The tuning out decision desk gave me their predictions, and I asked, Did you steal these from FIVETHIRTYEIGHT?

調音決策臺給我講了他們的預測，我問，這些是你從FIVETHIRTYEIGHT那裡偷來的嗎？

And they shape initially said yes.

而他們形狀最初說是。

In 88 out of 100 scenarios, Biden wins the presidency, and in one scenario, the military steps in and makes Americans learn new anthem lyrics about drinking and eagles blood.

在100個場景中，有88個場景中，拜登贏得了總統職位，有一個場景中，軍方出面，讓美國人學會了關於喝酒和鷹血的新國歌歌詞。

Larry does the 88 scenarios where Biden wins account for voters made complacent by the prediction that there are 88 scenarios where Biden winds.

拉里對拜登勝出的88種情況的預測，是否佔選民的自滿，拜登勝出的88種情況。

Well, that could happen.

嗯，這可能發生。

In fact, we've been a lot more careful this session this election cycle than we were in 2016 where I think, actually, the fact that everybody said Hillary Clinton was going to win uh, induced overconfidence in the Democrats.

事實上，我們在本屆大選中比2016年更加謹慎，我認為，實際上，大家都說希拉里-克林頓會贏，呃，誘發了民主黨的過度自信。

What Fivethirtyeight geeks won't tell you is that those 11 paths agrees with bacon fat and barbecue sauce.

五三八宅男不會告訴你的是，這11條路徑同意培根脂肪和烤肉醬。

And that's the path Americans want because we like bacon fat and we like barbecue sauce and oh, Daddy, make my heart explode.

這就是美國人想要的道路，因為我們喜歡培根脂肪，我們喜歡烤肉醬，哦，爸爸，讓我的心臟爆炸。

We do have sort of a bombshell.

我們確實有一種炸彈。

Larry, we know you have your crystal ball predictions.

拉里，我們知道你有你的水晶球預測。

We just have just Larry can speak to this and we sort of just discovered that you also have somewhat of an offensive fortune teller costume that's disrespectful to the Romani people that NBC News made a major shift in their battleground map.

我們只是有只是拉里可以說到這一點，我們算是剛剛發現，你也有一些攻擊性的算命師服裝，這是對羅姆人的不尊重，NBC新聞在他們的戰場地圖上做出了重大轉變。

Moving Texas from lean Republican to toss up Larry.

把德州從傾向共和黨的地方搬到了折騰拉里的地方。

Is there a real risk that on election night, innocent Americans will be subjected toe watching Beto O Rourke be excited?

在大選之夜，無辜的美國人是否真的會有風險，看著貝託-奧魯克興奮不已？

Look, I think Texas is close.

聽著，我覺得德克薩斯很接近。

I'll be surprised if it ends up going Democratic, because I've heard this every four years since the last time that Democrat carried Texas for president.

如果它最終走向民主黨，我會感到驚訝，因為自從上次民主黨人帶著德克薩斯州競選總統以來，我每四年都會聽到這樣的話。

But, you know, if it turns into a blue wave and the water splashing all over the map, I suppose Texas could get wet, too.

但是，你知道，如果它變成一個藍色的波浪和水濺在地圖上，我想德州也會被打溼。

Uh, early voter turnout has been historic.

早期選民投票率是歷史性的。

The US has already hit 58% of total 2016 voting with 75 million votes, according to turning out Decision Desk Junior Pollster Squad.

據轉出決策臺初級民調小分隊統計，美國已經達到了2016年投票總數的58%，有7500萬票。

We are on track for a gazillion percent turnout.

我們正按部就班地進行著百萬分之一的投票率。

You should not be able to vote early.

你應該不能提前投票。

Everyone you vote on Election Day, you can't score a touchdown.

大家在選舉日投票，你不能得分。

Before the game starts, I tried and Pop Warner I thought I was destined for the NFL.

在比賽開始前，我試著和老爹華納，我想我註定要去NFL。

Turns out my dad just drop me off with the game two days earlier.

原來我爸前兩天剛把遊戲送來給我。

That's one hole that will never be filled.

