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  • Antony Blinken, good to see you and thanks

  • for being with us at The Global Boardroom.

  • Great to join you, thank you.

  • Let's start with the pandemic.

  • The US wants to lead the global response to Covid-19.

  • We always hear that.

  • But at the same time there have been criticism that one,

  • you're not sharing patents.

  • Two, there is an effective ban on exports

  • of some raw materials that are needed for vaccines production

  • elsewhere.

  • And there's also been criticism of Washington's response

  • to the horrendous situation right now in India,

  • where China, Russia, others, have really been ahead at least

  • in speaking out and in trying to help.

  • So, my question to you is are you leading in the way

  • that you would want?

  • And is China winning in vaccine diplomacy?

  • Well, I think we are leading.

  • And I think we're going to be leading increasingly

  • effectively because let's step back for one second

  • to look at what we've done, but also,

  • critically where we're going.

  • On day one of this administration,

  • President Biden put us back into the World Health Organization,

  • which is critical.

  • And of course we are now the leading contributor

  • in the world to COVAX, the facility that makes vaccines

  • available particularly to low and middle income countries.

  • $2bn invested.

  • Another $2bn between now and the end of 2022 as other countries

  • step up.

  • And, of course, that's not as obvious in some ways

  • or not as a direct, it doesn't seem

  • to have an American flag on it.

  • But it is a critical vehicle for making available vaccines.

  • There have been some challenges with COVAX.

  • It's been underfunded to date.

  • And, of course, India had been a primary supplier

  • and for obvious reasons that's been pulled back.

  • But COVAX remains an important facility.

  • In addition, besides that, we've worked

  • closely with partners in the so-called quad, with Australia,

  • with Japan, and India, to find other ways

  • to increase vaccine production and access over time.

  • We made some initial contributions, loans,

  • to our closest land neighbours, Canada and Mexico.

  • And now that our population has full access to vaccines,

  • we are in a place where with some of the vaccines that we've

  • contracted for, including the AstraZeneca

  • vaccines, of which there are about 60m,

  • we'll be able to move out and make those available.

  • We share this conviction, no one in the world

  • will be fully safe until, in effect, everyone is.

  • And as long as the virus is replicating somewhere

  • it could be mutating.

  • And as long as it's mutating it could come back to bite anyone,

  • including the United States.

  • So, we're really leaning into this.

  • So, you are starting to lean into this now.

  • But would it have made sense, months ago, for the US

  • and for other countries, including the UK,

  • to say we're going to vaccinate our populations, all of those

  • let's say over 40.

  • And then we're going to start sharing

  • with the rest of the world.

  • Rather than we're going to vaccinate

  • as much as possible, as quickly as possible,

  • and then, if we've got leftovers,

  • we'll give them away.

  • Well, you know, I think everyone has an obligation

  • and feels an obligation to vaccinate

  • their own populations.

  • But beyond that, just as it's necessary for our own security

  • and well-being, to see the rest of the world vaccinated,

  • so is it important for the security and well-being

  • of the rest of the world to see Americans vaccinated.

  • This works in both directions.

  • And I think we've had to do both.

  • Now, we're in a position where I believe we can.

  • So, we're putting in place a process

  • for the vaccines we've contracted

  • for that can be made available.

  • But also, critically, looking at ways

  • that we can ramp up production with other countries

  • around the world so that there is

  • a constant and growing supply.

  • We also don't know what some of the contingencies

  • are going to be, going forward.

  • Are people going to need booster shots at some point?

  • As younger people are able to get the vaccine,

  • we have to provide for them.

  • All of that's being factored in.

  • And then maybe a word about India

  • because it's so, so important.

  • This has touched Americans profoundly because we have,

  • as does the UK, such deep connections to India,

  • to the Indian people, and we've seen the images,

  • we've talked to colleagues and friends.

  • We've made a very significant effort, very quickly,

  • to try to get to India as much as we could

  • of what it needs most critically in this moment, oxygen

  • supplies, the various things that go into to holding

  • and distributing oxygen, PPE, therapeutics,

  • precursors to the extent that they're needed for vaccines.

  • All of that has started to flow.

  • We're in direct regular contact with our counterparts

  • from India.

