The tuning out decision desk forecast at FiveThirtyEight is showing that Biden winds in 89 out of 100 scenarios.

五三八公司的調出決策臺預測顯示，拜登在100種情況中，有89種情況是贏的。

That means it will be about eight times more disappointing when Trump wins.

這意味著，當特朗普勝出時，將會有8倍左右的失望。

It also means that there are 89 out of 100 scenarios.

這也意味著，100個方案中有89個方案。

The End and Joe Biden bending down in the Oval Office toe.

末了，喬-拜登在橢圓形辦公室趾高氣揚地彎腰。

Let a small child with male pattern baldness touches head that is gonna be so meaningful.

讓一個男式禿頂的小孩子摸摸頭，那會是多麼的有意義。

Now bear a 10 day This election is obviously unlike any other in history and that it's uniquely dumb.

現在忍耐10天 這次選舉顯然不同於歷史上任何一次選舉，而且它是獨一無二的蠢貨。

So could we believe pollsters on the state of the race?

那麼我們能不能相信民調人員對比賽狀況的判斷呢？

No, no.

不，不。

The only polls that I care about are the election polls and the results of those, and I think you know the Nate Silver thing and the idea of trying to forecast this.

我唯一關心的民調是選舉民調，以及這些民調的結果，我想你知道內特-西爾弗的事情，以及試圖預測這個的想法。

I don't see the point for the general public.

我不明白大眾的意義。

It over excites or terrifies or gives people a sense of too much confidence and complacency.

它使人過度興奮或恐懼，或給人以過於自信和自滿的感覺。

I really don't have time to reframe my worldview to be based on something other than polling.

我真的沒有時間去重構我的世界觀，讓我的世界觀建立在民調以外的東西上。

Some of us are busy.

我們有些人很忙。

Barry Tune day Stop believing the polls.

巴里調日 不要再相信民調了。

I got my own internal polls, and they show that Trump is ahead in every state.

我拿到了自己的內部民調，顯示特朗普在每個州都領先。

My heart is the exact density and shape of bowling ball, and my liver is coagulated horsey sauce.

我的心臟是保齡球的密度和形狀，我的肝臟是凝固的馬奶糖。

Okay, now President Trump is in Florida campaigning, frustrated as president, United States.

好了，現在特朗普總統在佛羅里達州競選，作為總統，美國的沮喪。

He's just a powerless cog in the machine, struggling to have his voice heard.

他只是機器中一個無力的齒輪，努力讓自己的聲音被聽到。

Joe Biden is a corrupt politician that the fake news will not write about.

喬-拜登是一個腐敗的政客，假新聞是不會寫的。

They won't write the story, they won't write it, and big tech won't write it.

他們不會寫故事，不會寫，大科技也不會寫。

Not only will the media not let the stories get out, but they won't even let them even happen in real life in the first place.

媒體不僅不會讓這些故事流傳出去，甚至不會讓它們在現實生活中第一時間發生。

It's always interesting to see someone with a lot of privilege and power complain, is if they have none of those things.

看到一個擁有很多特權和權力的人抱怨，總是很有趣，就是如果他們沒有這些東西。

This president has a massive social media following and has never hesitated to promote misinformation, disinformation and outright falsehoods on those platforms, with no one stopping him whatsoever.

這位總統在社交媒體上擁有大量的粉絲，並且從不猶豫地在這些平臺上宣傳錯誤信息、虛假資訊和徹頭徹尾的虛假資訊，沒有人阻止他做什麼。

I kind of feel for the president here.

我有點同情總統了

I don't see why this Hunter Biden corruption story isn't going viral.

我不明白為什麼亨特-拜登的腐敗故事沒有被傳播開來。

It's got it all.

它有它的一切。

It's got the confusing premise the Russian influence be plot a guy named Tony Belinsky looks like his suits trying to strangle him, right?

它有一個令人困惑的前提，俄羅斯的影響是陰謀 一個叫託尼-貝林斯基的傢伙看起來像他的西裝想掐死他，對嗎？

Hey, I'll tell you why this stone cold thriller isn't catching on.

嘿，我來告訴你為什麼這部石破天驚的片子不受歡迎。

Americans are such spoiled millenials, self absorbed by the deadly plague.

美國人就是這樣被寵壞了的千禧年，被致命的瘟疫自我陶醉。

Get your head out of your phones saying goodbye to your grandparent's and get your head into your phone reading up on Ukrainian government petroleum relations.

