long as a candidate gets just over 50% of the popular

  • vote in a state he wins 100% of that state's electoral votes.

  • That means winning by millions of citizens' votes is no better than winning by a single

  • vote.

  • So candidates are safe to ignore states where they poll with big margins.

  • Instead, the electoral college makes candidates intensely interested in the needs of just

  • a few states with close races, to the detriment of of almost all Americans, which is why it

  • should be abolished.

  • But wait! You might say, won't abolishing the electoral college and voting directly

  • for president cause candidates to spend all their time in big cities? That wouldn't fair

  • to most Americans either.

  • This sounds like a reasonable fear, but ignores the mathematical reality of population distribution.

  • There are 309 million people in the United States, only 8 million of which live in New

  • York, the largest city by far. That's 2.6% of the total population. But after New York,

  • the size of cities drops fast.

  • LA has 3.8 million and Chicago has 2.7 but you can't even make it to the tenth biggest

  • city, San Jose before you're under a million people.

  • These top ten cities added together are only 7.9% of the popular vote hardly enough to

  • win an election.

  • And even winning the next 90 biggest cities in the United States all the way down to Spokane

  • is still not yet 20% of the total population.

  • So unless there's a city with a few hundred million people hiding somewhere in America

  • that's been left out of the census, the idea, that a candidate can just spend their campaign

  • Jetting between New York, LA and Chicago while ignoring everyone else and still become president

  • is mathematically ludicrous.

  • Want to see the real way to unfairly win?

  • How YOU can become President with only 22% of the popular vote by taking advantage of

  • the Electoral College today!

  • Don't believe that's possible in a democracy? Just watch:

  • Here's the action plan: win the votes of the people who count the most and ignore the people

  • who count the least.

  • Start with Wyoming, the state where 0.18% of Americans live but who get 0.56% of the

  • electoral college votes for president.

  • And, because it's a winner take all system, you don't need all of them to vote for you,

  • just half plus one or 0.09%.

  • Next up is the District of Columbia where winning 0.1% of the population also gets you

  • an additional 0.56% of the electoral college.

  • Then add in wins in Vermont, and North Dakota, and Alaska.

  • Notice how the votes your getting to win the presidency go up much faster than the percent

  • of the population who voted for you because of the Electoral College's rules.

  • Next is South Dakota, then Delaware, Montana, Rhode Island, New Hampshire, Maine, Hawaii,

  • Idaho, Nebraska, West Virginia, New Mexico, Nevada, Utah, Kansas, Arkansas, Mississippi,

  • Iowa, Connecticut, Oklahoma, Oregon, Kentucky, Louisiana, South Carolina, Alabama, Colorado,

  • Minnesota, Wisconsin, Maryland, Missouri, Tennessee, Arizona, Indiana, Massachusetts,

  • Virginia, and New Jersey.

  • Congratulations, by taking advantage of unfair rules and winning states, not people, you've

  • won a majority in the Electoral College even though 78% of the population voted against

  • you.

  • This is not Democracy, this is indefensible.

  • While this particular scenario is unlikely, if you have a voting system that allows losers

  • to win, you shouldn't be surprised when they do.

  • Not once, not twice, but thrice in American history the candidate with the most votes

  • from the people actually lost because of the electoral college.

  • Three errors in 55+ elections is a failure rate of 5%.

  • Would anyone tolerate a sport where, by a quirk of the rules, there was a 5% chance

  • that the loser would win? Not likely.

  • Given how much more important electing the president of the United States is, that's

  • a rather dangerously high percentage of the time to get it wrong.

  • If we abolish the Electoral College and simply let citizens vote for the president directly,

  • all of these problems will go away and everyone's vote will be equal.

In a fair democracy everyone's vote should count equally, but the method that the United

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B1 中級

選舉團的問題 (The Trouble with the Electoral College)

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    稲葉白兎 發佈於 2021 年 01 月 14 日
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