  • Beyond that, what I've seen is an amazing mobilisation,

  • not just of the United States government,

  • but of our private sector and of Indian-Americans as well.

  • I was on a call a week ago with virtually every leading CEO,

  • it was a who's who, all wanting to help.

  • And the government, our government,

  • is co-ordinating those efforts.

  • So, we are doing everything we can.

  • India came to our assistance early

  • on, in our hour of need when we were having

  • real struggles with Covid-19, providing

  • millions and millions, for example, of protective masks.

  • We remember that and we're determined to do everything

  • we can to help now.

  • Let me ask you, President Biden said in his speech

  • to Congress last month that he hears from other world leaders

  • that they're happy to see the US back

  • but they often ask for how long.

  • How are you dealing with such concerns

  • and what are you hearing from your counterparts?

  • Well, you know I've heard some of the same thing.

  • I've heard a profound satisfaction

  • that we are back, that we are engaged, that we're working

  • closely with allies, and partners, and others, both

  • on a direct bilateral basis but also through institutions.

  • Multilateralism, as it's called in the lingo of foreign policy.

  • And sure, there's a question about the durability.

  • I understand that.

  • But I think that the more we can show success,

  • the more we can show especially to our own people

  • that this kind of engagement, this kind of work

  • with other countries, is actually

  • delivering results for them.

  • The more we're going to be able to sustain that going forward.

  • That really is the, I think, the challenge.

  • If we demonstrate that our kind of engaged foreign policy

  • is making a real difference in the lives

  • of our fellow citizens, they're going to support that

  • and they're going to support that going forward,

  • irrespective of who's president.

  • Let's talk about China, the biggest strategic challenge

  • that the US now faces.

  • You laid out your positions, both you

  • and the Chinese in Alaska, and the US

  • said it's going to stand up to its values,

  • the Chinese weren't too happy with that

  • and said they wouldn't accept interference

  • in the core issues, whether it's Tibet, Taiwan, Xinjiang.

  • What did you learn in Alaska about the Chinese approach

  • that you may not have known?

  • I'm not sure we learned anything new about their approach

  • and we did after the public fireworks have

  • about eight or 10 hours of very direct conversation

  • covering a whole series of issues.

  • The adversarial, the competitive,

  • and the co-operative, because all three

  • are features of our relationship.

  • But we wanted to have an opportunity

  • to speak directly and clearly to our Chinese counterparts

  • just so that there are no misunderstandings

  • and no miscommunication especially

  • about what we're all about.

  • And the case that we made to them is as follows.

  • We are not about trying to contain China

  • or to hold China down.

  • What we are about is upholding the international rules-based

  • order, that we've invested so much in over many decades, that

  • has served us well, but not just us.

  • We think for all its imperfections,

  • it's served the world pretty well,

  • including, by the way, China.

  • And anyone who takes action that would disrupt that order, that

  • would challenge that order, that would seek to undermine it,

  • we're going to stand up and protect it.

  • So, to your points, when China says to us things

  • that we complain about whether it's Xinjiang and the egregious

  • treatment of uighurs, or whether it's Taiwan,

  • or whether it's Tibet, or whether it's

  • Hong Kong, that these are internal matters,

  • they don't regard us.

  • That's simply not true.

  • When it comes to Xinjiang, for example,

  • China signed on to the Universal Declaration of Human Rights

  • at the United Nations.

  • When it is not...

  • Well a lot of countries signed up to the Declaration of Human

  • Rights and you know...

  • Well, that's the point.

  • But our point is we take this seriously.

  • And this is part of the rules-based order.

  • And if you're not going to abide by your commitments,

  • we're going to say something about it

  • and we have the right to.

  • I'm interested in what happens next?

  • And what are you hoping to accomplish this year,

  • for example?

  • Look, we're engaged with China in a whole variety of places

  • on a variety of issues as part of the normal course

  • of doing business.

  • We're engaged with them right now on Iran and the effort

  • to return to compliance with the JCPOA.

  • There are going to be no doubt discussions about North Korea

  • and its nuclear programme going forward.

  • We're talking about climate.

  • President Xi has participated in President Biden's climate

  • summit.