把頭從手機裡拿出來告別爺爺奶奶的，把頭伸進手機裡閱讀烏克蘭政府的石油關係。

I'm sorry, but it is such a simple look to be complaining about not going viral like Just be yourself online and you'll find your people.

對不起，但就是這麼一個簡單的樣子，卻在抱怨沒有病毒式的傳播，比如只要在網上做自己，就能找到你的人。

Do you think I gained 800 followers on my dogs drinking celery juice fenced up by complaining?

你以為我喝芹菜汁的狗是靠抱怨被圍起來的，就能獲得800個粉絲嗎？

I certainly don't now.

我現在當然不會。

Democrats and Republicans held a congressional hearing with Facebook, Google and Twitter executives on Wednesday, presumably to ask what it's like to have actual power.

民主黨和共和黨人週三與Facebook、谷歌和推特的高管舉行了國會聽證會，大概是想問一下擁有實際權力是什麼樣子的。

Here's Texas senator and adult who always looks freshly birth Ted Cruz attacking Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey.

這是德克薩斯州參議員和總是看起來新鮮出生的成年人泰德-克魯茲攻擊Twitter CEO傑克-多西。

Does Twitter have the ability to influence elections?

推特有能力影響選舉嗎？

No.

不知道

If you don't think you have the power to influence elections, why do you block anything, Mr Dorsey, Who the hell elected you and put you in charge of what the media are allowed to report and what the American people are allowed to hear.

如果你不認為你有權力影響選舉，你為什麼要阻止任何事情，多西先生，到底是誰選舉了你，讓你負責媒體被允許報道什麼，美國人民被允許聽到什麼。

That's right.

是的

If Jack Dorsey was policing Twitter correctly, Ted Cruz would be ableto like as much porn as he wants on there without anyone noticing today, which rich white sociopath that wields massive, unchecked power over society.

如果傑克-多西正確地管理推特，特德-克魯茲就能在那裡想怎麼喜歡就怎麼喜歡色情片，而不會有人注意到今天，哪個有錢的白人反社會分子，掌握著巨大的、不受控制的社會權力。

Do we trust here, the one exploiting this issue for political gain or the one exploiting it for financial gain?

在這裡，我們到底是相信，利用這個問題謀取政治利益的人，還是利用這個問題謀取經濟利益的人？

I think what's troubling here is the Republicans and the Democrats in the Senate are on the right path.

我認為這裡的麻煩是共和黨和參議院的民主黨都在正確的道路上。

The challenges that the GOP in particular, I don't think, is operating in good faith.

特別是GOP的挑戰，我不認為是誠信經營。

Oh, come on.

哦，來吧。

Social media doesn't influence your vote.

社交媒體不會影響你的投票。

I came to my own conclusion that Hillary Clinton was molesting kids in Wayfair furniture like anyone would.

我得出了自己的結論，希拉里-克林頓像任何人一樣，在Wayfair傢俱裡調戲孩子。

Vice President Biden was also in Florida but picked a location, not down.

副總統拜登也在佛羅里達州，但選了個地點，沒有下來。

Wind of Trump's inevitably massive covert spread Millions of people out there or out of work on the edge can't see the light at the end of the tunnel.

特朗普不可避免的大規模隱蔽傳播的風聲 數百萬人在外面或在邊緣失業，看不到隧道盡頭的光。

Donald Trump has given up.

唐納德-特朗普已經放棄了。

Donald Trump has waved the white flag, abandon our families and surrendered to the virus.

唐納德-特朗普揮舞著白旗，拋棄我們的家庭，向病毒投降。

That actually is a good thing.

這其實是一件好事。

I'm pretty sure the virus will be a better leader than Donald Trump.

我很確定病毒會是一個比唐納德-特朗普更好的領導人。

Biden may have popped up in Tampa like punks Itani Phil on Groundhog Day, but it's still not enough to convince me he's on the top of the ticket.

拜登可能會像土撥鼠日的小混混伊塔尼-菲爾一樣出現在坦帕，但這仍然不足以說服我，他是票選中的佼佼者。

If you read between the lines, this has Billy Johnson written all over it.

如果你讀到字裡行間，這有比利-約翰遜寫在上面。

For those who don't know, Billy travels the country by pump trolley, brushes his teeth with a pine tree and once ripped a rhino's head clean off, he put it back.

不知道的人，比利坐著泵車走遍全國，用松樹刷牙，有一次把一頭犀牛的頭扯下來，他又放回去了。