這是一個永遠也填不滿的洞。

Seeing his chances of a win dwindling President Trump tried to keep his options open at Tuesday's Omaha rallied by freezing his supporters solid to be thought out for his 2024 campaign.

看到他的獲勝機會越來越少，特朗普總統試圖在週二的奧馬哈集會上保持他的選擇，凍結他的支持者堅實的被想到了他的2024年的活動。

The Busses couldn't navigate the jammed airport roads for hours.

公車無法在擁堵的機場道路上行駛幾個小時。

Attendees, including many elderly Trump supporters, stood in the cold as police scrambled to help those most at risk it toe warm.

與會者，包括許多老年特朗普的支持者，站在寒冷的地方，警察爭先恐後地幫助那些最危險的人它的腳趾溫暖。

30 people needed medical attention.

30人需要就醫。

Over the course of the rally, seven were taken to local hospitals with a variety of medical conditions.

集會過程中，有7人因各種病症被送往當地醫院。

It's nice that these trump rallies have a 40 experience where, just like Trump, you get to be rushed to the hospital Now, Larry, according to your models, do voters support a candidate who attempts to kill them in multiple ways?

很好，這些特朗普集會有40體驗，就像特朗普一樣，你可以被送往醫院現在，拉里，根據你的模型，選民是否支持一個試圖以多種方式殺死他們的候選人？

Incredibly, some of the trump people dio, judging by the interviews I've seen with those people who practically froze to death in Omaha.

不可思議的是，從我看到的那些在奧馬哈幾乎凍死的人的採訪來看，一些特朗普的人dio。

We love Trump trying to kill us.

我們喜歡特朗普想殺我們。

That's that's no secret.

這不是什麼祕密

I'd attend any trump rally that promised to me, Ah, finale.

我願意參加任何向我承諾的特朗普集會，啊，結局。

That was a half hour napalm job.

這是一個半小時的凝固汽油彈工作。

Yeah, let's move on down ballot, honey and discuss who will be in control of the greatest deliberative body that can't pass a covert relief.

是啊，讓我們繼續往下投票吧，親愛的，討論一下誰將掌控最大的議事機構，不能通過祕密救濟。

Lindsey Graham is facing a serious challenger and Jamie Harrison.

林賽-格雷厄姆正面臨著嚴峻的挑戰者和傑米-哈里森。

Here's Graham, showing South Carolina that he's a strong, capable leader by desperately begging for any help you could get.

這是格雷厄姆，向南卡羅來納州展示了他是一個強大的，有能力的領導者，拼命乞求你能得到任何幫助。

Senator Graham.

格雷厄姆參議員。

Thank you so much.

非常感謝你。

Uh, way.

嗯，方式。

All right.

好吧，我知道了

Okay.

好吧，我知道了

Laura Ingraham.

勞拉-英格拉姆

I see you, girl.

我看到你了，女孩。

Welcome to the resistance, Larry.

歡迎加入抵抗組織，拉里

Well, Lindsey Graham win and Democrats all just get nostalgic for the time when he seemed in danger facing consequences Well, in South Carolina.

林賽-格雷厄姆贏了，民主黨人就會懷念起他似乎面臨危險的時候，在南卡羅來納州的後果。

And in the end, because Trump will end up carrying South Carolina maybe 789 points.

而最後，因為特朗普最終將攜帶南卡羅來納州也許789分。

That will probably pull Lindsey Graham through.

這可能會把林賽-格雷厄姆拉過去。

But this is the race of his life.

但這是他一生的比賽。

And in Jamie Harrison, he's found somebody who will not pull any punches.

在Jamie Harrison身上，他找到了一個不會出手的人。

Now, this South Carolina race, I've got to say, has really frightening implications that if you go back on all of your principles and become a lapdog for the Fascist president, you run the risk of having toe work at re election a little bit.

現在，南卡羅來納州的選舉，我不得不說，有非常可怕的影響，如果你背棄你所有的原則，成為法西斯總統的走狗，你就會有重新選舉的風險。