  • There are a whole series of areas where we have clearly

  • overlapping interests.

  • And we're engaged.

  • But beyond that, we want the engagement

  • that we have with China to be results oriented

  • and practically focused on getting things done,

  • not just talk for the sake of talk.

  • That's what we're focused on.

  • One thing that you have said is that the US

  • wants to rebuild to demonstrate the resilience

  • of its own democracy and then approach China

  • from a position of strength.

  • I'm still trying to figure out what the end goal is.

  • You said, it's not to contain China.

  • But do you think that you can convince China to actually

  • change its behaviour?

  • I think in some areas, particularly when it's not just

  • the United States, it is countries around the world that

  • feel aggrieved by some practise that China is engaged

  • in, coming together, that stands a much better chance.

  • Let's just take economic and commercial issues, for example.

  • When it's the United States alone complaining about them,

  • we're 25 per cent of world GDP.

  • If we're working closely with other similarly aggrieved

  • countries, mostly democracies, that might well be 40 per cent,

  • 50 per cent, 60 per cent of world GDP.

  • That's a lot harder for China to ignore.

  • And we've seen in the past when countries

  • that have been unhappy about the conduct of the government

  • in Beijing on a particular issue actually engage in it together,

  • we're more likely to get China to make changes.

  • I don't want to exaggerate the prospects but, at the very

  • least, countries should be standing up in defence

  • of a rules-based order that has served all of us very well.

  • You've talked about alliances and the fact

  • that you want to work with allies

  • and to co-ordinate sanctions and other measures.

  • China can wield a lot of economic pressure.

  • And we've seen that play out, where countries

  • that feel that they are trapped between the US and China,

  • including in Europe.

  • Are you confident that you can get people on your side

  • without them having to succumb to Chinese pressure?

  • Well, a couple of things.

  • First, we're not asking countries to choose.

  • We recognise that countries have complicated relationships,

  • including with China, including economic relationships,

  • and the issue is not that those need to be cut off or ended.

  • But there are certain basic criteria,

  • there are certain basic rules, that all of us, we think,

  • should abide by.

  • And in particular, when it comes to trade and commerce

  • we want to see a race to the top, not a race to the bottom,

  • when it comes to basic investment standards,

  • when it comes to making sure that we're paying mind

  • to the environment, when we're making sure that we're

  • protecting the rights of workers, when we're protecting

  • intellectual property and technology theft.

  • All of those things need to be front and centre.

  • But that's not inconsistent with countries engaging with China,

  • but we want to see them engaging,

  • as I said, to a high standard, not a low standard

  • and that's profoundly in their interest.

  • Again, when countries are doing that together it's

  • more likely that China will have to play by those rules,

  • not rules it arbitrarily sets, that

  • proved to be a race to the bottom, not the top.

  • There's a lot of Cold war rhetoric and a lot of people

  • are assuming that we have entered now into a new Cold war

  • and making comparisons with the Soviet Union.

  • Would you describe the current situation as a new Cold war?

  • I resist putting labels on most relationships,

  • including this one because it's complex.

  • And as I said, if you look at it we've

  • seen unfortunately in recent years the government in Beijing

  • acting more repressively at home and more aggressively abroad.

  • And when I look at the relationship

  • I see adversarial aspects, I see competitive aspects,

  • I see cooperative aspects, all three.

  • And what we've said, and what we believe strongly,

  • is whatever aspect we're looking at,

  • we have to be able to engage China

  • from a position of strength.

  • And that means a few things.

  • It means actually working with allies and partners,

  • not disparaging them, that is a position of strength.

  • It means leaning in and engaging in the vast array

  • of multilateral and international organisations

  • because that's where so many of the rules are made,

  • that's where the norms are shaped.

  • And if we're not leaning in, we know

  • that Beijing is likely to be trying to do so in our place.

  • And it means critically, and maybe most critically,

  • actually investing in ourselves.

  • Investing in our own people, in our workers, in our technology,

  • in our infrastructure.

  • If we do that, then I think we're going to be fine.

  • Do you think companies should be preparing for possible conflict

  • with China over Taiwan?

