字幕列表 影片播放 列印英文字幕 Bill Gates is on another cover today and this is the cover of his very own book. It's Gates' vision of what the next 20 years will bring. It's called The Road Ahead. Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome Bill Gates. Bill. I think if I'd known how much time it would take to write a book, I might not have done a book. This 1995 book predicts a lot of changes driven by technology and mostly I got a lot of things right. What did you get right? The internet would become more available. "The global interactive network will transform our culture as dramatically as Gutenberg's press did the Middle Ages." You'll have electronic mail, you'll have video conferencing, so you can work out of your house. The basic revolution that everything's connected and how that's changed our world, that really did come true. Once you have this small wallet PC, it will replace almost everything you carry today. What I called the wallet PC talked about what's become the miracle of the cell phone. The pictures of your kids, it will store thousands and thousands of them for you. That I got right. What did you get wrong? A public kiosk where you can do all these digital interactions. "If you aren't carrying a wallet PC, you'll still have access to the interactive network at kiosks." From this device we could do video conferencing with somebody at a public phone booth. These terminals will be everywhere. The only kiosk we really have left is the ATM. Now that's going to go away, too. What did you leave out? One thing that's not here at all is anything about climate change. In fact, I have a whole book titled How to Avoid a Climate Disaster that really goes into the steps we need to take if we don't act soon. Looking back, I think we can all say that the PC industry has come a long ways, but it's really nothing compared to what's going to happen here. The book is called The Road Ahead.