  • Look, we've had over many years, consistent with the One China

  • Policy, consistent with the Taiwan Relations Act, the three

  • communiques, the six assurances, all of this language

  • that you hear, the bottom line is

  • we've managed Taiwan I think quite well and quite

  • effectively.

  • What is very troubling and very concerning

  • is that Beijing seems to be taking a different approach,

  • acting aggressively, and I think that we

  • are committed to making sure that Taiwan has the means

  • to defend itself, that commitment is not going away.

  • And at the same time I think it would be a very serious mistake

  • for anyone to try to disrupt by force the existing status quo.

  • OK.

  • So, let me ask you this.

  • Do you think that US companies should be sponsoring

  • the Beijing Olympics?

  • We're still a ways away from the Beijing Olympics, something

  • that we'll look at in the months ahead.

  • We'll certainly talk to other countries,

  • to allies and partners, to get their perspective

  • but that's not something we focused on yet.

  • Yet to the US democracy summit there

  • are sort of two views of this in Europe.

  • One is that this will be very helpful, especially vis a vis

  • China.

  • The other is that what you're doing

  • is carving up the world into blocks, and to go back

  • to our Cold war question, initiating a new Cold war.

  • So, this is not about initiating a Cold war.

  • This is all about doing our part to make sure

  • that democracy is strong, resilient, and meeting

  • the needs of its people.

  • You know what we've seen over the last 15 years

  • is unfortunately something of a democratic recession

  • around the world.

  • Countries falling back on the basic metrics of democracy.

  • The United States has had its own challenges,

  • visible for the world to see, when it comes to democracy.

  • So, we think this is...

  • President Biden thinks this is an important moment

  • for democracies to come together, think

  • together, reason together, and ultimately act together.

  • A big part of this is going to be looking at ourselves

  • and the challenges that we face, and ultimately

  • how we can be more effective in delivering for our citizens

  • because that is the test.

  • And when you hear autocracies challenging democracies,

  • the argument they're making is they can't deliver,

  • we're delivering more effectively,

  • we're delivering more efficiently.

  • We have to be able to answer that question with conviction

  • and with confidence that, no, the system that we believe in

  • is more effective in making a real difference

  • in the lives of our citizens.

  • So, a big part of this conversation

  • is going to be talking about ways we can do that better.

  • We mentioned human rights before and obviously

  • you personally have made a huge commitment on human rights.

  • But a lot of people would say that they see tough rhetoric

  • but not so tough action.

  • For example, you have said that you would have to work

  • and that you will work with the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia,

  • even though the administration published

  • the report on the murder of Jamal Khashoggi, which clearly

  • states that the Crown Prince was ultimately responsible.

  • So, should we imagine that the Crown Prince

  • will one day be invited to the White House, for example?

  • Well, to my knowledge the Crown Prince

  • has no plans anytime soon to come to the United States.

  • But pause for one second on that question.

  • And you mentioned that already.

  • We put out a report with the imprimatur of the United States

  • making clear responsibility for the heinous murder

  • of Mr Khashoggi.

  • And of course, this had been reported in the news,

  • in the FT, among other places.

  • It's not that there was necessarily

  • anything new factually, but to have

  • that with the imprimatur of the United States behind it,

  • I think, in and of itself was meaningful.

  • Second of course, we sanctioned a number of people and entities

  • that were directly involved in Mr Khashoggi's murder.

  • But beyond that we put in place a new rule, a new system,

  • to make sure to the best of our ability

  • that anyone who would seek to repress,

  • or threaten, or do harm to people speaking out

  • against their country from the United States

  • we'd make sure that they no longer

  • had the benefit of being in the United States,

  • and not just with regard to Saudi Arabia, across the board.

  • But when we're thinking about how do we advance our values,

  • not just our interests, but our values.

  • One strong value we have, as well as an interest,

  • is ending the war in Yemen, which

  • is the worst humanitarian situation in the world,

  • and that's speaking volumes right now.

  • Well, we need some help from Saudi Arabia to do that.

  • Are we better off in terms of advancing that value,

  • totally cutting off the relationship with Saudi Arabia

  • or trying to recalibrate it, as we've done.

  • Making clear what is acceptable and what's not

  • but also continuing to work with them.

  • I think we're better off making sure we

  • can find ways to work together, consistent with our values.

  • So, one of the more recent developments

  • is that the Saudis and the Iranians appear to be talking.

  • We broke a story about a week ago.

  • Is that something that you've encouraged?

  • Specifically?

  • No.

  • But generally, if they're talking...

  • If they're talking?

  • You can't tell me?

  • Well, I don't want to speak for them.

  • But if they're talking, I think that's generally a good thing.

  • Talking is usually better than the alternative.

  • Does it lead to results?

  • That's another question.

  • But talking, trying to take down tensions,

  • trying to see if there's a modus vivendi,

  • trying to get countries to take actions on things

  • they're doing that you don't like, that's good.

  • That's positive.

  • And look, we have, I think, still when

  • we're acting at our best, a greater

  • ability than any other country to mobilise others

  • in positive collective action.

  • But if countries are talking directly together without us

  • in the middle, that's maybe even better.

  • Let's talk about Iran.

  • There are elections, presidential elections

  • coming up.

  • And it does look like a hard liner

  • will be elected president.

  • Now, not to exaggerate the role of a president

  • or of a foreign minister in Iran but how

  • is that going to affect the indirect negotiations that

  • are now underway?

  • Well, it's very hard to predict, and certainly I

  • don't want to get into hypotheticals about what

  • one outcome or another in Iran's elections,

  • what impact that would or wouldn't have

  • on any nuclear negotiations.

  • And to your point, I think it's clear

  • who the decider is in the Iranian system

  • and that's the Supreme Leader and he's

  • the one who has to make the fundamental decisions

  • about what Iran's approach would be.

  • We've had serious discussions in Vienna that have gone on now

  • for several weeks.

  • I think we've seen some progress at least in demonstrating

  • the seriousness with which the United States takes the effort

  • to return to mutual compliance with the JCPOA.

  • We still have a long way to go, if we're going to get anywhere.

  • And in particular, we still have to see

  • whether Iran is willing and able to make

  • the necessary decisions on its part

  • for returning to compliance.

  • And I think as one of my colleagues said the other day,

  • there is more road yet to go than road that's been

  • travelled.

  • So, let's see where we get.

  • President Putin relishes an acknowledgment of his status

  • as one of the world's most powerful leaders.

  • Why is President Biden offering to meet him and has he

  • spoken to Angela Merkel, who tried very hard to engage

  • with President Putin but found that he

  • lied to her consistently?

  • First, the president has spoken to Angela Merkel

  • on several occasions and of course spoke to her

  • along with President Obama regularly some years ago,

  • including when Russia invaded Ukraine.

  • And so we well know the challenges

  • that are posed by engaging with President Putin.

  • But President Biden believes very strongly

  • that it's important to be clear and direct

  • and one of the best ways to do that is actually meeting face

  • to face.

  • He's had a couple of conversations with President

  • Putin on the phone now.

  • And there's no secret.

  • He has said to him, including from before he was elected

  • president, he's been very clear that if Russia

  • engages in reckless aggressive actions, we will respond.

  • On the other hand, we do not seek to escalate.

  • We'd prefer to have a more predictable relationship

  • with Russia but that is up to Mr Putin.

  • And if Russia continues to take reckless and aggressive

  • actions, it can be sure we will respond again.

  • I think it's beneficial also for the two presidents

  • to be able to speak directly face to face.

  • There are also areas where it's in our mutual interest

  • to co-operate.

  • We've already seen one of them and that was the extension

  • of the new START Treaty.

  • There are other areas in the so-called strategic stability

  • realm where maybe progress can be made.

  • But diplomacy is all about actually engaging directly

  • and, you know, I've always been struck as a diplomat,

  • people sometimes seem to think that's a problematic thing

  • or some sign of weakness.

  • Just because you engage with someone

  • doesn't take the word 'no' out of your vocabulary.

  • Secretary Blinken, thank you for your time.

  • I hope to see you soon in person.

  • Thanks very much, Roula.

  • Great to be with you.

Antony Blinken, good to see you and thanks

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金融時報訪問: 國務卿布林肯談美國所面臨全球性挑戰(Antony Blinken on the global challenges facing America I FT)

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    林安安 發佈於 2021 年 05 月 15 日
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